July 11th, 2008
04:30 PM ET
3 years ago

Polls: Obama ahead by eight

Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.
Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - As the dog days of summer set in and Americans take a break from the daily political band-and-forth, a new CNN analysis of several recent national opinion surveys show Barack Obama with a sizeable lead over John McCain.

In the latest CNN Poll of polls, the Illinois senator holds an 8-point lead among registered voters nationwide, 49 percent to 41 percent, with 10 percent still undecided.

The 8-point spread is up 2 points from a CNN poll of polls released one week ago. It is double the margin it was one month ago, days after the prolonged Democratic race ended.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

“Obama's lead has grown a bit over the course of the past month. It is still relatively slim, but it is certainly solid," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

The poll of polls consists of three recent surveys from Gallup, CNN/Opinion Research Corp. and LA Times/Bloomberg. It does not carry a margin of error.

soundoff (261 Responses)
  1. Leah DiMarco, Texas

    CNN – PLEASE have your Political person there at CNN update your Electoral Map. The date keeps changing on your map but the state colors have not changed for a very very long time and they are not updated. Someone needs to take a look at the map and update it, New Mexico has been leaning toward Obama for a few weeks and you still have it as McCain. Also Montana is not McCain lean it should be a Toss-up and other states are out of date. Thank you.

    July 11, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  2. JP

    I am a republican and no fan of Bush. Change can be for better or worse. Two of the most important abilities the next president must have are being able to work with the other party and fiscal restraint. McCain has proven that he posses these abilities. Social security, medicare, and medicaid programs if left untouched will destroy the country financially. Adding government run healthcare will only destroy it sooner. Can any one tell me what Obama has achieved that makes him worthy of being President. When i ask people this question I never get an answer.

    July 11, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  3. wait a minute

    When will we see a real time debate between the two major candidates?

    July 11, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  4. whiner

    obama is ahead by much more,the republicans are secretly altering the poll numbers to make it appear close.they have their stinky little fingers into everything.

    July 11, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  5. America for Obama!

    8 and counting!

    July 11, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  6. Ranger7

    NO MORE...GD'... DMN'.... ......McLame...!!!!..

    ....it will now be a miracle if he ...became President

    July 11, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  7. What!!!

    July 11th, 2008 3:50 pm ET

    It's pretty sad that 41% of this country supports McCain. Have they all been sleeping for the past 8 years?

    No they have been watching the pathetic efforts of Congress with their 9% approval rating!

    July 11, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  8. Lynsey

    Clinton News Network- These polls are a JOKE !

    July 11, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  9. Drew NJ

    ^^...Honestly, the Liberterian party won't win this election. Their support may increase, but there is almost no chance of them winning. I do prefer Barr over McCain, However.

    July 11, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  10. HRC3655

    Polls are too early.......Many Democrats are waiting to see what happens with Hillary.

    July 11, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  11. Marv...

    I'm still wondering how did McCain make the same mistake twice of accusing Obama of not voting to declare the Iran militant group as a terrorist group, when Obama had written legislation stating just that fact. Media pasted it off as a misspeaking, gaffe or just not knowing the facts on McCain part, but I'm starting to see the latter years of Ronald Reagan in McCain. This is not Good. Not Good at all :-{(

    July 11, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  12. Rick FL

    Obama's lead is great news for our nation. It shows we will not let the media make the decision for us. When comparing the two campaigns, it seems the media barely covered McCain's top economic advisor telling struggling Americans that it's all in our head and that we're a nation of whiners. If it had been Obama's campaign, we would have never heard the end of it. Just look at the coverage the media gave to a non-story of Obama's consistent message on Iraq. Truth matters.

    Obama '08

    July 11, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  13. Rosa Birmingham, AL

    I hope McCain doesn't win because then we will be sc%$%#@$ for sure. Eight more years of the same old same old. Ugh. That having been said, these polls are fairly useless since the vote is done by electoral college not popular vote. Look at the map, it is hard to see how McCain can lose even if Obama wins the popular vote. I suggest everyone shine up your combat boots and get ready for a really bad time.

    July 11, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  14. WML

    yes, but i seem to remember a story on politicalticker that in the past few elections, the candidate up in the summer has lost in nov.

    once the debates start, things will get interesting.

    July 11, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  15. randy

    this is a good news i will always make sure that alkl my friends will vote on november 4.

    July 11, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  16. Lyn

    Who believes what CNN says? They were the Clinton News Network, now the ObamaNN. The ONN motto: state whatever looks good for Obama and bad for McCain. No wonder their ratings are history.

    July 11, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  17. cherrystrawberry

    You guys know I am a die hard Obama supporter. However, I would like to see McCain give his campaign some LIFE! Surrounding himself with the same old folk who worked on GB's capaigns just wont cut it this year. He needs FRESG BLOOD AND FRESH IDEAS.

    Dont they get it over there?

    July 11, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  18. Texas T

    Yeah Obama, ya right... Wake Up People... Ask specifics on his vision, oh wait it is change... Change what??? Slanted reporting again CNN... All you people who want "change" move to Europe... I guess you all like some Socialist, Minority favoring, unexperieced, tax-raising, muslim who will cower in the face of these radical people... If you want no morals and values, move to Europe... If you believe in sticking to your guns, the Ten Commandments & The Constitution, take another look at Obama brother, he is none of that... Oh wait, maybe we need to get more Democrats in Congress so their rating will be 5%... Pathethic sheep you are, listening to CNN, do some research on your own like intelligent people do... McCain is not my choice, but a far better one than crazy Obama!

    July 11, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  19. Jim Haynes, SC

    Who the heck are they polling anyway? I'm a black male southern Democrat and I'm not voting for Obama.

    July 11, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  20. Ken

    I'm in agreement with some of the other posters who wonder: just who are the 41% that actually support a continuation of the abysmal [R] failure of the last 7 years. What is wrong with the people in this country?

    What do we do with a child that has burned their hand on a hot stove twice (2000,2004), but readily wants to put their hand on the stove yet a 3rd time (2008)? Is the child so mentally handicapped that it doesn't even recognize the harm being done, and instead thinks its fun? Or is it so retarded that despite the memory of the burn it cannot control its own behavior to avoid the mistake again. Either way the child should be kept away from the stove by more competent people.

    So I say to the 41%, please stay away from the voting booths in Nov. Save yourself and the rest of us from the harm you do; you are not competent to vote.

    July 11, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  21. Justin

    I sure know that I'm taking a break from the "band-and-forth" [sic]

    Seriously CNN, consider running a spellchecker before posting articles, or at least hire a monkey. I am always shocked at the poor editing on this site.

    July 11, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  22. Charlotte

    In a year that should have been a run away victory for the Democrats. How dismal for Obama. A lot of people do not watch CNN, or any major news for that matter. A majority of people do not blog. They will vote in November, and if Obama thinks he will win by a landslide, he is sorely mistaken. I hope everybody remembers how Gore and Kerry lost. It had more to do with their choices for VP, then you might think. It may be a do nothing position, but it is a hairs breath away from the Presidency. After Cheney, it may very well be the most important decision these two will make. Gore was ahead early on by about the same margin as Obama is now. People talk about Hillary being old Washington and in the same breath suggest Dodd as a VP? Obama is not Gods Gift to us, he is a typical politician. I will write Hillary Clinton on my ballot in November. I hope anyone who is thinking of staying home, will show up and write her name on their ballot. ( if allowed by their state.) At least show up and vote your conscience! Show the DNC your displeasure at their decision. Voting is a freedom we cannot afford to lose. We fought for it, we deserve the right to vote however we choose. DO NOT STAY HOME on election day.

    July 11, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  23. Women In California For Obama

    All I have to say is if America decides to place McCain in office it deserves whatever it gets. Democrats might as well say good bye for the next 20 years because HRC will NEVER EVER be elected. She is finished make no mistake. Some of you might as well get used to it. The sooner you deal with it the better. Should she decide to run in 2012 (with the way she has divided the party) WE will be waiting. However, I hope she does and her opponent is Jeb Bush. It won't even be a contest and the rest as they say is history.

    July 11, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  24. Ted from Washington, DC

    This needs to be repeated.

    McCain's voting record for Veterans benefits shows what he really thinks of them:

    McCain: ‘I Received The Highest Award From Literally Every Veterans Organization In America"

    The recognition McCain has received from veterans groups is not "high awards" but failing grades:
    Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America gave McCain a grade of D for his record of voting against veterans. (By contrast, Obama got a B+.)

    Disabled Veterans of America noted McCain’s dismal 20 percent voting record on veterans’ issues. (Obama had an 80 percent.)

    In a list of "Key Votes," Vietnam Veterans of America (VVA) notes McCain "Voted Against Us" 15 times and "Voted For Us" only 8. (Obama voted for VVA 12 times, and against only once.)

    What do you say about the charater or moral fiber of a man who cheats on his wife and using his friends to find a "love nest" where they could go and not be seen.

    What do you say about the charater of a woman who would have a tryst with a man old enough to be her father, who is married with three children.

    Having stated that:

    What do you say about the American voting public that will vote for this man because of the "Party."

    July 11, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  25. Sandy

    To the people who counting on McCain, get over it..the reason why you see the numbers the way they are is because people want something new and fresh and ready for a change from the old garbage of the Bush.

    July 11, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
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