July 21st, 2008
08:01 PM ET
10 years ago

Obama, McCain statistically tied in New Hampshire

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

(CNN) - Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied in New Hampshire, the state known for its perennial political role that is again expected to be a key battleground in the race for the White House.

According to a new poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, Obama holds a narrow 3 point lead over McCain, 46 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent remaining undecided. That marks a clear departure from a similar poll conducted there in April that showed McCain with a 6 point lead among Granite State voters.

New Hampshire is only worth 4 electoral votes, but its famously independent voting electorate has repeatedly rendered the state a tossup at the presidential level: it voted for John Kerry by 1 percentage point in 2004 and for George Bush by 3 points in 2000.

Check out CNN's Electoral Map

The state has already played a vital role in the 2008 presidential process - John McCain's come-from-behind victory there is largely credited with salvaging the Arizona senator's White House hopes while Hillary Clinton's surprising win set the stage for the prolonged Democratic primary. Clinton and Obama later held their first public show of support in Unity, New Hampshire - a town where the two candidates exactly tied.

Watch: A look back at New Hampshire

The poll, conducted on July 11-20, surveyed 519 voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

soundoff (231 Responses)
  1. Vietnam Vet

    Yeah right!

    Come again?

    July 21, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  2. PUMA Hillary supporter

    I live in Pa and everyone know around here is voting for mccain... the media tries to make everyone believe that people are going vote for OBama.... Obama and his cult cant stop the PUMA movement.. yes we hillary clinton supporters can stop obama and his cult.. we are going hand the election over to McCain.. We are working hard in New Hampshire, Ohio, Pa, Florida..... we say noooooooo wayyyyy to a flip flopper like obama and more power to mccain

    July 21, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  3. Rich in Seattle

    Haven't we had enough of Republican rule these past eight years? I don't understand why this is even a question, it is so obvious time for us to elect someone like Obama instead of someone who follows the same politics that got us where we are today. Seriously, do people think we are better off now than we were eight years ago? This is a no-brainer.

    July 21, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  4. tedious898

    It still amazes me how so many would rather have John McForgot as their president.

    July 21, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  5. JonRoss

    The Marxist thuggery displayed here is only exceeded by the violence being committed by Obama supporters in the streets of San Francisco.

    July 21, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  6. Chris

    Oh well. Obama's winning Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania right now. That's the election. Even if McCain wins New Hampshire, he still will lose.

    Obama '08

    July 21, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  7. POTUS?


    July 21, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  8. Annette, Washington, DC

    Folks, pay close attention to McCain, ole my goodness. His time have come and gone. We need to move our nation on the path of healing not decling.

    July 21, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  9. Vig

    A statistical tie? Hillary Clinton would take New Hampshire hands down. You mean with all the touting by CNN of the sugar plum fairy – Obama still isn't convincing? We have lost ethical coverage in journalism when a news organization promotes one candidate over another – actually, I think it may be backfiring – who can trust this type of bias?

    July 21, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  10. Griff

    There is no Cafferhy file. It is closed Mr. I will watch the outcome from a distance..... I hope you have have a Flack-Jack-et..... Note the Name? Jack.? You in NYC in 1977, as a Jounalist... Would you have really denied 'John McCain" the right, to explain how he believes a Democracy Behave's.... Jack I thought you were sworn...

    July 21, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  11. Rave

    Wait till people from NH realize that McPain see's them as a state of whiners from a nation of whiners... nobody will vote for him.
    There are currently very limited non-whiners (in McPain's terms) who dont agree that the nation of whiners is in a recession.
    If all the whiners put him in a mental institution, then he will live his rest of his life whining.
    OBAMA (2008 -16)

    July 21, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  12. RSP

    ONE YEAR IN THE SENATE IS NOT ENOUGH! 3 years as a community organizer, basically a civil rights activist, IS NOT ENOUGH! Obama is a product of marketing.
    McCain in November....that's the truth.

    July 21, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  13. Jon in WA

    Hispanic for McCain:

    There is only one elitist in this election, and that is McCain. He's far wealthier than Obama, and his wife's nest egg just sold out to the Belgians for tons of money. How unpatriotic can you get, selling out like that?

    July 21, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  14. Kyu Reisch, Radcliff, Kentucky

    Florida, I agree with you. Smart Americans who are not brainwashed by main stream media will vote for McCain. I have peaceful life without News by CNN, MSNBC and Foxnews.

    July 21, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  15. Will, NJ

    Did anyone read what McCain was planning on sending to the NYT? I wouldn't have even sent to my 1st grade teacher. His "essay" just about sums up his entire platform, a non-existent, twisted, redundant abomination that should deserve much better from someone with close to three decades in politics. How can this race be as close as it is? I didn't think the U.S. could be that stupid.

    July 21, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  16. Rick in Arizona

    Very interesting poll.. It appears that alot of voters still seem to be split into 2 catagories... Those voting for Obama and those voting against Obama.. Doesn't really appear that anyone is serious enthausiastic about McSame.. Obama leads McDoubleTalk here in Arizona by 3 percent also. In the latest poll Obama is up 42 percent to McInsane's 39 percent and this is his home state (I use the term home state loosely since most Arizonans consider McWar a sort of carpet bagger politician)..

    July 21, 2008 07:09 pm at 7:09 pm |
  17. Joseph, Los Angeles

    I was just reading the blogs from the other Tickers. Man; there are some mean people in this country. No wonder the world hates us. I hope the change we need will come in November.

    July 21, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  18. Louis

    And this is news because...?

    July 21, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  19. Sammy

    Kentucky, Smart Americans who are not brainwashed by main stream media will vote for whoever they want with no outside influence. Maybe its McCain or maybe its Obama. Then again maybe its Nader. Sure is silly when some think that only Obama supporters might be brainwashed. if CNN brainwashes its viewers then so does FOX. What's good for the goose is good for the gander.

    July 21, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  20. Bob

    Oh look , the messiah , falling in the polls ........OHHHOWWW "Fake Fainting " leg jerking , owwww

    July 21, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  21. Ric

    The only running who has my back is Cynthia McKinney.... Obama is busy trying to be the first and McCain wants to do what he couldnt back in 2000. Neither cares about us. Voting McKinney to keep it real.

    July 21, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  22. JIM...TX

    All who rant that Obama has no experience kill me...they probably voted TWICE for Dubya who's experience at the time he ran first time was as govenor of Texas....now thats someone with no experience! But he did have his daddy's name so guess that counts for something... huh Repubs???

    July 21, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  23. swalker3

    This is just ridiculous reporting. The same polling comapny had McCain up 6 not but a few months ago. Thats a 9 POINT SWING toward Obama. Instead, however, it's billed as a turing of the tide toward McCain.
    Also, New Hampshire has little significance in the General Election. This isn't the primaries. New Hampshire does NOt vote before every other state. The entire country votes at once and New Hampshire is only 4 elctoral votes.

    July 21, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  24. Deborah

    Clearly the picture would have been different had Hillary been the front runner. The misongynists were so eager to denigrate and revile her that they've brought us another male who is now in a dead heat with a Republican.

    Congratulations! Hope you enjoy another 4 years of the Bush legacy.

    July 21, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  25. Dan , TX

    It has been great to see all the Clinton supporters roll up their sleeves to start working of voter registration and getting Obama elected.

    Progress on health care, leaving Iraq to the democratically elected Iraqi government, and focusing on the economy is vital.


    July 21, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
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