July 21st, 2008
08:01 PM ET
10 years ago

Obama, McCain statistically tied in New Hampshire

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

(CNN) - Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied in New Hampshire, the state known for its perennial political role that is again expected to be a key battleground in the race for the White House.

According to a new poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, Obama holds a narrow 3 point lead over McCain, 46 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent remaining undecided. That marks a clear departure from a similar poll conducted there in April that showed McCain with a 6 point lead among Granite State voters.

New Hampshire is only worth 4 electoral votes, but its famously independent voting electorate has repeatedly rendered the state a tossup at the presidential level: it voted for John Kerry by 1 percentage point in 2004 and for George Bush by 3 points in 2000.

Check out CNN's Electoral Map

The state has already played a vital role in the 2008 presidential process - John McCain's come-from-behind victory there is largely credited with salvaging the Arizona senator's White House hopes while Hillary Clinton's surprising win set the stage for the prolonged Democratic primary. Clinton and Obama later held their first public show of support in Unity, New Hampshire - a town where the two candidates exactly tied.

Watch: A look back at New Hampshire

The poll, conducted on July 11-20, surveyed 519 voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

soundoff (231 Responses)
  1. Denise Groves

    These polls mean nothing. Too early, though, since NH is Repub domain, I suspect McMunster will win.

    July 21, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  2. DAN

    Talking about polls rasmusen latest polls shows Obama going down from 48% to 42% and 49% of folks polled say the media is trying to get Obama elected while 14% say the same is true for McCain. Especially news outlets like cnn and msnbc. Propaganda? yep. It worked in the 30's in germany why not try it in america in 2008. We will never forget. history is watching and recording .

    July 21, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  3. John Johnson

    Two important polls came out. One Ohio and the other New Hampshire. You ignored the Ohio and highlighted the New Hampshire. Why? Because its closer to your narrative of a close race? Why don't you just report the news instead of your blatant pursuit of an agenda? Heck, you are suppossed to be a news outlet!

    July 21, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  4. jess

    Obama is worshipped by the ticker as if he were a living deity. They would have us all to believe that the minute Obama wins the election with his idiotic meaningless change rhetoric, that all evils in the world will stop, and all the little children will stand hand in hand and sing, starvation and hatred will be a thing of the past, and we will live in the land of milk and honey, forever and ever, Amen.

    July 21, 2008 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  5. Uchenna

    Welcome aboard New Hampshire!!!

    Republican for Barack Hussein Obama.

    July 21, 2008 07:33 pm at 7:33 pm |
  6. Bob

    must be some of that mystical mist in the air comming from a rear end .. To many people fake fainting these day s...,

    July 21, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  7. Rochelle

    You McStupid voters better wake up.I know darn well most of you have lost about everything you have worked for too just like the rest of us!! Why repeat the same bull that dumba@# GWB have given us by trying to put McDumba@# in to continue it?!!! And to think you people probably think you're smart and hurting us by doing so!!! Wake up cause you're being affected too!!!!!! OBAMA'08

    July 21, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  8. Susan, CA

    I don't understand how anyone could vote back in the party that has destroyed this Country over the last eight years. Especially someone that isn't even trying to hide the fact that his policies are the same as Bush's. If you want to see a flip flopper, take a look at McCain's prior video footage from 2000. Talk about doing a 180 to get elected. Please get pay attention, watch, listen, and read all you can before you cast your vote. This is probably the most important election of our time.

    July 21, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  9. Sick of the Hate

    I am so sick of the bloggers posting nothing but hate, hate, hate. It seems to be coming primarily from Obama supporters, but there is plenty to go around. To have a truly cohesive society, we must be willing to listen to opposing sides of arguments to make informed and beneficial decisions. Name calling leads to division, and I do not understand why the people who support the so-called "unity" candidate are so mean and spiteful. I truly do not understand it.

    July 21, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  10. Obama puppet

    what Obama is capable of doing will soon be known.

    He was sent to tour the world with the press, to gain some intellect.
    What happens in America and to bitter Americans is always secondary to him. He doesnt care, so far as his race and color can bring him the presidency.

    July 21, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  11. Shady

    With the Media Circus in Obamas pocket , McCain will still be our next president. CNN might as well call theirself the Obama news station and get it over with. Anyone that doesn't want lower taxes and lower gas prices with less government in their lifes must miss being at home with mommy to tell them how to live their life. Obama doesn't have enough experience for a main stream job let alone president .McCain is more experienced with better ideals for what direction this country should go in. On stage without a speech written Obama will fail.He will spend a lot of time with uh,ah,uh well. McCain speaks well off the cuff. and has the right answers. Will Obama copy McCain like he did Hillary? GO McCain !

    July 21, 2008 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  12. Ben (Eugene, OR)


    Landslide in '08...and I'm not talking about Obama. People will start to see Obama for the politician he truly is. His hypocrisy knows no bounds.

    Holding my nose and voting: McCain '08

    July 21, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  13. Michael Hughes

    Yea right!
    Pigs might fly as well.
    Must have used Diebold voting machines to take the poll.

    July 21, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  14. Robbie

    DOWN with PUMA voters! Voting out of spite is dishonest and unpatriotic.

    July 21, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  15. democrat for McCain

    Obama don't even know what day it is. He would make a good preacher but thats it. He is all talk like a sales man. But no political experience and I vote for experience. I am sick of hearing his name all over the place. The media are the ones pushing him because it sure isn't the voters. A lot of us dems are going with McCain. A lot of Clinton supportors are going with McCain. We could care less about Obama and his friends.

    July 21, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  16. WDM

    Why don't you report the other poll today that has Obama up by 8% in Ohio. That is devastating for the McCain camp. I get the feeling that the MSM is favoring McCain, as it did Bush in 2000 &2004.

    July 21, 2008 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  17. Bob

    I agree about the media in the tank for Obama , like the voters wouldn't figure it out . No Mystical myst here ...GO McCain

    July 21, 2008 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  18. TheTruthHurts

    McCain needs to do something. He's simply making too many mistakes. Mispeaking, mistruths, rants. He speaks in generalizations about war and then attacks Obama's specifics.

    Frankly, I thought John McCain would be better than this. I'm disappointed in his campaign, his advisors and the fact that he has let him run wild. McCain better find "his voice" faster than Hillary did or he's history.

    July 21, 2008 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  19. oopsie

    CNN has never published any my comments...my comment today...McCain couldn't win even if he had Jesus as his running mate.

    July 21, 2008 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  20. EDW

    Time table = time horizon
    Diplomatic negotiation = talks

    Read through the Republican double speak America.

    Obama '08

    July 21, 2008 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  21. Fred C Dobbs

    Jack Cafferty has nothing worth while to say.

    July 21, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  22. diane08


    So let me get this straight, 3 years of organizing, mobilizing, and strengthening his community, his state, and a national campaign all from the ground up counts for nothing, but living off of your wife's beer fortune, completely out of touch with the average American: now that counts for something! Give me a break!!!
    With all of McCains so called "Experience", this country is in worse shape than it was before he entered the Senate. What good is experience without any measurable results? Let's compare what Obama's been able to do in three years with what McCain has done in the past three years! LOL!!! No comparison!

    July 21, 2008 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  23. Realistic

    Too early for polls. The real news is that Hillary is actually $1 million deeper in debt than before. What happened to the PUMAs? Oh yeah, they didn't put their money where their mouths are even when Hillary was running, and haven't given her anything since.

    July 21, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  24. demwit

    How can McCain possibly be in a dead heat race with Obama!?

    I mean.., with the media following him around like puppies and trumpeting his every move.., Obama should have a double digits lead by now. Come on CNN! Your obviously not doing enough pulling here!!

    July 21, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  25. Ted

    Obama should be at least 10 points ahead of McCain in all polls. He seems to do everything right and have all the media and public support.

    Black vs White
    Young vs Old
    New Washington vs Old Washington
    Democrat (after 8 yrs of Republican Pres) vs Status Quo Republican

    If he loses this election it will be the end of his political career.

    July 21, 2008 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10