July 21st, 2008
08:01 PM ET
10 years ago

Obama, McCain statistically tied in New Hampshire

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

(CNN) - Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied in New Hampshire, the state known for its perennial political role that is again expected to be a key battleground in the race for the White House.

According to a new poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, Obama holds a narrow 3 point lead over McCain, 46 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent remaining undecided. That marks a clear departure from a similar poll conducted there in April that showed McCain with a 6 point lead among Granite State voters.

New Hampshire is only worth 4 electoral votes, but its famously independent voting electorate has repeatedly rendered the state a tossup at the presidential level: it voted for John Kerry by 1 percentage point in 2004 and for George Bush by 3 points in 2000.

Check out CNN's Electoral Map

The state has already played a vital role in the 2008 presidential process - John McCain's come-from-behind victory there is largely credited with salvaging the Arizona senator's White House hopes while Hillary Clinton's surprising win set the stage for the prolonged Democratic primary. Clinton and Obama later held their first public show of support in Unity, New Hampshire - a town where the two candidates exactly tied.

Watch: A look back at New Hampshire

The poll, conducted on July 11-20, surveyed 519 voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

soundoff (231 Responses)
  1. spudmctater

    At least CNN is doing a story on state polls, which are the only ones that matter in a presidential contest. National polls are completely irrelevant and shouldn't even be taken. This is 50 elections, not just one.

    July 21, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  2. Tejano

    The closer we get to the election the tighter the race will become only if the Media stops peddling this Obama crap. Then again people in Hell want ice water.

    July 21, 2008 08:44 pm at 8:44 pm |
  3. WeBoDave

    CNN – Please update your electoral map. It has not been updated in weeks and it was wrong then. It is obvious you are promoting a closer race than polling indicates to keep up your ratings.

    July 21, 2008 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  4. white people for obama

    Why would anyone vote for McCain's failed policies. What has he accomplished in all his years in the Senate, not much. We don't need experience we need someone who is good in judgement to lead and make decisions and someone who is articulate. I am tired of these old guys who can't present themselves in a decent way in front of the world. McCain doesn't even know the difference between Sunni's and Shi'ite muslims, how is he gonna lead. Maybe he wants to bomb everyone.

    July 21, 2008 08:47 pm at 8:47 pm |
  5. smith, AK

    Bob in Newport, you're right on the money. I have been telling this for long. Even during the last primaries Hillary was beating Obama like hell. That exposed him as extremely weak. Like this one CNN will not publish my comments.

    July 21, 2008 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  6. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    It's hard to believe Americans wants the worse of two evils, McCain/Bush, back in the White House. It doesn't make any sense, no wonder the world laughs at our stupidity and expect no less. I refuse to be a part or support anything that represents Bush third term.

    July 21, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  7. white people for obama

    Hey white people, don't worry Obama is not going to enslave us! Relax and take a chill pill. He is half white, we can vote for him. Afterall, he is better qualified, look up his senate record for the laws he has written.

    July 21, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  8. M.S. Indiana

    PUMA-Jessie, Please donate a dollar to Hillary she is in debt... you are the ones who destroyed her campaign, by being all talk and no walk...

    Bob in Newport, if the American people loose so will you.. unless you are filthy rich...

    This will be the 50 states America for Obama, oh hell yeah we can

    July 21, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  9. Crush Rush

    This poll is a joke.

    July 21, 2008 09:00 pm at 9:00 pm |
  10. Fed-up Repubican

    This election in my mind should be all about change and the present republican candidate cannot brinng this change. Obama in my mind have what it takes to carry our country forward to better things.

    It is about time for us to have the Democrats back in office so our country can benefit from the amount of money that every American used to enjoy in their pockets. I will be voting democrat this time and many others like me will be doing the same. forward to victory in November with Obama.

    July 21, 2008 09:01 pm at 9:01 pm |
  11. Patrick

    Obama, please come clean with your ties to Bill Ayers-The Murdering Weatherwoman.
    In 1981 there were 2 Brinks Robberies in which your buddy Bill AYers' Weathermen Underground participated in.
    Contrary to what you have said in the media, that would make you 20 years of age at the time my cousin was murdered by your pals Bill Ayers and Dorhn and Kathy Boudin, the getaway driver in both bungled Brinks Robberies, not 8 years old as you have said.
    WHo knows maybe you were in on these robberies.
    Being that you go to these Black liberation theology themed sermons, by the Paddy Basher, Mr Wrong-Wright, anything is possible.

    The Black Liberation Army was allied with the Weathermen Underground so its quite possible that you have many other terrorist friends in both groups. SInce the BLA is still around maybe you still have pals in the group. This is not someone we want for President of America. And stop attacking Sean Hannity, He is just calling you out for what you are: A Phoney Baloney!! I suggest stepping down and letting Hillary lead.
    I know i will not vote for you even though i backed Hillary. i'm a Mccain supporter now.

    July 21, 2008 09:02 pm at 9:02 pm |
  12. EA

    All you so-called clueless PUMA people and those pretending to speak for Latino voters, please shut up. So sick of all of you and your whinning and crying. Those pretending to be latino voters are sick. You speak only as pretenders you are all no more latino that me. Stop spreading your lies in the name of others. Come out on your own, and be honest and let it be known who you really are. And PUMA people please get over yourselves. The Primaries are over.....PERIOD!

    July 21, 2008 09:03 pm at 9:03 pm |
  13. Hate to break it to you

    Well, hopefully when the election in Nov comes, it will have Barack as the winner, most likely by a small margin, but a win is a win, doesn't matter if it's a small one. So we'll see. NH, hope most of you guys are for Obama.

    Obama 08

    July 21, 2008 09:04 pm at 9:04 pm |
  14. Roofin Reality, Houston, Tx.

    puma from 6:52,
    I simply say God bless you. You obviously are like a person who sees the devastation of crack or cocaine or heroine and yet says give me some more of that.
    But, good luck to you.

    July 21, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  15. That's Reality

    Texas trail puppy – I f Obama wins, you are right; change will be all America has, perhaps less than change. VOTE FOR AN EXPERIENCE PROVEN PATRIOT WHO WON'T RUN FROM TERRORISTS –
    McCAIN 2008

    July 21, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  16. That's Reality

    E for Obama – It is so close because more and more people are realizing how inexperienced and liberal Obama is and how dangerous he would be as president. McCain 2008!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 21, 2008 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  17. Dave, Illinois

    519 sample? Good lord, you might as well stand on a street corner and poll!

    July 21, 2008 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  18. That's Reality

    Dr. Mimi De La Cruz – Haven't you realized yet that the price of gas is so high because of the democrats' refusal to do anything to lower it. Don't you know they hold the majority in congress? Wake up!

    July 21, 2008 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm |
  19. That's Reality

    I'd like more than "change" in my pocket; how about a few bucks. Cut taxes – vote McCain 2008. Obama can keep his change.

    July 21, 2008 09:20 pm at 9:20 pm |
  20. Scientist from Illinois

    I will take a candidate any day of the week that is intelligent, informed, and willing to be part of the rest of the world, as opposed to what we've been living with since 2000. Looks like a vote for McCain is more of the same. Just about ready to apply a Grade Point Average to the office of the presidency.

    Proud to be an Elitist!
    Obama 08'

    July 21, 2008 09:21 pm at 9:21 pm |

    There is no way egomaniac Barack can win this election. The polls would be SO MUCH in favor of Hillary by now......but noooooooo, Dean, Pelosi and Brazile just had to have it their way. Oh well, will have to wait another 4 years to get a Dem in the White House.

    July 21, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  22. jimmy velman


    July 21, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  23. Steven

    McCain's rejected New York Times op-ed pieceNext Article in Politics.

    I Don't Blame The NY Times For Rejecting This.
    Was This Written By A 5th Grader? Very Weak and Not Very Presidential.
    McCain or Someone In His Staff, Need To Take A 101 College Writing Course.

    July 21, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  24. Jon

    "July 21st, 2008 5:30 pm ET

    LIBERAL bring USA flush to thoilet ANYTHING goes bed with perverted and criminal"

    Another of Mccain's surrogates I suspect. Anyone who thinks that Obama is getting a free ride is living in a fantasy world, Obama is smart and is fit to be president, unlike Mccain, who is only there because of his seniority. How can they be tied in New Hampshire? Only 25% of America approves of the job George Bush (the failure) is doing. Anyone who votes for a 75 year old president doesn't think ahead, what is wrong with some of you people? Have you even been paying attention to Mccain? He doesn't have a stance on ANY issue. HE is the "flip-flopper" if anyone, my god, do some research Mccaniacs.

    July 21, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  25. Hillary supporter backing McCain

    I feel like I'm living in Nazi Germany or the USSR – I don't believe anything coming from the media who have no journalistic integrity. Who cares about this poll – it's July – I don't want to be force fed any more of this BS. Get real CNN!

    July 21, 2008 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
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