July 21st, 2008
08:01 PM ET
6 years ago

Obama, McCain statistically tied in New Hampshire

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.
New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

(CNN) - Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied in New Hampshire, the state known for its perennial political role that is again expected to be a key battleground in the race for the White House.

According to a new poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, Obama holds a narrow 3 point lead over McCain, 46 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent remaining undecided. That marks a clear departure from a similar poll conducted there in April that showed McCain with a 6 point lead among Granite State voters.

New Hampshire is only worth 4 electoral votes, but its famously independent voting electorate has repeatedly rendered the state a tossup at the presidential level: it voted for John Kerry by 1 percentage point in 2004 and for George Bush by 3 points in 2000.

Check out CNN's Electoral Map

The state has already played a vital role in the 2008 presidential process - John McCain's come-from-behind victory there is largely credited with salvaging the Arizona senator's White House hopes while Hillary Clinton's surprising win set the stage for the prolonged Democratic primary. Clinton and Obama later held their first public show of support in Unity, New Hampshire - a town where the two candidates exactly tied.

Watch: A look back at New Hampshire

The poll, conducted on July 11-20, surveyed 519 voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

soundoff (231 Responses)
  1. bern

    Obama is going to win in a landslide. Americans are not dumb. They know that someone like Barack comes around rarely. He is more qualified, smarter by leaps and bounds, and, as we will see in a few days, loved by the world. He is the bright and shining light on the hill.

    McCain, he is......mmmm....he is.....well.......er.....let's see.....mmmmm.......McBush????

    July 21, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  2. Steven

    I Know How To Win WARS McCain!
    The 10 Billion Dollars A Month Man.
    The Oil Isn't Ours To Claim McCain.

    He a Warmonger period.
    That's All He Knows, Listen To Him!
    Just Because He Some Old White Man, Doesn't Mean Anything
    He Doesn't Even Know Our Military History!

    July 21, 2008 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  3. Matt

    First CNN do a real poll, second Dems get a real candidate with real stances on the issues not a paper doll.

    July 21, 2008 09:33 pm at 9:33 pm |
  4. Independent-woman-4-Obama

    GO AHEAD AND VOTE FOR MCCAIN. BUT ASK YOURSELF THIS:

    ARE YOU BETTER OFF TODAY THAN YOU WERE 8 YEARS AGO?

    NO? WELL, THEN ITS TIME FOR A CHANGE!

    July 21, 2008 09:34 pm at 9:34 pm |
  5. Carolyn

    Just an aside. CNN why would anyone in their right mind put on Glen Beck to replace Larry King. As soon as I saw him, I turned the TV off.

    July 21, 2008 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  6. Desert Shield vets

    Obama still needs to earn it for the folks in New Hampshire. they have always been this way. If you look at McCains track record it won't be hard to see them going blue.

    we still have a way to go before November.

    McCaine will have plenty of time to insert foot to mouth.

    July 21, 2008 09:43 pm at 9:43 pm |
  7. PCS / North Carolina

    Obama puppet July 21st, 2008 7:37 pm ET

    "what Obama is capable of doing will soon be known.
    He was sent to tour the world with the press, to gain some intellect.
    What happens in America and to bitter Americans is always secondary to him. He doesnt care, so far as his race and color can bring him the presidency"

    Haven't you already seen what he is capable of ? He will not win because of his race and color. Even if all 13% of african Americans vote for him, still he has to get the majority european American's blesing to win. On the otherhand, if he looses, that will be because of race and color.
    DO NOT GO ON RACE BAITING LIKE YOUR BUDDIES, O'REILY, SEAN HANNITY, ANN COULTER, AND RUSH.

    July 21, 2008 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  8. David Shine

    Hello!! I can't believe that the educated people of New Hampshire would still vote for McCain in those numbers. CNN Please post this but I can't help but think that racial bias might be the reason. Please post this because I've read others that have bad spelling and bad grammar that have been posted.

    July 21, 2008 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  9. Doris,Memphis,TN

    Fred C. Dobbs, how dare you say anything negative about our
    beloved Jack Cafferty. He is brillant and fair. Americans
    respect and appreciate him. CNN has some of the best
    journalists on cable!

    July 21, 2008 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  10. ARLINGTON,TX

    zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    July 21, 2008 09:51 pm at 9:51 pm |
  11. Jack from Upstate NY

    As a New Englander, I find it hard to believe that anyone would vote for John McBush – McCain is going to follow the same policies of his party and lead us into greater depression!

    Wake up America – we need a NEW direction in Washington and John McCain is NOT IT!

    July 21, 2008 09:53 pm at 9:53 pm |
  12. Jim

    Media is a big part of society. If you can't form connections or know how to use the media as your ally, then you're basically screwed. McCain's campaign should have done a better job with the media. That's why I wished the Republicans picked Romney, who is 10x better than the old senile fart the Republicans are trotting out there.

    July 21, 2008 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  13. David

    The article mentions the 3% edge for Obama in the current poll and a 6% edge for McCain back in April, but it might also have mentioned the last two Rasmussen polls that showed Obama up by 5% in May (48-43) and by 12% (51-39) in mid-June. I think that a look at all recent polls makes NH look pretty good for Obama.

    July 21, 2008 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  14. Ivan, Chicago, Illinois

    As a democrat I would like to vote for a Democrat for President, really I would. As a resident of Illinois I know that Obama's claims of his leglistrative accomplishments are false.
    Even now he has backtracked on trade.
    Obama has gone against his previous statements and voted for Bush's Intelligence Bill, giving amnesty to the phone companies.
    It's not that he is behaving as politicians do, but that he campaigned on the platform of bring change to the way business is conducted in Washington.
    Whom Obama selects as his running mate will weight heavily in deciding if I vote for Obama.

    July 21, 2008 10:08 pm at 10:08 pm |
  15. Dem for McCain

    CHANGE is a-comin'! Watch all 57 states turn blue in November!

    July 21, 2008 10:12 pm at 10:12 pm |
  16. B.Hawkins

    PUMA,

    no one is listening to you. If you didn't get memo she said Obama repsents her views for the nation far more than McCain. Who told you people you speak for her. Most of you are no more than Republican trolls.The poll that should concern you is the RealClearPolitics poll of the Electoral College Map. Obama is leading in states with 322 votes to 216 for McCain. It takes 270 to win. Even if Obama didn't get a single nada in NH he would still lead by 318 to 220. Even if Obama did not get a single vote in WV,TN,NC,SC,GA,AL,FL,AR,TX,OK,KS, or MO. He would still be leading in the Electoral Map in states with 322 votes to McCain's 216. The fact is if you are Puma and you live in any of those states no matter what happens in your state Obama still wins the General election by a landside.

    July 21, 2008 10:15 pm at 10:15 pm |
  17. Ben

    The only people in the world that don't like Obama are racist Americans. How's it feel to be in the minority yourself for a change?

    July 21, 2008 10:16 pm at 10:16 pm |
  18. Don Colony14Author, Mt Prospect, IL

    Mondale, Dukakis, Gore, and Kerry were all much farther ahead in the summer of their campaigns than Obama is now, yet they all ended up losing. That suggests that the media's wonder boy will go down in flames, after people figure out that you can't eliminate dependence on foreign oil by leaving your own oil underground, and there won't be billions of dollars to invest in alternate energy schemes if you instead confiscate it through higher income and capital gains taxes.

    July 21, 2008 10:29 pm at 10:29 pm |
  19. The Truth hurts

    I thought this was McCain country? He uses his campaign money to spruce up his wife's beer business. McCain just want to be president so he and his wife can sell out America.

    July 21, 2008 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  20. jason

    McCain/Clinton 08/12, then Clinton/Obama 16/20

    July 21, 2008 10:34 pm at 10:34 pm |
  21. B.Hawkins

    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    PUMA,

    no one is listening to you. If you didn't get memo she said Obama represents her views for the nation far more than McCain. Who told you people you speak for her. Most of you are no more than Republican trolls poll that should concern you is the RealClearPolitics poll of the Electoral College Map. Obama is leading in states with 322 votes to 216 for McCain. It takes 270 to win. Even if Obama didn't get a single nada in NH he would still lead by 318 to 220. Even if Obama did not get a single vote in WV,TN,NC,SC,GA,AL,FL,AR,TX,OK,KS, or MO. He would still be leading in the Electoral Map in states with 322 votes to McCain's 216. The fact is if you are Puma and you live in any of those states no matter what happens in your state Obama still wins the General election by a landslide.

    July 21, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  22. Veteran for Truth

    McCain goes around pretending to be a war hero? He sold out our country giving away all of our secrets when he was captured. Now he wants to be called a hero.
    People wake up, why do you think George Bush beat him in 2000? Carl Rove did his home work.

    McShame is no war hero.

    July 21, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  23. Jeffrey T

    "This man is going to start a war in Iran if he is elected"
    I would rather start a war with Iran than Pakistan. Lets remember that Obama favors covert and overt operations to oust terrorist cells in Pakistan. Lets also remember that Pakistan has nukes. Do the math.

    I think most states will show similar divisions. There are your republican and democratic strongholds, but the battleground states are probably about 50-50. Obama can waste his time traveling abroad, but he needs to connect with these battleground states. These are the states he lost in the Democratic Primary and if does not find a way to connect to your average American factory worker he is up a certain creek without a paddle come November.

    July 21, 2008 10:46 pm at 10:46 pm |
  24. LT for Obama

    I keep reading about the media bias for Obama. I am just curious, if Obama has said "the borders of Iraq and Pakistan" how would the media have reacted. You guessed it, they would be replaying the loop over and over and over and McCain would have pounced on it like a cat on a rat. Yet McCain is the one who made the faux pas and guess what, hardly anyone is saying a thing about it.

    Give me a break, McCain's daily slip ups, flip flops, gaffes and lies are being swept under the rug so much that the lumps are becoming impossible to ignore. Eventually, the rest of you will have to wake up and take a hard long look at your perfect candidate.

    July 21, 2008 10:54 pm at 10:54 pm |
  25. Wisconsin

    ...

    Odd that the Republicans are saying their is a media bias then all the nut jobs come on here and say the same thing.

    Why can't Republicans discuses the issues? Not how they hate Obama.

    Bias = Yes, CNN almost never post stories about McCain's mistakes, but they will run a story about Obama for weeks.

    Where is the story about McCain's latest mess up with a map?

    July 21, 2008 11:03 pm at 11:03 pm |
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