July 21st, 2008
08:01 PM ET
10 years ago

Obama, McCain statistically tied in New Hampshire

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

New Hampshire will again be a battleground state.

(CNN) - Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied in New Hampshire, the state known for its perennial political role that is again expected to be a key battleground in the race for the White House.

According to a new poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, Obama holds a narrow 3 point lead over McCain, 46 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent remaining undecided. That marks a clear departure from a similar poll conducted there in April that showed McCain with a 6 point lead among Granite State voters.

New Hampshire is only worth 4 electoral votes, but its famously independent voting electorate has repeatedly rendered the state a tossup at the presidential level: it voted for John Kerry by 1 percentage point in 2004 and for George Bush by 3 points in 2000.

Check out CNN's Electoral Map

The state has already played a vital role in the 2008 presidential process - John McCain's come-from-behind victory there is largely credited with salvaging the Arizona senator's White House hopes while Hillary Clinton's surprising win set the stage for the prolonged Democratic primary. Clinton and Obama later held their first public show of support in Unity, New Hampshire - a town where the two candidates exactly tied.

Watch: A look back at New Hampshire

The poll, conducted on July 11-20, surveyed 519 voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

soundoff (231 Responses)
  1. Brandon Hillary PUMA 4 Mc

    M.S. Indiana–Keep drinking that watermelon flavored kool aide-

    July 21, 2008 11:07 pm at 11:07 pm |
  2. Jeremy

    yeah, and hillary clinton was going to loose there too! it's not over until the fat lady sings... and i haven't heard a peep from michelle obama.......

    July 21, 2008 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  3. libby

    Bubba, the REAL Americans were the Native Americans. That's what's wrong with McCain supporters, Ignorant and delusional. Tony, amazing that an American Indian would even vote for a white man that speaks with fork tongue. HIspanics for MCCain, another joke, exactly when has McCain come to your neighborhood? Anybody of any color struggling in this economy voting for McCain are insane!

    July 21, 2008 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  4. David

    Im confused why all you people use petty excuses to deny the fact that you dont want obama because you're racist. I'm not saying everyone, but some people who come up with the most ridiculous things on here just sound idiotic! I'm sure you all wont be saying all this when Obama wins presidency.

    July 21, 2008 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  5. Will, NJ

    The media is not trying to get anyone elected! You want to know what numbers their trying to raise? Their ratings! Face it, Obama = Attention, McCain = Coma, that's just how it is and obviously it worked if you're all on CNN's site complaining about it! As for liberal media? Why don't you take a look at who owns the media outlets and then decide how liberal it is, like all the free rides McCain's gotten on all his screw ups.

    July 21, 2008 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  6. John from Florida

    Actually, I wish that people would forget about the polls, they really are not that acurate. Who are they polling, names on a list and where does that list come from. And really, don't you think the politicians can make it swing one way or the other. As far as who is going to be the next president, does it really matter. The war will still be going on on both fronts and its just a matter of time before the public will be trained by the media to treat Obama like Bush "IF" he is elected. Isn't it sad no one else is running, like maybe Colin Powel with a VP like maybe Barbara Dole.

    July 21, 2008 11:12 pm at 11:12 pm |
  7. Debby

    This isn't good news for Obama. Cambell Brown's show was unwatchable tonight. Obama this Obama that we turned to Fox news.

    July 21, 2008 11:13 pm at 11:13 pm |
  8. Ron Nebraska

    Do any of you Republican supporters understand that a main part of the Republican agenda is to prove that government does not work, therefore they have a vested interest in making government as inefficient and unproductive for Americans as possible. So my question is, knowing they have to destroy a functioning government to achieve their goals, why would anyone elect them to govern!?

    July 21, 2008 11:14 pm at 11:14 pm |
  9. Remy

    Why do some Americans blame media for the victory of Obama? Obama has best innovations to lead Americans!

    July 21, 2008 11:22 pm at 11:22 pm |
  10. David in Illinois

    Of course Obama is ahead. It's going to be an electoral landslide. New Hampshire is just the start. Can't wait for Dixville Notch to cast all of its votes for the senator from Illinois.

    July 21, 2008 11:23 pm at 11:23 pm |
  11. PUMA-Murphy

    As a moderator of our official PUMA blog and an unmoving / dedicated PUMA member I will say this to clarify our stance on this election; We do NOT officially endorse McCain and as a general consensus It's safe to say that many of us are not happy with either of our choices.

    We look for a resolution that best fits our needs as American voters and we will be looking forward to our voices being heard at the Democratic Conference. While we realize our chances are slim to none that our democratic demands will be met at this convention; we are in no way blind or bitterly seeking to destroy Obama as so many of you would LOVE to believe.

    With that being said it is indeed safe to say that given the difficult choice between McCain and Obama, we would choose Obama. The lesser of two evils.

    Any PUMA member whom seems far out of line from I said above is in all honesty probably NOT a member of our party or is a wild hair / maverick. Every group has it's extremists, even PUMA.

    July 21, 2008 11:23 pm at 11:23 pm |
  12. Gimme A Break

    The only reason McCain is this close is because of obvious bigotry. After 8 years of Bush people would think it was inconceivable for a Repub. to win. Only 9% of Republicans are excited about McCain. They dont care about him, they are just voting AGAINST Obama, because he is Black......I thought it was 2008. smh

    Obama '08. Iraq agrees with us.

    July 21, 2008 11:25 pm at 11:25 pm |
  13. Willow, from Iowa

    We've got plenty of time to increase the Obama lead in the polls. No sense trying to hurry it. We want people to understand the issues and what both sides are representing.

    July 21, 2008 11:25 pm at 11:25 pm |
  14. David in Illinois

    Oh, I forgot to mention. The writer from Nashua, NH, should read a little history. Ever hear of a president called ABRAHAM LINCOLN? His Washington experience wasn't so long either. But then we know how HE turned out. Ugh. Go back to school!

    July 21, 2008 11:26 pm at 11:26 pm |
  15. David in Illinois

    And who ARE these PUMA nuts?

    July 21, 2008 11:27 pm at 11:27 pm |
  16. Miguel Rivera

    I think CNN prefers to refer to him as Barack Obama, not those other nicknames that Right Wing Media is using to make him look out of touch.

    Obama's net worth is $1 million.
    McCain's net worth is $40 million.

    And the elitist is who? McKnow it all when he really doesn't remember what he had for breakfast. Oh, and didn't McFlipFlop say there is a problem in the border between Iraq and Afghanistan?
    There is no border between Iraq and Afghanistan.

    July 21, 2008 11:34 pm at 11:34 pm |
  17. Marie in California

    Obama and McCain are basically tied in today's Rasmussen daily poll, with Obama at 42% and McCain at 41%.

    That tight a race, even after the MSM has been pampering and pimping Obama since day one and now continues to do so during his oveaseas visits where he is trying to develop foreign policy credentials in a week or so......while basically sidelining McCain as if he were a forlorn Charlie Brown that no one pays attention to.

    DNC and MSM.....shame on you!

    Was for Hillary, now for McCain!


    July 21, 2008 11:37 pm at 11:37 pm |
  18. TerryDo

    Another indicator if the General Election is between McCain and Obama, McCain will win decisively.

    The Democrats has the best candidate with Hillary R. Clinton but the DNC decided that they should select a leader instead of having the citizens elect the Democratic leader, and because of that fatal mistake they will not win the G.E, unless come the Denver Convention they place in NOMINATION H. R. Clinton's name on the FIRST ROLL CALL, then and only then will the Democrats win the G.E.

    PumaPac invites all democrats who have been disenfranchised to come and join us to make sure H.R. Clinton's name is place IN NOMINATION AT THE DENVER CONVENTION!!!

    July 21, 2008 11:50 pm at 11:50 pm |
  19. Tammy_NH

    McCain wishes he was 3% behind. Barr is taking the much needed Republican votes in this state. The Independents strongly favor Obama over McCain. Obama will win NH in November easy.

    July 21, 2008 11:52 pm at 11:52 pm |
  20. JOHN


    July 22, 2008 12:07 am at 12:07 am |
  21. Jane, MD

    Who knows what the average IQ is of all these hate-spewing Obama haters?

    July 22, 2008 12:10 am at 12:10 am |
  22. ket

    Why in the world did CNN let Beck fill in for Larry King???????? He should not put his opinion in this show when he has his own show for that. Beck has got to be ths bigges idiot on TV. He does not even make sense.

    July 22, 2008 12:12 am at 12:12 am |
  23. jt

    Barak Hussein Obama.

    No experience that is the big problem not his name Hussein.

    McCain, war hero, the real deal...

    July 22, 2008 12:15 am at 12:15 am |

    TONY – You make my heart proud. First as an American Indian I take my hat off to you. I also am poud for being an English-American. YOU-Second for being a man of intelligence. MYSELF-I have been a Democrat for 51 years. But I can not support this party any longer. The ignorant ones want to call people like you and me a racist because we may say something negative about their PROM KING. They are the ones who are racist. BECAUSE IT IS OBVIOUS THEY HAVE NOT CONSIDERED THIS MAN'S CREDENTIALS FOR BEING PRESIDENT. Is he qualified? NO. Does he have military experience? NO. Does he have executive experience? NO. DOES HE KNOW HOW TO PULL OFF A LAND SWINDLE WITH REZKO FOR $860,000 PROFIT? YES. IS HE ANTI-CHRISTIAN? YES. IS HE A TERRORIST SUPPORTER? YES. WILL HE GO DOWN IN DEFEAT COME NOVEMBER? HELL YES!!!

    July 22, 2008 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  25. Maine for Obama

    New Hampshire is lame and right wing.

    Maine will pull solidly for Barack Obama.

    July 22, 2008 12:30 am at 12:30 am |
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