July 24th, 2008
01:59 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN's Electoral Map: Both lose ground – but McCain gains edge

CNN's new electoral map.
CNN's new electoral map.

(CNN) — Two more states have shifted to the toss-up column in the new CNN Electoral Map that charts the candidates’ strength leading up to the November election.

Minnesota – which had turned from toss-up to “leans Obama” in the last analysis – is back up for grabs, along with New Mexico, which had been classified “leans McCain.” The shift of both states gives the Arizona senator a net gain of five votes over his standing in the previous CNN Electoral Map – but his opponent still has 221 electoral votes — 32 more than McCain’s total of 189, and 49 shy of winning the presidency.

CNN made the change in New Mexico after new polling conducted by the Pew Hispanic Center showed that demographic, a major voting bloc in the state, backs Obama’s candidacy by a margin of greater than 2 to 1, 66 percent to 23 percent. Minnesota’s move comes after a new Quinnipac survey finds Obama’s lead in that state has shrunk to a statistically insignificant 2-point margin, 46 percent to 44 percent.

Election: Check out CNN's new electoral map

This is only a CNN estimate, and is likely to change many more times before Election Day.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. Don't use race for voting

    Obama- the next president of USA and will become the best world leader the US ever to produce.

    July 24, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  2. Paula, CA

    This election would be as boring as McSame if the media actually reported the truth.... how much fun/interesting would it be if they told us now that Obama is leading by a landslide!! OBAMA '08!

    July 24, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  3. Independent-woman-4-Obama

    Oh boy! An edge for McCain? Okay, but what about all the people who are not polled, who have just newly registered or whom have yet to make up their minds?

    I will TRUST that the REAL POLL will be in November. People need to wake up and see what more of the same will mean to us, in the good ole USA:

    MORE DEBT, $10 TRILLION AND COUNTING.... THANKS BUSH/CHENEY/MCCAIN!

    MORE WAR...... MCCAIN'S LITTLE SONG: "BOMB.......BOMB.......BOMB IRAN!"

    MORE OF OUR PEOPLE UNEMPLOYED

    MORE OF OUR PEOPLE FILLING FOR BANKRUPTCY BECAUSE WE CAN NOT AFFORD HEALTHCARE!

    MORE OF THE SAME..........

    July 24, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  4. J.D.

    Latest Rasmussen poll has Obama up 13 in Minnesota.

    July 24, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  5. JJ

    I'm beginning to hate these early polls. I don't understand why this race is so close but hey it's July...

    July 24, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  6. Janet, Toronto

    Polls go up and down. When reality of life hits, especially those undecided and maybe, with some help from the Creator, voters will seek the direction needed to, in not only bring the USA back on the track for future generation, the rest of this Planet.
    One can only see forward, while looking the past straight in the eye, and realize the damages that has come this far. Living with lies and deception on all venues, has been the cloak of danger.
    Truth in history has never made it in the history books. When written by those with self interest is concern.
    Therefore, lets start rewriting history with TRUTHS not LIES!

    As an American in Canada – seeing the movement of change in thought and especially in TRUTH – has been a reward one never thought to see in ones life time.

    Americans truly have the greatest opportunity since JFK to make the world a better place for all, especially themselves!

    July 24, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  7. Mike - Texas

    Minnesota toss up? I don't think so.

    CNN is a joke. And so are these polls.

    July 22 Rasmussen poll has Obama up by 12.

    July 24, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  8. William

    The pools really don't mean much right now. We are not into real election mode yet. Wait until the debates when the age difference between Obama and McCain is more apparent. When you stand them side by side, you have the McCain, the past (old fashioned and outdated) and Obama, the future(intelligence, open mindedness and forward thinking).
    I was an independent and wasn't sure but after listening to McCain do nothing but smash Obama for the past six weeks, I am definitely going with Obama.. I can't stand the negativity, it will get us nowhere as a country. McCain is GREEN with envy over the coverage Obama is getting. He is getting the coverage because he deserves it....the Republicans are jealous as anything-listen to them and read what they write!!

    July 24, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  9. Raymond Duke

    I don't know who you are trying to kid cnn. Minnesota is about as blue as you get and was never a toss up state for the republicans. If Obama is having a problem with Minnesota than he is in deep crap. As far as New Mexico it will go republican as usual expecially in this election. Whites out there is pretty conservative and the Latino population is not stupid.. They will be voting for John McCain. They probably would have preffered Hillary Clinton as I did but know that the only chance they have for them, Whites and america lies with John McCain.

    July 24, 2008 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  10. cnnnnn is crap

    in case any of you want a decent news source go to huffingtonpost.com obama is leading in arizona last week according to your absurd pollings so how can it be safely for mccain

    July 24, 2008 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  11. Phil, FL

    Go to electoral-vote.com

    It updates daily.

    CNN cut my posting of this 5 times in 1/2 hour

    July 24, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  12. jeff in SF

    CNN's electoral count discounts general trends in favor of the latest twitches in the polls in order to push as many states as possible into the toss-up category (perhaps because a horse race is the only kind of story the media know how to do), but most of the sites doing electoral modeling, and most betting sites, give Obama a substantial lead at this point.

    July 24, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  13. Another David from Ohio

    Yeah other David from Ohio, I'm so proud of my home state except that it keeps voting for Republicans. I don't understand how the breadbasket and strong right arm of the union in the civil war could have fallen so far.

    July 24, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  14. Don't use race for voting

    McCain doesn't know the ABC of geography, history,social studies, math, foreign culture, foreign policy. His age matches with his brain with outmoded philosophy.
    USA should produce a good and inspiring leader . Obama is the candidate for this 21st century presidency.

    July 24, 2008 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  15. Obama 08: mature, white woman

    I will put my faith in the RealClearPolitics poll as they give history of polling and averages and they have no monetary stake or desire to keep ratings up by constantly saying things are shifting daily or weekly.

    Why not include the polling and money raising in Arizona?

    July 24, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  16. Bob Indianapolis, IN

    These polls are a freaking joke! The bean counters are going to get smoked in November!

    July 24, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  17. Richardson for V.P

    bush-mccain voters aren't americans they're trash.
    please people, come vote for obama in droves so we don't have to experience what we experienced 4 years ago. Don't let these idiotic republican/racist jerks put another waco in office only to see him screw up leading us to say once again that we blew it...

    now's the time. so let's get it right

    vote obama if you know what's good for you

    July 24, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  18. E. Scott

    The problems most people have with Obama are his radical/racist connections and of course his liberal views.

    July 24, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  19. Phil, FL

    The more these haters push McCain, the more I work for Obama to get elected. Keep it up. I am younger than McCain and have plenty of energy. I can even do it on week-ends.

    July 24, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  20. Ford

    This map is BS. Visit Real Clear Politics if you want to see a map that is an accurate portrayal. If the election were held today, Obama would win well over 300 electoral votes. This map is just proof that cnn's coverage is a dishonest attempt to make the public think there is a real contest here. McCain is going to be the biggest failure since Bob Dole in this race.

    July 24, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  21. katie homes

    McCain will win it no matter how hard the media "liberal elite" try to push Obama on us-while I think he is a nice guy , he is WAY too inexperienced and keeps filp-flopping on what we THOUGHT he stood for.....meanwhile McCain remians consistant and strong. In the end, more people wll relate to the funny, smart, down-to-earth (but strong McCain) instead of the snobby,charsmatic "gamble" that is Obama. Katie in Springfield MA

    July 24, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  22. McArsenic

    just in...Repubs block Dems effort to lower gas prices. well guess the oil spill that kept John from the rig will look bad for off shore drilling, but this, this looks worse. a woman killed her self because she was loosing her house and found no help...thanks Bush, but don't worry if McCain wins we will see a lot more of this.

    July 24, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  23. Bill

    Guess there's no need to even hold the election.

    July 24, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  24. Praetorian, Fort Myers

    Regardless of the pretty colored maps.

    We have to remember we are at war with a regligous and political ideology who wants to destroy or convert all who do not believe in their prophet (particularly western ideologies)–regardless of their age, sex, or infirmity.

    I'd rather have someone frosty, trained, and alert to dangers than someone who is HOPING to make a difference using HYPOTHETICAL reasoning.

    July 24, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  25. anonymous

    How on earth can you dumb bunnies think CNN is pro McCain. They slam him every chance they get and report everytime NOBAMA farts!

    July 24, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
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