July 24th, 2008
10:02 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll of polls update: Obama ahead by four

(CNN) — Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over John McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

The new average of the three most recent national surveys of registered voters shows the Illinois senator at 47 percent with McCain standing at 43 percent. About 10 percent say they are undecided.

The margin between the two presidential candidates has narrowed slightly over the past week: in a CNN poll of polls taken July 16, Obama and McCain were separated by 6 points.

Election Center: Check out the poll of polls trend

The latest poll of polls includes recent surveys from Gallup, NBC/Wall Street Journal, and ABC/Washington Post.

soundoff (201 Responses)
  1. ANOTHER REPUBLICAN FOR OBAMA

    You have got to be kidding. Who are you all polling?

    July 24, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  2. David from Ohio

    It's truly astounding given the choice that the race is even this close. Unbelievable.

    July 24, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  3. Lesley

    To all of you who intend to write in Clinton's name on the ballot in November if she's not selected VP, consider this. If McCain does get elected, she will be toast. If Obama gets elected, she will surely have a prominent role in the cabinet bringing her talents and expertise to work on the many problems we face. If you truly favor McCain, then vote that way. But if not, don't give him an opening by wasting your vote.

    July 24, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  4. Obama to our rescue 08/12

    Michelle / You hollar debate how could an intelligent person debate that old fart that all he does is lie ,repeat his lies,can't remember what he just said and coppycat s every idea Obama speaks of then trys to make people think it was his original idea .
    Does McWar think people are that stupid ?
    That shows us McWars smarts which dont exist ..................................

    July 24, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  5. Larry

    If you want to know why this thing remains close, in spite of all the indicators that suggest he should have a comfortable double digit lead, you need look no further than to the conscious and soul of America. This election is indeed a battle for the hearts and soul of America. As a 62 year old black man, i've come to realize that white Americans as a whole are good decent intelligent people , but like my race, there are enough of the other kind of peolple, ignorant, uneducated, mean-spirited. I think it is this group, that are responsible for this thing remaining as close as it is.

    July 24, 2008 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  6. Jake

    Looks like the news channels need to up their efforts in promoting Obama. They need to devote a few more hours daily to this man. Maybe Hardball should change their name to Chris + Obama = BFF? I think Olberman has already chaged his to The Obama Hour. Maybe the commercials are getting in the way of their message, perhaps any shows dedicated to Obama could be run commercial free? They obviously are not doing enough to shove this guy down every single American's throat. Get with it media – you're slacking!

    July 24, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  7. jenkins

    Glenn Beck is soooo right! If I have to hear Candy Crowley say, one more time, that Obama looks "presidential" I'm going to puke!

    July 24, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  8. Typical White Person

    Okay, so now that Obama's poll numbers aren't that great the polls are meaningless...but just a few weeks ago you bots could not stop crowing about how far ahead he was.

    You bots are so funny – how hypocritical you are!

    July 24, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  9. Mike, Syracuse, NY

    Roger, you forgot one: (4) Obama isn't qualifeid to be dog catcher, let alone President.; and the more America sees of him, the more america IS seeing the light. Face it, the DNC picked the weakest candidate in the Democratic field and now they are blowing what should have been walk in the park.

    July 24, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  10. Task

    Maybe McCain's numbers are improving because he actually talks TO the American people instead of talking down to them. Obama is too arrogant to have a town hall meeting because he might have to answer real questions from honest Americans. It's "Invitation only" events for Obama.

    Please don't forget that Obama also agreed to disnfranchise millions of voters in Florida and Michigan. Thank god he can't refuse to count those votes in the general election. Those are two states where only people who don't value their right to vote would support Obama.

    July 24, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  11. Texas Trail Dog!

    HA, HA, HA, BAMBI YOU BETTER READ BETWEEN THE LINES IMMORAL LIAR. BECAUSE WITHOUT HILLARY YOU'RE GOING DOWN, DOWN, DOWN. YOU GOT PROBLEMS BUD BECAUSE A WHOLE LOT OF US AIN'T GONNA VOTE FOR YOU, HILLARY OR NO HILLARY. YOU OBAMA SUPPORTERS GO TO YELLING RACIST NOW. BECAUSE YOU PEOPLE DON'T UNDERSTAND THAT SOME PEOPLE LOOK INTO THE SOULS OF CANDIDATE BEFORE THEY MAKE UP THEIR MINDS TO VOTE FOR THEM. I WILL NOT VOTE FOR A LIAR, A GANGSTER WHO MAKES $860,000 OFF OF LAND DEALS WITH A KNOWN FELON REZKO, WHO HAS RAN ON A LIE OF NEVER BEING FOR THE IRAQ WAR WHEN HE COULDN'T EVEN VOTE IN THE MATTER. SO GOOD BYE OBAMA.

    July 24, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  12. Jon, Pittsburgh, PA

    Most things will continue "as-is" with either candidate winning. The founders set this government up to only be able to change very slowly. Keeps things on an even keel that way.

    Vote McCain 2008

    July 24, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  13. Roofin Reality, Houston, Tx.

    That's great.
    And, with Kerry's states, when he adds Iowa (7) and New Mexico (5), Senator Obama will need just 5 more electoral votes to get to a tie at 269. 6 more votes to get to 270. So, where do we look for them?
    Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.
    To a lesser extent, Montana (but only 3 votes there) and North Dakota.
    And dare I say it (according to a Zogvy poll, Obama is close) ARIZONA.

    So, while these numbers are great, what we're looking for really are two states. Any two will do.

    July 24, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  14. Ken

    Go up and read Jeff 12:23 for a picture of delusion. In his rant, substitute Bush's name for Obama's. Then note how the idiots on the [R]ight have relied on describing the FACT of their own utter failure when they go to making up fairytales about Obama.

    July 24, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  15. Gary

    Enough already with these polls. It is July 24!!

    July 24, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  16. Loretta from California

    SO....now will someone PLEASE tell me why he doesn't have a commanding lead over Senator McCain?

    @yes we can-You're right. Our Country does need Psychiatric help.

    DEMOCRATS UNITE!!!!

    July 24, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  17. MB

    Does anyone take into account that out of the 8 major polling institutions 7 of them are hard left liberal, Zogby, Rasmussen, Reuters etc with only Fox as the lone standout for the Conservative side. Now when these hard left pollsters, poll where do you think they are polling? Here's a thought (not in any conservative, right red states). No they are in fact polling in Oregon, California, NY and places where they can get the numbers "they're" looking for. If I was a Nobama supporter and only up by 4 this would make me very nervous. Ever wonder why you look at an electoral map and the country is 85% red? Look at it, California and NY are the only two states keeping Democrats afloat. THATS YOUR HARD FACT OF THE DAY.

    July 24, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  18. Iron MAN

    "After the unpopularity of George W. Bush, the world is waiting to love America again, and many see in Obama, with his youth and his optimism, somebody who can bring that about."

    nuff said

    July 24, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  19. GARY

    it boils down to patriotism since we can not trust michelle and barack on this issue john mccain patriotism is unquestioned every one inmy family are democrats 15 of them but everyone has said they would vote for mccain over this issue they also said they would all vote vote for hilliary if she was running against mccain

    July 24, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  20. Mike in PA

    I guess the "attack" ads, however hollow, are working? To heck with running an honorable campaign, uh John?

    July 24, 2008 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  21. Kent D

    Are the old polling methods really that reflective of today . . . Cell phones only and youth. Neither of those demographics are represented in these polls.

    Reminds me a bit of the Dewey/Truman election where polling didn't represent the electorate. I'd say Obama is up by at least 10 points.

    All this talk about the press favoring Obama is just another load of "swift boating." Trying to create a story out of nothing.

    Obama is new and offers a way forward.

    McCain – well we just lived through seven and half years of what he promotes. What's new to report?

    July 24, 2008 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  22. Bella

    I say let Obama play the Idol game while Mccain continue to be the stateman that he is and focus on issues. I find Obama's drop in the poll after this all our photo op with the media swooning similiar to that time when he made the speech that was touted by the media as magical, yet, his poll numbers dived afterward. What is this telling us? Well, easy....what this tells us is that there are two realities......the one that exists only in the minds of the media obama loving people and the real realities of voters who watches the fantazised version played out on TV. Radical, isn't it? Voters are actually smart enough to separate facts from fictions. I love it!

    July 24, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  23. Allan

    To: YES WE CAN comment. YOU need psychiatric doctor for sure, not country.

    July 24, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  24. Lim

    US presidential elections are decided by independents
    who are generally to the right of center. That is why Obama
    has been doing a series of flip-flops from his far-left positions
    during the primary, while McCain's shifts have largely been
    imperceptible from his middle right positions.

    Coupling this with Obama's sorely lacking resume, the race
    will definitely tighten up toward November as the independents
    start to pay close attention. Once they do, it is doubtful whether
    the show-biz nature of the Obama campaign and his oratory
    skills will be enough.

    July 24, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  25. Mike - Texas

    I find this interesting that Obama is only up by 4 in a year when everything has gone so bad for the Republicans.

    Think about it, Iraq war, bad economy, high fuel prices, and Obama is only up by 4.

    Obama should be up by 20 to 30 points in the polls.

    I wonder why he isn't?

    Maybe a LOT of people don't TRUST him. Or mabye a lot of people see through all of his retoric.

    July 24, 2008 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
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