July 31st, 2008
11:21 AM ET
6 years ago

McCain narrows Obama's lead in key states

McCain has narrowed Obama's lead in three key states.
McCain has narrowed Obama's lead in three key states.

(CNN) - Barack Obama and John McCain are statistically tied in Florida and Ohio while Obama holds a clear advantage in Pennsylvania, new Quinnipiac polls out of those crucial battleground states Thursday show.

But in what could be a warning sign for Obama as voters begin to turn their attention to the general election race, Obama's lead appears to have dwindled, or barely remained steady, in all three states, even as the Democratic presidential candidate has enjoyed a wave of intense media coverage surrounding his trip abroad.

CNN Election Center: View the latest state polls

In Florida, Obama now holds a statistically insignificant 2-point lead over McCain, 46-44 percent. In a similar poll taken one month ago, Obama held a wider, and statistically significant, 47-43 percent advantage over the Arizona senator there. The difference appears to be a shift among independent voters, who now support McCain in Florida by a 5-point margin. In the June poll, Obama held the advantage among the same group of voters by a 10-percent advantage.

CNN's Electoral Map: Check out the lay of the land

In Ohio, the battleground state where a weak economy should give Democrats an advantage, Obama is ahead by a 2-point margin, 46-44 percent. That lead, also statistically insignificant, is down from the 6-point advantage the Illinois senator held there one month ago.

Obama's lead has also narrowed in Pennsylvania, though he still enjoys a clear edge there. Obama now leads McCain by a 7-point advantage, 49-42 percent, down from the 11 point advantage he had in June.

The poll was conducted from July 23-29, in the midst of Obama's trip abroad, and carries a margin of error of just under 3 points in each state.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Florida • John McCain • Ohio • Pennsylvania • Popular Posts
soundoff (202 Responses)
  1. ENE M DIAZ

    - HE WILL GO HALVES WITH HIS V.P.///

    July 31, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  2. CW, St. Paul

    Why isn't this listed as trouble for McCain? He needs to win, as well.

    July 31, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  3. Philip

    The election is in November.

    July 31, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  4. Jesse - San Antonio TX

    Why can't Obama close the deal?

    People more enthralled with his celebrity than his qualifications. (Of which he has none.)

    McCain or Obama: Either way in November, America loses.

    July 31, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  5. Jason Barnes

    Now this is good news that everyone should be proud of. Do you really think Obama can help everyone everywhere at the same time? Keep dreaming!

    July 31, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  6. OK!!

    McCain has narrowed Obama's lead in three key states.....A lead is a lead .......Obama Will Win ......Obama 08/2012

    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012
    Obama 08/2012

    July 31, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  7. John

    These polls are an indicator of nothing, They sample 1000 people maybe and that is not the temperature of any race. When the real polls open on 11/4/08 that is the only one that matters and it will be a landslide for Barack!

    OBAMA 08/12!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    OBAMA 08/12!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    OBAMA 08/12!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    OBAMA 08/12!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 31, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  8. Tom in New Hope, MN

    How can it even be considered. A country in total disarray and some want to give the Republicans another chance. There is no logic that can follow this kind of thinking. We need a decisive election to get away from the paralyzing 50/50 split this country is in if we want to get anything done. It is time to look at your surroundings and this country, and realize how much trouble we are in. You can't have the same policies and expect a different outcome.

    You have to decide if your want to remain loyal to a failed party (by their own admission) or respect this country and work for change that will benefit us all,

    Vote Wisely!

    July 31, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  9. joanie

    Obama really hurt his "change we can believe in " theme by flipping on FISA....independents that felt he was their Knight in Shining Armour of Change were disappointed and felt led to, that in fact he was "just another politician". ( It was Obamas version of Hillarys "sniper" lie). So now he is being evaluated closley, and people want to see beyond the glamour and glitz and find out what does he really stand for ?...and what will he really NEVER flip on?
    Joanie Amherst MA

    July 31, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  10. BR

    The Kool-Aid drinkers will now claim everyone is racist because they aren't voting for the Messiah. Contrary to the minions' beliefs, not everyone thinks Obama is the great Hope.

    July 31, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  11. Kim

    Why? Do Ohio voters enjoy war and economic recession ?

    July 31, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  12. Adam

    It's becoming a fun hourly game to see how much the Ticker headlines on the front page differ from 1) the headline on the Ticker page, and 2) the content of the article itself.

    July 31, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  13. McCain 08

    People are starting to pay attention and seeing Obama has no substance! We will have change no doubt in January 2009. We better hope and pray that it is the type that matters. And Obama thinks it is over. Ha.

    July 31, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  14. jim

    Keep trying....
    It is incredible that despite the odds, also known as bigotry and racism of the rust belt and the south, Sen. Obama is leading, not to mention your endless efforts to "find" anything to work against him.
    I have lost my entire respect and belief in the media.

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  15. Mike

    I wonder if it has anything to do with all of McCains false advertising.

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  16. JA Cook

    Does this mean that McCain's negative ads and outright lies are working? Or are voters in those states not paying attention?

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  17. SUE

    I thank it a shame the way the news has covered up for Obams,,I am a dem.but no way he will get my vote,,don,t get me wrong I like, him but because of the way he has done Hillary he will not get my vote..he may make it with me i hope and pray he don,t

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  18. E. Scott

    Some good news for a change.

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  19. LK

    This is turning into a pattern low 40's for McCain high 40's for Obama. I would expect the margin of victory on election night is 50/44 with 6 percent for Nadar/Barr.

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  20. Tom Eyemdaman

    Despite all the hype Obama is getting, he is struggling to maintain a strong campaign. We the people can see through the hype and when we look at the substance of the man, we don't like what we see.

    He's a weak candidate who will lose in November.

    McCain 08

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  21. Jersey

    I'm sorry, but what about the polls two weeks ago that showed McCain with a 10 point lead in Ohio and an 8 point lead in Florida? Hasn't he seen a bit of slump, too?

    And what about all the harping on Obama's inability to break the 50% barrier nationwide? He hits 51% in the latest CNN poll and that's bad news for him?

    I'm trying to keep an open mind about the race and the media, but it's beginning to seem as if MCain has successfully blackmailed the media into proving its "objectivity" by putting a pro-McCain spin on the poll numbers.

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  22. DJS

    The Obamapalooza Tour is over.
    Let the games begin!

    McCain 08

    July 31, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  23. Test

    This is a test.
    This is a test.
    This is a test.

    July 31, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  24. JHal

    1.Poll is a 4 letter word
    2.Obama saved me from 8 years of H.C whining
    3.On the lead or from behind, Obama Express to D.C.

    July 31, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  25. billy johnson

    mccain is not a war hero.what did he do to make him a war hero?

    July 31, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9