August 5th, 2008
01:02 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama's edge over McCain grows slightly

The latest CNN poll of polls show Obama having a slight lead.

The latest CNN poll of polls show Obama having a slight lead.

(CNN) - Barack Obama is holding onto a slim edge over John McCain, the latest CNN Poll of Polls suggests.

CNN Election Center: View the latest state polls

After several days of tough new ads from McCain’s campaign, the presumptive Democratic nominee holds a 4-point advantage over the presumptive Republican nominee in CNN's average of national polls, up slightly from the 3-point margin he held on Friday.

A week ago, he led McCain by a six-point margin, a reflection of traditionally volatile summer polling.

The poll of polls includes the latest Gallup daily tracking poll, conducted August 2-4, that gave Obama a 4-point advantage. Late last week, the same poll showed the two candidates tied at 44 percent.

“The Democrats appear to have blunted any momentum Sen. McCain gained from last week’s ad associating Sen. Obama with Britney Spears and Paris Hilton,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Once again, we are seeing that Obama has a small but durable edge over McCain. It is up to McCain to find a way to change the fundamental dynamics of this campaign.”

Earlier: McCain ad calls Obama 'biggest celebrity in the world'

In addition to the Gallup daily tracking poll, the CNN poll of polls also included a USA Today/Gallup survey conducted July 25-27 and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation conducted July 27-29. The CNN poll of polls does not have a margin of error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Polls • John McCain
soundoff (300 Responses)
  1. Justin Athens OH

    Thed add the 25% advantage in California (1/8 of the U.S. voting population) and we are winnning by 6%

    August 5, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  2. Abby

    fella from Chicago, win or lose, Obama has every reason to smile in November so don’t hold your negative breath.. Beautiful family, brilliant career ahead and good looks, why would he frown? Now the less than 50K Making folks all over America, they will be frowning if he loses.

    August 5, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  3. Ted

    Let McCain talk about Britney and Paris...Obama is talking about the issues. Let's elect the smart guy this time, for the sake of our beloved country.

    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |


    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  5. Monica for Obama in Indiana

    Watch the polls go up more for Obama after mccain offered cindy to run for contest with the bikers. Saying she would be the only one to be the first lady and mrs. buffalo chips (I think that is the name of the contest)

    CNN I know you probably won't write this as I stay in moderation all the time. But at least I know you read it.

    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  6. Linda from Prescott AZ

    Keep up the good work Senator Obama, after the will heat up and your numbers will zoom up.

    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  7. Weepy

    The Republicans are not of the "filthy party"!!! Very few of the comments shown on these CNN sites are of the filthy variety from those who oppose the Obama craze. In fact, the Obama Opposers can spell, use good grammer and can construct a sentence that makes sense! McCain's ads were not negative–they were eye-opening! You wouldn't expect McCain to produce a "positive" ad about Obama, would you?

    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  8. Mike in MN

    Look like this more recent poll was missed by this article.
    Rasmussen Tracking 08/02 – 08/04 46 for Obama and 47 for McCain, +1 for McCain.

    Are only polls that show McCain ahead reported on by CNN?

    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  9. Concerned

    Hellos Obama Supporters!
    The fight for the people's house, The White House, is on! We have got a lot of hard work to do. I remember how happy I was when Bill Clinton was elected President in 1992. I want that "Happy Feeling" again. It has been a long time. My country has had "W" as its President for almost eight long years. Personally, I have been without a President for that lenght of time. "W" is the President of the United States: however, he has never been my President. America needs a President that we can be proud of, one who will have the ability to serve us well domestically and abroad. It is time for the dumbing down of America to come to a halt. I live in North Carolina. Currently, I have no senator representing me in Washington.

    August 5, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  10. John Starnes Tampa Florida

    How the race could even be close boggles the mind when even a cursory glance reveals that McCain is totally ill-equipped to do the job, revealed both by his stunning lack of knowledge and his campaign based on hateful adolescent name calling instead of clear policy proposals aimed at repairing the sickening damage done by 7.5 years of lies and arrogance and incompetence by the Bush/Cheney regime. What could motivate ANYONE to vote for McCain defies any matter of informed logic. Then again, 52 million American voted for Bush's second term, which stunned the world and made us all look like Neanderthals worried more about REALLY important things like 'American Idol' and Britney Spears' latest hijinks.

    August 5, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  11. How does CNN determine who gets posted?

    Poor McCain. All that mess with Paris and Brit and he's right back where he started.

    August 5, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  12. Wake up America

    PRESIDENT OBAMA, whether it be by 10 points or one point, with or without the help of Hillary and her sexist supporters and despite hate mongering ads from the Mccain camp.

    August 5, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  13. Muhammad TX

    Go Obama!


    August 5, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |

    not according to real clear politics...

    he has been consistently sinking in the CUMULATIVE polls


    August 5, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  15. EBC, MD

    McCain's "Low Road" negative Ads will soon come back to BITE him in his old wrinkly behind. God doesn't like ugly and John McCain has proven that he has LIED about being the straight talker and the "Maverick" who didn't do negative campaigns. NOW the king of "The Low Road".....

    Americans are SICK of these childish type of politics and the polls are going to start reflecting this fact. John McCain wants to play it off as being "humorous", when it fact it wasn't anything but juvenile coming from an OLD MAN such as John McCain.

    August 5, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  16. Peachy Keen

    These polls seem to get more and more confusing. We see results but don't know what the questions were. There is only one poll that will count and that is on election day. May the best man win.

    Obama 08

    August 5, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  17. MW

    technical point: People will read your statement "The CNN poll of polls does not have a margin of error." as if your number had no statistical uncertainty. That's false. Furthermore, standard formulas from beginning stats let you calculate the statistical error bars for this average. There are, of course, non-statistical errors in each of the polls, but that doesn't stop anybody from citing the statistical uncertainty for each one, and it shouldn't stop you from giving the uncertainty for the average. What's your reasoning?

    August 5, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  18. Dems Unite and Vote Big

    New Democratic voter registration is also way up within the past couple of months. Still don't put too much faith in polls because it's mid-summer. Next month we'll see a clearer picture. Obama is doing well, but I think the true numbers will reflect a much larger lead.

    Obamarica '08

    August 5, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |

    It's just a matter of time. It's not even going to be close!!1

    OBAMA '08

    August 5, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  20. Celeste

    To those of you who are wishing/expecting Obama to lose in November: Obama and his family are in a position to survive the economic climate and other adversarial conditions. My question to you (especially so-called Democrats who wish to defect to McCain), are you in a position to withstand another term of the Republicans? Thank God I have many other options where the global economy is concerned, and especially Europe. I just feel sorry for the (innocent)people who will have to struggle through it all. Just a pity that the ones who would suffer are NOT the ones who continue to entertain the Republican administration.

    August 5, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  21. Steve

    The lead should be more than two to one after looking at who would be best to run this country based on Prosperity, Foreign Policy, Energy, Education, Security, Knowledge, Judgement and most of all HOPE. But the fact remains that while most American have over come race issues, many more are still hanging on and refuse to let go and give him the chance Obama deserves. THEY KNOW WHO THEY ARE. THE SAME ONE'S HERE WHO SAY THEY WILL VOTE FOR MCSANE OVER OBAMA EVEN THOUGH HILLERY AND OBAMA LITERALLY HAVE THE SAME POLICIES. WHY???

    August 5, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  22. Philly

    Obama will lose and lose miserably..He is a no experienced lying zero...

    August 5, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  23. Chris

    Obama has far more well thought out plans for the major issues facing our country.

    John McCain's plan for social security is "all options are on the table".
    His speaks about international relations in broad, childish strokes because he doesn't understand the nuance of the situations in Iraq, Iran, Israel, etc. His health care plan will do nothing to help the millions and millions of American's whose current health care plans will fail them if they get any type of long term health condition.

    McCain even voted against the GI Bill! He won't even stand up for health care for veterans!

    With Phil Gramm writing McCain's economic policy (as well as the Enron loophole and bank deregulation legislation) WHO CAN TRUST MCCAIN WITH OUR ECONOMY????

    August 5, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  24. Pat F

    db – you are absolutely correct! Obama has actually LOST 2% – a third of his quickly evaporating lead!

    The love affair with the media will backfire for Obama badly when he figures out that celebrities and millionaire anchormen are NOT a majority of voters in this country.

    August 5, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  25. Peter of Oregon

    All McCain's ads emphasized was that he's focused more on Barack Obama than on his own policies or the current or future state of the American people.

    August 5, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
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