August 9th, 2008
10:09 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama retains an edge

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Call it a numbers game. With 87 days to go until the presidential election, our latest CNN Poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by five points, 46 percent to 41 percent, with thirteen percent of Americans undecided.

The Poll of polls released Wednesday found an indentical result.

The CNN Poll of Polls is an average of the latest national polls. Our newest edition consists of three surveys, a CBS poll taken from July 31 to August 5, an AP-IPSOS survey conducted from July 31 to August 4, and a Gallup tracking poll taken from August 5 to August 7. Because it’s an average of a number of surveys, our Poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

As we always caution, the presidential election is not a battle for the national vote - rather, it’s a state by state fight for electoral votes. While national polls are important, they are far from the only barometer in determining where the presidential contest stands right now.

soundoff (111 Responses)
  1. SaveTheDramaFoObamasMama

    So what the poll actually indicates is that 46% of America are fools.

    obamabots, have another round of kool-aid!

    August 9, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  2. TJ

    Glad to see that McCain's silly ads aren't affecting the intelligent American people. He's wasting all of this money talking about Obama being a celebrity and he's still behind!

    August 9, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  3. white guy from Canada

    ou think that if Barack Obama were white the polls might read differently.

    August 9, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  4. Shane

    You all should just save yourselves the trouble and start linking pollster.com. That way you can save us the agony of having to hear about your poll of polls week after week. It's a much better indicator of the state of the race. You probably won't though, since it'll ruin the story line you're trying to create here.

    August 9, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  5. Matthew

    I don't trust any political poll except exit polls. Don't they call people on land line telephones to take them? I don't have a land line, just a cell phone and the younger voter tends to not have a land line either. Obama undoubtedly has the younger vote (under 50) and those are the ones who tend to go to these big speeches. Look at what happened in New Hampshire during the primaries and the actual vote totals in other states tended to be 5 – 10 percentage points different than the last polls before the votes.

    I think Obama will take over 50% of the popular vote and take the electoral college by a landslide. He's got my vote and I'm a 50 year old independent.

    August 9, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  6. Phil Newton, Murphy, OREGON

    Obama's success may rest on the fact that he is sticking to the ISSUES that Americans care about.

    McCain, on the other hand, is continuing his campaign of frat boy pranks and stupid jokes.

    Yeah, that helps me put gas in my tank.

    My friend.

    August 9, 2008 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  7. Raymond Duke

    It is amazing to me that when it is tied in other polls or John McCain has a slight edge in all other polls that CNN always has Obama with a slight edge. Oh I understand because they are for Obama. I don't know why they just do not come out and say it. It is so blatant obvious. They have lost all their credability

    August 9, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  8. beth

    A 5% lead in popular vote translates to a landside in the electoral.

    August 9, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  9. Proud American

    America is coming back strong!
    Obama '08

    August 9, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  10. judyb

    It is all about electoral votes...not polls. Barack, with his lead in the polls in individual states, wins by a landslide!

    August 9, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  11. ron

    how can you trust a man like sen. obama who won't buy his children Christmas and birthday gifts

    August 9, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  12. Texas Trail Dog!

    CNNs poll of polls always has OBAMA with a slight lead. Has anyone out there actually been polled???

    August 9, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  13. Ridgeway

    Has the edge eh? Obama supporters?? It's scary what happens when stupid people gather in large groups.

    August 9, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  14. Chris Andoe

    John McCain's too bitter and grumpy to be president of AARP.

    August 9, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  15. Emma, San Jose, CA

    It looks like McCain's angry ads (I say angry because they are aggressive hits below the belt) are not helping McCain.

    August 9, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  16. S. Denice

    Whether 5 points or 50, a lead is a lead, a win is a win. I don't care if Senator Obama wins by a half-point, defeat of John McCain will be sweet. Actually, I don't put a whole lot of trust in these biased, slanted polls. At the end of the day in November if Senator Obama is in the leads he is the next POTUS...

    August 9, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  17. Blueray98

    He should be 20 to 25 points ahead in the polls right now. A democratic victory should be guaranteed for November. But something went wrong. The Democrats decided this time around to rig the primaries and trash the best candidate, so now we have a divided party with millions - including me - voting for McCain. We should have all welcomed a second Clinton run. As I recall, the first one worked pretty well. But no - we have to have a "fresh face" this time around, and the biggest celebrity in world to run our country. It will backfire. Just wait until after the conventions. I think the world will be getting to know the REAL Barack Obama (and his wife) for the first time.

    August 9, 2008 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  18. Larry Washington

    Re: Polls of polls – I believe the "Bradley effect" is in play. While Obama is still leading McCain, he cannot pull away when the American public overwhelmingly feel that the country is heading in the wrong direction. The bad economy and high gas prices are gifts to Obama yet he is now seen less trustworthy on these issues than McCain (see latest Rammusen poll) . In the coming days, I believe that the RNC will be able to paint Obama as too risky. The Obama campaign and Obama prematurely believed their MSM "press clippings" I believe McCain has found his message and combined with Obama's thin resume has been an effective one-two punch. Blue-collar white voters are deceiving pollsters by playing nice in their responses to the question – will they vote for Obama?

    August 9, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  19. Bobby

    What is wrong with 41 percent of people. When are they going to realize that John McCain and Bush are puppets for Exxon/Mobile

    August 9, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  20. Karen-phoenix

    If they could poll people with cell phones it would probably be Obama 65 and McCain 25!!!! Go to electoral-vote.com and see state by state. Go Obama!

    August 9, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  21. Turnabout is Fair Play

    And he is maintaining his lead from those they polled that have land lines, can't wait till those MILLIONS of us who have cell phones go to the poll and show that these low poll leads for Obama is not accurate, we will blow McStain back to the the Old Folks Home!

    August 9, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  22. DR. YES

    obama's base of support will never abandon him.this is why his numbers do not move much.the big question here is the 13% undecideds and the electoral college.i think when 3rd parties are added,obama's lead increases.do we want change or do we stay the same?

    August 9, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  23. ex republican

    Obama's campaign needs to hammer mcCANE on adultry.....now is the time!!!!!! with edwards in the news, Obama cant miss this opprotunity....

    August 9, 2008 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  24. Military Man

    "The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that the race for the White House is tied—Barack Obama and John McCain each attract 44% of the vote. When "leaners" are included, it’s McCain 47% and Obama 46%. With leaners, the candidates have been within one point of each other for nine straight days (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day."

    The Rasmussen Reports are a much more reliable source for political polling. Many of the news agencies have agenda's and blatant bias ... I do not trust them.

    August 9, 2008 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  25. SANDRA

    OBAMA IS RIGHT MCCAIN IS A WRONG AND AN LIAR HIS WIFE IS RICH AND HE WILL NEVER KNOW HOW PEOPLE WITH LITTLE INCOME SURVIVE. HE IS OUT OF TOUCH AND HE WANTS TO FIGHT A WAR THAT WE CAN'T WIN. THOSE PEOPLE IN MISEAST HAVE BEEN FIGHTING FOR YEARS . PEOPLE IN AMERICA ARE IN TROUBLE WE CAN'T AFFORD TO BUY FOOD, GAS OR PAY MY SON SCHOOL FEES . I DON'T HAVE THE MONIE AFTER BUYING FOOD AND PAYING THE LIGHT BILL.

    August 9, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
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