August 20th, 2008
09:23 AM ET
10 years ago

CNN poll of polls: Obama lead cut in half

A new CNN poll of polls shows Obama's lead is dwindling.

A new CNN poll of polls shows Obama's lead is dwindling.

(CNN) - In what could be an ominous sign for Barack Obama just days before he is formally named the Democratic presidential nominee, a new CNN poll of polls out Tuesday shows the Illinois senator's lead over John McCain has been cut in half in recent days.

According to CNN's average of several recent national surveys, Obama's lead is now a slim 3 points over the Arizona senator, 46-43 percent - half of his advantage in a CNN poll of polls one week ago, and down from a high of 8 points in mid-July.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

The latest poll results come amid increased attacks from McCain on Obama's readiness to be commander-in-chief and the re-emergence of national security worries among voters in the wake of the Georgia crisis.

“Over the last week, we’ve seen Sen. Obama’s lead in the poll of polls cut in half,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “This change was likely driven by a renewed focus on foreign policy after Russia’s invasion of Georgia, as well as by Sen. McCain’s willingness to launch more aggressive attacks against Obama on issues such as off-shore drilling."

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll out Tuesday evening was the latest national survey to indicate Obama's lead is dwindling, putting the Illinois senator ahead of McCain by only 2 points, well within the poll's margin of error. The CNN Poll of polls also includes new surveys from Quinnipiac and Gallup.

But the recent downturn in the polls for Obama may not last - the Democratic White House hopeful is headed for a week of what is likely to be overwhelmingly postive coverage as he names his running mate and officially accepts his party's presidential nomination.

"The big question now is whether Obama can successfully regain control of the campaign agenda as we head into the Democratic convention," Silverleib also said.

soundoff (612 Responses)
  1. looser

    Obama will loose without HRC

    August 20, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  2. John

    This is beginning to smell like the last two elections. Polls suggesting a close race despite the fact the Republicans in eight years have completely wiped our our country. How could there possibly be enough brain dead people to account for what the polls are saying? And as to polls in my seventy four years I have never been polled despite voting in every election, maybe I am in the wrong party.

    August 20, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  3. Eddie Blake

    It's OVER you libs! Were not going to let you start sharia law. We are going to get a warrior like Mccain and hopefully a good Christain CREATIONIST like Bobby Jindal to clean up this mess and this seperation of church and state nonsense.

    August 20, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  4. aaa

    Impeach Obama! Bring HRC back!!!!!!!!

    August 20, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  5. M L Campbell

    I've said this before and no one seems to have the stones to put it up, but the evidence is clear in all of these posts, so I'll say it again:

    If you plan to vote for Obama in November, you have by that choice proven yourself too stupid to properly exercise the right to vote and it should be revoked because you abused it.

    You have three months to come to grips with that fact and re-educate yourself before November. After that, well, you can't fix stupid, I suppose.

    August 20, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  6. Deb, Oklahoma

    Boo Hoo BO!

    August 20, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  7. A house divided

    The democrats have really been their own worst enemies this election cycle. This life long democrat has never witnessed such repugnant behavior within the party.

    Are these the NEW democrats of hope, unity and change?

    Obama supporters have been LUDACRIS in their undemocratic and vitriolic tactics:
    strong-arming at caucus.

    calling fellow democrats, a democratic candidate and an ex-president, racist.

    Booing and heckling a democratic candidate on her campaign stops.

    Threatening to black out the vote or stay home if superdelegates did not vote for Obama.

    Songed penned with vulgar insults against a democratic candidate.

    Obama himself mocking and jeering HRC.

    Your behavior has been subversive to the democratic party ideals and the democratic process iteself.

    NOW there is shock- yes shock that the party is divided.

    And screams of unity… vote for Obama or else…

    You new democrats have lost this election for your candidate by your own nasty undemocratic and vitriolic behavior.

    August 20, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  8. a, holley

    McBush is not going to win period. Something are just not meant to be. If it was his destiny to be president, Then he would have won a long time ago. We will show you in November who will win.

    August 20, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  9. ralph

    If America elect McCain it will prove how stupid the people are. Tell me what McCain is going to do differently from Bush. How many Allies are you going to have out there? The world is tired of the GOP. Obama is the hope of the world! believe me, he might not know this himself. Most American are dump. Don't really think through. what in the world electing a 72 year old sick war prisoner during this time of despair. The strength and influence of America is eroding. I thought Americans were smart people.?

    August 20, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  10. Bendo

    CNN post my previous post

    August 20, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  11. Bill

    I don't know why anyone would vote for McCain – unless of course you like the idea of war!!!

    Just check out the website to find out the truth about his military career and other 'interesting' facts that the main streem press are not telling you.

    August 20, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  12. Herbert

    It is flat out amazing to me that McCain gets any votes at all. Has anyone taken a serious look at our current condition? We are in a recession, the economy is spiraling the wrong way, our standing in the world could not be worst, our military is expended, the list goes on and all these things due to failed Bush policies which McCain promises to keep. Now I'm not saying Obama is the ideal canidate but for goodness sakes people we can not continue on the path we are currently on, we just cant do it, how can America not see that. More people are out of work than ever, wholesale prices are creeping up indicating an inflationary period in the economy, how much more bad news do you want? Obama will at least try and do things differently and at the least we need to try something different than what is currently being done. God help us if McCain wins, the worst is yet to come if he does.

    August 20, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  13. Jeff

    How anyone can say the media is in John McCain's favor with a straight face, i don't know.

    I am also sick and tired of people calling me stupid because I would vote for a Republican. You don't know anything about me. I was not and am not really happy with Bush and I am not particularly pleased with McCain as a candidate. But until the Democrats realize that they are better than the alternatives they give us, Republicans will continue to win.

    August 20, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  14. Dante

    i think the american people cant be fooled by polls,what happened to the hillary polls.The polls are never conducted with cell phone users and they keep polling the same people.Election polls should be banned because it sells wrong informations to the candidates.Now they attribute mccains bounce to negative adds so that obama can hit hard and at the end of the day the media gets richer..hahaha! No matter what the media says,Obama gonna win this election with a landslide..peace.

    August 20, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  15. Len

    The reason is very simple.

    The American people only listen to negative ads and believe in lies.

    The Republicans have lead by fear over the last 8 years and have destroyed our country.

    We as Amercians are not very smart and we will suffer another 4 years under McCain. Our debt will continue to grow, the rich will get richer, and we will be in another war. Get ready for the DRAFT....That is the only way we will strengthen our troop strength....So all you who are in favor of war and beat the drums, make sure you are ready to see your sons/daughters/ and grandchildren go off to war..

    August 20, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  16. HS

    This is a ridiculous story. Is it even a story? And its not even a slow news day. When is the press going to stop trying to inject itself into the news.

    August 20, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  17. Mike

    As a repulican I can't wait until we overturn Roe vs. Wade and nuke Iran. We need to excalate this war in the middle east into an all out nuclear war and start world war III. McCain is the only one who can make this happen. It is written in the bible we just need to make it happen. Praise Jesus!

    August 20, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  18. Hillary Boy NY

    Not surprised at all. Hew as, is and will be an inexperienced and shallow candidate for Nov 2008. JMC 2008 HRC 2012!!!

    August 20, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  19. unity

    Judgement – I have to say that I truly enjoy reading your comments when I can find them!

    Obama's got it in the bag, along with a couple of cans he's about to open!

    August 20, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  20. jsg

    just remember who is going to be president when this nonsense is all over and your reporting has been as bad as it comes. The pres can sit there and "know" who bad-mouthed him with news and stupid polls all along and put a little check on his personal "poll of reporters".

    August 20, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  21. Trisha CA

    I think we are now seeing the substance of the two canidates and it is obvious McCain can handle the situations with much more experience and cofindence, especially what is currently happening in Georgia, and we are seeing a more realistic approach to offshore drilling, which Obama was so against at one time.

    August 20, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  22. Anonymous

    World war 111 yet to come with McBusch will make sure most young people wipe out.

    August 20, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  23. Dante

    CNN,there is a song in the internet,,",fool me with no poll"

    August 20, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  24. America the Dumbest

    This is proof AMERICAN'S ARE DUMB or maybe they just like to complain for the past 6 years everyone in America has been complaining about how the country is going down the wrong path. There is a old fellow who is going to continue us down this path but he's the safe chioce. He voted to go to war, he not going to cut your taxes unless your rich, and on top of that he cheated and left his wife. This is the guy you want America eat your heart out. America the Dumbest (makes me want to move to mother Russia.

    August 20, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  25. Tommy

    The mainstream media continues to give McGaff a free ride. Of course he is going to increase in poll numbers. We can see that if the media continues to harp on the negative messages that McGutter is talking about, the american people will take the bait every time. Just look at what happened in 2004. When will we ever learn?

    August 20, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
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