August 20th, 2008
09:23 AM ET
10 years ago

CNN poll of polls: Obama lead cut in half

A new CNN poll of polls shows Obama's lead is dwindling.

A new CNN poll of polls shows Obama's lead is dwindling.

(CNN) - In what could be an ominous sign for Barack Obama just days before he is formally named the Democratic presidential nominee, a new CNN poll of polls out Tuesday shows the Illinois senator's lead over John McCain has been cut in half in recent days.

According to CNN's average of several recent national surveys, Obama's lead is now a slim 3 points over the Arizona senator, 46-43 percent - half of his advantage in a CNN poll of polls one week ago, and down from a high of 8 points in mid-July.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

The latest poll results come amid increased attacks from McCain on Obama's readiness to be commander-in-chief and the re-emergence of national security worries among voters in the wake of the Georgia crisis.

“Over the last week, we’ve seen Sen. Obama’s lead in the poll of polls cut in half,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “This change was likely driven by a renewed focus on foreign policy after Russia’s invasion of Georgia, as well as by Sen. McCain’s willingness to launch more aggressive attacks against Obama on issues such as off-shore drilling."

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll out Tuesday evening was the latest national survey to indicate Obama's lead is dwindling, putting the Illinois senator ahead of McCain by only 2 points, well within the poll's margin of error. The CNN Poll of polls also includes new surveys from Quinnipiac and Gallup.

But the recent downturn in the polls for Obama may not last - the Democratic White House hopeful is headed for a week of what is likely to be overwhelmingly postive coverage as he names his running mate and officially accepts his party's presidential nomination.

"The big question now is whether Obama can successfully regain control of the campaign agenda as we head into the Democratic convention," Silverleib also said.

soundoff (612 Responses)
  1. JB, Boston

    And, why is it that McCain cheating on his wife is such a bad thing. And yet CLinton and Edwards can do it, and "it's no ones business".

    Hypocrites. Cheating is cheating is cheating. I would argue that him leaving his wife is the morally stonger thing to do. As opposed to Bill Clinton who continues to cheat on his wife, and she stays to maintain her poltical career. Which ultimately makes her look weak and more concerned with power than her happiness.

    August 20, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  2. Jbjm

    The good news is that Obama is losing. The bad news is that McCain is winning.

    August 20, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  3. the real U.S.A.

    If McCain wins it's just a sign of the times that this country can't accept what's best for them if it comes in another shade of color. That's what this is really about anyway. People are looking for a reason not to vote for Obama and deep down inside know McCain is not the answer. It's amazing how quickly we believe everything negative about Obama and this man just wants to stick to the issues and problems at hand whereas McCain's best campaign tactic is to sling mud. WE'RE IN TROUBLE!!!

    August 20, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  4. Staone

    I read these posts each day and can not understand the logic behind HRC supporters??? THINK, if Obama is elected w/HRC as the Vice, HRC will get 8 years with Obama and another 8 as president!!! Have anyone thought about that??? Think people!!! The Dems are trying to keep McBush from knowing each and ever move!!! CHESS ANYONE!!! THINK!!! McBush has nothing to offer the American people!!! War hero, YES!!! But the leader OUR nation needs right now, NOOOOOOOOOO! We as Americans must show the world we can elect a GOOD President. Someone who can repair OUR image around the world.

    August 20, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  5. PK

    no matter what the poll say i believe the american people are wise enough to know that empty words that thrill you for a moment is shallow and really means nothing. the american people want a president who can speak well, have a foresight to see what is best for the country, one who can communicate with respect with it's neighbors, one who can control his temper and make sound judgements. one who can relate to all people and definitely McCain falls short in all of these. the american people will not make the mistake of electing another Bush who has brought shame to our country.

    also i believe the media should crank down more on McCain and show the nation who he really is. the american people don't know McCain as they say they do. Most american's only know him as a military man. that's it. what about his bad temper? what about his rude attitude towards people who have asked him questions during his town hall meeting? what about him committing adultery? what about he's views on Pro-life when he supported killing thousands of people in Iraq? what about he's views on who's considered rich? he's not able to speak well, or have the ability to reason with anyone. why not really dig into all of these things a really question him on it? there's many things the american people don't know about McCain. all he talks about is WAR, WAR, WAR. let the media really dig into his past & current life and see what they find out about McCain. you did it on Obama why not McCain?

    the media is trying to make Obama look bad when really he's the man to be president. the bottom line is that the media don't want a black man for president.

    August 20, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  6. Don't you know

    A lot of us Obama supporters don't engage in polls. It's a waste of time and energy. We know who we stand behind and will vote accordingly.

    August 20, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  7. vivid

    Of course, when Obama was leading in every single poll against John McCain over the summer, that too was spun by the media as being "bad news" for him and "excellent" for McCain. I wonder why that is.

    August 20, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  8. oldjoe

    I sure hope the CNN profiles compare McCain and Bush on their moves through college, Annapolis and Harvard, on their legacy appointments because of their fathers. Both were skated through college, both were goof offs, neither was a success after college. "W" got and stayed married. McCain got, then dumped, then got another with a pre-nup.

    The Russians today, in Georgia, simply tied ropes to our Marine HumVees and towed them away. We're there on a "training exercise". Guess they need training afterall.

    I'm ironong my flag so I can wrap myself in it, I'm putting the flag pin in my lapel and thumping my chest while some Russian varmint steals "W's" horses while he's watching the girls play volleyball in bikinis from the oval office TV.

    Rid 'em cowboy; Semper Fi

    August 20, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  9. Lucious Leftfoot

    The only poll that matters is in November- CNN announces some new poll number everyday, and Obama has yet to be behind- so what does that tell you?

    The media can't protect McCain forever, and when he doesn't have the luxury of his teleprompter and the crib sheets that he palms relentlessly, America will see how much of a risk he truly is-

    We can't afford to have another dumb, hawkish, loose cannon of a president, and that's exactly what McCain represents.

    August 20, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  10. Joel

    For the first time ever, McCain actually leads Obama in the electoral map based on real clear politics average polling information today. It is going to be a close race either way, but I don't see traditional conservative states turning democratic with a far liberal candidate. The Dems best choice probably would have been a more moderate candidate. This election should have been a slam dunk for the Dems – unpopular Rep administration, unpopular war, terrible economy. The fact that Obama isn't running away with this election speaks volumes for him as a candidate and the DNC.

    August 20, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  11. Puzzle2

    The rhetoric will ratchet up during and after the convention/v.p. announcement much to CNN's liking, but the embers will die down and fizzle out much to CNN's dismay, although they will keep plastering Obama's face all over the network.

    August 20, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  12. real dem

    If this is so then blame the hillary supporters. It seems that if McCain wins it's due to the overwhelming crybabies and puma that support hillary. I can tell you this much if McCain wins in 08 then more than likely there will never be a hillary presidency in 2012 because the o'bama supporters will never vote for her. So it looks like the republican will have the office at least an additional 8 years because we have 2 year olds crying that they can't have there way. Such a shame to put the people through another 8 years because you couldn't have your lollipop (hillary that is. From her childish supporters and puma ) so you act like a 2 year olds because you can't have your way. Bah, what's the point in even talking about it anymore. PUMA- patheticundermindinganarchy.

    August 20, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  13. WBW OHIO

    If McIdiot gets elected this country is in a for a world of hurt.
    this Idiot will make Bush look like a saint.

    August 20, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  14. ALLAN USA.

    What Obama do is big show. Big rally , this is stupit. When he talk, looks like he try to show how smart he is. He use lang..., it is hard to some times understand . If no HRC - NO OBAMA>

    August 20, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  15. sky

    You CNN guys REALLY want to make this look close...the big thing is that the Clinton supporters badly want it to look like Barack cant pull it off, reinterating my view that they really dont care about the DNC only themselves and their wounded they dont come to the table.....I do not forgive Hillary for that separation she creatively thrust upon a wounded party. But, hey...Obama is still winning without them....and after the convention.....when they finally come on board... this will be a landslide victory for Obama. As a party and as a nation, we should all be celebrating. The world is SO excited about is historic and a positive thing at a time when we were at our lowest moment. I dont blame McCain, I blame Hillary for this closeness right now and if the DNC goes down because of have her and her strange and nasty cohorts to blame for it.

    August 20, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  16. JOEMAC1

    To CNN:
    It is very easy to see that you guys are playing around with the race. You do show after show on negative attacks by the McBushes, even when the stories are not true. You harp on the fact that the race is tightening, even though your sometimes biased reporting helps to cause it. How about reporting that McCain can't get over 42-43%. You never mention that he was 894th out of 899 at the Naval Academy. That he cheated on his first wife, and that he was involved in the Keating 5 affair, that he outright lies on a daily basis. You report the campaign as a self-fulfilling-prophecy. McCain would have America in another war within 6 months and he admits to knowing nothing about the economy. Even though the media is complicit in swift boat attacks on democrats, Obama is still winning, and has the larger upside, why don't you guys talk about that.

    August 20, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  17. Sick of it all

    Why do the Obama supporters constantly react to any "anti-Obama" news with such hubris, hostility and insults? Calling McCain "McBush" or "McSame", "Repuglican" or any other of your juvenile names, is no different than calling Obama an Empty Suit, a Socialist or any of the other things that some people call him.

    Consistently, the majority of Obama people openly call anyone who even considers a vote for McCain, to be "stupid". They (meaning the Obama robots) are not capable of understanding, of seeing through the anger and bitterness because of the last two Pres. elections clearly enough, to even consider that different people have different priorities, and differing points of view. You are totally under-estimating your opponents. That has always been a bad mistake. You are forgetting about a lot of people in this country, or brushing them off. Another mistake.

    August 20, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  18. BJ, Texas

    I have a great idea for Nobama since he's obviously done for here in America. Why doesn't he go run for president of Europe? They seem go gaga over him there, evidence the LoveFest earlier this year. Throw a few concerts then show up and once again and be proclaimed the second coming of the messaih. All you Nobama lovers can pack up and go with him!

    August 20, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  19. Pepou

    If after 8 years of Bush disaster people want to elect another inept, confused, belligerent idiot, so be it. I am out of here !

    August 20, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  20. Redbug-OH for OBAMA

    He will still come out the winner. Once the people wake up and realize mccain/mcbush only know 1 thing and that is war. OBAMA will be the winner. There are other things to be concerned with, like the economy, school, jobs, health insurance for whick mcbush knows NOTHING, AND CARES EVEN LESS......... WAKE UP AMERICA DON'T BE BE FOOLED AGAIN.


    August 20, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  21. Bdiddy from Chicago

    To DJ, Have you heard of a guy named Ronald Reagan????
    But to everyone, can we realistically say that the first African American who makes history as the first President of the United States will win it in a landslide??? Do we really think that come November we won't be up all night waiting for the results because it's going to be close?

    AS much faith as I have in our country I don't believe that will happen. Clearly Obama is the right choice considering the 2 but it will be closer than any poll will predict.

    August 20, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  22. Danielson

    We've already seen - TWICE - that just about half of our nation isn't fit to vote in a Presidential election. (Bush Bush). What's heartening is that Obama has a lead, still, in the face of McCain's appeal to the 7th grade mentality.

    That means a few of the idiots who voted Bush a second time...are actually LEARNING. Gettting smarter. Starting to realize that being draped in an American flag can also mean your own BURIAL if you don't listen beyond the heroic yet empty Powers Boothe voiceover and learn to ignore the campfire stories of the black boogeyman's pending economic disaster....

    August 20, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  23. Jim

    The new politics has turned out to be the old politics. His stance on Iraq and energy are dubious at best. If he reminds me that he is black one more time I am voting for McCain.

    August 20, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  24. RJ, CA

    Tired of the liberals whining about our great country. There's nothing wrong - and everything right - about America - right here, right now. The only thing the liberals haven't got is the hard-earned money of others. "Take from the rich and give to the poor" - THAT is the only "hope" or "hype" Obama is peddling!

    Work – Succeed – Be Happy

    August 20, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  25. fella from Chicago

    Forget about the popular vote polls. Where o where does the Electoral College stand? Remember the 2000 election.

    August 20, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25