August 24th, 2008
06:25 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN poll: Post-Biden poll shows dead heat

DENVER, Colorado (CNN) - It’s a dead heat in the race for the White House. The first national poll conducted entirely after Barack Obama publicly named Joe Biden as his running mate suggests that battle for the presidency between the Illinois senator and Republican rival John McCain is all tied up.

In a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Sunday night, 47 percent of those questioned are backing Obama with an equal amount supporting the Arizona senator.

“This looks like a step backward for Obama, who had a 51 to 44 percent advantage last month,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

“Even last week, just before his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate became known, most polls tended to show Obama with a single-digit advantage over McCain,” adds Holland.

So what’s the difference now?

It may be supporters of Hillary Clinton, who still would prefer the Senator from New York as the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Sixty-six percent of Clinton supporters, registered Democrats who want Clinton as the nominee, are now backing Obama. That’s down from 75 percent in the end of June. Twenty-seven percent of them now say they’ll support McCain, up from 16 percent in late June.

“The number of Clinton Democrats who say they would vote for McCain has gone up 11 points since June, enough to account for most although not all of the support McCain has gained in that time,” says Holland.

Clinton and Obama battled throughout the primary season, with Clinton winning more than 40 percent of the delegates. She suspended her bid for the White House and backed Obama in early June, after the end of the primary season.

A majority of registered voters, 54 percent, think Obama’s choice of Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate is an excellent or good decision. That number jumps to 73 percent when just asked of registered Democrats. But it drops to 59 percent when narrowed to Clinton supporters.

“It's not that there's anything wrong with the choice of Joe Biden. A majority of those polled rate the Biden selection as excellent or pretty good. Voters think he is qualified to be president, and with the exception of Al Gore in 1992, the public ranks Biden as the most qualified running mate in recent times," says Holland.

"A lot of Americans don't know who he is, but his favorable rating is 13 points higher than his unfavorables But Biden is not Hillary Clinton, and it's possible that is enough to have moved some of her supporters away from the Democratic ticket, at least temporarily."

Among all Democrats, only 38 percent say Obama should have selected Clinton as his running mate.

Will Biden’s naming as Obama’s running mate make a difference? Maybe not. Seventy-four percent of all voters questioned in the survey say it won’t have any effect on their vote for president.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted on Saturday and Sunday, with 1,023 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all voters. For registered Democrats, it is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and for Democrats who still support Clinton for the party's nomination, it is plus or minus 7.5 percentage points.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Polls
soundoff (209 Responses)
  1. Seth Berkowitz

    If McCain wins, it will be the Clinton's legacy.

    August 24, 2008 08:38 pm at 8:38 pm |
  2. Ria Atlanta

    Well, Obama's right about the "change" thing... All of the Hillary supporters will be changing parties;) I can't believe he's is that cocky to even think he can win without Hillary on the ticket. Not to mention he won't do diddley squat with health care... That was Hillarys baby.
    He blew it big time...Can't wait to see when Johnnie boy wins and watch him walk away with his tail between his legs;)

    August 24, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  3. dsaquared

    Go McCain! Please God protect us from Obama....

    Raise the tax rate to 39+%, Capital gains taxes raised to 28%, Tax the proceeds on the sale of your house....won't let us drill for oil on our own homeland.

    Run Forest RUN! Run to the polls and vote for John McCain....

    These ignorant democrats try to scare everyone but they continue to tax and spend. Raise your taxes, raise everyones taxes...

    Only a fool would vote for a democrat....Look at their record in the senate and House of representatives...Just pitiful...Really sad and to think as Americans almost half of us are stupid enough to drink the kool aid...

    Shoot me if I ever vote for a democrat...

    August 24, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  4. Patrick, Takoma Park MD

    Weekend polls are generally garbage. Younger people, the sort who overwhelmingly support Obama, tend to go out and do things on the weekend. It's the old folks, the ones who trend toward McCain, who are home.

    August 24, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  5. AdiosSuckers

    JoAnne,
    enjoy the loss of reproductive rights that your pity party helps to ensure!
    oh yeah and your grandkids suffering through the next great depression while china OWNS us.... very very smart. even brilliant. you perfectly exemplify how these elections continue to be a soap opera about characters instead of the policies that will effect us for years to come.

    August 24, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  6. Groen

    No Hillary? The arrogance of it. And Joe Biden? If he were best for the job – he would have been nominated before now.

    August 24, 2008 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  7. donna

    This is good. Close polls get the vote out.
    What I find interesting is that CNN has not given details of this poll.
    What about those voters with cell phones? How were they polled? They are a large part of Obama's supporters and as first time voters are not registered voters. Hmmm....

    August 24, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  8. derrick

    CNN is not a news station....and has never been. You will get objective news out of Aljazeera than CNN.

    People like Lou Dobbs, Glenn Beck, Wolf Blitzer e.t.c should be no where near a camera or mic.

    Question to Lou, Wolf and Glenn -> If you cardiologist tells you he can't remember how many houses he's got, and reason why he can't recollect is because he was a POW, would you let him work on you heart?

    August 24, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  9. Chuck

    The Obama fanatics want to blame anyone for the fact that Obama is simply a weak candidate. It isn't Hillary's fault that Obama has made terrible decisions on core Democratic issues (campaign financing, off-shore drilling, gun control, etc). it isn't her fault that he picked a weak vp candidate. Joe's a nice guy but he adds nothing to the ticket. But that isn't Hillary's fault.

    August 24, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  10. New Independent Writing in Hillary on November Ballot

    I have been saying for the PAST FIVE YEARS on these forums that China and also India are going to wipe the US off the map economically.

    And they already have!

    Every time you talk with someone who is an oversea's employee of the company you are trying to reach, you are contributing to this problem!

    If you get someone overseas, just tell them you want to talk with an English-speaking American! If they dont' comply, hang up.

    Don't do business with these companies!

    August 24, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  11. wilfred

    CNN is a Liberal leaning news network , so why are all the liberals
    crying ? Could be for once CNN is reporting the news without a way
    LEFT bias. Wow now thats refreshing.

    August 24, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  12. Deon Perry

    Great job CNN of showing how intent Blitzer/Cooper and the rest of the gang are rooting for John McCain. Is there anything positive to report on Obama? All I hear from the CNN crew is continous bashing. Have all the journalistic standards gone out the window for CNN? The network and Blitzer in particular should just sign on to the McCain campaign. You can't continue to pretend that you are practicing journalism... it's just not fair to the American people.

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  13. Eric

    For those saying how racist the Hillary supporters are; it's nothing new! If you think racism doesn't exist, you need a wake-up call. Obama has become arrogant and unreachable ever since winnning the nomination. If he (and his hard-core supporters) continue on this path of thinking he is unbeatable, McCain will surely sneak by with the presidency in November. Of course, we don't know who McCain's running mate is just yet; but one can be certain if he picks the right V.P. Obama hasn't a snoball's chance in hell.

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  14. Marie

    CNN is so bias. They are not to be believed. A post Biden poll, wow, that was fast. Wolf Blitzer should disclose that he is for 'Anyone But Obama', then I can take him more seriously. FoxNews is overt in it's agenda. CNN is covert. don't need to read the articles from the ticket, just look at the bullet points and how they are phrased. It's been that way for a long time. I am just waiting for someone to slip up and tell the viewers how they really feel about Obama without coding the comment.

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  15. Rob

    Its a good thing for the US that Obama not be elected, these are trying times, and the US needs a president with a backbone, not an appeaser that is willing to sit down and negotiate with terrorist states such as Iran, North Korea, to name a couple...This is a win for the US and the world!!!! Hillary would have been much a better nominee for the Democratic....His childish 3 a.m. knock shows exactly what kind of leader Obama would be, he torpedoed his own chances....Exactly what he would do to the US,,,,,,,

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  16. mary

    Greg FL ,I agree with you 100% all the way.We will have another 4 years of the same thing.I bet some of these people have already lost their jobs,lost their homes,lost a love one in the Iraq war,strugglig to provide everyday necessities from day to day and still cant see that we need a change. A change that OBAMA/BIDEN will surely bring to the american people.

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  17. Rico

    are you people crazy ?
    Why would you want 4 more years of BUSH??
    And do tell me that if Mcsame gets elected it wont be the same ...

    Comon people open your eyes already.. we dont have to live the way we are under BUSH.. I for one DO NOT want to pay 5.00 per gal.. and still dont know how much we are going to pay for oil this winter to heat our homes...

    We need a change, yeah Obama might not be the better pick but he is bound to change something even if its not a big change , it will be a change...

    I am a republican and i am voting for Obama... we need CHANGE...

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  18. ttfsfd

    It's so sad that CNN and the other nutcases in the media have turned the presidential election into a complete farce.
    And by the way, most intelligent people know that Obama is the only decent candidate for the job. McCain is a joke but very dangerous since he and all his rich friends, along with Cindy (aka Barbie), don't give a hoot about the common man. Wealth has doomed them to look down their rich, miserable noses at those less fortunate than they are.

    August 24, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  19. TonyS

    Stop blaming Hillary supporters for Obama's poll numbers. If Obama was as good as he thinks, he would be way up in the polls. By the way, stop with the nonsense of McCain and losing Roe v Wade. A Republican appointee wrote the Roe decision, and it has survived Nixon, Ford, Reagan, Bush I and Bush II. It'll survive McCain too.

    August 24, 2008 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  20. Betty

    Equal coverage next sunday? Bash McCain and tout RON PAUL

    You don't have gonads enough.

    August 24, 2008 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  21. chris

    If you think its fair to raise taxes on people that have done well in life....vote for obama.... If you want taxes lower for everyone rich or poor..vote mccain....simple..

    ps–reminder.....the people you tax that make over 250k a year are BUSINESS Owners.... soo if you raise there taxes.. they will cut employees...and/or definitely not hire anymore people....ALOT of businesses are SUB chapter S corps...and they pay taxes on a personal level.....so go ahead obama tax the business owners..

    August 24, 2008 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  22. Charles Curtis

    I don't know if I'm ready to say that Hillary supporters voting McCain are necessarily racist (though it had crossed my mind). But I do think they feel like if they can get McCain elected, watch 4 more years of crap, maybe Hillary can try again rather than wait eight years with an Obama victory. Because then Hillary will be 70 and likely not in the picture anymore.

    I'm a lifelong Republican who simply cannot vote for a man who has not offered anything better than the past 8 years. What's amazing to me is that apparently 47 percent of America doesn't seem to have a problem with that.

    August 24, 2008 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  23. Dean

    If one were to base it on these blog entries – Americans are exceptionally immature, and easily led. What happened to critical thinking skills? Very scary. I doubt most of the posters on here even vote.

    August 24, 2008 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
  24. mose

    Obama takes a pick risk with little gain by picking Biden.

    Agent of change – Washington insider?: Biden has been a U.S. Senator since the age 29. He has been in Washington 10 years longer than McSame.

    I predict that we will talk about whether Biden was the best pick for the next two weeks. I don’t think he should have picked Hillary but Biden’s pick is a complete mystery. I can’t image Biden as VP let alone as President. He doesn’t bring a new state or new voters.

    I’m very surprised by the VP pick. Biden’s own words make the best case against Obama as President. Biden has his own baggage. Biden barely registered during the Democratic primaries. His run was more like Jerry Brown’s run in 92 but much less successful.

    Biden is prone to gaffs. Even in his acceptance speech he talked about how hot his wife was before he talked about her Phd. It actually sounded chauvinistic. Plus, he was more of an advocate of the war than many of the other VP candidates.

    August 24, 2008 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
  25. cecil

    How Dumb, A 15 hour Poll.

    August 24, 2008 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
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