DENVER (CNN) - A new national poll indicates Barack Obama has opened up a double-digit lead in New Mexico, while the battle for the Colorado is a dead heat between the presumptive Democratic nominee and Republican rival John McCain.
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Wednesday has the Obama up by 13 points in New Mexico, 53 to 40 percent. The state has had two close calls in the past two elections, with Vice President Al Gore slipping past George W. Bush in 2000 and President Bush edging out Massachusetts Senator John Kerry for years ago.
It’s a different story in Colorado, where the Democrats are holding their national convention this week. On the eve of Obama’s presidential acceptance speech in Denver, the poll suggests John McCain has a 47 percent to 46 percent advantage over Obama. Taking into account the survey’s sampling error, that’s a virtual dead heat. Bush won Colorado by eight points in 2000, and by five points in the last election.
"The Democrats chose Denver for their convention in the hopes of poaching Colorado from the GOP," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "It appears that hasn't happened yet, although Thursday night's main event in Denver's football stadium may help Obama make some inroads." Holland notes that the poll indicates a huge gender gap in Colorado, with 55 percent of women going for Obama and 55 percent of men picking McCain.
It’s also a close race in Nevada, another Western state Obama’s campaign would like to turn from red to blue. President Bush won the state by narrow margins in the last two elections. But the poll indicates Obama has a five point margin over McCain, 49 to 44 percent.
Obama named Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate on Saturday. Although Biden is a longtime Delaware resident, he was born and raised in Pennsylvania. Has the Biden announcement made an impact in the Keystone State? Our new poll doesn’t show any indication of that so far. Obama holds a 5-point edge in our new survey, 48 to 43 percent. That’s pretty much where recent polls from other organizations have put the race.
"Pennsylvania voters tend to be a bit older than in most states, so it's good news for Obama that he's actually carrying senior citizens in the Keystone State. Nationally, seniors tend to pick McCain," Holland said. "But the bad news for Obama is that he's only pulling a quarter of the rural voters in Pennsylvania. That's a far worse showing for Obama than rural voters in Nevada or Colorado."
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys were conducted Sunday through Tuesday, with 670 registered voters in Colorado, 625 in Nevada, 659 in New Mexico and 669 in Pennsylvania questioned by telephone. The sampling error for each poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
From CNN Politics
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Bbbbbbbbaby, you ain't seen nothin yet!
Obama/Biden 08
As the Doors once noted, "The West is the best; Get here, and we'll do the rest."
CNN has to broadcast something positive for Obama. "Obama takes double-digit lead in one battleground state". Then the details of his troubles in Colorado are in small print. Too funny
Polls, polls, polls.............
We've got New Mexico and once this convention is over with, we will have the lead in Colorado. And for all you Republicans, Virginia is ours this year. Thanks for your support Hillary!
Obama/Biden 08
New Mexico goes for Obama!!! Guess it is all over now, because we all know "as New Mexico goes" so goes the Nation. CNN you are too funny.....
D O E S-M C C A I N–H A V E-L E A D S-I N-B A T T L E G R O U N D
---S T A T E S
Next article:
CNN Poll: Tight races in battleground states
At least it's fair and balanced.
CNN – take a breath. Try breathing into a paper bag. It's just not all that exciting.
All the polls will be all over the map until the Republican convention has been over AT LEAST one week, maybe two.
Both conventions will be thankfully over, both VPs will be out there. People will be getting on with their own lives. They might even tune into what the enthusiasts only are watching closely now.
THEN we can see what the polls say....so, just relax, breathe deeply and wait it out. I know Wolf et al can do it if you just try...
YOUR POLLS MEAN NOTHING!! Do your own polling CNN! right there on your front page in the Quick vote...One simple question two simple choices. OBAMA or McCAIN. Choose your leader.
But that wouldn't be controversial enough now would it? It seems you guys need something that will get people to pay attention to you.
I've got a single-digit response for CNN. Can you guess what it is?
There is light an the end of the tunnel?
I've got a single-digit response for CNN, since you're so fond of body language. Can you guess what it is?
You spelled "four" incorrectly.
Well, that's great.
I don't think state-by-state polls should are completely accurate, of course. They still only do the polling based on land lines, if I'm not mistaken.
One of Obama's main constituencies, young people, may be overlooked because of this. National polls never mean anything . . . but state-by-state, I think we should expect Obama to have a few more points than he is given. Most college students don't have a land line, and many families have switched to cell phones only.
I think that was the first poll I've seen that showed an Obama lead in NV. Looks like things are turning his way!
To: Author,
I don't understand "the Obama".
Also "Senator John Kerry for years ago" sould be four as in the number 4.
Kevin
how come there was never a ticker article about mccain's lead in the gallup poll 46-44 AFTER the DNC convention started?
who cares about new mexico?
I guess John McCain's work in the Indian Affairs Committee wasn't as heralded as he thought, nor was his popularity with the latino community. No way no how to Carpetbagger McCain
It's going to be a close race.
Take that Johnny Mc"BUSH"!!!!!!!...and it's only going to get worse come November. Can you say...TWO-TIME LOSER???????????????
I wonder if Wll.i.am will perform "My Humps" in New Mexico to bump up Obama's chances. How many of these Obama supporters are saying "yes we will vote for Obama" and will not vote for him on election day? Obama is in trouble if he doesn't gain the full trust of his base.
I believe the MSM for the last month has been claiming Obama is losing ground I say BULL. Obama will win by a landslide the American People will never Elect a 72 Yr Old Man when we have a Global Crisis on our hand. DONT DRINK THE CNN AND FOX KOOLAIDE !!!!!!!! MCCAIN IS DONE .
New Mexico is important with latino/hispanic votes.
So does a 13 point lead mean that CNN will now move New Mexico into the Obama column? Or does CNN think that this somehow means that New Mexico is still too close to call>
Tied in Colorado, a state Repubs have won in the last two elections, is not trouble.
New Mexico....lol. Okay CNN! Whatever you say. Excited over nothing
i thought its ohio goes so does the the nation
This state has been tettering red/blue for some time. No big deal. What do the polls say about Virginia, North Carolina and Montana? Those states Obama claims he has a shot. Probably not, otherwise, CNN would have blasted that story by now.
Only in your dreams, I'm sorry to say, but without Hillary's full committment I think Obama is in trouble and I think Hillary is setting herself up for a run in 2012. Obama has no security experience, no leadership experience, no foreign policy experience and he picks Biden, another liberal tax monger, must control the people democrate. If Obama really wanted change instead on the regular washington status quo, he might of picked someone with a better background. I will now vote for McCain and more of the same, but its better that being taxed by a democrate
I know that it hurts CNN to report that. FOX must be reporting it too in order for CNN to report it. CNN=FOX BUSH=McSame
Obama will win in 08
Report That CNN
I am starting to think that many of these polls are flawed...lets consider that Barack has particular appeal among young voters and new voters, many who are college age, many who do not vote in primaries but will likely vote in the general election....most of these polls are made up of already registered voters and people deemed "likely voters" (i.e.: those who've voted before)
Lets also consider that many of his college-age voters are just getting back to school and will likely register to vote in the states and districts where they attend college and not necessarily in their home states....let's also consider that these college age voters are mobile, they don't have their own homes and therefore don't have their own land line telephone numbers where they can be contacted...pollsters don't call cell phones!
Then lets consider those undecided voters...why haven't they decided? John McCain has been on the political scene for some time, they saw him run for president in 2000...They've had plenty of time to decide if they like John McCain or not. Barack Obama on the other hand is a relative new-comer to national politics, people are still getting to know him and getting to know what he stands for....I suspect these undecided voters would probably have already committed to McCain by now if they were going to....I suspect many of them will break for Obama as we get closer to November and they get a bit more comfortable with him.
So lets not get too excited about these polls, because I think this election is FAR different than any election we've seen before.
Hmmm, shouldn't the headline read "Obama takes double-digit lead in one battleground state, trails in another"?
I'm not sure if you guys are aware of it yet, but Virginia is a battleground state which has been red for far too long. Soon to be Sen. Mark Warner and current Governor Tim Kaine will ensure that Virginia goes blue this time around. So you might as well count New Mexico and Virginia.
Obama/Biden 08
Ahead in a few states you say? Has the still exploded yet? Better run the batch twice through the still less ye wake up blind!
NO WAY. NO HOW. NO McCAIN
All it takes is for McCain to put a female on his ticket...Obama will lose if that happens.
I really think the polls are not telling the real story. I live in a somewhat conservative part of the state and honestly...I haven't seen a single McCain sticker or yard sign...All I see is Obama. In this part of the state it really should be the other way around. I'm beginning to believe this is going to be a bigger win for Obama than the data is showing
GO TEAM OBIDEN!!
Show those republicant's
so does that means new mexico is a leaning state when is cnn elotoral map going to change
Latest news!!!!!
MCCain was only 1 week POW. His 4 star General dad send in the marines and hid him for 5 and half years. Hiding his stupid son that crashed on his first flight thats what his dad did.
NO more WAR
Why does McCain want to restart the draft?
Hope Latino/Hispanic voters are considering not voting for Obama since he represents the bullies Democrat Leaders, where are the Latinos/Hispanics in this convention, it is like we do not exist for them, lets vote for McCain and send the message to the DEMOCRATS LEADERS that we can not be taken for granted.
PLEASE, VOTE FOR MCCAIN, unless they will apreciate our presence.
Umm... Steve,
Obama is now back up by one point in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll and I don't see a ticker on McCNN for that either.
Once Hillary is out of the picture, Obama and Biden will begin to spiral downward. Remember you saw it here.
Nearly 70 days more any thing could happen in that time period
I don’t believe until September 8th
That day only Lou Dobbs back in the air
Listen up: McCain may have to cancel his convention due to a hurricane forecast in Louisiana to go there. McCain doesn't need to go to Louisiana to get "BLOWN AWAY".
Hope Latino/Hispanic voters are considering not voting for Obama since he represents the bullies Democrat Leaders, where are the Latinos/Hispanics in this convention, it is like we do not exist for them, lets vote for McCain and send the message to the DEMOCRATS LEADERS that we can not be taken for granted.
PLEASE, VOTE FOR MCCAIN, unless they will apreciate our presence
you can fool some people sometimes but you cant fool all the people all the time!!!
OBAMA 08
Been meaning to say this how about this
Obama/Biden 2008
Obama/Clinton 2012
Clinton/ 2016
Clinton/M.Obama 2020
M.Obama/C.Clinton 2024
M.Obama/C.Clinton 2030
C.Clinton/ 2034
C.Clinton/ 2038
How does that sound
The relevence is that if Obama can win the states Kerry won, plus either Ohio or NV, NM, and VA, he would win, of something close to that.
The point is, don't pay attention to the national polls; it's the state-by-state polls that matter.
I'm gonna tell you straight up. If my boy can take Colorado, Nevada or New Mexico, that's not a help, that's a game changer!! It arguably can have an impact to surrounding states nearby. But you know what? I LOVE it that it's close....
I was for Hillary and there is no way I would vote for Obama, there is nothing no one can say I probably wouldn't vote for him leaving out how he has done Hillary and those superdelegates should be ashamed of themselves.
EX HILLARY LATINO DEMOCRATS WILL VOTE FOR MCCAIN. NO OBAMA, NO, HE CAN'T..
McCain = WW3
NO WAY. NO HOW. NO McCain
OBAMA/BIDEN 08
the media knows this race is over,the demographics is not on mccain side,the minority vote will be 29%,mccain cannot overcome that,thats why obama is leading that big in mexico,mccain will have to win the white vote by 20pts,right now he is only leading by 13pts
OBAMA IS AHEAD IN TODAYS GULLUP POLL. SO YOU I DONT WANT TO MENTION YOUR NAME. GET YOUR FACTS TOGETHER. YOU ARE STILL IN THE PAST LIKE YOUR CANDIDATE
NO WAY-NO HOW NO OBAMA
romney not going to win no matter how many attack ads he run even 1000000000
REPEAT AFTER ME.....
OBAMA/BIDEN WILL WIN IN NOV
OBAMA/BIDEN WILL WIN IN NOV
OBAMA/BIDEN WILL WIN IN NOV
AMEN
WATCH OUT!
THE SLEEPING GIANT IS STARTING TO WAKE UP.
OBAMA/BIDEN 2008
I believe "polls'" are always misleading. There are so many variables in the poll. It is very misleading.
No matter what state is being talked about, the media (especially CNN) calls it a battleground state. They can't ALL be battleground states...just more drama from the media.
Candidates losing ground the polls DURING their convention is a really really bad sign.
That said, it will be a close race. Florida and Ohio will be important again. Virginia will NOT go for Obama, nor will Georgia or the Carolinas.
BHO takes all of Kerry's states plus Iowa, Nevada and New Mexico. 269 to 269. Let the games begin.
Wonderful news !!! This Way, How, comes Obama !!! ET go home !!
Post convention bounce prediction: Less than 5 points, which McCain will make up next week. Obama had one shot, pick hillary. He blew it. Obama, YOU ARE THE WEAKEST LINK!
Obama's acceptance speech better be historic–he still has a trust gap with some of the voters in the Democratic base.
No way, No how, No Mccain.
No way,No how, No Mccain.
No way, No how, NoMccain.
BIDEN-OBAMA 08'
BIDEN-OBAMA08'
BIDEN-OBAMA 08'
If the electoral college ends up 269/269...Obama wins, because the congress decides...
It's like retribution for the stolen 2000 election...I kind of don't mind that scenario...
Obama has gone from a double digit lead to trailing McCain...
Wow, New Mexico still likes him, go figure. Bill Richardson is a moron, and they voted him for Gov.
I wouldn't count on "The College Kid" vote, unless the voting stations are on the way to their local head shop.
You have a relatively unknown, who's lack of experience is ultimately going to be the nail in his coffin, vs a seasoned veteran like McCain.
The two messages that i've heard since this all started.
Democrats: Let's play America's dislike of Bush by continually repeating that McCain is Bush, because they both have the (R) stamp on their names.
Republicans: Obama has virtually no experience and shouldn't even be in charge of running a Walmart let alone POTUSA.
I think i'll take the very real experience issue over the fabricated McCain=Bush issue.
By 2050 whites will be the minority so unless GOP starts courting the black and Hispanic votes a GOP is in trouble.
No way, No How, No McCain. Obama has served and earned this nomination by compaigning against his opponent for 19 months. If you think that he stole it I am asking you where have you being during the primary season. Enough of this nonsense and if you are a true Democrat with value you cannot dare stay home or vote for McCain. After all this convention and the election the way you vote will hunt and hurt you for many years in your pockets and the future of this nation. We cannot afford having the US carying its white plate to China and beg them for money. This has never happen before in our history but under this republican government. Having McCain in for four more years we will be begging China for more money and we will face great deception from them.
YES WE CAN.
CNN PLEASE DO US A FAVOR AND FORGET ABOUT THOSE POLLS. YOU ALL HAVE 2 POST ON HERE WITHIN 3 MINUTES OF EACH OTHER. ONE SAYING THAT THE RACE IS TIGHT AND THE OTHER SAYING THAT OBAMA HAS A DOUBLE DIGIT LEAD!!!!
The polls have not been accurately representing the opinions of ALL voters. Those that use cell phones as their primary phone are not included – about 1/4 to 1/3 of the country! The end of the summer marked college students in transition as well.
Obama will win big! Register and Vote people!!!!!
The constant analyzing on CNN drives me nuts. I am down to only
listening to the important speeches. The analysts talk as though
they are above the rest of us and know exactly what the speakers
could have said, would have said and didn't say. It is ridiculous!
"Anonymous August 27th, 2008 4:13 pm ET
I've got a single-digit response for CNN. Can you guess what it is?"
I Roffled!!!
There are thousands upon thousands of people who are not registered to vote. Churches in the south, especially, need to educate and encourage these people so that they can exercise their franchise. Can you imagine what the result would be if every eligible voter turned out?
Since when CNN polls can be trusted?
Trust Obama, and seize victory!
your all a joke-my cousin lives in southern New Mexico, and the one thing i have to say is: it's a dumpster. Anyone who can seriously state that if he wins NM, somehow he is going to win the Election. What has the democrats done for us? they have driven our gas prices to historic highs (hmm, Carter drove them up last time), we cannot defend ourselves against foreign invasions, they give us crappy movies, they work at UCLA, they come out with polls that say this, and say that. i live in Rochester, NY, and i can honestly say, wat in gods name has she done for New York? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, AND SCHUMER? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. if you think Obama is the Messiah, you've got something coming to you. Liberals are hippies and tree huggers, and those that sit high on their pedistals, thinking we have NO IDEA how to run our lives. leave us the hell alone, let us keep our dang money, our guns, our SUV's, and the government can defend us, make currency, take care of our roads, etc. i think that's all they need to do.
MCCAIN 08
MCCAIN 08
MCCAIN 08
HELLL TO YOU ALL!
When people speak of experience, my mind goes back to all the experience the current administration has. Judgement is the key, and the neo-cons don't seem to have any at all.
Obama will make a stammering fool out of John McCain in the debates, and the show will be over.
I'm a Independent voter out of Phoenix, Arizona John McCain home state. The Arizona Republic shows John McCain down in his home state. How can he win the midwest states like Colorado, Mexico, or Navada. Go Obama 09
Regardless of what any poll states, McCain will be the next President.
Get used to this Republicans...Swiftboating will not work in this election
I am so sorry to tell you...NEVADA will not be an obama state..
GO PUMAS!!
Big deal this is Richardson's state and he should bring in for Obama.
CNN whats what deleting the posts. You are in no position to lose viewers as O'Reily even beat you the other night with 7 hundred th. more and they aren't even on the floor.
What a huge surprise!
If Obama gets N Mex and Nevada, McCain can take both Ohio and Virg and Obama can still win.
269-269 is a distinct possibly.
Are you kidding me. The next article is tight races in battleground states. I think it is time for all of us to stop getting our news from these people. Because either they are crazy or they want us to believe we are crazy.
The USA will be dead stupid to vote McSame. Don't let prejudice get the better of you!
The Republicans knows how to squander the nation's economy and the Democrats are expert in rebuilding it, now that the Bush administration (Republican) has battered our economy we need Obama (a Democrats) to rebuild it, Just like Bill Clinton did after the old Bush.
CNN changes the polls by the seconds
if you read them carefully
they CNN want us to think we are dumb
the polls who cares, about them,
specially if they are from CNN dont and I repeat DONT put attention
CNN is Clinton National News
they want the clintons back
and or mcbush
that is how this enquirer makes its money
yesterday they said Obama was way behind, today double digits
DONT BELIEVE CNN they want to influence our election,
c
CNN want McClinton McBush and McCAin in power
so they keep the 1% rich very rich
NO WAY NO HOW NO CNN NO MCCLINTON, NO MCBUSH NO MCCAIN AND NO MORE DYNASTIES
well that should give him 5 votes wow what a loser
POW – I read an article on him that said he was "transported to a private apartment with vietnamese women to take care of him" when his fellow prisoners thought he was in solitary confinement.
There are lots of documents on John McCain the Songbird.
Well, I'll try a simple one –
If Obama keeps Kerry's states, and then adds
Iowa – where he's already projected to win
New Mexico – where's he's got a strong position
and Colorado -where it is very tight,
he wins with 273 electoral votes.
If he doesn't get VColorado, but gets Nevada instead, he has 269 and then the House of Reps puts him in (kind of like the Supreme Court in 2000 with President Bush, except the House has explicit authority to act in the case of a tie)
And, he's still competitive in Montana, so that would give him 272 with Nevada.
Didn't say anything about Ohio or Florida, the former where he's slightly up and the latter where he's slightly trailing.
And then there's Virginia where the state will be controlled by Dems once Warner is elected.
So, as the dude told us, it's a different map this year. I think Obama will rewrite it and McCain will be history.
Come on Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Montana, New Mexico, Ohio and Virginia. We need you.
National polls are useless. We do not have a national election. Electoral delegates are awarded at the state level.
McCain will lose by a landslide and they know it. Why do you think so many republicans senators are skipping their convention. The trunout will be extermely high for Democrats. Especially in this election year, more 18 to 29 years old will showup to cast their votes than ever before.
Most of the people who send in to this don't deserve to vote. People who hate McCain and love Obama are fools. Absolute fools. But most of them probably have plenty of time to be on the computer because they are on the government dole. No, that's not Bob Dole you idiots.
McCain/Hutchison in a landslide!
One guy told the following:
Obama/Biden 2008
Obama/Clinton 2012
Clinton/ 2016
Clinton/M.Obama 2020
M.Obama/C.Clinton 2024
M.Obama/C.Clinton 2030
C.Clinton/ 2034
C.Clinton/ 2038
This really sounds good !!
Kind regards from the Netherlands
MCCAIN + ROMNEY = THE WHITE HOUSE!!!!!
GO REPUBLICANS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
GET USE TO THIS "VB"...........PRESIDENT MCCAIN.
Sooo funny the way they list these polls. They forgot to include that Obama has failed to get the "bump" they wanted in the polls–any less the 15 pt bump that was predicted by some.
WE OBAMA / BIDEN SUPPORTERS ARE NOT WORRIED IN THE LEAST BIT NOW THAT WE HAVE PARTY UNITY THERE IS NO STOPPING US!
I believe Obama will win the battleground states that he lost to Hillary Clinton. I have no worries about that whatsoever.