August 27, 2008
Posted: August 27th, 2008 06:00 PM ET

From
CNN's new Electoral Map.
CNN's new Electoral Map.

(CNN) - CNN has shifted the battleground state of New Mexico into Barack Obama's column Wednesday, on the heels of a just-released survey showing the Illinois senator holding a double-digit lead there.

CNN had considered New Mexico a "tossup state," but the re-designation was prompted by a new CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Wednesday showing Obama with a significant 53-40 point lead in the state President Bush narrowly carried in 2004.

The change results in 5 more electoral votes for Obama in CNN's estimate, bringing the Illinois senator's lead over John McCain to 37 electoral votes. (Obama has a total of 226, McCain stands at 189, and 123 electoral votes remain up for grabs).

The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.

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Filed under: Barack Obama • CNN • John McCain


Obama/Biden   August 27th, 2008 10:42 pm ET

It is ridiculous what the republican had done to this country in eight years. Coming from economics surplus from Bill Clinton to deep debt to China. This republican government is handing their white plate over to China and begging to barrow money from them. This has never been the US. Most of the time it always been the other way around. We are the one that used to lend money to the world.
These republican think that they have not done enough to the country and try to scare you away from a chance to take our country back. No way, No how, No McCain.

Desikins   August 27th, 2008 10:34 pm ET

It's because of Bill Richardson! and because everyone hates Bush now YAY!!!!!

Jay   August 27th, 2008 10:08 pm ET

Why Iowa still a toss up?????
Obama's been up in every single poll from there normally from 5 to 9 points. Come on CNN!!!!

ana   August 27th, 2008 10:07 pm ET

This is God acting with power, he knows we need a change!

Veterans for Obama and Ex-Republicans for Obama!   August 27th, 2008 10:05 pm ET

Oh yeah! Go New Mexico! You Barock!!!

C from Texas   August 27th, 2008 10:02 pm ET

Wait till the Rep convention, you'll see more states turn Red. This is too be expected during the Dem convention, wonder why they can't get Colorado? This should tell you something. Can't wait till next week, then you'll see McCain take a big lead in the polls.

McCain '08

John   August 27th, 2008 9:58 pm ET

I am a Latino and I don't see what the republicans have done for Latinos past 8 years, but hurt the economy. I am ready for a positive change – I see that in Obama & Biden ticket. The democrats proved successful during the 8 years Clinton was in office. I have no doubt it will be successful again for another 8 years.

MikeClark   August 27th, 2008 9:53 pm ET

I see CNN is already calling the election. Between running Hillary's now famous "No" trilogy today and its rush to conclude the election, CNN's blatant favoritism has reached epic proportion. Not surprising, just blatant. I wonder if CNN would turn over its corporate operation to a rookie.....

nathan from CA   August 27th, 2008 9:47 pm ET

I have a feeling there will be more blue states on this map in a few weeks

s.positive   August 27th, 2008 9:45 pm ET

Obama is the next president of USA. Wake up folks no man can stop is as GOD Almighty is incharge...

John   August 27th, 2008 9:43 pm ET

I guess Obama will be the first person to win ALL the electorial college votes!! Why don't we just swear him in on Thursday and then we can work on removing the 2 term limit from the Constitution. All Hail Obama! ................... Wow, what a ##$%# nightmare. We need Colin Powell, or Micheal Steele to run for President!

curtis in WI   August 27th, 2008 9:38 pm ET

Why is MN still shown as a toss up state? Obama has led by a double digit margin for months now. How much more solid can you get?

Sarah   August 27th, 2008 9:24 pm ET

I guess CNN will declare Obama the winner of the presidency any minute now. Of course, it won't be the first time CNN has been premature in its declarations. Why don't you people let the election take place before you declare the winner?

Mike, FL   August 27th, 2008 9:23 pm ET

Its surprising Obama is doing well in Nevada and New Mexico considering those are neighboring state for McBush.

If the people who know him best won't vote for him, why should we?

John   August 27th, 2008 9:06 pm ET

"To New Mexico and the Latino population, Obama is NOT going to look out for YOUR best interest.

Obama will place you on the back burner, his main agenda will be to help the AA population advance within THEIR endeavors while YOUR culture/population continues to struggle."

What the h*** makes you think McCain is going to look out for them? He's gonna pander to the white supremacists in the Republican party, Republicans do not care about minorities. Period.

www.votesmartly2008.com   August 27th, 2008 9:06 pm ET

Looking at Map none states Obama needs to win!

John   August 27th, 2008 9:05 pm ET

It's been close through this whole thing.

There were times during the primary that, as an Obama supporter, things looked bad.

Obama got through. We got through. And we won.

We're gonna win in November.

Carl Justus   August 27th, 2008 9:04 pm ET

I believe when most people learn more of Obama and hear his proposals for America his favorable rating will increase and so will his votes.
This country cannot stand with the extended policies of this lying administration. We need an administration that has the ability to work with our allies instead of getting upset with them when they do not do as they are told to do.
We have work with our allies instead of against them.
When Bush goes abroad, they have to close down everything a mile around him to keep him safe. You saw the crowd that Obama had in Germany, and the other countries did not have to close down anything to keep him safe.

QG   August 27th, 2008 9:02 pm ET

Dems,

Let's get to work. There are many people out there that are eligible to vote but not registered. Let's do our part as team members and get some of the un-registered on track.

Jeff   August 27th, 2008 8:59 pm ET

The Obama organization is on the ground and running hard in conservative Southwestern Ohio. I've watched 4 pre4sidential; elections here and never seen anything like it. McCains going to get his butt handed to him.

Obama/Biden 08

Joe Reg   August 27th, 2008 8:58 pm ET

Good news!

America has a surprise in store for McCain and I hope he can take smoothly. No more repubs this year, not this time.

Obama/Biden 08/12.

Wake up America   August 27th, 2008 8:55 pm ET

No Way, No How, No John McCain !!!

He is a dangerous man! He has the wrong experience ! He doesn't understand the issues!

Vote for America, Vote for OBAMA/ Biden 08

R.O.B.   August 27th, 2008 8:54 pm ET

Welcome aboard New Mexico!!!

OBAMA / BIDEN '08

will ny   August 27th, 2008 8:54 pm ET

The tide from red to blue will continue over the next months... Obama has at least 30 offices set up in Pennsylvania already... and yes he's been doing small town picnic visits in addition to the large crowds...

As for "getting to know the candidate"

Keating 5 ...... that hasn't even been pulled out of the bag yet.

Erika, KS   August 27th, 2008 8:53 pm ET

Yeah, right. Wait until November. Your little polls are meaningless. Obama is a racist do nothing, done thing, zero! Think people!

No Hillary = No Obama   August 27th, 2008 8:52 pm ET

I don't believe one thing CNN reports with it's Obama-bias running rampant. What goes up. usually comes down. Wait and see.

RyanD.   August 27th, 2008 8:44 pm ET

McCain suffers from PTSD. We must keep his finger off the button, he'll be Bush on steroids with his cowboy diplomacy.

Obama-Biden 08'

RyanD.   August 27th, 2008 8:43 pm ET

lol @ Republicans having any Latino's "best interests" in mind.

Laughable.

If you aren't old, white and rich (all 3) I don't see any reason you'd vote for these screw ups. Even then its arguable what they'd do for you.

Obama-Biden 08'

doob   August 27th, 2008 8:42 pm ET

This is just the beginning folks!!!

Go Obama!!

TN FOR OBAMA   August 27th, 2008 8:42 pm ET

SP E N D—T I M E——-E X A M I N I N G—–C A N D I D A T E S——-

A N D———–T H E I R—–P A S T S:

KEATING FIVE – KEATING FIVE – KEATING FIVE – KEATING FIVE

LEAVE YOUR WIFE IF SHE DOESN'T LOOK LIKE A MODEL!!!!!

"I WAS *NEVER* PROUD OF AMERICA.......UNTIL I WAS DEPRIVED OF HER FREEDOM!" <-------- what ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

Susan S.   August 27th, 2008 8:41 pm ET

Thank you New Mexico for seeing the light and not getting distracted by McCain idiots and Clinton dead-enders.

go Obama!

Silence Dogood   August 27th, 2008 8:40 pm ET

from ThankYou: "Thank you Hillary supporters for taking all the criticism "

Very nice to say, but it begs the question: Why did the Obama campaign have to make it so negative in the first place? His followers thought it was OK to spew hate and sexism.

It didn't have to be this way. And if he loses, there are some serious questions to answer.

Voting for Obama   August 27th, 2008 8:39 pm ET

Obama/Biden 2008!!!!!

RWT   August 27th, 2008 8:37 pm ET

Wow, CNN already predicted that Obama will win the election in November, and it's now only August ? I think CNN somehow gets the US mixed up with North Korea, China or Cuba where election results are known months in advance.

Colo Sprgs, CO   August 27th, 2008 8:31 pm ET

John McCain is DANGEROUS for America. Choose wisely, choose OBAMA/BIDEN '08!

Daryl from Seattle   August 27th, 2008 8:30 pm ET

Uh huh, I honestly think Obama is winning in every state by the same margin right now, except for West Virginia and maybe Arizona. I think CNN's so called "Poll of Polls" is their own creation to try and make this race seem closer than it really is. Why? For attention and sponsorship. Look at their numbers....they just hit the Billion mark so obviously that's what it's all about for this news station.

Don't chicken out and not post this either CNN moderator.

CNN-moderator   August 27th, 2008 8:28 pm ET

This fine piece of marginally profound speculation has been brought to you by CNN's finest news t- I mean-Tarot card readers.

Stay tuned for more biased, subjective, and journalistically limp "reporting". I use the term reporting very, very loosely.

Clinton/McCain   August 27th, 2008 8:25 pm ET

Your poll is an outlier. Two recent polls have Obama ahead by just 4 and McCain ahead by 4. Who did you poll? Let me guess. Jack Cafferty, Gloria Borger, Wolf Blitzer and Donna Brazille? Stop the bias!

Filipina   August 27th, 2008 8:22 pm ET

Landslide is coming!!!!!!!!
Obama/Biden

brian   August 27th, 2008 8:20 pm ET

uhhh sandra, he IS speaking tonight. check out the scheduled speakers. he's scheduled to speak right before clinton.

Francisco Anguiano   August 27th, 2008 8:10 pm ET

Go Democrats. Filibuster proof, democratic majority in Congress.

flavoter   August 27th, 2008 8:08 pm ET

After the Republcan convention and the same old smear tactics that people are so tired of, more states will follow New Mexico very quickly.

The republicans biggest mistake will be when they openly play the race card .... That is the last straw tactic that will show they are a defeated party ( call it there hail Mary).....Bring it on Carl....McCain for change what a joke...Bush has already caused a turn over.....And the Dems are about to score..

President Obama the year 2008!!!!

A-man   August 27th, 2008 8:05 pm ET

Michigan and Florida should be in Obama's as well. All McCain has done is run negative ads, not one ad on what he would do. Why does he not run an ad of his resume: Wife beater (ex wife now, left her for the current one), abandoner of crippled child, supporter of all bushes policies, sufferer of post war syndrom, and as he posts his resume to be president they can show him as a string puppet with a Sadie controlling his string, and a string puppet of Bush laying in the corner.

Nick FL   August 27th, 2008 8:04 pm ET

And so the waterfall begins...

prab   August 27th, 2008 8:03 pm ET

yes, finally something good is happening in this election! I really hope that Obama carries most of the states, if not all!

Sandra Ramos   August 27th, 2008 8:00 pm ET

Why isn't the media questioning why Richardson isn't one of the speakers tonight.
He is good with foreign policy.
Was he on the short list?
Villaraigoisa was not asked to speak....don't you think the Obama
camp would consider asking Richardson who has worked many years with foreign policy....??? What's up with that. Why should Hispanics back Obama, if he is not going to recognize their successes?? He should not take Hispanics vote for granted...
many Hispanics are Republicians or on the fence? Like me...

S. Boatman   August 27th, 2008 7:58 pm ET

Obama Is Going To Win The Election! Anyone Who Thinks Its Close Does Not Know What They Are Taking About! Mccain Will Not Be Elected Because Of His Old Ideas And Continuation Of The Failed Bush Policies!

Nick - Arlington, VA   August 27th, 2008 7:56 pm ET

NM has been leaning obama since the beginning and so has Wisconsin and Iowa...what is taking so long to change the map?

Bennie G   August 27th, 2008 7:56 pm ET

Add it up. Obama has no chance. He can carry no southern state and no candidate has ever won the Presidency without carrying southern states. Biden?? Forget it. He's not even known in the south. Sorry and regretfully, but the DNC has orchestrated another Repbulican victory. Reform the DNC OR forget the Democrat Party. Hey, not a bad idea, SCARP THE DEMOCRAT PARTY. Scrap the Democrats and form a new party. Worth PURSUING! And, guess what, I am a lifelong Democrat and have never voted for a Repbulican. I wil in 2008.

Thank You   August 27th, 2008 7:54 pm ET

Yes We Can!
It was so wonderful to watch Hillary make the motion for Barack's nomination… two people who fought an intense battle with many hurt feelings left over came together and made peace in order to represent all people and all our opinions as best they can.

That's the American way.

Thank you Hillary supporters for taking all the criticism and for standing up for such a patriot and fighter for this country.

I look forward to seeing much more of her… and more states swaying to the Democratic side!!!

Let's get this country back where she belongs!!!!!

jeanette   August 27th, 2008 7:53 pm ET

We are now the United Democrats of America – we're fired up and ready to campaign!
God Bless the United States of America!

Vote Smart – Obama-Biden '08!

McCain is a puppet   August 27th, 2008 7:52 pm ET

The Republicans are liars.

McCain and his team just keep repeating total lies and falsehoods over and over again in the hopes that we will all start to believe that they are true.

Republicans are dangerous for our children.

Thank You   August 27th, 2008 7:49 pm ET

It was so wonderful to watch Hillary make the motion for Barack's nomination... two people who fought an intense battle with many hurt feelings left over came together and made peace in order to represent all people and all our opinions as best they can.

That's the American way.

Thank you Hillary supporters for taking all the criticism and for standing up for such a patriot and fighter for this country.

I look forward to seeing much more of her... and more states swaying to the Democratic side!!!

Let's get this country back where she belongs!!!!!

tennisguypitt   August 27th, 2008 7:47 pm ET

Too bad it doesn't mean anything. But it's a start. I just hope it isn't the Bradley Effect!

Obama '08

Proud Democrat   August 27th, 2008 7:45 pm ET

Go Obama / Biden!!!!

McCain!   August 27th, 2008 7:42 pm ET

To New Mexico and the Latino population, Obama is NOT going to look out for YOUR best interest.

Obama will place you on the back burner, his main agenda will be to help the AA population advance within THEIR endeavors while YOUR culture/population continues to struggle.

JUAN C AR LOS   August 27th, 2008 7:41 pm ET

S P E N D-T I M E---E X A M I N I N G-–C A N D I D A T E S---

A N D---–T H E I R-–P A S T S

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