ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) — Roughly nine weeks before Election Day, a new CNN poll of polls shows Barack Obama holding a five point lead over John McCain. Only four days after Obama’s acceptance speech and three days after McCain’s pick of Sarah Palin as his running mate, Obama is now ahead of McCain, 49 to 44 percent.
CNN’s previous poll of polls, released August 24, showed Obama leading McCain by four points, 46 to 42 percent.
“Any bounce Obama might have received out of his party’s convention appears to have largely negated by McCain’s surprise selection of Gov. Palin as his running mate,” said CNN Political Editor Mark Preston. “This race has been close all along, and is unlikely to change.”
The three polls included in CNN’s latest national survey average were conducted by CBS, CNN/Opinion Research Corporation, and Gallup. They were each conducted from August 29 to 31. The poll of polls does not have a margin of error.
These public polls are a joke. They are based on 2004 turnout models, and John Kerry did not motivate young and black voters the way that Obama does. Take these polls and add an extra 4 or 5 points for Obama.
And the Palin pick seals the deal for the democrats. McCain had a chance to make a play for independent voters but instead he chose an extreme right winger who doesn't even support abortion in the cases of rape and incest, and who's extreme views on abstinence only education are even more out of touch with reality than McCain is.
In a year when democratic registration leads republican registration by 10-12 percentage points, McCain needed to make a VP pick that would court the moderates. He didn't. He decided to rally his base, which of course is a lot smaller than the democratic base. And he alienated moderates.
There are other dimensions to his incompetence. In the battle for electoral votes, McCain has unilaterally disarmed in Iowa (ethanol) and New Mexico and Colorado (water rights). Add those states to Kerry's 252 and McCain has basically ceded this election to Obama.
He'd probably run the country the way he's running his campaign, which is to say, like George W. Bush, incompetently.
Just say no.
Of course Obama is our next president! What are you up to CNN? Slim lead? Fiddlesticks! Your wording skews the fact that Obama has a solid lead!
mmmm... All you Obama fans are so sensitive . So insecure just like your rock star candid is! So interesting how he picked someone so much older as VP. Insecure he is! McCain on the other hand picked A young running mate! confidence !!! That is why he only leads by 5 points. There are many americans who are not buying the Rock Star performances and the preaching style.
"loosing," huh? At least CNN still knows how to spell!
you will be amazed after the convention the mcain will lead to obama because of sarah palin
Obama 50% McCain 43%
have anybody ever thought about what the republicans would have said if this pregnancy story had come out about a democratic nominee?now all they do is spin spin and spin-'its a private matter'-since when has something like that about democrats been private matter to republicans?the first time the country expect a presidential decision from Mcsame he failed so woefully.
If the polls was only landlines, it's a huge lead-the young people supporting Obama have cell phones, whose numbers are not available to pollsters. So give me a poll with the youth vote included, and I bet Obama is up by 20 points. Palin and her lies won't get them excited about McCain or bad Republican policy. They see their parents struggling, grandparents having to choose medicine or food, and no answers at all from the Republicans except "no new taxes." Oh, and don't forget that big job opportunity-come serve in the military and protect our country from ourselves. Not gonna cut it this year.
John is killing our Republican party,let's vote Ron paul.
More interestingly, the polls from Gallup and Rasmussen are even larger, yet due to polling characteristics, its hard for anybody to be able to put a finger on the real numbers. I think its more important to pay attention to the Electoral map.
don't sell the young people short. being young does not mean they can't evaluate the difference between what Obama says and what Obama does. I'm sure that after realising that all of his proposals are variations of other candidates and his plans to implement them are all based on ifs they are very capable of making the right decisions
I believe that quote about the Obama campaign bump from the Dem election was from a previous article which referred to a 49 – 48 CNN poll. If this new info is correct, Obama "has" received a bit of a bump.....or McCain's support has dipped by 4 pts.
Wolf Blitzer cannot let alone something that should be private. This is why I rarely watch cnn. They have been in the tank for obama and did not check him out and now want to destroy palin and her daughter. He has been told by everybody to leave it alone and he won't. Why does cnn have investigators in Alaska looking for every piece of dirt that could possibly be spoken? I can not see why anyone would want to put up with the news people to become one of our candicates. Nothing is sacred. STOP.
You are just showing how sorry you are.
McCain/Palin will be the next President/Vice-President!!!
I LOVE CAMPBELL BROWN!!!
She does not hold back on the issues!!!
THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR ASKING TUCKER MY QUESTIONS ABOUT SARA PALIN
Hard to believe anyone can think of these two (McCain/Palin) running anything except their mouths.
I don't want 90% of the same
I don't trust these polls. No one has pooled me for years. These pollsters only poll a bunch old people totally leaving the young who don't stay home by their phones waiting to be polled. We're in the 21st. Century and 99.999999% of Americans can be found on Cell phones and on the move constantly. The Young have no time to stop and be polled. Factor this into the polling equation and you find that Obama may be about 15% or more ahead.
Sorry CNN Sen. McCain made a bad pick of V.P running mate we do not need VP On the job trainning this country need someone who is ready to lead. Sen Obama/Biden 2009.