September 3rd, 2008
04:10 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama widening lead in battleground states

Obama is up in key battleground states.
Obama is up in key battleground states.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) - A new poll suggests that Barack Obama is widening his lead over John McCain in two battleground states but indicates the race is dead even in Ohio, the state that decided the last presidential election.

In a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Wednesday afternoon, 55 percent of Iowa registered voters who were questioned said that Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 40 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona.

That’s more than double the lead that Obama had in a University of Iowa poll taken early last month.

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state - even in the western counties where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa - not something you see in many other states."

Iowa’s caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama towards the Democratic presidential nomination.

“Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state,” CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider said. “He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth. Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started.”

It appears to be a similar story here in Minnesota, where the Republicans are holding their national convention this week.

The poll indicates that Obama has a 12-point lead over McCain, 53 percent to 41 percent. That’s up slightly from a 10-point lead Obama held in a Humphrey Institute survey taken last month.

"It's important to note that today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from the GOP convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivites started in Saint Paul," Holland said. "This could be Obama's high-water mark in those states."

It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.

President Bush’s narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his reelection. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests he has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey’s 3.5 percentage-point sampling error.

So why’s Ohio different that Iowa and Minnesota?

“In Iowa and Minnesota, white voters are backing Obama,” Schneider said. “In Ohio, white voters are supporting McCain. What about those blue-collar white voters that were so important for Clinton in Ohio? They're pretty solidly for McCain.”

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was taken August 31-September 2, with 828 registered votes in Iowa, 742 registered voters in Minnesota, and 685 registered voters in Ohio questioned by telephone.

soundoff (295 Responses)
  1. Texas

    Yes we can and yes we will.

    Obama/Biden 08

    September 3, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  2. Milton

    It's not over yet, although this is a promising sign. Keep the TRUTHFUL message going and FIGHT THE SMEARS AND DISTRACTIONS! This election is about the ISSUES, NOT the PERSONALITIES!

    September 3, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  3. Peter

    Obama-Biden ticket is the best thing that ever happened to the USA in many years. Yes we can! with intelligent diplomacy a strong military and yes green energy to power american industries! yes we can!!!!!!!!!! God bless Obama-Biden!! !!!!!!!!!!God bless America!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 3, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  4. Susan

    My Husband and I were watching the convention last night just like we did the Dem. convention. We live in America -right ! So we were wondering where the Hispanics , Asian Americans, ect, ect, ect , were.
    Maybe it was just poor panning on the camramans part .

    September 3, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  5. Mike, Neb.

    Who cares about Ohio, or Florida for that matter. It would be nice for Obama to pick them up, but like he said before, its not a losing situation if he doesnt. All he needs to do is keep the states Kerry won in 2004 which wont be hard, plus pick up either New Mexico/Colorado or Virginia and he wins

    September 3, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  6. Greg

    Brian: "Don't be fooled again USA. For eight years, the GOP has pulled the wool over your eyes. Every citizen deserves a basic medical plan, not just the few who can afford it."

    NO THEY DO NOT!! Socialized medicine is the LAST thing this country needs. What we need to do is stop the invasion of Socialist ideas into our politics. It simply does not belong in this country.

    If your job doesn't provide healthcare, get a better job, if you can't get a better job, get an education. Basically...do what EVERYONE else does to succeed!! It's not that difficult. Unfortunately, for the lazy out there it will take some effort. Suck it up...everyone else does!!

    If you can't make it in a capitalist society, by all means find a Socialist country to call home. But, DO NOT change America into a Socialist country!!

    September 3, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  7. Texas

    Come on Ohio. Don't be hood-winked, bamboozled again.
    8 is enough.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    September 3, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  8. shadowgovernment

    Go'Bama, go!

    September 3, 2008 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  9. Ralph Williams

    First of all....I am for Obama.

    What I can't understand is why the Demos do not counter the Repubs when they say that Palin has more executive experience than Obama.

    With this "Executive Experience" as a key criteria, only Governors would be eligible for the Presidency. And when you look at who is now president and remember that he was a governor, that really gives you some insight that being a governor is not necessarily the best training ground for president.

    September 3, 2008 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  10. Peter of Oregon

    The Republican politics of deception, spin and lies are backfiring on them. Enough is enough!

    September 3, 2008 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  11. Sherry for Obama

    Praise the Lord'
    Obama is what America needs to get us out of the mess that the republican's have done.
    Obama will win by a landslide.......YES!!!!!

    September 3, 2008 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  12. Grace Needed

    My biggest concern with the Republican Party as an Independent, is that they would nominate Senator McCain for our President. He is showing signs of Alzheimer's – repeating himself frequently in short unscripted speeches, having problems remembering the name of his running mate and where she is from (had to have it on an index card), erratic emotions with agitation and outbursts, and poor judgment in not vetting his VP selection, not to mention lying about it – saying the FBI did a background check when they never even do that for anyone on a short list. He is no longer a maverick but more of the same – the US versus The world Neo-con mentality that will only get us into more wars and no support from other countries with his confrontational mentality. He is living the 70's over again. In his mind, it is still a battle against Communism. I feel sorry for him and think he needs help.

    September 3, 2008 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  13. danel

    BECAUSE OF YOU.. YOU GAVE US OBAMA. THANK YOU, IOWA!!

    September 3, 2008 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  14. OBAMA&BIDEN 2008

    SARA WHO?!? not in my America!!! We can't take the risk!

    YES WE CAN!!! OBAMA & BIDEN

    September 3, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  15. Gail

    McCains VP pick is
    Palin
    comparison to Joe Biden

    September 3, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  16. Colo Sprgs, CO

    Palin asked for over $200 million in earmarks for 660K pop Alaska. What on earth would you need all that money for? She supported B2N and now doesn't, so she raised funds for the project and now dumped it? Where did the money go for B2N? Sorry, we don't need any more thieves in the Whitehouse.

    September 3, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  17. Darrel from Denver

    No surprise here. He is the better candidate and the more popular one.

    September 3, 2008 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  18. DIRTY OBAMA

    Why are the white people in iowa so stupid to vote for obama. Are you people completely nuts. Do you not think what will happen to this country!

    September 3, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  19. SARA

    McCAIN SELECTION FOR HIS RUNNING MATE FOR VP CONFIRMS HIS POOR DECISION MAKING ABILITY.THIS LADY HAS TO MANY PERSONAL PROBLEMS TO TAKIE ON A DEMANDING POSITION LIKE VP.PLUS SHE HAS NOT GONE THROUGH THE POST PARTUM STAGES FROM HAVING A BABY YET.IT COULD BE DANGEROUS FOR HER TO TAKE ON THIS MUCH STRESS AS VP IN ADDITION TO ALL OF HER PRESENT EXISTING PROBLEMS.SHE NEEDS TO GET HER PRIORITIES IN ORDER.

    September 3, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  20. tarrie

    My girl Hillary said it best, No way, No how, No McCain.

    September 3, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
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