September 3rd, 2008
04:10 PM ET
10 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama widening lead in battleground states

Obama is up in key battleground states.

Obama is up in key battleground states.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) - A new poll suggests that Barack Obama is widening his lead over John McCain in two battleground states but indicates the race is dead even in Ohio, the state that decided the last presidential election.

In a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Wednesday afternoon, 55 percent of Iowa registered voters who were questioned said that Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 40 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona.

That’s more than double the lead that Obama had in a University of Iowa poll taken early last month.

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state - even in the western counties where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa - not something you see in many other states."

Iowa’s caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama towards the Democratic presidential nomination.

“Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state,” CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider said. “He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth. Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started.”

It appears to be a similar story here in Minnesota, where the Republicans are holding their national convention this week.

The poll indicates that Obama has a 12-point lead over McCain, 53 percent to 41 percent. That’s up slightly from a 10-point lead Obama held in a Humphrey Institute survey taken last month.

"It's important to note that today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from the GOP convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivites started in Saint Paul," Holland said. "This could be Obama's high-water mark in those states."

It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.

President Bush’s narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his reelection. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests he has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey’s 3.5 percentage-point sampling error.

So why’s Ohio different that Iowa and Minnesota?

“In Iowa and Minnesota, white voters are backing Obama,” Schneider said. “In Ohio, white voters are supporting McCain. What about those blue-collar white voters that were so important for Clinton in Ohio? They're pretty solidly for McCain.”

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was taken August 31-September 2, with 828 registered votes in Iowa, 742 registered voters in Minnesota, and 685 registered voters in Ohio questioned by telephone.

soundoff (295 Responses)

    W A I T---T I L L--–G O V E R N O R---B A R R A C U D A---

    B E G I N S--–T O---I M P A C T--P O L L S---I N--

    A B O U T---10 --–D A Y S

    September 3, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  2. Luis

    Obama Zombies,

    Polls mean nothing – America will not buy the hype in November.

    People are just waiting for the chance to cast that vote. The arrogance of the media and Obama is going to bite them.

    Or as Obama's "spiritual mentor" once stated "The chickens are coming home to roost" on Obama's head.....

    Vote McCain or join the insane....

    September 3, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  3. Latina for Obama...NJ



    September 3, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  4. ct

    Ohio don't give us another Bush! My god don't get fooled AGAIN, pleaaaase, no more republican mess.

    September 3, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  5. Luis

    Polls.......reported by CNN (now ONN)


    See what happens in November..

    September 3, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  6. "I BELIEVE"

    Of course he is!

    September 3, 2008 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  7. beth

    Thank God! We can't risk a 72 year old neocon with a journalism major as second in command to run the country.

    September 3, 2008 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  8. longhairs for obama

    obama! next POTUS! only candidate with positive campaign.

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  9. Finally

    People are starting to wake up and realize that bad decisions are still being made, and will continue to be made if allowed. And it only took the collective country 8 years lol. Wow, that is pathetic.

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  10. Not voting for McScare Me

    We will not be fooled by the soothsayers in the republican party. It is obvious palin is another condeleeza rice and they will not be in our white house. The whole world is praying for Obama and God will answer our prayers. Republicans do not own God. Obama 08

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  11. JB

    Not a surprise with the cheerleader McCain chose so unwisely!

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  12. Spoiler

    LOL im literally watching this news break on CNN.
    Im jumping up in joy

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |

    This is great!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I hope the tide rolls in soon,,.................. The republicans think we are stupid.......... WE AREN"T STUPID. . I am soo o sick this country is so Divided..................... I really am praying daily for there great men to be in the white house.

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  14. Ed, FL

    No news that was expected. Since Mcsame has chosen this moose hunter, gun toting extreme right with no experience for vice president i told all my coworker. Mcain can kiss the presidency goodby.

    September 3, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  15. Rudy NYC

    They dice are rolling.

    Still rolling.

    Still .... still rolling, John.

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  16. Michelle, PA

    Obama can't win 'em all, but he can sure try – suddenly good judgment goes a long way.

    McCain/Palin – Ambition First

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  17. cherry strawberry

    YAY Barrack....But we cant get so excited that we dont go vote yawl. this election especially. EVERY VOTE COUNTS!

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  18. gl

    I see Ohio still have a lot of stupid people. You would think they have learned their lesson. No more McBush please!

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |

    We Iowans know how to pick um!!! We can see through the BS better than most. We also are a "common sense" State so we can't be easily fooled.

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  20. JDC // Ohio

    The "polls" are basiclly meaningless at this time!

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  21. Richenel ( the Netherlands EU)

    And that's why Obama really should be the next president. Smart and a lot of organizational skills.

    Obama/ Biden 08-12 and beyond !

    September 3, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |

    O B A M A,,,,,,,,C A M P,,,,,,,,,,C A N,,,,,,,,,,,F I N AL L Y,,,,,,,,,,R E S T ! ! !

    T A K E,,,,,,,,,,,A,,,,,,,,,,,,B R E A K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,S A R A H,,,,,,,,,,,,I S,,,,,,,,,,N O T,,,,,,

    G O I N G,,,,,,,,,T O ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,H U R T,,,,,,,,,,Y O U

    September 3, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  23. Former republican white man from california for Obama

    And there you have it that is what happens when you show the rest of the country and the independents that the republican party is now completely taken over by radical right wing nut extremist and there new VP fit right in. the convention last night was horrible looking into the audience it was nothing but old pasty white men! I fit into that group also but I do not see the USA as being for white people only. It was sick!

    September 3, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  24. Bonnie

    This means Americans are paying attention. Our economy is in serious trouble and we need answers, not more of the same fear tactics.

    September 3, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  25. mariel

    Obama will continue widening the lead because the McCain campaign is looking completely ridiculous.

    September 3, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
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