September 3rd, 2008
04:10 PM ET
10 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama widening lead in battleground states

Obama is up in key battleground states.

Obama is up in key battleground states.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) - A new poll suggests that Barack Obama is widening his lead over John McCain in two battleground states but indicates the race is dead even in Ohio, the state that decided the last presidential election.

In a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Wednesday afternoon, 55 percent of Iowa registered voters who were questioned said that Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 40 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona.

That’s more than double the lead that Obama had in a University of Iowa poll taken early last month.

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state - even in the western counties where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa - not something you see in many other states."

Iowa’s caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama towards the Democratic presidential nomination.

“Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state,” CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider said. “He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth. Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started.”

It appears to be a similar story here in Minnesota, where the Republicans are holding their national convention this week.

The poll indicates that Obama has a 12-point lead over McCain, 53 percent to 41 percent. That’s up slightly from a 10-point lead Obama held in a Humphrey Institute survey taken last month.

"It's important to note that today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from the GOP convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivites started in Saint Paul," Holland said. "This could be Obama's high-water mark in those states."

It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.

President Bush’s narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his reelection. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests he has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey’s 3.5 percentage-point sampling error.

So why’s Ohio different that Iowa and Minnesota?

“In Iowa and Minnesota, white voters are backing Obama,” Schneider said. “In Ohio, white voters are supporting McCain. What about those blue-collar white voters that were so important for Clinton in Ohio? They're pretty solidly for McCain.”

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was taken August 31-September 2, with 828 registered votes in Iowa, 742 registered voters in Minnesota, and 685 registered voters in Ohio questioned by telephone.

soundoff (295 Responses)
  1. Rick in NC

    If I was a republican (Thank you Jesus it ain't true) I would be dissing the polls just like these other viewers are but saying it don't make it so. The Repubs are seeing the result of a loose cannon at the head of their party. Wait until this things really gets going.

    September 3, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  2. carol-NC

    i read that McCain's VP will resign after taking office so McCain can appoint who he wants.

    The republican are on the word game, it funny that all republican speek the same words over and over hoping you will think it to be the truth.

    I done with the republican party. The say anything and do nothing for the real people.

    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |

    It's gradually sinking in – even MN and Iowa are coming out of the fog and realizing:


    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |







    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  5. Foreign Observer

    Apparently, John McCain's campaign manager told the Washington Post yesterday that "this election is not about issues." Perhaps Ohio agrees?

    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  6. Linda from Prescott AZ

    Yes, we will prevail!

    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  7. wow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    teen pregnancy will rise in the US of A because of that runner up.....didn't take a good care of the family

    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  8. Patrick Charlto

    Why is it that the democrats and CNN say McCains selection is not right to be Vice President when in fact she has more experience than Obama?

    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  9. HB

    Using John's logic she is more qualified to be president than he is. I do not recall him being a govenor or even a major. Can someone please explain this double standard? Heck if you think about it she is more qualifed then Hillary!

    September 3, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  10. randy

    Why is Ohio different?

    Look at what happened in the 2004 election in Ohio...

    September 3, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  11. Donna from Colorado Springs

    It's really funny to see the republicans running in circles and chasing their tales to get their choice for veep caught up on what she has to know.They really didn't do a lot of advanced planning, did they? In my opinion, they are getting everything they deserve. They tried to pull a fastone on the rest of the country, and now their going crazy trying to show that she knows what the hell she's talking about!

    September 3, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  12. Double Check

    I heard this on the radio today when a voter wanted to make sure she was register to vote. Well, come to find out she was not.

    Please blog, alert others to make sure they are register.

    To make sure they are in the right district before it get to late.

    We need no problems at the poll.

    Yes We Can Do This!!......

    September 3, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  13. Tim

    I agree with Luis – polls mean nothing. Especially considering the millions of young people with no land line to answer the pollsters, who will vote Obama by a 2 to 1 margin!

    September 3, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  14. Tony

    Patriot, you forgot to mention Sarah Palin's other qualifications:

    1. Excellent high school basketball player. (She may even be able to dunk the ball.)

    2. Miss Congeniality in an Alaskan beauty pageant. (Knows how walk in high heels.)

    3. Excellent shot when hunting elk, deer and caribou. (No more Cheney-type hunting accidents.)

    4. Knows how to be tough with librarians who stock troublesome books. (No more Shakespeare!)

    September 3, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  15. Sandy

    Mccain Palin can't win them all either.

    September 3, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  16. spikeaus

    Beware! Palin is just Dick Cheney in a dress........She was chairwoman of the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission, 2003-04. As soon as she's sworne in she'll restart the 'secret' energy committee that Cheney left behind.

    September 3, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  17. max

    the neopukes wanted to blame someone for the landslide loss so they chose a cute, cheerleader, beauty queen ... these senile, war-mongers hypocrites never cease to amaze me with their party tricks and down right criminal behavior ... even scarier is that the bushbot sheep buy this crap ...

    September 3, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  18. tigerakabj

    That's cool but there is still much work to do. The only poll that truly counts is on November 4.

    McCain should just hand the election over to Barack. He is incompetent.

    Obama/Biden 2008/2012.

    September 3, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  19. Dee

    Shame these polls are rigged in favor of Obama..Wait till McCains landslide on Nov. 4...Not everyone is buying into the Obama propgaanda

    September 3, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  20. California Gold

    During the VP debates the moderators should press for detailed answers to serious issues having to do with global economy, foreign diplomacy, Israel, Georgia-Russia relations and stability in Eastern Europe, and not just "I support diplomacy" or "We should bomb them". How about the balance in the Supreme Court and important decisions that may be impacted by another appointment, i.e. Roe v. Wade. Details. No slogans. See how Palin measures up. If she comes off as tough talking and rough around the edges, that is not going to compensate for her lack of credentials, experience and education. She is going to have to scramble to keep up with Biden.

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  21. Lopez

    No More McSame, No McCain!!!

    Obama/Biden 2008!!!

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  22. Rebecca Allen Blair

    John McCain showed all America his judgement in judgeing his runnning mate. He,s so busy trying to get the women vote that he choose someone that i would not trust to run this country fi she were put into the number one spot. i don,t trust him any more than her.

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  23. Shirley-Ohio

    You have to be true to the American people. It is going to be a trickle down effect for McCain. McCain picked a VP candidate without thinking of the American people, the most important decision of his life. McCain messed up. He will get the Evengilical vote but he lose the vote with others.

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  24. Duke

    As noted before, the Dems are resting and I agree Sarah could never hurt the Dems, you flatter yourself.

    I also agree with the poster that says that polls don't matter, they really don't, i.e. unless the Repugs are ahead then they are quoted to high heaven.

    The only thing that matters is Election Day. I will say this about polls, they don't take into account people without landlines. Everyone pretty much agrees that the majority of those people are Obama supporters. So, add another 3 – 5% to Obama's poll lead.

    I really don't think the repugs here understand that they really are in for an electoral blood bath.

    I tell you though, Palin appears to be very good for fundraising. The conservatives are really starting to dig deep into their pockets. That is a positive for McCain, but I just don't think that it is going to be enough.

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  25. S. Boatman

    This Means That All Of Us Democrats Must Get Out And Vote For Obama! Dont Just Talk About It. . . Do It! Its Not Over Till Its Over!

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
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