September 3rd, 2008
04:10 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama widening lead in battleground states

Obama is up in key battleground states.
Obama is up in key battleground states.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) - A new poll suggests that Barack Obama is widening his lead over John McCain in two battleground states but indicates the race is dead even in Ohio, the state that decided the last presidential election.

In a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Wednesday afternoon, 55 percent of Iowa registered voters who were questioned said that Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 40 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona.

That’s more than double the lead that Obama had in a University of Iowa poll taken early last month.

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state - even in the western counties where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa - not something you see in many other states."

Iowa’s caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama towards the Democratic presidential nomination.

“Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state,” CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider said. “He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth. Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started.”

It appears to be a similar story here in Minnesota, where the Republicans are holding their national convention this week.

The poll indicates that Obama has a 12-point lead over McCain, 53 percent to 41 percent. That’s up slightly from a 10-point lead Obama held in a Humphrey Institute survey taken last month.

"It's important to note that today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from the GOP convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivites started in Saint Paul," Holland said. "This could be Obama's high-water mark in those states."

It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.

President Bush’s narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his reelection. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests he has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey’s 3.5 percentage-point sampling error.

So why’s Ohio different that Iowa and Minnesota?

“In Iowa and Minnesota, white voters are backing Obama,” Schneider said. “In Ohio, white voters are supporting McCain. What about those blue-collar white voters that were so important for Clinton in Ohio? They're pretty solidly for McCain.”

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was taken August 31-September 2, with 828 registered votes in Iowa, 742 registered voters in Minnesota, and 685 registered voters in Ohio questioned by telephone.

soundoff (295 Responses)
  1. The Times They Are A Changin'

    Great news-thanks. People are seeing through the McCain/Palin charade. Despite what the far righties/C3 people think-they are in the minority; America is not an extreme nation and won't put up with the GOP anymore.

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  2. Mark

    This republican ticket is pathetic. Sarah Palin is a certified right-wing over-the-nut case. It's been fun to read the GOP whiners slinging around the "left wing media bias" myth some more. They certainly hate scrutiny.

    The Obama/Biden ticket is clearly the superior choice. While I don't agree with them on everything, they look like the better bet of these two choices.

    The only thing standing in Obama's way at this point is the potency of racism in this Country today.

    September 3, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  3. Celeste

    Amen.

    September 3, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  4. ANGIE

    GOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OBAMA/BIDEN YES WE CAN YES WE WILL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 3, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  5. Eric

    The only polling that matters is November 4th. Obama said it best earlier, Republicans have done a questionable job in the leadership position in the past eight years, but they DO know how to win elections. For all accounts, there is NO WAY Bush should have won in 2004, but he did.

    Democrats don't get lulled to sleep by these numbers. Get in the trenches and get fired up...if not you'll wake up that first Wednesday in November to a McCain/Palin election victory.

    Obama/Biden '08

    September 3, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  6. Some Women Understand

    Three cheers for Glenn Becks interview on CNN...

    Oh by the way, perhaps Gov. Palin could get a fair shake if it weren't for Campbell Brown and Cafferty!

    Brown & Cafferty?! Objectivity??????

    One dare not say anything about Obama.

    September 3, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  7. Jim

    And thanks, Really, for that view from Bizarro World...

    September 3, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  8. Kate

    This news is exciting, but we still have 2 months to go. Obama supporters, keep your nose to the grindstone! Donate your time and money! As he said, this isn't about him, it's about US! So let's keep crackin'!!
    Obama/Biden '08

    September 3, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  9. Praetorian, Fort Myers

    Good for him it's great he's hanging in there.

    Now –next time do your polling outside of the Mall or a Wal-Mart instead of between the college campus and StarBucks.

    Bet your results will be different.

    September 3, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  10. White and Black support for Obama

    Thank goodness Americans are wake!

    Message for those who are still sleep the bus will leave soon, wake them up and let them be part of the history.

    God Bless you for realizing Obama has the answer to lead the country wisely.

    September 3, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  11. NOBama

    Hey Patriot..

    I don't see any executive experience you listed for Obama... All I see are just the washee things he did... What did he really accomplished to help the America? As far as I see the crimes are not reducing in Chicago... What's that again?

    Also, why did you compare Obama to Palin? She did not run for president, unlike Obama who was just in the senate for 130 days and decided to run for the president... Grow-up and stop being stupid....

    It's too soon to tell, the Republican has had their convention done yet...

    September 3, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  12. Kevin,FL

    Minnesota has always been blue, Iowa is a tossup state until election day, and Ohio will go McCain. FL,NC,VA,MO, will also go for McCain,

    September 3, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  13. 68 year young man

    "A new poll fro CNN taken from dems and only dems suggests that Obama is widening his lead in battleground states"

    September 3, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  14. Dr. Mimi De La Cruz

    MCWORSE WILL PROTECT US FROM THE RUSSIANS ???

    RIGHT, HE & HIS CRONIES PROMISED GEORGIA MUCHO

    OF OUR DOLLARS FOR THEIR SHENANIGANS & THEY ARE

    SENDING THEM THERE. THAT IS WHAT BUSH IS PAYING TO

    GET SLEAZO ELECTED, A BILLION OF OUR DOLLARS. NOW

    IT SEEMS TO ME THAT WE NEED PROTECTION FROM OUR

    ELECTED OFFICIALS.

    September 3, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  15. Nick

    Where do people base these claims that polls are meaningless. Statistics is a science people.

    September 3, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  16. WANDA JUNE SIMMONS

    YOU SAY BACHELORS OF JOURNALISM LIKE ITS A BAD THING! IT MEANS SHE GRADUATED FROM COLLEGE! AND YOU LEFT OUT TV SPORTCASTER! AT LEAST SHE KNOWS HOW TO USE THE TELEPROMPER! OBAMA OVIOUSLY DOESNT KNOW HOW HE HAD MOST OF HIS SPEECH MEMORIZE!

    MCCAIN/PALIN 08!

    September 3, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  17. Edward

    Cool.. let's keep it going. Funny to see all those evangelicals fall for the media's victimization of Palin... "Poor Sarah everyone is picking on her"...Get real!!! Bottom line is I don't care about her daughter getting knocked up, Sarah Palin has NO experience and her policies suck. Stay on the issues, Republicans have no substance.

    Obama/ Biden 08

    September 3, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  18. AA

    You think?

    Wait until after the good ol' boys, the governess of 5700 people, the traitor, capt. 911, and the rest of them are finished. You will see a 10 point spread across the board.

    I am still amazed that no one has noticed that there has not been one word of what the GOP plans are to fix W's mess. Not one.

    Peace.

    September 3, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  19. Paul

    Ohio decided the last election? Really? I thought the entire country voted.

    September 3, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  20. Dexter

    Of course he is... The only people who believe this right wing nutjob side of the republican party is going to win in November are the people who belive what they hear from Rush and Hannity and Laura.

    In other words, idiots.

    September 3, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  21. Its our Turn!!!

    NOT THIS TIME! NOT THIS YEAR!

    NO WAY
    NO HOW
    NO BUSH
    NO MCCAIN
    NO REPUBLICANS!

    September 3, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  22. Chris

    Looks like folks are starting to see the GOP for the dog and pony show they are!!!
    J/M has yet to say how he is going to fix the mess Bush and his croonies have put this country in over the last 7 years.
    J/M ads do nothing but attack Obama but explain nothing on how he is going to fix it.
    Last night at this dull convention the three key speakers were praising McCain but, none said what he was going to do to fix anything. They just yelled and scream at how they were better than Obama. LOL
    So, what I take from that whole dog and pony show, it they don't have a clue, the GOP is so out of touch with America it's crazy. The religious zealots they have been gathering in rank and file are no more different the extreme Muslims in the Middle East. The party should be disband!!!

    September 3, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  23. James in Ohio

    This is no surprise after the DNC super commercial. Every convention acts as a super commercial that sees movement towards it's candidate. I'd say take a look at these polls next week, after the RNC super commercial, to get a real feel for how the race is shaping up.

    Until then any poll really isn't' that believable.

    September 3, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  24. Maureen Chester, SC

    Can you say .....landslide "Obama-Biden" victory! The more experience (Senator McCain) proves that judgment ( matters, the more Americans will look at Senator Obama as a qualified leader and not a color.

    Let's get to work and elect President Obama.

    September 3, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  25. S.A.M. from Virginia

    More news that I am already aware of. Of course Sen. Obama is leading. And once these debates are done, you'll see an even bigger lead for Sen. Obama. Truly, I really just wanna see Sen. Biden rip into Palin.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
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