September 3rd, 2008
04:10 PM ET
10 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama widening lead in battleground states

Obama is up in key battleground states.

Obama is up in key battleground states.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) - A new poll suggests that Barack Obama is widening his lead over John McCain in two battleground states but indicates the race is dead even in Ohio, the state that decided the last presidential election.

In a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Wednesday afternoon, 55 percent of Iowa registered voters who were questioned said that Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 40 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona.

That’s more than double the lead that Obama had in a University of Iowa poll taken early last month.

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state - even in the western counties where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa - not something you see in many other states."

Iowa’s caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama towards the Democratic presidential nomination.

“Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state,” CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider said. “He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth. Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started.”

It appears to be a similar story here in Minnesota, where the Republicans are holding their national convention this week.

The poll indicates that Obama has a 12-point lead over McCain, 53 percent to 41 percent. That’s up slightly from a 10-point lead Obama held in a Humphrey Institute survey taken last month.

"It's important to note that today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from the GOP convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivites started in Saint Paul," Holland said. "This could be Obama's high-water mark in those states."

It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.

President Bush’s narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his reelection. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests he has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey’s 3.5 percentage-point sampling error.

So why’s Ohio different that Iowa and Minnesota?

“In Iowa and Minnesota, white voters are backing Obama,” Schneider said. “In Ohio, white voters are supporting McCain. What about those blue-collar white voters that were so important for Clinton in Ohio? They're pretty solidly for McCain.”

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was taken August 31-September 2, with 828 registered votes in Iowa, 742 registered voters in Minnesota, and 685 registered voters in Ohio questioned by telephone.

soundoff (295 Responses)
  1. Lesley

    Not--- a--surprise...this-–RNC--convention--is--BORING-and--the--crowd-–doesn't-–even-look-–like--3/4-–of--the--American--population!??


    Obama/Biden all the way and no looking back!

    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  2. Bellelattedah

    So all you guys that are scared of the little woman better watch out. You will be seeing alot more of Sarah Palin next year when she takes the oath of office for vice president. I am a democrat who is voting for her. She is smarter and has more experience than the head of the ticket on the democrat side. She may be the one to help save this country from the far-left liberals.

    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  3. Eric-29-m-PA

    These poll numbers are from the post-convention bump. His poll numbers will fall after the Republicans convention and they will back to where the were or worse.

    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  4. wycliffe, NJ


    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |


    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  6. Sam

    MCCAIN = BUSH. No way no how no Bush no Mccain.

    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  7. Ulysses wolf

    Why doesn't Mc Cain go to Disneyland and ask Mickey Mouse to be his VP?

    What a joke this country has become to the eyes of the world!

    September 3, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  8. Dave

    Keep working hard, Obama supporters! We can and will do this! We'll can take Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada Montana, Ohio, Virginia, and maybe even Florida if we work hard enough!

    September 3, 2008 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  9. Griff

    What have Women going to talk about??? Women. have lost their way in Politics... Stay home, look after the Kids... They have done this for thousands of years... Let the man rule their lives... Does it really matter where a Woman is born? Or her Politics? There is another Woman on the Ballot-Box... What? And When? Do the Women really car about???

    September 3, 2008 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  10. Bucky for Obama/Biden

    So in recent world events Russia has said anyone who attacks them will be attacked back.

    Two questions:
    1. Would you rather have Obama handling this or McSame?
    2. Would you rather have Biden handling this or Palin?

    Hmmmmmm . . . tough choice there – not. In a democracy where John F. Kennedy introduced new diplomatic tactics to prevent a nuclear war with Russia by blockading Cuba, one would have to consider McSame's backing of the war in Iraq. More unilateralism? No, but thanks.

    "Politics are like driving – to go backwards put it in R. To move forward put it in D"

    September 3, 2008 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  11. longhairs for obama

    obama ahead in alaska,too ! look it up.

    September 3, 2008 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  12. Greg

    The republicans don't see because they CHOOSE NOT TO.

    Dems 08.

    September 3, 2008 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  13. Independent_me

    Not surprising...
    Americans are FINALLY beginning to awaken from their Republican propaganda-indiced stupor....

    September 3, 2008 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  14. Born Again Democrat

    Looks like the Rupublicans have dug their own hole. Looks like they have tried to force their right wing values down our throats exploiting a woman who has exploited her children into the chaos of the media. She's a pawn. And they all know it.

    Obama has run a clean campaign, made intelligent choices, and is experienced just on the basis of his dedicated service to people and law making.

    Time to let hope ring this time before it's too late.

    OBAMA 08

    September 3, 2008 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  15. KenB, MI

    I was a Reagan Democrat or more to the point of being a Political Moderate...being in a battle ground state...having roller coaster economic struggles...conflicting social ideas with both candidates...

    ...I'll support Obama-Biden '08

    September 3, 2008 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  16. Obama Jerimiah Wright

    Redo that same poll in a few days after America gets to know Sarah Palin. This race should be a blowout for the Democrats but instead it is a small 5 point lead for Obama.
    If after the Republican Convention the polls numbers are even the McCain/Palin ticket will prevail. Just wait for the debates which we all know Obama can not answer a question head on.

    Go McCain

    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  17. Independent_me

    Not surprising…
    Americans are FINALLY beginning to awaken from their Republican propaganda-induced stupor….

    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  18. cecil




    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  19. Herman In LA

    I love Obama / Biden

    They are the right people to lead our country

    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  20. Mia, NY

    Yes, we can, and yes, we will.

    The country knows which party will make a difference. I'm glad they know that party is the party of real change–Obama/Biden for our next president and vice president.

    O/B 08


    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  21. ran

    It is so sad that anyone who cares about this country at all would even consider voting for McCain after he allowed Palin to be his VP pick.

    People just open you eyes and ears for once in your life and do the right thing and vote for change we can really believe in. Obama/Biden and other Democrats is the only true way out of the mess Bush/Democrats have put us in over the last 8 yrs.

    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  22. Steph, G

    Some people are so sure Obama is not going to win. They must know something we all do not know. The Reupublicans run this country like a communist country. The elections are rigged. If Obama does not get in then we know the electoral process is rigged. Most people think the Republicans are the mob.

    September 3, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  23. Lesley

    Glen Beck had a whole lot to say about Jamie Lynn Spears' teenage all of a sudden he's pro Palin and her pregnant unwed teenage daughter.

    Republicans love to SPIN, SPIN SPIN...I find it quite amusing.

    September 3, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  24. Senior Citizen

    Please do not insult Hilary Clinton by comparing her to Sarah Palin. Hilary has a law degree with a background in economics and is a U.S. Senator. Sarah is a menopausal mother of five with a degree in journalism, two terms as mayor of a town with less than 7,000 people and governor of a state with a smaller budget and less people than the city of New York. Besides, did something happen to John McCain? I thought he was the presidential candidate of the Republican party.

    September 3, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  25. a d

    The Obama slogans are so childish. I am sick and tired of hearing them. They sound more like nursery school songs. "Yes YOU CAN go potty" No wonder. BO has to use simple, stupid phrases in order to reach his dumb base. It is very sad that there are voter in the US who are easily drawn to a Pied Piper.

    September 3, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
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