September 3rd, 2008
04:10 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama widening lead in battleground states

Obama is up in key battleground states.
Obama is up in key battleground states.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) - A new poll suggests that Barack Obama is widening his lead over John McCain in two battleground states but indicates the race is dead even in Ohio, the state that decided the last presidential election.

In a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Wednesday afternoon, 55 percent of Iowa registered voters who were questioned said that Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 40 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona.

That’s more than double the lead that Obama had in a University of Iowa poll taken early last month.

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state - even in the western counties where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa - not something you see in many other states."

Iowa’s caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama towards the Democratic presidential nomination.

“Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state,” CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider said. “He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth. Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started.”

It appears to be a similar story here in Minnesota, where the Republicans are holding their national convention this week.

The poll indicates that Obama has a 12-point lead over McCain, 53 percent to 41 percent. That’s up slightly from a 10-point lead Obama held in a Humphrey Institute survey taken last month.

"It's important to note that today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from the GOP convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivites started in Saint Paul," Holland said. "This could be Obama's high-water mark in those states."

It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs.

President Bush’s narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his reelection. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests he has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey’s 3.5 percentage-point sampling error.

So why’s Ohio different that Iowa and Minnesota?

“In Iowa and Minnesota, white voters are backing Obama,” Schneider said. “In Ohio, white voters are supporting McCain. What about those blue-collar white voters that were so important for Clinton in Ohio? They're pretty solidly for McCain.”

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was taken August 31-September 2, with 828 registered votes in Iowa, 742 registered voters in Minnesota, and 685 registered voters in Ohio questioned by telephone.

soundoff (295 Responses)
  1. Janine

    I wouldn't put too much weight in the polls. Remember John Kerry losing to Bush. Get out there and vote.

    September 3, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  2. Brian G, Sugar Land, TX

    I am normally not a political activist, but this year I will drive, walk, carry any and all Barack voters to the polls to ensure he gets all the votes necessary. It all comes down to overwhelming turnout. We all know it. YES WE CAN!

    September 3, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  3. Caroline

    YES...YESS,,... PATRIOT..You had it right. good job on the fact checking. We need you to inform all about the real issues and the GREAT Reformers we have in the REPUBLICAN Party.. Waiting for the media to report the facts seems like they are afraid . If they report them then they accused that Obama's campaign was behind it.
    Ohio needs a history lesson on the last eight years.
    OBAMA / BIDEN..

    September 3, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  4. Quinn - Houston, Texas

    Polls don't mean squat.

    However, you can tell by talking to people that McCain's credibility has slipped big time. Picking an unknown Amish woman with a gun for a running mate was just dumb.

    September 3, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  5. Mo, NC

    Let's hope this holds up!

    Obama/Biden 08'

    September 3, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  6. cosby johnson

    Luis is like most on the right, they not have anything to say unless Fox tells it to them. You go CNN and don't let people like this dictate what you report. if he wants that , he knows were he can go.

    September 3, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  7. carol-NC

    REALLY ;; IT WAS THE REPUBLICAN PARTY WHO LET OUR JOB GO TO OVERSEA COMPANY, LET GAS GET WAY OUT OF HAND, LET OUR COUNTRY OPEN TO ANY ONE WHO WANTS TO WALK RIGHT ON IT. YOU HAVE KNOW IDEAL THAT YOU COUNTRY HAS BEEN TAKEN OVER WITHOUT ONE SHOT HIRED, WHILE OUR TROOPS ARE FIGHTING FOR IRAQ'S FREEDOM. I THINK THE REPUBLICAN ARE THE ONES THAT HAVE PROVED THEY ARE NOT ENTITLED TO OR CARE ABOUT OUR COUNTRY.

    NO MORE BUSH NO MORE REPUBLICAN NO MORE McCAIN

    September 3, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  8. Jeff

    Obama doesn't have to win 'em all...just 270 of them. The rest is gravy. :)

    September 3, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  9. Ted

    There will be convention slump for McSame, it will be caused by hurricane Palin.

    September 3, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  10. cecil

    What is executive experience, another bureaucrat....?

    September 3, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  11. Fact

    Just so we are clear on records:

    Fact: More Chicago Public Students have been killed in the last 12 months than serviceman from the state of Illinois.

    Now that is a statistic CNN should be reporting!!

    September 3, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  12. bobby

    if you all keep saying she is the governor of alaska and that she has got more experience than obama, i guess that means she is also more qualified than john mccain because obama and mccain basically do the smae thing in the senate.mccain supporters please think in a smart way before you talk.dont talk before you think.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    September 3, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  13. Joan

    September 3rd, 2008 4:33 pm ET
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.

    Think about this. If Obama elected, Obama+Biden will lead the country. If Mccain elected, only Palin might do. OK?

    September 3, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  14. Patricia

    It is not Obama she is running against. She is basically running against Biden.

    September 3, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  15. jacquelyn campbell

    I switch from CNN to Fox just to get all sides. I can't believe the viciousness from reporters such as Jack Rafferty I just heard him say to write in if you think Palin should be taken off the ticket, imagine!
    These are the things that make me want to stay with Fox. The mean spiritedness is unbelievable on CNN, I didn't hear this kind of viciousness during the Dems convention from Republicans.

    September 3, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  16. Awake and Well...

    CNN, shame on you. You are really showing your bias. If you would look under Barack Obama's blanket half as much as you have looked under Sarah Palin's, Hillary would be the nomineee and Barack Obama would go down as the eloquent con man that under the surface he appears to be. America better wake up fast!!!

    September 3, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  17. Trudi

    Polls have a funny way of turning. Wait until the first Presidential debate. That's when intellligent people will see that Obama is just another empy suit.

    September 3, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  18. jay

    Mccain/palin, AMBITION 1ST, COUNTRY & FAMILY AFTERWARDS!!! Mccain/palin, AMBITION 1ST, COUNTRY & FAMILY AFTERWARDS!!!

    September 3, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  19. Ted

    Oh, now that you see this story getting the major attention you're moving further down your ticker. Keep it right on top where it belongs. BO rocks!

    September 3, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  20. FL4Obama

    i Si se puede ! Vaya Obama !

    September 3, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  21. Eight In Alaska

    If we close our eyes we can pretend McCain's VP pick is a sound choice. But then we'll have to open our eyes to a troop firieng scandal, a teenage pregnancy, and the experience of a Disneyland cast member. She's not ready for prime time folks.

    It would make a good television series though, Alaskan governor has 5 kids and one grandchild on the way. I'd watch it.

    You could call it "Eight In Alaska Is Enough".

    September 3, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  22. Joan, Ontario

    Glen Beck. Why was it OK for the Republicans to run horrible attack ads about Obama unfairly calling him an elitist, celebrity and "The One"? Why was it OK for the Republicans, especially the talk show hosts, to crucify Michelle Obama and say all kinds of terrible untruths that everyone now knows after the Democratic convention last week were total lies? Why is it OK for everyone to criticize men but somehow it is unfair to criticize women? If you are going to play in the big leagues, you have to be able to play the game and take the hits just like everyone else.

    September 3, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  23. Palin's Record is Clear

    What Patriot said plus:

    As Mayor of Wasilla, Palin racked up $20 million in debt. For a city with a population of 6000. That is $3000 per man woman and child.

    As Mayor of Wasilla, Palin did not "manage" the City. She hired a full-time administrator who actually oversaw all executive city functions.

    September 3, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  24. Decided

    It's interesting to see the weight placed on each of the candidates' experience levels, even though there is no historical precedent on which we can accurately correlate presidential success to experience.

    In the end it's not whether Obama + Biden > McCain + Palin in terms of the number of years they've spent toiling in the public domain, but whether either group has the character, wits, and capacity to make a positive impact not only on our country but on the world.

    Look at the policies, ideals, character, and beliefs of each candidate – not simply on the number of years they've managed to stay in elected office. This is what will tell you if they are capable of leading this country.

    September 3, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  25. White older evangelical woman from the south for OBAMA

    Please my fellow obama supporters, dont get carried away with the polls. Go out and campaign. By text and by mouth.

    Get involved, not only by donation, or else my son will be stuck in Iraq and might go to iran or georgia.

    We need some one who thinks before he acts, cautious and sensible with good judgements.

    One who puts country first by selecting a well vetted vp and not ambitions first by sacrificing their family's privacy.

    September 3, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
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