September 8th, 2008
12:35 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Poll: Race dead even

McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll.
McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A new national poll taken entirely after the end of the Republican convention suggests the race for the White House between John McCain and Barack Obama is dead even.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Monday afternoon has McCain and Obama tied at 48 percent each among registered voters questioned. Three percent of voters are undecided in the survey, which was conducted Friday through Sunday.

Read full poll results [PDF]

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll is one of three new surveys taken mostly over the weekend. The other two are a Gallup Tracking Poll and a Diageo/Hotline survey. When all three are averaged together for a new CNN Poll of Polls, the results have McCain up one point, 47 percent to 46 percent. That’s the first time in the CNN Poll of Polls that McCain has an advantage over Obama.

Watch: McCain, Obama deadlocked

The battle for the presidency also includes some minor party candidates, including Independent Ralph Nader, Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, and Green Party candidate Cynthia McKinney — but the poll suggests they don’t have any impact on the shape of the race.

When they are added to the equation, the race between McCain and Obama remains tied, at 45 percent each, with Nader and Barr at 3 percent each and McKinney at 1 percent.

Has the Republican convention and the naming of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate given McCain a bounce in the polls?

“Other polls are showing ‘convention bounces’ for McCain, but ours does not,’ says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “The reason is probably due to the fact that the CNN poll has had a very low number of respondents who say they are undecided for several months. Bounces tend to occur when undecided voters switch to a candidate, but with so few truly undecided voters in our polls, there was little room for a bounce for Obama or McCain.”

Holland also points out that despite a concerted outreach by the McCain-Palin team to former women supporters of Hillary Clinton’s presidential bid, women nationwide seem to be sticking with Obama – 52 percent of women are planning to vote Democratic, while 51 percent of men are in the GOP column.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was based on 1,022 telephone interviews. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (222 Responses)
  1. Voter

    Remember people, we're voting on McCain and Obama

    Palin is a VP and won't be making policy. Her unilateralism is worse than Bush's... it will destroy what foreign policy we have left. She's only left the country 2 times and barely lived in the states so she's extremely out of touch. She's also asked for more earmarks per capita than ANY other Governer and has asked for nearly $200m earmarks in '09 '10!!

    September 8, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  2. jimmy

    HILLARY CLINTON HAD ALREADY MADE THE BEST SPEECH
    FOR BARACK OBAMA DURING THE DEMS CONVENTION. NOW OBAMA CAMP WANTS HER TO CAMPAIGN MORE AND ATTACK GOVERNOR SARAH PALIN WHO PRAISED HILLARY'S HISTORIC CANDIDACY BUT WAS IGNORED BY THE OBAMA CAMP . WHY WOULD SHE DO THAT WHEN HER ( HILLARY'S ) SUPPORTERS
    ARE THE ONES NOW RALLYING TO GOVERNOR PALIN AND MCCAIN. THE OBAMA CAMP MADE THEIR BIGGEST MISTAKE IN
    NOT NAMING HILLARY FOR THE VP SPOT ON THEIR TICKET. THEY
    JUST PLAIN IGNORED HER 18 MILLION VOTE SUPPORTERS.
    MCCAIN , PLAINLY SAW THEIR MISTAKE AND LOOK WHAT IS
    HAPPENING.

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  3. Susan, CA

    This is a joke. It is our right as U.S. citizens to research these candidates and pick who would be the best to lead our country out of this mess of the last eight years. If you don't know where to start, check out their voting records–that should tell you what they stand for. Wake up and pay attention!

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  4. Independent from FL

    Last week the headline was McCain has shrunk Obama's lead to 1 ponit & now it's "Dead Even" when it's really MCCain up 1 point??? Why not "McCain leading 1 point"???

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  5. WI guy

    I Think the question on everyones mind:

    Thong or granny panties?

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  6. Chris

    As if polls mean anything significant...

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  7. Jeff Brown

    I want to see Grampa Munster and Gidget get hammered in the debates!

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  8. Jacob McNulty

    "The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was based on 1,022 telephone interviews."

    Like many have wondered, how does this incorporate the young voters who only have cell phones? I saw an interview on CNN where this was addressed and they said that this was being taken into account but I'd like to know how...seems that if sampling were done to incorporate the younger demographic it may impact these numbers.

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  9. Down with Obama

    LOL, CNN poll.....how bias can that be??????

    Every poll I see has McCain ahead at least by 2 points.

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  10. kk

    This is CNN Polls ???????

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  11. elm

    No way for More War McCain and Taliban Palin!

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  12. Tim

    Sure CNN whatever.

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  13. Cindy

    That's correct... 4 days afther the republican convention.. McCain has merely just been able to tie Obama... certainly not what i would consider a big jump like Obama got after his convention- he jumped to 49% to McCains' 42%– a 7% lead!

    September 8, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  14. Erik

    If the Democrats don't begin airing attack ads on prime time television, they are going to LOSE this election. American politics have always been negative and these days the baddest cowboy wins. The Obama campaign should begin spending all that money on advertisments refuting the Republican flash and spin.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  15. Frank Omar

    Why no mention of the USA Today/Gallop pole that shows McCain with a 10 point lead?

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  16. Travis

    When will the newest MAVERICK be able to stand on her own two

    feet and start answer the questions about ALL HER LIES?

    My guess......AFTER THE ELECTION....SORRY FOOLS....TOO LATE!!!

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  17. clayton

    Wow CNN has it tightening...Gallop has McCain with largest lead yet. What is it CNN dead even or Obama losing steam?

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  18. Lanae

    Are we looking at individual states and the electoral map? That is what is going to determine the presidency. Obama has the edge right now. So I don't even pay attention to national polls cause with new voters, and the high voter registration with democrats, I don't see how Obama loses.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  19. Common Sense

    McCain's substance is finally overcoming Obama's flash-in-the-pan style.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  20. tedious898

    I cannot believe we have so many dumb Americans (stupid). John McCain things after voting behind bush 100% of the time this year, he can change the theme of his campaign to "change".

    How original is that? Obama should have thought of it......oops he did!

    Its so funny that everything Obama says...people copy. Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, campaign theme. You'd think the "stupid" Americans would say ....Hey I've heard that before....yeah from Barack. Instead they say...Wow John McCain is really shaking this up for change.

    We're doomed – 4 more years brought to us by the dumb people

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  21. Hector Levesque N-B Canada

    U.S.A. Better vote for Democracts or our Country as Well as yours is doomed. Their has to be real change.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  22. Geo. S.

    I do not believe these new polls for a minute. The hype & Palin will fade soon enough. More of the same for the spend happy gop. What a joke.Geo.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  23. Blueray98

    The race is NOT "dead even" - here’s the real news, not the biased CNN poll:

    A USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows McCain leading Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest advantage since January.

    As for the question if Hillary should attack Palin: She is no longer in the race, so IT'S NOT HER JOB.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  24. Dems have to attack

    If the Dems don't start attacking Palin and her extreme right- wing views they're going to lose this election. Why are they handling her with kid gloves? I wish Tim Russert were still around, would he ever ask Palin some tough questions, but I doubt she would ever sit down with him.

    If McCain is President and a Democratic controlled congress is there with him, you can guarantee one thing, more gridlock!

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  25. Reinaldo Vazquez

    Who believes on this polls, do people really change there mind that easy. This women gives out a speech that in what mind because one should get a chance to the white house, Britney Spears is making a comeback maybe MacCain will dump Palin for Britney. I will love to see the polls on this one.

    September 8, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
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