September 8th, 2008
12:35 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Poll: Race dead even

McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll.
McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A new national poll taken entirely after the end of the Republican convention suggests the race for the White House between John McCain and Barack Obama is dead even.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Monday afternoon has McCain and Obama tied at 48 percent each among registered voters questioned. Three percent of voters are undecided in the survey, which was conducted Friday through Sunday.

Read full poll results [PDF]

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll is one of three new surveys taken mostly over the weekend. The other two are a Gallup Tracking Poll and a Diageo/Hotline survey. When all three are averaged together for a new CNN Poll of Polls, the results have McCain up one point, 47 percent to 46 percent. That’s the first time in the CNN Poll of Polls that McCain has an advantage over Obama.

Watch: McCain, Obama deadlocked

The battle for the presidency also includes some minor party candidates, including Independent Ralph Nader, Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, and Green Party candidate Cynthia McKinney — but the poll suggests they don’t have any impact on the shape of the race.

When they are added to the equation, the race between McCain and Obama remains tied, at 45 percent each, with Nader and Barr at 3 percent each and McKinney at 1 percent.

Has the Republican convention and the naming of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate given McCain a bounce in the polls?

“Other polls are showing ‘convention bounces’ for McCain, but ours does not,’ says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “The reason is probably due to the fact that the CNN poll has had a very low number of respondents who say they are undecided for several months. Bounces tend to occur when undecided voters switch to a candidate, but with so few truly undecided voters in our polls, there was little room for a bounce for Obama or McCain.”

Holland also points out that despite a concerted outreach by the McCain-Palin team to former women supporters of Hillary Clinton’s presidential bid, women nationwide seem to be sticking with Obama – 52 percent of women are planning to vote Democratic, while 51 percent of men are in the GOP column.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was based on 1,022 telephone interviews. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (222 Responses)
  1. Alice in Florida

    Isn't if funny how CNN always has their Messiah Obama who they have worshipped since Day One ahead or dead even – even when all the other polls have McCain ahead.

    Most of America is SICK of the media's love affair with Obama!

    We want more Sarah, CNN! Obama is YESTERDAY'S news along with his boring stupid speeches that we've all heard 100 times and his scary chanting followers who just look silly now!

    Sarah is SUCH a BREATH of FRESH AIR after all these months of windbag Obama!

    September 8, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  2. mel from Ohio

    THESE POLLS MEAN NOTHING!! THE ONLY POLLS THAT MATTER ARE THE ONES YOU GO TO IN NOVEMBER.

    September 8, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  3. justin

    Joe Biden must stop calling Mcain my friend and start attacking him. this is about this country, personal friendships should be put in the back as America cannot risk john mcain. macain is even more dangerous than George bush because he shoots from the hips, gut feeling and he is hardly rational. why is nobody mentioning the keaton-5. that was the other major financial crisis America faced in the 20th century.

    If Obama?Biden choose not to attack Macain/Palin and attack them hard, the democrats will loose and that is a sad situation for America to go through for another four years. Palin is fraud, she is intelectualy unfit for the office so high. she has little to no relevant foreign or economic experience, what Alaska's is an extraction economy, thats primitive.

    September 8, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  4. MW

    The race was dead even before both conventions. This is no news. I hope people open their eyes to what a McCain/Palin vote would REALLY do do our country.
    People need to know what "Changes" Palin stands for in addition to changing laws that: Protect a woman's right to choose by banning abortion under any circumstance including safety of the mother, rape, and incest. Protect the freedom of religion law by trying to make public schools change by teaching using her own religious beliefs instead of the current curriculum. Protect the freedom of speech law by trying to ban books. McCain and Palin keep saying "Country First". But I wonder what country they are talking about. Because when they do actually talk about certain issues, they sound more and more like leaders from other countries that do not welcome diversity and freedoms that are welcome in the U.S.A. Palin's views do not reflect that of mainstream America. She is welcome to her views, but she does not have the right to change laws to try to turn America into a nation of Evangels. And any solutions McCain has proposed to help fix our countries' problems, will not work. This is because he wants to run the country the same way Bush did, right into the ground.

    September 8, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  5. Donald B Reside

    Obama can never justify the lie that he told the voters of Illinois. When questioned on whether the voters of Illinois could trust him to serve a full term in the senate. Obama said. "I will not run for anything in 2008." He repeated this pledge several times to gain the trust of voters. Who trusts him now?

    September 8, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  6. CB

    I'm a little glad McCain is ahead in the polls. After all he is the "incumbent" Republican – and people should be looking really hard at the type of President he'll be. The verdict so far: attack the Press; suggest Iran has a nuclear weapon; say we are all Georgians, while Cheney meets with oil execs there; pick a VP to get votes; lie outright about his opponents record and views. Hmmm, nice President. Look for 4 years of spin, and 4 years of a worse economy. Who will he blame after that – the democrats again?

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  7. Sarah

    This is just a ballon which will burst soon...
    Sarah Palin is not ready to become president should McCain die. McCain is too old and he has a temper which can easily ignite a war. I wonder how safe for McCain to make decisions in the middle of the night given his age and age related challenges?

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  8. Joseph in Dallas

    Let's Wait until the debates....this is not about people, this is about our Country's and Children's future.

    WE CANNOT AFFORD TO MAKE THE SAME MISTAKES OF THE PAST....AMERICA PLEASE BE SMART.

    OBAMA\BIDEN 08

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  9. Proud American

    Unfreaking belieavable. Are we living in a third world country where we keep voting in the same politicians that treat the public like crap. Wake up America no more Republican misguided policies.
    Obama/ Biden '08

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  10. Mike, TX

    No, the race is not dead even. McCain is now ahead of Obama and beyond the margin of error.

    CNN, start reporting and stop campaigning for Obama.

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  11. Susan

    We have to win this war no matter how many lives it takes....fight, fight, fight. God Bless America!

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  12. cleaf

    America doens't believe in intelligence anymore which means Obama is too smart for them. They will vote for Mc same who's as dum as bush. What a shame!

    September 8, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  13. Richard J

    in case anyone wants specifics: here are the results of the Gallop poll:

    "John McCain bested Barack Obama 50-46 percent among registered voters in the latest USA Today/Gallup poll, jumping 11 points over his previous showing and taking his biggest lead since January."

    -That's from FOX news where, although right-leaning, news is reported.

    September 8, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  14. SOUTHERN HOTTIE

    Nobody called me to poll.

    Where does the data for these so-called polls come from?

    I don't believe a word of it.
    The only poll that counts will be the one taked on November 4th!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008
    YES WE CAN!!!

    September 8, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  15. Bill in Indiana

    It just shows over time that Americans realize that "change and hope" is not enough to winn an election. It also shows that Americans realize that the grand gestures of "Socialism" IS NOT what anyone wants (except the 70,000 or so people at Dem Convention). There is only one GOD and it is not the self proclaimed "The One". While we as Americans need to have lofty goals for everyone, it is NOT the responsibility of government to do it. It is the responsibility of each individual to respect and help themselves and each other. It is the responsibility of government to lead and set an example for other to follow. More government would only fuel more corruption and cost taxpayers more money. The change needed is not in more taxes and government, but how Washington does business and how lawmakers address real needs.

    September 8, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  16. Kaye

    GO McCAIN....

    September 8, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  17. Bill in Indiana

    It just shows over time that Americans realize that "change and hope" is not enough to win an election. It also shows that Americans realize that the grand gestures of "Socialism" IS NOT what anyone wants (except the 70,000 or so people at Dem Convention). There is only one GOD and it is not the self proclaimed "The One". While we as Americans need to have lofty goals for everyone, it is NOT the responsibility of government to do it. It is the responsibility of each individual to respect and help themselves and each other. It is the responsibility of government to lead and set an example for other to follow. More government would only fuel more corruption and cost taxpayers more money. The change needed is not in more taxes and government, but how Washington does business and how lawmakers address real needs.

    September 8, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  18. Vicki

    WOOHOO!! America is FINALLY waking up!!!

    Obama is not good for this country. Sure I know that McCain isn't all that great either but Obama will totally DESTROY this country if he were President.

    McCain/Palin 08

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  19. Rick Roberts

    I can look at three different polls on the internet and see three different results. I have come to the conclusion that we will have to wait to see who is elected. I plan to vote for Obama and would even if the polls showed him behind McCain by 20 points.

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  20. Andy

    Don't look at this as a sign of things the way they are. Historically every candidate has seen a bounce out of their convention.

    If Obama wins all the normal Democratic states as well as Pen., New Mexico, and Colorado hes the next president. Currently he has a lead in all of those states. This "polling" system is as dated ad McCain, they rely on phone calls to land lines. Keep knocking on doors, volunteering, donating, and WHATEVER it takes!

    Obama/Biden 08!!

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  21. Rob

    love it. not because i necessary believe in the republicans but after reading for many many months now all those hatefull and terrible things that people say about McCain I am actually happy to see that now. you guys are soooo aggrevating (and I am sorry but you are also blind followers) and you earned it so much. you know it. looool.

    love it.

    Rob from NC
    Semper Fi

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  22. Jorge

    These polls just show how uneducable almost half of the electorate is in falling once again for the same deceitful, superficial, simpliostic Repulican attack dog and pony show that got George W. Bush, a governor with a thin resume, to the White House–TWICE.

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  23. Art H

    I think Obama made a strategic blunder in picking Biden over Clinton. Time will tell how the whole thing with shake out.

    If the democrats have to have a real shot at the WH, they will have to tackle Palin head-on and not try and pretend that she has had no impact on the nomination.

    Newsflash: Palin has energized the base of the republican party, like McCain could never have done in a thousand years with all his "maverick" BS.

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  24. seanzy11

    I have read the sources for all the polls being taken. In my opinion these polls do not reflect the true overall opinion of the nation. Only polling 900 to 1100 people; is that enough? in what part of the US is this being done?, what are the standards to get the best results? I am for Obama and I receive an email almost everyday. He sends text messages and connects with people through new age technology. So how can these numbers be accurate? Help me to understand this. thx

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  25. SO, they got us again USA!

    That is because we have become a nation that would rather believe a lie than the truth. We would rather do what feels good as opposed to what needs to be done. Why else would half of America accept a VP candidate like Palin. most of those slobering over her can't tell you one thing that she stands for politically. She is the latest, hot thing and here we go. When will this country grow the @#%$ up and act like a nation of educated people. I am so tired of a small group of people being given the power every election because they can't decide who to vote for so that hold the power to tilt and election for a good candidate or the smae old BS that we've had for the last 8 years. These people don't think on the facts. if they did they would not be undecided. they think and vote by feelings which is the stupidest thing I've ever heard. They will actually vote against their own interest for the sake of proving a point and punishing anyone who doesn't see it their way. As a result the only people that win are the people that have the most to gain by keeping this country divided. They don't give a flip about Hillary voters and if truth be known, they don't care about Palin. They only care about keeping power and they will say or do anything to keep it.

    September 8, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9