September 8th, 2008
12:35 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Poll: Race dead even

McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll.
McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A new national poll taken entirely after the end of the Republican convention suggests the race for the White House between John McCain and Barack Obama is dead even.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Monday afternoon has McCain and Obama tied at 48 percent each among registered voters questioned. Three percent of voters are undecided in the survey, which was conducted Friday through Sunday.

Read full poll results [PDF]

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll is one of three new surveys taken mostly over the weekend. The other two are a Gallup Tracking Poll and a Diageo/Hotline survey. When all three are averaged together for a new CNN Poll of Polls, the results have McCain up one point, 47 percent to 46 percent. That’s the first time in the CNN Poll of Polls that McCain has an advantage over Obama.

Watch: McCain, Obama deadlocked

The battle for the presidency also includes some minor party candidates, including Independent Ralph Nader, Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, and Green Party candidate Cynthia McKinney — but the poll suggests they don’t have any impact on the shape of the race.

When they are added to the equation, the race between McCain and Obama remains tied, at 45 percent each, with Nader and Barr at 3 percent each and McKinney at 1 percent.

Has the Republican convention and the naming of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate given McCain a bounce in the polls?

“Other polls are showing ‘convention bounces’ for McCain, but ours does not,’ says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “The reason is probably due to the fact that the CNN poll has had a very low number of respondents who say they are undecided for several months. Bounces tend to occur when undecided voters switch to a candidate, but with so few truly undecided voters in our polls, there was little room for a bounce for Obama or McCain.”

Holland also points out that despite a concerted outreach by the McCain-Palin team to former women supporters of Hillary Clinton’s presidential bid, women nationwide seem to be sticking with Obama – 52 percent of women are planning to vote Democratic, while 51 percent of men are in the GOP column.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was based on 1,022 telephone interviews. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (222 Responses)
  1. g

    Well, take heart in this poll, nobama cultists because the USAToday/Gallup poll has McCain-Palin ahead of barryboy and hairplugs 54% to 44%. To bad, your messiah is going down in flames.

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  2. roland

    This is Republican manipulated poll to influence voters,

    the real poll is unemployment,forclosure,iraq war ,one billion dollars to Repulic of Georgia and almost non to New Olearns ,debt to China,economy ,bank failure,palin under investigation and all the Right wing lies of the Grand old peoples Party.

    If you want to know how old men of 70 years and abve govern a nation,we should look at records thus: Fidel Castro & Raul Castro 79,Robert Mugabe 80 years, Kibaki and so on.

    One day Pakistan will teach American democracy. American voters ,pls be real for once and vote issues not fear, smear ,attack and color.

    Vote democrats,the real change for good.

    May God help us.

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  3. maynard hopkins wi

    WITH THE POLLS BEING EVEN , I ASK THE BOTH SIDES KEEP YOUR POLITICING CLEAN AND ABOUT THE BOARD..

    OBAMA BE AWARE,

    THE FIRST ONE THAT GOES NEGATIVE AND GETS NASTY WILL BE THE LOOSER

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  4. Brian

    USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL MCCAIN UP 10!! 54 MCCAIN 44 OBAMA

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  5. ztormtra

    Hah!

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  6. S. Boatman

    Obama Will Win Because There Polls Dont Take Into Account People Without Land Lines!

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  7. American Joe

    How did this empty suit ever have a lead in the first place, oh yeah, his compelling strategy "Change we can believe in" and the lemmings who bought into it.

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  8. Joe

    Fascinating how CNN's poll shows it "tied" ... all of the other national polls clearly shows McCain Palin ahead by at least 4 points!

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  9. Mike

    National Polls mean nothing in early Sept.

    It's the state polls that count, show me those CNN.

    Thanks

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  10. Josh, CA

    We are not stupid to elect incompetent Republicans into the White House, with or without Palin. This election is not personality contest but real issue business, so if McCain thought he could play the minds of Americans with Palin, he is dead wrong. Palin is just an empty shell with far-right ideas. She is living in the 18th Century!

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  11. Rhoda

    In a year in which Democrats should have a huge advantage, we should be asking why Obama seems to have such trouble getting his poll numbers above 50% and keeping them there. Obama just can't sell his message much beyond the Democratic Party base.

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  12. KATHLEEN

    On entertainment tonight today is showing The Olympic Stars upbeat
    excitement about Oprah calling them to appear on Oprah. They say
    they drop everything to go on Oprah!!!
    They asked Oprah, WHO she would drop everything for meaning she
    would "help" if asked, and she said the OBAMA'S.
    And George Bush always said movie stars and celebraties DON'T
    count. OH YES THEY DO. AND YES WE CAN!

    BRING IT ON FOR OBAMA, ALL YOU CELEBRATIES!!!! COME
    ON! OUR COUNTRY IS IN GRAVE TROUBLE!!!! WE NEED YOUR
    VOICES.

    OBAMA BIDEN 2008-2012 ALL THE WAY!!!!! OBAMA BIDEN LET'S
    HIT IT OUT OF THE BALLPARK!!!!!

    September 8, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  13. NJ Maverick

    USA Today poll McCain 50%; Obama 46% among registered voters.

    Among likely voters, it's McCain 54%, Obama 44%.

    The bloom is off the rose and the Dems are on their way to snatching defeat out of the jaws of victory.

    Should have picked Hilliary–maybe you'll get the chance again in 4 years.

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  14. Kathy

    I see how this is going to end....Mccain will win and Americans will still whine about things that goverment is doing and not doing for them...And will cry when we are in a reccesion, Sometimes I feel that we americans can be so stupid!

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  15. Michelle

    Gallup/USA Today has McCain 10 points ahead with likely voters.

    Dare you print that, CNN?

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  16. Jason

    CNN Poll: Race dead even

    WHY??

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  17. boriskat

    Ugh, how is this possible??

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  18. Rich in Seattle

    Are Americans really that stupid that we'd put another Republican in charge?!?! Come on people! We're better than this!

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  19. jennibella

    Why bother with these polls. Soon Barack will become the underdog. I don't think these polls are anywhere close to what the actual election would look like. Afterall, in a country with millions of voters, why should 1000 people matter? For all we know, the people polled may not actually vote on election day for one reason or the other.
    These polls are making my head spin. False hope to the McCain campaign. The American people are certainly not stupid!

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  20. Brenda

    Not for long , not for long ,

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  21. Obama/Biden 100%

    Obama/Biden will be the best thing for the U.S.
    Don't worry Obama, we know the GOP THINKS we are stupid but we won't fall for the same old poli-tricks......NOT THIS TIME!!!!!
    NO WAY, NO HOW, NO MCCAINT........or pitbill palin
    (sorry to the real pit bulls, you don't deserve this)

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  22. HIllarySupporter

    No body should believe the Polls they are out there to make money. They are not indication how the election is going to go, I am a young man 22 years old with a cell phone no body ask me so there is a lot of young people that will vote this year 90% of them for obama this polls are misleading I do not trust them.

    September 8, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  23. BK

    Now Obama has to go back and beg the Clinton's for help. That just goes to show how arrogant he is. Throw everyone under the bus and when you need them-use them. The Clinton's owe Obama nothing and if you think the Clintons are going to vote for Obama after being accused of being racist and trashed everyday. Think again!

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  24. Anne

    8 years ago we witnessed an estonishing election of GWB that was truly "the making of a candidate" by the Republical political machine. Look what it got us.

    Well we are seeing it all over again as the machine kicks into high gear to convince us Sarah Palin is qulified to be VP and possibly President. Wake up people. This is scary!!!

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  25. Bill Weaver

    In Barack Obama we are witnessing the all time worst collapse in U.S. election history. Talk about snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
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