September 13th, 2008
09:16 AM ET
6 years ago

CNN poll of polls: McCain holds one point lead over Obama

Sen. Obama trails Sen. McCain by one points in Saturday's CNN poll of polls.
Sen. Obama trails Sen. McCain by one points in Saturday's CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - Saturday’s CNN national Poll of Polls - which includes the new Newsweek survey - shows McCain leading Obama by one point (46 to 45 percent). Friday’s Poll of Polls showed McCain leading Obama by two points (46 to 44 percent).

The national general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Newsweek (September 10-11), Fox News/Opinion Dynamics (September 8-9), Gallup (September 9-11), and Diageo/Hotline (September 9-11). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

soundoff (545 Responses)
  1. Max

    Maybe, in previous election could polls offer a definite and acurate image of what may result; but not in this election where race, gender, status, and age are bias factors that tend to interfere with the honesty with which voters plan to vote. At this point, voters are so not sure who to elect. At least 80% of white voters would prefer vote for McCain. But McCain's age, his VP pick, and his war-oriented resolution worry them, add to that the disastrous unfruitful 8 years of republicanism. Given Mr. Cliton's outstanding perfomance as the last democratic president, it would be wise and fair to enthrust the pover to a democrat this time around. But voters seem too caught up in the traditional archaic discriminatory political system to hand over power to Obama whom they see as a black person rahter than the right politician to deliver the changes they aspire at. It therefore comes to say that discrimaination may do more harm to those who practice it than to the ones it is praticed against.
    95% of blacks would vote Obama. But unfortunately, they are at minority. Therefore without the whites votes, Obama can't win, this is only if race is playing a key factor in this election.
    So, statistically, it is impossible for any poll to predict any outcome for this specific election. The surveyor's questions need to be clear precise, well formulated, and should not intimidate, nor dictate to the interviewee an answer. And oftentimes the surveyors themselves represent a bias factor, their language, race, gender, and even their own choices involontary impact the way they ask questions which are shaped to obtain the answer they need in favor of their own candidates. So based on the above argument, polls are inacurate, one's candidate.

    September 13, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  2. Chris, Antioch, CA

    Hopefully in a week, we'll be back to sanity.

    By the way, the GOP has been enacting a three-part strategy:
    1. make as many voters as possible low-info voters by not talking about any issues, 2. play the victim card when they can to manipulate emotions in these voters (ie the Palin pick), and 3. claim over and over again that the Dems don't get the Heartland

    All of this is devious, cynical, and of course BS. Republicans are intolerant, greed-driven racists. Their leadership doesn't give a crap about America, only in profiteering from the privilege of power and government. It's so obvious: McCain's entire staff are lobbyists. I'm so sick of this. LOOK PAST THEIR LIES!

    Obama / Biden 08 and 12

    September 13, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  3. Andy

    BO is no presidential material. He has a different set of American values, he uses words in stump speeches that my 6-yr says are bad ones, the way he laid flowers at ground zero seemed like he did not want to be there, and he lacks the experience as President in day one though ironically he keeps questioning that of someone who will be the second in command.

    Andy, MI

    September 13, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  4. BS VA

    People, please remember that a poll with no sampling error is statistically meaningless. The error could be three percent, or ten percent, or one hundred percent–and there is no way to tell if the error wasn't estimated. Just because a number exists doesn't imply that the number means something.

    The point I'm making is that differences of one or two percent are, as we've seen in the previous few days, expected and meaningless. A "poll of polls" changing a point up or down for either candidate is almost certain to be sampling error, whether it was McCain gaining a point or Obama gaining a point. It does NOT indicate any real change in the "actual" set of votes out there.

    September 13, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  5. gl

    After this weekend, the polls will be in favor of Obama. McLiar/Paliar will keep the polls coming Obama way with all their everyday lies.

    September 13, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  6. Melissa Petoskey, MI

    I have read different responses to different topics on here, and the results are truly appauling....from both sides. United States my butt, this is definatly the Divided States. This year's election cannot be any simplier: If you have absolutely no problem with the last 8 years, if you have no qualms abou the gas prices or food prices, if you'e not about to lose your house or have no problem getting one, McCain/Palin is your team. If you wanna change things from what they currently are, Obama/biden is your team. Vote SMART and with your brain, not with your take on who can I go to the bar with. Thank you.

    September 13, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  7. Emma, San Jose, CA

    It is difficult to trust the polls due to payoffs to people to support the Republicans.

    September 13, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  8. Amy

    Wow that's a shock I thought Obama would be ahead. Oh well anything can "change" betwen now and election day. : )

    September 13, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  9. Cooper

    His campaign is filled with lies and this is what pulls him past Obama? Wow, just think how his presidency would be. After all, America should be tired of all the lies and secrecy of the current administration.

    September 13, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  10. TwineUK

    I have been noticing the polls moving back towards Obama. I thing the Mcain bounce has has gone as far as it has to go. As more people listen to Sarah Palin they fascination will wear a bit thin. I believe Obama will end up with a 5 point lead in the next few weeks.

    September 13, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  11. William L. Quigley

    I expect that this is the beginning of a decline in McCain's support. The Charles Gibson interview of Sarah Palin made many voters question McCain's judgment and responsibility in choosing her.

    As the CNN Poll of Polls includes more recent polls and as the public infatuation with Palin continues to wane, McCain's support will decline.

    September 13, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  12. Maurice Jamall

    I can't belive how the man who has no qualms regarding lying about his opponent, slandering him as a sexist and attempting to steal his message of change is even slightly ahead in the polls.
    He'll even lie about the smallest of things. See this tidbit, (from Huffington Post)

    "McCain aide Kimmie Lipscomb told reporters on Sept. 10 that an outdoor rally in Fairfax City, Virginia, drew 23,000 people, attributing the crowd estimate to a fire marshal.

    Fairfax City Fire Marshal Andrew Wilson said his office did not supply that number to the campaign and could not confirm it. Wilson, in an interview, said the fire department does not monitor attendance at outdoor events."

    Shameless. And to think, I once admired him even though I am left of centre.

    September 13, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  13. TwineUK

    I have been noticing the polls moving back towards Obama. I thing the Mcain bounce has has gone as far as it has to go. As more people listen to Sarah Palin their fascination will wear a bit thin. I believe Obama will end up with a 5 point lead in the next few weeks.

    September 13, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  14. Ron

    Obama leads the projected electoral votes . That is what matters.

    September 13, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  15. joe

    i am a democrat .I want to vote for biden obama not obama bide.
    hillary 2012

    September 13, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  16. for obama nj

    i am so ashamed of mccain, he lied on obama about the kids and obama with sex, he lied and ran attack ads in colorado on 9/11, he seems to be doing so much lying now, i am so surprised, what will happen when and if he gets in the white house, he is losing his credibility....

    September 13, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  17. lyndel

    Where are Sarah P.'s tax returns for that past 5 or 10 years?

    For that matter where is her tax return from 2007?

    What is she hiding?

    September 13, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  18. Max

    Maybe, in previous election could polls offer a definite and acurate image of what may result; but not in this election where race, gender, status, and age are bias factors that tend to interfere with the honesty with which voters plan to vote. At this point, voters are so not sure who to elect. At least 80% of white voters would prefer vote for McCain. But McCain's age, his VP pick, and his war-oriented resolution worry them, add to that the disastrous unfruitful 8 years of republicanism. Given Mr. Cliton's outstanding perfomance as the last democratic president, it would be wise and fair to enthrust the pover to a democrat this time around. But voters seem too caught up in the traditional archaic discriminatory political system to hand over power to Obama whom they see as a black person rahter than the right politician to deliver the changes they aspire at. It therefore comes to say that discrimination may do more harm to those who practice it than to the ones it is praticed against.
    95% of blacks would vote Obama. But unfortunately, they are at minority. Therefore without the whites votes, Obama can't win, this is only if race is playing a key factor in this election.
    So, statistically, it is impossible for any poll to predict any outcome for this specific election. The surveyor's questions need to be clear, precise, well formulated, and should not intimidate, nor dictate to the interviewee an answer. And oftentimes the surveyors themselves represent a bias factor, their language, race, gender, and even their own choices involontary impact the way they ask questions which are shaped to obtain the answer they need in favor of their own candidates. Based on the above argument, polls are inacurate. One should not feel happy or sad if polls results do or do not favor one's candidate.

    September 13, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  19. annick, MD

    Convention/Palin/Lies/Watchamecallit gone already????
    C'mon McCain. Lie a little bit more, you need to keep the momentum
    McCain+Palin=Bridge to nowhere

    September 13, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  20. Colleen

    As the dust settles, The celebrity start of Palin will fall, and the candicate will begin to be judge on the issues. No matter what, America just can't doing the same as the last 8 years. It comes down to who could really turn things around and bring back respect to America.

    September 13, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  21. annick, MD

    Convention/Palin/Lies/Watchamecallit bounce gone already????
    C'mon McCain. Lie a little bit more, you need to keep the momentum
    McCain+Palin=Bridge to nowhere

    September 13, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  22. mike

    ocne again i must say cnn covers polls vary diffrently when obama is up as he is bye 1 point , cnn does not say obama is up , yet when mcain goes up 1 point cnns reaction is its front page news . what cnn ment to say today is OBAMA CLIMBS MCAINS CONVENTION BOUNCE OVER . SURE THATS WHAT THE HEADLINE WOULD SAY IF IT WAS VISA VERSA. NOW PALINS GONNA REAGNITE THE COLD WAR WITH RUSSIA , CNN TELL ME ALL YOU WANT PALIN SAID SHE DOSENT WANT A COLD WAR WITH RUSSIA , cnn that dosent matter its russias reaction is the only thing that counts . WELL SARA YOU WILL BE FIGHTING RUSSIA ON YOUR OWN BECOUSE THE ALLIES WONT BE WITH YOU , YOU WILL BE ALONE AMERICA.

    September 13, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  23. Ralph Benno

    I am sure that we will see many stupid comment from Obama supporters..on your web..bad mouthing MC cain and Palin.

    Obama better to wake up to the people . They are not so dumb to beleive his hotr air rhetoric..

    People ar starting to realize the need of the country. .He was too proud or to naive not to court Hillary on his team. Now he will go and beg the Clinton to help him. TOO late BABY

    ADIEU Monsieur OBAMA... Bonjour Monsieur Mc cain.

    September 13, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  24. Emiliano

    he might be one point ahead, but it's what happens in every state what matters, and Obama still holds a big advantage over McCain...

    September 13, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  25. Blue Collar Worker

    America is looking past Obama's smoke and mirrors. He offers nothing other than rhetoric. He is not the realization of martin Luther King's dream he is the political version of Jayson Blair. A liar and a fraud who got o where he is by exploiting white guilt, racial sympathy and lower standards for persons of color due to affirmative action.

    September 13, 2008 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
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