September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
6 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.
New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Celrose

    I'm an Asian-American who served in the military for 20 years and I'm very proud of it. I noticed in this election that candidates are fighting just to be elected commander in chief of this great nation. Well, since Ms. SARAH appeared in the VP ballot, she had everyone in the Democrats Party confused and trying to take her hockey stick from her hands. No way that you could take her stick because she is protected by pit bulls with lipstick.

    September 14, 2008 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  2. Amazed

    Check your history, Chipster, and others. Your Beloved Bill Clinton signed Nafta - that's when the jobs started going overseas. And can anyone out there come up with ONE proposal set forth by either Biden or Obama that would have fixed ANY of these problems? Oh, that's right - Biden, after 36 years in the Senate, is suddenly "The Change We Can Believe In"? Obama, the Jr. Senator from Illinois, spent the majority of HIS time in the Senate running for President. And why is it that NONE of you seem to know that BIDEN AND OBAMA BOTH VOTED FOR THE BRIDGE TO NOWHERE? OBAMA and BIDEN had an opportunity to DIVERT the funds for the infamous bridge to Katrina Victims. They BOTH voted for the Bridge instead. The ONLY one that opposed the bridge, at all times, was John McCain.

    September 14, 2008 06:15 pm at 6:15 pm |
  3. Katherine in Minnesota

    There is NO way McCain will win Minnesota. The primary went heavily Obama (75%) and we are tired of being lied to. We may be a state that loves hockey, but we don't love a certain hockey mom. We are well informed and will vote that way.

    September 14, 2008 06:15 pm at 6:15 pm |
  4. Real MN Hockey Mom

    This true MN Hockey Mom is voting Obama–voted Republican for past several elections-had enough of Bush/Cheney lies & betrayal to the American people-my children's future is at stake. Gee-too bad they didn't call our house to get the pulse-4 votes for Obama/Biden!

    September 14, 2008 06:16 pm at 6:16 pm |
  5. Kashan

    Why is it that Republicans like to work off of illusions and ignorance! Because its the only strategy they now how to do effectively! That and act like a bunch of high school bullies! They know how to distort the truth to make their opponents look bad and maintain their control over those who lack intelligence. They lack a real quality that all leaders needs....REASON!!

    Republicans have failed this country with their Leadership! These wars in the middle east were a sad mistake! We should have developed our internal security in the U.S. but instead we invade Afghanistan and Iraq!! I guess that was better for Bush and Cheney since Halliburton earned some serious profits as a result of those wars.

    Perhaps if we stopped trying to influence the Middle East so dramatically, we wouldn't be facing such troubling dilemmas today.

    Give me a real Republican leader like Ron Paul!!! There's a leader i can admire!!

    But I believe BARACK OBAMA / JOE BIDEN is the leader of tomorrow!

    Lets seize the future and leave the Conservatives in the past where they belong!!

    September 14, 2008 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  6. Anita

    Greg,
    What makes you so confident of an Obama win and Palin demise soon after what happened in 2000 and 2004?

    September 14, 2008 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  7. B-REAL

    I have realized that woman will decide who is president this year. I moment that we should all be proud of, we have finally reached a moment when "we matter".

    With that said, It is so disturbing and disappointing to know many woman will take this opportunity and squander it. Instead of deciding on issues, many will take this historic moment and vote based on emotional, and petty posturing. Wasting an opportunity to elevate woman's issues and make serious progress on behalf of all woman.

    As Palin's record is disclosed it becomes more apparent that this woman is not as qualified as she has let on. Her inexperience and clumsy attempt at covering is obvious. Mc Cain is the president you are voting for, not Palin.

    If your vote was not going to McCain, 1 month ago, you shouldn't be now. McCain did not pick Palin out of respect or admiration for her career......he could have chosen highly qualified republican women.

    McCain's campaign is a representation of what you get if he is elected... Greed, lying, and pandering ......wow, here we go again.

    September 14, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  8. Neil

    I read the comments on this site, and I realize how ignorant most voters are, especially those Obama supporters making their opinions known.

    I've read all kinds of silly, ignorant statements and gross generalities, such as all Republicans only watch Fox News and don't read newspapers, and how the elections of 2000 and 2004 were all about "personality". There are plenty of other good laughs browsing through this blog.

    What liberals can't seem to understand is that there are intelligent and well informed people who just disagree with their socialist view of the world. Liberals never can seem to get to the realization that they could be wrong in their thinking and that intelligent people may simply disagree with Obama. It has nothing to do with race or gender, but simply policy and experience.

    September 14, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  9. Gene

    Who is the numbskull that said that the media wants McCain/Palin to win. You apparently aren't paying attention. The media likes to sell advertising and newsprint. If the story is Obama – the new exciting face – is winning...then that is what they cover. When the story is Palin – the new and exciting face – that is what they cover. They don't want to ask substanstive questions – those don't sell papers and get ratings. They ask baiting questions that can stir some personal controversy so they can cover THAT. BOTH political machines lie. It's what political parties do. Democrats lie and say that if there is a republican in office that he will make abortion illegal; the truth? – for 28 of my 40 years on this earth, the president has been a Republican and it is still legal. Reublicans will have you believe that having a Dem in office means that my taxes will double; the truth? – only if I am one of the very fortunate to make over $500k per year. My vote will be mostly because of looking at the character and service of the men at the top of the ticket...in that respect, I believe that McCain has the edge and he is not as naive as Barrack is about foreign affairs. If Obama had more years behind him in senate comittees that deal with foreign affairs, then I could vote for him. As it is, his lack of knowledge of how that works scares me – its scares me with Palin also should something happen to McCain.

    September 14, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  10. LJinLACA

    The key phrase is
    Change We Can Believe In.

    66 million in August says support for change is growing.
    Obama supporters put their money where there mouth is.
    51% intelligence is all need, and I believe we will achieve it!
    Go Obama!

    September 14, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  11. Isaac

    I think The GOP are desperate, afraid of loosing hold of washington forever...or, how else can one explain the negative ads...

    September 15, 2008 01:23 am at 1:23 am |
  12. Jack4Rep

    ..............HOW TO CHOOSE A PRESIDENT FOR DUMMIES..............
    Make a decision to vote after taking into consideration the following joint tickets attributes and characteristics.
    1. Has the ticket shown adequate calmness, coolness, and connectedness's under pressure to lead our nation [Presidential Temperament]?
    2. Has the ticket shown sustained sound "Judgment and Caliber"?
    3. Has the ticket shown adequate understanding of depth and degree to address the crucial challenges in their their purpose, policies, and positions [ Honesty, integrity and sincerity]?
    4. Has the ticket sufficient "understanding and knowledge" of inside Washington workings [Experience]"?
    5. Has the ticket reservoir resilience, wisdom, and vigor to address the present and future f our beloved "Great-grand Nation"?
    6. Has the ticket enough joint foreign policy experience and exposure based on " Values, Virtues, Vastness, and " [American moral soul]"?
    7. Has their campaign talk, slogans, ads, plans, and programs based on facts and are they free of fear, fiction, frivolous labels, unfair attacks, negativity, and impulsively? [No "imminent danger to national security and safety"].
    8. Has the ticket genuinely kept on message of country first and politics last and avoided copying [Message change"]?
    9. Has the ticket message stayed away from Culture divide and war[ Disaster prevention ]?
    10. Has the ticket resisted being surrounded, supported and surrogate's by divisiveness, distortion's, and destructive characters, [ Real patriotism VS shiftiness and shameless parrot-ism]?
    So now personally and professionally have you concluded that OBAMA-BIDEN ticket will lift and inspire our great grand nation back to its greatness within and restore our global standing with the use of maximum, but firm international diplomacy and minimal force if and when necessary {" Peace thru Strength "}.

    September 15, 2008 01:24 am at 1:24 am |
  13. Anonymous

    Every Republican should be ashame to be a member of this party. I've never heard so many lies as these two Republicans as Palin and McSame.Most politicians lie after they get into office.

    September 15, 2008 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
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