September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Kay

    I don't trust the polls! no use polling republicans!

    September 14, 2008 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  2. Lady

    =====why would anyone believe the polls?
    my family, friends, and all the people around me are for obama, how come no one ask us to do any of these polls??

    September 14, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  3. Mark - NY

    All due to the Convention hoopla! Give it a few days people will come back to earth when they visit the gas station and realize its Bush/Mccain that put us in this mess!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  4. Pepou

    What people should understand is that McCain if elected will only be a figurehead for a Palin presidency. Is THIS what we want for our country ? An unqualified, trigger-happy dimwit who will bring us to catastrophy ?

    September 14, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  5. Kevin from Florida

    That's it, Michigan?? Hello! They just had they're convention there of course that was gonna tighten, call me in October.

    September 14, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  6. Chris

    The Palin lift will disappear soon. Less than two weeks until the first Presidential Debate too – then Obama will really have a chance to fly his flag over McCain.

    September 14, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  7. Renee- Florida

    Up the ground game, Obama supporters!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  8. Another grumpy old white woman for Obama

    Polls are LIES!
    Our household has been called 5 times. They only will speak to the Male voter! The polls are only asking "likely" voters. I guess this doesn't include women and the millions of younger new voters.
    They are fixed big time! They actually hang up on me (a Female voter)
    when I tell them the MALE voter isn't available.
    The polls are a load of BS.
    Young people, do whatever it takes to prove them wrong. VOTE as if your life depended on it because it does.
    Obama/Biden 08-16

    September 14, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  9. Rick in MD

    Let’s Get Real America!!!

    Days Sen. McCain has been President of the USA: 0
    Days Sen. McCain has been Commander-in-Chief: 0
    Days Sen. McCain has been an Executive: 0
    Evidence that being a POW is a qualification for being President: NONE

    Sen. McCain’s economic knowledge: Very little by his own admission

    Homes Sen. McCain owns during these economic woes: too many that he doesn’t know

    Sen. McCain’s maverick status: Fabricated – voted with Pres. Bush 90% of the time

    Sen. McCain’s temperament: fragile in the worse way – PTSD???

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong for America because he selected a VP he has met once

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong for you because he changes his with the wind

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong for him because he is in a constant state of confusion

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because he is stuck in the past – he has no vision!!!

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because he doesn’t know what change means.

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because he is using women as a political knife.

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because he is Champion of the Rich

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because he fights first, that’s not smart, it’s stupid

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because country isn’t first, he is!!!

    Sen. McCain’s judgment: wrong because of his campaign of fear and lies!!!

    Sen. McCain is wrong for America and the world because he just doesn’t get it!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  10. jamie

    negative small bore campaigning works, Mr. McCain.
    But it is no change from Mr. Bush policy of diversion while he kills off thousands and destroys the economy.
    What happened to straight talk.
    The GOP has lost my vote this time.

    Jamie in OHIO

    September 14, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  11. maynard hopkins wi

    Obama its did this to yourself.... maybe in 12 years you might make a president.. you have a lot to learn about culture in the usa.....

    September 14, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  12. Big D

    I wish everyone would consider that there are future consequences for the lie-filled campaign that McCain is running now. Think what the next election cycle wil be like if McCain wins now, after promising to run with integrity, but then resorting the the lies and smears that his campaign has spread. How nasty is the next election going to be, after we continually see how going negative and lying win?!? And think how divided our nation is going to continue to be. Think how divided Congress will be, if they have to work with a President who acted this way during a campaign. After this administration lied to us so many times, why would anyone be willing to elect another lie-teller? If McCain lies this much during the campaign, we can't expect him to suddenly have integrity after he's elected. We've got to think further than just this election. There are horrible consequences if the campaign that tells the most lies and smears the most goes on to win.

    September 14, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  13. Doofus Cape Coral FL

    I cannot for the life of me understand why anyone with even a modicum of intelligence would vote for the Republican ticket The blatant lies and distortions are so obvious that a vote for them would be close to criminal.

    September 14, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  14. Independent but Leaning

    This election is slipping away from Obama...

    September 14, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  15. Tino

    Only in the USA can you see these kinds of polls, how in the world can anyone justify the polling numbers for John Mcain/Palin with the economy in the toilet thanks to Mcain/Bush policies, Mcain campaign continues to lie about Obama's record and yes they are simply running gutter politics. What the American people should know is having selective amnesia in 2004 when George W Bush was essentially running a very similar campaign where he refused to focus on his record but instead resorted to trashing John Kerry, the American people bought it and see where we are today... Deep in the SEWER....

    September 14, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  16. Survival of the Fittest

    Lose your house, lose your vote: Republicans are challenging the right to vote of foreclosed property owners in Michigan, Ohio, and other contested states because the person is not a true resident of the city or township once a house is foreclosed. The GOP is planning to use a list of foreclosed homes to block people from voting in the upcoming election as part of the GOP’s effort to challenge some voters on Election Day. It's mean spirited, but it is happening. Pathetic. Spread the word.

    September 14, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  17. easy talk

    Angry Hillary supporters from CA. Do Not treat Palin the way the media treated Hillary Clinton !!!

    We demand equal and fair news media coverage for both of the candidates. No one can hide anything. ANGRY.

    We watched Palin's Navada Campaign Solo video from She was great! Folks, please go MSNBC / VIDEO to watch her speech.

    September 14, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  18. David

    This is the Palin effect: a shiny newcomer about whom the public knows nothing except what the McCain machine has said. Consider her completely deceptive convention speech. Almost 40 million got their first impression of who she is and what she's done through that speech.

    Now look at all the articles exposing her for a hardline fraud. Watch the polls next week and you'll see them swinging back Obama's way.

    Gas prices up, unemployment up, inflation up. It's time for something new. Obama / Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  19. Jan

    Why do they (the media) slice, dice, and corner Palin for every word she utters?? They have let Obama go for months on end. She is not the top of the ticket in case you young bloggers are not aware of that! Obambi has stumbled over words and changed thoughts forever and never gets called on it. Let's have some debates like McCain wants!

    September 14, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  20. winningside

    I want to know why Biden and his family has not been interviewed, it seems he is off limits and the Media is not steeping up to the plate on his issues, why is that? I see that Biden Son is No Longer a Federal lobbyist Why is that? Does Bidens have something to Hide, I think The Media and Cnn is protecting his hide, because he is off limits, how one sided for shore, lets see how they go about this one, there has not been anything Said about his policys Why that, what did he Vote on and why? There has Been NO Negative infor on him, Why is that?

    September 14, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  21. Abby

    GOOD JOB McCain/Palin – keep up the good work!!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  22. susie

    Obama's circle of friends, Wright, Rezko, Ayers, and others reflects on his character. Michelle Obama never even went to the memorial, on 9-11, in New York City, why?

    September 14, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  23. DBC

    No surprise here. This has ceased to be a race of issues. It is a race where an awful lot of average Americans have had their fill of the biased press and have decided to register their distain at the voting booth. It is now quite clear why the elite media wanted Palin to back out before the convention. They saw a woman coming who might actually invigorate Americans and women, in particular. And they were right. The only real change in all this mess is that which Palin offers. She doesn't fit the medias or the Washington model and I just love it!

    September 14, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |

    Since it now would appear the main reason for the republican VP choice involved breasts and ovaries, America wants a more QUALIFIED choice.

    September 14, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  25. Oleg

    This is a test of American IQ – whether we still have in this country and in the few 'battleground states' a very minimal IQ needed to elect normal people, or we doomed to self destruction under more Bush and extremism.

    Obama/Biden 2008

    September 14, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
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