September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. DF0331

    I'd bet you'd care if the polls showed Barry in the lead. Look, Americans are not stupid. We can figure out this awesome Rep. ticket McCain/Sarah is NOT the same as the last 8yrs. Even if it was I'd take McCain/Sarah over Barry with a questionable back ground. Barry should be the one who scares you. Thanks Sarah! USA!!

    September 14, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  2. Yngvai

    Palin scares the hell out of me. Just saw the recent NY Times article where they interviewed Democrats, Republicans, and friends/colleagues.

    Cronyism, secrecy, surrounding herself with only people that agree with her, tending to her evangelical base, calling anyone against her as "Anti-Alaska"….

    Sound familiar? Yep, she's Bush III in the making

    Too scary. People, please think very, very carefully before you vote for this ticket

    September 14, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  3. Joe

    I think partisan politics needs to become a footnote of history. Look at the condescending attitudes expressed by each major political party for the other party's candidates. Partisan politics is a war of words, which, unfortunately can degrade into a war of weapons. We need to find a new way for the democratic will of the people is respected, without the divisive politics and electioneering. Consultation needs to rule the day, so that real solutions can solve problems. Egos, popularity contests and career politicians need to take a back seat to representatives that are chosen by the people simply for the purpose of serving their community, their state and their Nation.

    Partisan politics is not a solution to the worlds problems, rather it is the CAUSE of the problems!

    September 14, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  4. sbrex

    Hey, instead of insulting the conservative base which will make it rightfully angry, how about coming out with better ideas? Making fun of people never works. The Republican ticket should be criticized for what it is, what it does and where it wants to take the country, rather than for the people it tries to address. Notice that I differentiate the Republican Party from the Conservative people who vote for them. I am a conservative guy, and I feel like the Republican ticket is trying to cater on people like me by funneling the anger that I feel when I read the 'smart' remarks from the liberals.

    September 14, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  5. Sage

    so what Obama was down 20 points in the polls during the primaries...LOL you wrong rights's are sooooo funny. you really think these polls mean something either way? i guess you will fall for anything (you fell for Bush twice, now this Palin gimmick) oh boy you Neo-Cons are hysterical....the only poll we care about are the polls on Nov. 4th when Obama wins. i hope the RNC are paying you bloggers well.

    why does Alaska have more ear marks per capital than ANY other state in the Nation?-more than nuff said.

    September 14, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  6. leigh

    I'd love to see the Republican base become complacent over the poll numbers and forget to turn out to vote..

    September 14, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  7. CB2

    I guess that people are stupid. Sorry, but they are. What the average person doesn't understand is that McSame is trying to appeal to them by insulting their intelligence.

    McSame knows that the average person will just believe is ad as fact. They will not conduct any research at all. Listen people this is not a beauty contest. You guys need to start balancing your budget(s) and see who is more capable of helping out the American people.

    That is wonderful that you think Sarah and her husband are cool people. Then go over, up or down and visit them in Alaska where they belong.

    People profess to be christians and what not, yet they can't relate to an african american man who is promising tax cuts and change because of this color. We really haven't grown as a nation.

    I'm not giving up though. I still believe that BO can win the presidency and be giving the opportunity to make this country a better place. John McSame hasn't said one word about helping anybody out.

    All his ads are about is attacking BO. Or making this campaign being about so-called sexist/pig remarks. People please vote based on what is best for your families. So people really don't put their country first. Instead they put these negatives stereotypes and conotations.

    When people continue to lost their homes, wars in Iraq (Iran and Afghanistans) killing innocent children. Just remember that you help to make that possibly. You all will carry the blood on your hands as well.

    September 14, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  8. 8 is enough!

    Just goes to show this is about personality not issues . I would have thought the people there would look at the issues vs someone whose hubby rides a snowmobile or calls herself a hockey Mom . Of course she was only a hockey mom briefly.
    The GOP is trying to push the issues to the back burner so we do not see them and vote for Sarah Palin and oh by the way 72 yr old MCSAME comes with the package. and we end up with Miss runner up Alaska as our President. Scary as heck! I would rather take my chance on a talented Columbia -Harvard educated , former 12 yr professor of constitionlal and international law. And by the way he was not MR Illinois but was a 7 yr state Senator , talented enough to deliver a powerful keynote speech in 2004, and a 4 yr US Senator .

    September 14, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  9. hurriCAIN PALIN

    looks like everybody is getting sick and tired of drinking the kool-aid

    September 14, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  10. Hispanics for McCain/Palin

    Minnesota is starting to realize who the best candidate really is.

    McCain/Palin 2008

    Palin vs Clinton 2012

    September 14, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  11. Obama08

    If I am a majority shareholder in a company and the CEO is performing bad and the stock price of the comapny is going south. I will vote the CEO out in a heartbeat...I hate to loose money.

    Obviously majority of Americans do not think like I do when it comes to sending the right message. Voting IN the republicans DOES NOT send the right message to republicans, democrats, independents etc etc. If you are an American and you are feeling burned...DO NOT vote any republicans back into the office...that is if you want to send a strong message.

    September 14, 2008 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  12. Ken

    Being one of the Hillary Clinton supporters who as of now will be voting for McCain/Palin.

    The main reason being that the democrat "Super Delegates" made a huge mistake by backing Obama instead of Hillary Clinton. How can anyone support Obama when he has NO experience and Biden being a "Washington insider"?

    Obama is a risky choice, one that I am not going to support. I want a person that knows what they are doing and that has the experience to be our next President.

    McCain/Palin 2008

    Hillary Clinton 2012

    September 14, 2008 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  13. Susan from Scotts Valley, CA

    It will be a sad day if McCain wins. It will prove that Americans are just as stupid as the Republicans think they are

    September 14, 2008 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  14. chippyarm

    People in Minnesota love hockey. It's too bad their original team is gone. They have moved to McCain because of the hockey mom. Wow, all you have to do is hold a convention there, and you get their vote. I thought that people in Minnesota were thinking people.

    September 14, 2008 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  15. Olivia

    Iowans isn't setting a trend......they are making a mistake.

    This man is a rock star ( whose friends such as Matt Damon and Pamela Anderson are making abusive remarks about Sarah Palin), and is waaay over the top.

    Obama is a big spender, a liberal, and will not be good for you or the entire country if elected. What are you thinking?????

    September 14, 2008 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  16. John

    Minnesota has fallen for McCain-Palin hard. They obviously impressed the State in a BIG Way.

    September 14, 2008 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  17. Griff

    So Barack Obama agrees with John McCain, about Military Conscript. But then he has: Two Girls??? The Hypochrit.

    September 14, 2008 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  18. chucky

    I think it's crazy how most republicans on the blogs know that McCain is lying, but defend his lies. i also think it's crazy how some of the so called 18 million Clinton supporters, because she didn't win defected over to the republican side regardless of the issues they were so called fighting for. I've said it before and I'll say it again. the deomcratic primary was about gender as much as it is about race, why would white democrat men and women vote against their party even though Clinton and Obama were about 98% the same on the issues?

    September 14, 2008 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  19. Peter E

    And the number of articles talking about relevant political issues, records, and plans today is, once again, zero!

    September 14, 2008 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  20. chippyarm

    Patty, doesn't the fact that Biden has what he has tell you about him? He's one of the real people. I was quite impressed that he hasn't used his status in ways that most republicans do, selling out to make a buck. I think he truly is a real American. Good for you for being so rich that you can't realize that. It's certainly not about you being smarter than him.

    September 14, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  21. Jason in SDY

    This country is truly stomach turning. It is so amazing to see people change their opinions based on people lying to them. It proves that the Republicans win and win and win because they know the American people. They know what works. Like Roman Caesar's who knew Rome was a mob easily distracted, so do the Pubs know America. This election year is a war of intellect versus ignorance. If McCain wins we will know the answer to the question... that America truly is as stupid as its test scores indicate.

    September 14, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  22. Camereon

    MCCain is not onservative. Obama people have to point that out in the add. List all the liberal vote that McShame did. Obama people are not good in showing the bad side of the opponent.

    September 14, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  23. Arthur, Charlotte

    Thanks CNN. This is great news. The race is just about over. Obama lost the white vote and especially the white women's vote.

    These Wal-Mart moms have decided that Sarah Paliin is a much better model for their daughters than either Barack or Michelle Obama.

    Looking forward to McCain's inauguration.

    September 14, 2008 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  24. Montana is Obama Country


    This poll is coming from a state that voted in Jesse (I ain't got time to bleed) Ventura..!!


    nuff said..

    Obama/Biden... 2008

    September 14, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  25. Tony

    I do no believe that Minnesota is that stupid.

    September 14, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
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