September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. heartlight 3, Maui, HI

    If McCain thinks this is the way to get Democrats to work across the aisle with him he's not very bright. If you totally slime the other guys, they're not very likely to want to play with you. I'm not convinced he has any intention of working together with the Democrats. Bush said exactly the same thing and how much co-operation have we seen in the last 8 years?

    September 14, 2008 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
  2. Obama/Biden 08!

    Why all the hype about pre-presidential and pre-vp debate polls ???? The numbers with real meaning will be the polls after the 9/26 and 10/2 debates which I believe will show a reverse situation for Mccain as he has hurt himself by creating "larger " numbers of undecided voters with his trash TV ads about Obama & Biden.

    Which has only increased the pressure on him two-fold to come across with concrete policies in the 9/26 debate. Add to this the obvious fact he isn't a great orator, his debating skills questionable as he hasn't presented any concrete policies to date, and the economy is a weakness for him; he will be going into the 9/26 debate at a distinct disadvantage.

    Also there was very little enthusiasm for Palin's first and only interview which I think was a waste of time; she knows nothing about foreign policy and comes across as a complete ding-a-ling. I don't think the vp debate will do anything to help Mccain and will put the full weight of winning on his ability to survive the remaining two presidential debates.

    It was extremely foolish to put himself in such a tight corner by going negative which only "INCREASED" the number of undecided voters who will choose their candidate based on who they percieve performed best in the presidential debates. To leave himself open to this kind of pressure during the debates will be his undoing; as he doesn't seem to perform well under pressure and he will not be able to use Palin as a shield after the vp debate.

    Obama has concrete policies which Mccain has tried to drowned out with his barbie doll and negative ad camaign. Obama is a fantastic orator, can analyze and return the volley with a new spin on the question, is strong on the economy, and is calm and collected under pressure, which gives him a clear advantage over Mccain. If Obama can project the determination, confidence, and strength he portrayed in his acceptance speech he will reclaim his momentum again which will further increase the pressure on Mccain as well.

    Obama/Biden 08!

    September 14, 2008 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
  3. Amazing

    This is breath-taking, it really is. Not only are we going to elect the oldest president ever, but we're going to elect the most unqualified vice president ever! Maybe in 2012 I'll run. With my lack of experience and my ability to host a mean BBQ, I'm a lock to get at least 60% of the vote.

    September 14, 2008 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
  4. Lemonton

    People are too bust surviving to the Bush/McCain economy that they only pay attention to sound bites many of them full of McCain/Palin/GOP lies. We need to keep hammering on the message.

    September 14, 2008 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
  5. Jim

    Obama will go down in defeat against McCain in Nov. because of his ego, arrogance,inexperience, changing his mind, divisiveness, and lack of past accomplishments. Palin was right when she said Obama should have put Hillary on the ticket. McCain and Palin brings a lot to the table and america knows that , and that's why they will vote McCain/Palin 08.

    September 14, 2008 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
  6. alvino

    Go figure. Maybe the Minnesotans do not realize that when we no longer spend $10 billion a month in Iraq, we could address infrastructure like bridges.

    September 14, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  7. karen

    Wake up Minnesota!!!!!!!!
    You guys took a chance on other canadates that most states would not even consider.. IE Jesse Ventura. Be open to change.Your state can't be doing any better that the rest of us. Don't think for a moment that Mccain or Palin will be anywhere out in the open when they hit red button. You want a canadate that you can have a beer with or you want one that your way of life is not under threat. Wake up, this is not a popularity contest!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  8. Joe American

    IMHO, Mr. McCain is a true American hero; that should be undisputable. To me, that speaks volumes about his merit for POTUS. Is he a maverick? He DID go on "The View" and submitted himself to some pretty vicious verbal lashings (surely he saw that coming...they were all googley eyed whenever Mr. Obama was on the prgram). I'm starting to think maybe Mr. McCain can be an agent for change; a breath of fresh air, while maintaining our country's security. He definitely doesn't strike me as you're average GOPer, which may be a good thing. Like many on this board, I hope that average Americans come out in force. I'm not worried about their judgment. I'm excited to see this great country in action. May the LORD bless America! God save Jerusalem!

    September 14, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  9. Juan Grain

    Re-read this in mid October! I predict Obama with a 5 point advantage in MN.

    September 14, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  10. RDH

    American's are dumb. MC/Palin... Honestly, what in this universe do they see in this pick that will lead us out of the hell hole Bush-Cheney lead us into? Oh wait, that doesn't mater. It's only about values (i.e. abortion) and who looks like them (i.e. white and hockey mom) that maters to them.

    Pathetic... simply pathetic.

    September 14, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  11. NObama

    MCCAIN/PALIN 08!!!

    No one sees the truth behind Obama. Maybe some of ya'll should look up why there is a lawsuit against him, filed by an individual on the Hillary campaign.

    I will admit that this election has horrible nominees, but never would I trust someone as liberal as "Obama Sama".

    September 14, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  12. sharon walker

    Dear Friends:
    The interview just seen on CNN with woman African AMerican saying that Obama is right and this is his idean alone is wrong. Bush went ot Alphganastan and the balance of what we do extends beyond politics. We must for a period and as planned maintain the Iraqi military support or the terrorists and al quida will move into Iraq. President George W Bush Jr. is right.

    It is budgetted and congress has already approved these wars. This is Bushes administarion.

    Osam Bin Laden tape is no surprise infact predictable. Gas is blown and so is his cover fear and anger bringeth forth comments and threats. IN FACT POPPIES GO INTO PAKISTAN FOR HIS USE! WAR ON DRUGS HAS ALWAYS BEEN PART OF THE BUSH ADMINISTARION. WELCOME TO THIS CENTURY AND MILLINIUM. COMMENTATORS WHERE HAVE YOU BEEN.


    The analagies of dogs and animals is legitimate and part of even Walt Disney Art and Irony and satire. We are a society that relates to our world. around us and amoung us. pALIN IS A DOG, AND A PIG! a LIAR AND A THIEF. GET HER OFF THE TICKET MCCAIN.

    Politicians do not slap the wrists of the voters or try and put a dunce hat on us!! 9/11 anniversary they send messages.

    September 14, 2008 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  13. Mike Cap

    Listen to all you pathetic Liberals PRACTICALLY BEGGING the people of Minnesota not to change thier minds. Well maybe the good people of Minnesota realized they do not want a left wing nut-bag with no experience, ties to a radical pastor and domestic terrorist, a complete fool for a VP running mate and NOTHING accomplished as a Senator. Barry, Barack or whatever you call yourself...the gig is up and America knows you are a fraud. One thing you WON'T be called is Predident of this great nation. We'll give that honor to the TRUE American hero John McCain.

    McCain/Palin '08

    September 14, 2008 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  14. Bill

    My faith in the fairness of Americans is fading. Our future as a great nation is fading. The end of American greatness will certainly excelerate. The Republicans are the party of no pain no gain. Cut taxes and ruin the safefy net and get involved in any little war they can play "macho man". Again no draft, no taxes, deficits and let's run up the debt for absolutely nothing. Yes my friends Vote Republicans nd vote against your own interest.

    September 14, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  15. Obama/Biden

    He is lying his way up to the white house. America this is a warning sign. McCain/Palin are not telling you the truth imagine what they will do when they get in. Do not believe any promise make by McCain/Palin they are all lies.

    September 14, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  16. Paul

    Enough Bush. Enough McCain. Enough lies.

    September 14, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  17. Obwes

    This is all just hype. Once the dust settles, the results will go back.

    September 14, 2008 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  18. Becky

    Are these polls still valid? Weren't they taken around the Republican convention time frame? After the Republican convention we've learned that a lot of Palin's speech wasn't truthful. Then there was the Palin interview on ABC that didn't seem to go so well. And now we're finding out about the ads that McCain is airing are not very honest. I wonder what the next polls will show when those variables are factored in.

    September 14, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  19. Tracey

    If we stop spending billions of dollars daily in Iraq, maybe there will be extra cash for us to use here at home! Come on Mark, you know that's sound economically! Mark rethink your choice for president, because I don't want you to have "buyers remorse!" Let's help to change this country for the real better and move it in a different direction! In your heart, you know McCain/Palin ticket is not good for this country and our future!

    September 14, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  20. aq

    Paulin, you fail for her and she is entering the race in training wheels, at least the other candidates have to at least interview with all the media and take their lumps, she says the same speech every rally, and has cloud of investigations still going on as the vote for president goes on, if you want a woman in the white house, one with better predentials would be great, if Mcain and Palin gets in our nation will sink to all time low around the world, and it his tax plan was dissapproved by alan greenspan at the forum, America its up to you, we are not leaders of the world but we will be the followers, that is not what our forefathers left this nation to. Mccain and palin will send more jobs shifted overseas, until it hit you republicans you will then see what that is like......


    September 14, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  21. molly in MN

    McCain said the word "fight" about fifty times in his stump speach. Enough said

    September 14, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  22. Al Bond

    McLame and Failin are even worse liars on the campaign than Bush was. Unbelievable! And that indicates that they will be even more dishonet in office too. Voting for McLame and Failin is the act of a traitor to the Unites States of Amerca because you are insuring the futher destruction of our country that Bush has started. Get us into as many wars as possible and then borrow the money from other countries so they pretty much own us. And then when they call in the debt our country collapses. The republicans are much more effective at destroying our country than the terrorists could ever be.

    September 14, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  23. Belinda

    Newsflash- Palin is not running for president.; McCain and Obama are. Minnesota, like North Carolina, Georgia and now even Florida are finally waking up and realizing that Obama is just another power driven senator like Edwards- empty suits who give great speeches and pander to the uneducated by making promises that they know they cannot deliver. I'm proud of Americans for thinking on their own and not going with most of the media who annointed Obama months ago.

    September 14, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  24. D from Ashburn, VA


    Jane, Minneapolis September 14th, 2008 2:11 pm ET
    Why is is that Sarah Palin has the highest approval rating of any Governor in the United States? 80%.

    Nuff said.

    Sarah Palin 12 & 16′

    Are you to give up your woman's right to choose by voting for a ticket that wants to go to war and is "high" on a Governor who had to go to 6 colleges in 5 years to get her degree?

    Geezzz – wake up America! The only reason she is on the ticket is to avoid the real issues of health care, economy and the USA's standing of political power in the world.

    September 14, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  25. loretta hall

    Some of you people are just plain stupid. a person who has served his country knows a lot more than a person who has never been in a branch of service. How can he fight for us when he does not have a clue what or how to fight.? People Obama let the best person to help him, drift by the wayside and that was HRC. Now lets let Biden do his thing which is nothing and let Sarah Palin show you all what and how to get the job done. The media hurt HRC but I feel now the media has hurt iyself. No one wants to read their crap. I don't read it because it all lies. Lies to sell more papers.

    September 14, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
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