September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)


    September 14, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  2. steve

    It's because Obamas version of "Change " is as follows. He's changed his position on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, NAFTA, public financing of campaigns, gun control, abortion, gay marriage, Social Security taxes, the death penalty and negotiating with rogue nations.

    September 14, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  3. Ed, Santa Fe, NM

    and polls and worthless indicators since it's ELECTORAL VOTES that decide the election

    September 14, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  4. McCain has electoral ADVANTAGE

    I completely agree with Obama supporters here who insist electoral votes mean more than daily tracking polls. Apparently, they haven't checked today's count:


    McCain – 200

    Obama -193

    September 14, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  5. Marguerite Tamblyn

    I have seen soooo much coverage on Sarah Palin since the VP announcement, where is the equal coverage of Joe Biden. This is biased reporting, you guys. Smarten up and become journalists.

    September 14, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  6. Rodger

    Obama will win Minn. by over 10% The people in Minn. are not as stupid as people in Tenn. or Kentucky.

    September 14, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  7. Rob Nelson

    McCain equal World War 3 he can not present the issues but of war and to fight. Remember fight with me stand up and fight with me. Not only is Obama good for the country but for the world ask world leaders who they would rather lead with. God forbid if he croak and Palin is the new President this country is doomed. Do you really think Obama/Biden will not protect this country. I feel sorry for the ones who can't look past color. Remember he is white and black he represents both,

    September 14, 2008 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  8. Garrison, Tukwila, WA

    Hey Patty,

    I don't know for certain, but it seems to me that the Bidens are putting their money back into the economy. That's called doing your part to use what you've been blessed with to help keep this nation moving.

    September 14, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  9. Gerry

    What counts is who shows up on election day and who is watching the polls. If I were Obama I would have an army out there watching every polling station at every contested state. The GOP is well known for fixing elections and I am sure they will attempt it again. Obama is still ahead in the EC and that is what counts, folks!

    September 14, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  10. Kevin

    Afraid, Dems are very afraid.

    This happens when you elect someone with no experience.


    September 14, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  11. curtis in WI

    Are they working as hard to disenfrancise as many voters as they are in neighboring WI? Where McCain's state campaign chair (also the AG) has filed a lawsuit intened to keep tens of thousands who registered since 2006 from voting by essentially making them re-register at the polls. Or by the McCain campaign's mailing out hundreds of thousands of 'instructional' mailings 'explaining' how to vote by absentee and listing the wrong places to get absentee ballots?

    September 14, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  12. Kathy


    We need a democrat to fix the mess the republicans left us!


    September 14, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  13. PUMA2012

    Obama is attacking Sarah Palin just the same way he attacked Hillary during the primaries. Let"s see, so far he has proven himself to be racist (playing the race card), sexist and downright clueless. The polls are reflecting this. "lipstick on a pig"? Obama doesn"t need any lipstick. PUMAS for Palin!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  14. Irena

    And why wouldn't McCain/Palin be climbing in popularity? Don't we all want a John "Road To Nowhere" McCain and Sarah "Bridge To Nowhere" Palin in the White House? Can't wait to drive this country further into muck than it already is with no plans on how to get us out of it.

    September 14, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  15. Annette, Washington, DC

    The wealthy will continue with the current administration tax cut, the same. The economy will continue like the current administration, more of the same and worse, because of the continued tax cuts on the high income folks, and no new job creation, more of the same. On energy the same no innovation no real solutions, just drill, drill, drill , now they can drill in Alaska, how's that for innovation, just more of the same. Remember, the repubs always say no taxes to win elections, and evidently increasing taxes anyway, go check your history. The two presidents before the Clinton administration did it, huh? So don't get to thrilled

    September 14, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  16. Nikica, Croatia

    Judging by CNN and various internet sites,
    neither candidate gives coherent strategy for dealing with
    US housing market and other economical problems and yet the journalist talk about the candidates' respective image,
    personal traits and family history...

    That's my impression; am I wrong?

    And if I'm not wrong, could someone explain this lack of debate in politics?

    September 14, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  17. neeraj

    Hey, paul s, you clearly aren't Minnesotan, we couldn't be more anti-war or anti-outsourcing out here for a state that has as much money as we do. There's a reason they call as Minnesota nice, dude. (the only reason this comment is so mild is that CNN will post it)

    September 14, 2008 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  18. Cynthia - Arkansas

    These polls are just for the media to have something to talk about. I nor anyone I know has ever been called.

    You know what the sign of insanity is? When you do the same thing over and over and expect a different results. Surely, half of this country is not insane. A vote for McCain, is a vote for the same failed policies of Bush or worse. Now we find out that McCain and Palin are both pathological liars. How sad for America!

    September 14, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  19. DrMan

    The libs are desperate. They hoping (I'd say praying but the would be offended) that they'll finally find some really damaging dirt on her so Obama can win. It's pretty pathetic that that's the only way that the lefties can win.

    September 14, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  20. Louis

    If Americans are that stupid to vote AGAIn for the same Party already in power then we deserve to be the laughing stock of the world. In fact we have no business even to say we are a Super-Power because we would be nothing more than a country of complete idiots and our leadership continues to reflect that.

    September 14, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  21. wendy

    So Obama once considered joining the military. Well, considering and acting upon are two different things. There is all the difference. I guess you're supposed to get points for 'considering'?

    September 14, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  22. Independent

    McBUSH gained a TINY edge, albeit briefly.

    Journalists (and I mean REAL JOURNALISTS, NOT bimbos from FOX NOISE) will start reporting the truth. WATCH this SPACE.

    And, for the moose and wolf killer, well...she's irrelevant. Americans know she was a gimmick. It will all boil down to Barack and McBUSH.

    Go Barack, go Biden!!!!!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  23. Not sure about the numbers

    130,000,000 people will vote in this thing, these polls have a sample size of 1,000 or less. I'm not a genius but it seems to me that a 2.4 point advantage overall is meaningless.
    It's going to be the same result as 2004 but with a few more votes for the Democrats because of relentless, unprecedented voter registration and just general demographics.
    All this noise in the meantime is just there to sell ads for these cable "news" networks that can't afford to cover the real news anymore!

    September 14, 2008 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  24. Johnny V

    Unfortunately, a large proportion of the American voting populace is lazy, ignorant, and often just plain stupid. Which explains why it is so easy to fool and manipulate them. They won't even bother to take 2 minutes out of their day to do the most basic of internet research in order to verify the transparent, easily disproven lies spit out repeatedly by the McCain/Palin camp.

    So, rather than voting on the issues, incompetents get elected into office based on some sort of imaginary cult persona sold to them by professional spinmeisters. But hey, "I could have a beer with McCain or Palin." Right, like either of them would ever even consider having a beer with the neaderthal's that voted them in!

    September 14, 2008 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  25. Wakeup!

    Land of the free home of brave yet some of the worlds dumbest people.

    September 14, 2008 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
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