September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
6 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.
New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Judge

    As people realize that McCain/Palin aren't answering and discussing the issues that matter and realize that McCain/Palin policies are almost no different than Bush's policies their numbers will be going down in the polls.

    Sarah Palin calls her self a pitbull with lipstick but the Republicans, the McCain camp and Sarah Palin herself are afraid to let the media and the people ask her questions about the issues that matter. That's why her first interview was a disaster. Although they tried their best to prepare her for the interview to minimize the damage she failed. It seems to me that she is more a puppy with lipstick than a pitbull with lipstick.

    YES WE CAN !!

    Obama/Biden '08

    September 14, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  2. Republicans Hate America

    Just by looking at the comments of this blog you will see how many people support Obama. These polls are fixed so when the republicans steal thuis election too it wont look like fraud because the media was plotting right there with them.

    September 14, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  3. Annette, Washington, DC

    Palin approval rating is high in Alaska, because it is a small community of people, providing earmarks or pet projects for the University, agreeding to the bridge to know were and then keeping the money, receiving more earmarks in 2008 totalling at least 100M so far. For a small state population, she has receive more per capita then Obama or the Senator of California would recieve for their state. I suggest, folks go do your homework and research information about these folks, like the retailer outlet SYMS use to say, " An educated consumer is our best customer". I don't think they are still in business. smile.

    September 14, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  4. Bill Tampa

    Don't believe the CNN poll hype....Stay focused on the electoral votes.....Mn. is BLUE!!!!!!!!!!

    BOJO/08/12

    September 14, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  5. BETTY

    MY CHRISTIAN VALUES ARE VERY IMPORTANT TO ME. McCAIN AND PALIN SHARE THESE-THANK GOD FOR BOTH OF THEM AND THEIR FAMILIES. I PRAY IT WILL BE GOD'S WILL FOR THEM TO WIN THIS ELECTION.

    September 14, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  6. Independent

    sad...i guess we are doomed to suffer in this country till we rot! I do not see how people can show the whole world how willing they are to accept lies. I have values and lying to me upsets those values.

    I will not be voting for McCain I can only hope others will come to this realization.

    September 14, 2008 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  7. Brandon

    Yeah I'm truly at a loss. I've been a registered Republican for the 10 years I've been able to vote and I've only voted in favor of a Democrat once for Senator. This November will be the first Presidential election that gets my vote for a Democrat. I can't imagine what could possibly be pushing anyone to support McCain. He truly runs a dirty campaign, has one of the dirtiest politicians in the country on his ticket with him (daily scandal Palin) and continues to primarily support the same policies that got us into the numerous messes we're in. Come on people! Do some research!

    September 14, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  8. Judge

    McCain/ Palin can run but they can't hide from answering and discussing the issues that matter. They can use Karl Rove's smear strategy and tactics to try to distract the people and the media. At the debate Sarah the Baracuda will meet Joey the Shark and MCSame will meet Obama the real Change for America and the World. McCain has lobbyists, special interest groups and Karl Rove to pay and run his campain but Obama has the people that pay and run his campain until he is elected President of USA.

    YES WE CAN !!!

    Obama/ Biden '08

    September 14, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  9. John

    Wow! McBush has discovered how gullable some voters are and is exploiting it. This is scary!

    September 14, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  10. McCain/Palin

    The right to choose. I think there were 40,000,000 abortions last year. How many of these do you think were for rape or incest or the life of the mother???? Women are using abortion as a form of birth control. Plain and simple. There are many forms of birth control that really work and you don't have to kill a baby.

    September 14, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  11. gregory james

    yes no mspig or that pig mcwho both are liars liars liars pants on fire

    September 14, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  12. NOT AN OBAMA ORATOR

    OH YOU DEMOCRATS !!! HEY I GOT LAND TO SELL YOU IN FLORIDA FOR PENNIES.... IM A GOOD ORATOR, IM A GREAT PERSUADER, BUT I HAVE NO EXPERIENCE IN SELLING MY LAND, I WILL HAVE TO BUMP UP YOUR TAXES TO DO THAT....BUT HEY, I CAN MAKE HISTORY NOW WITH NO EXPERIENCE – I SEE YOU WILL BUY THAT..........WOW THATS SAD!!!!! DOWN WITH OBAMA AND WHATS HIS NAME.......BIDEN ???? HEY WHAT HAPPENED TO HILLARY LOL....

    September 14, 2008 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  13. A Minnesotan

    Take it from me – a Minnesotan:

    This is Obama country. The pig with lipstick will not rule here.

    September 14, 2008 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  14. Hank, Milwaukee

    You can see that Obama is crumbling. He looks terrible and acts confused. Has Sarah Palin gotten into his head? He 's really off kilter and you can see it in the polls.

    The big change is the Wal-Mart moms. They love Sarah Palin as a model for their daughters-few women have accomplished what Sarah has by the age of 44. And since Sarah has the highest approval of any Governor in the U.S. (80%), they've found a woman they can get behind.

    Sarah Palin 12 & 16'

    September 14, 2008 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  15. susie

    McCain needs to do an ad on how Obama vowed to filibuster FISA-and then voted for it.

    September 14, 2008 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  16. Madelyn

    I have read all of the emails on this site. The only reason you are against Obama is because he is Black and the only reason you would vote for McClain/Palin is because she is a female and he was a POW 30 ago.

    Forget the issues. America has always been a deceitful and low as you go type of country who treats their own citizens and nothing. Add ignorants to it and now we have come full circle.

    September 14, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  17. Drew

    It never ceases to amaze me, the things people will say to each other when they don't have to look them in the eye. Save your insults and have real debate. Your childish bickering does nothing to promote the causes or the candidates you stand for.

    September 14, 2008 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  18. diane08

    Jane, Minneapolis September 14th, 2008 2:11 pm ET
    Why is is that Sarah Palin has the highest approval rating of any Governor in the United States? 80%.

    1) Alaska has historically gone Republican, so the fact that a Republican governor is popular isn't saying much.

    2) Alaska doesn't have many of the same social issues that plague major cities in other states. I seriously doubt she would have had the same popularity in more liberal states such as California or New York.

    3) This isn't a popularity contest. If you want to vote for the most popular person, then save your vote for American Idol, not the Presidential race.

    September 14, 2008 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  19. Brenda fl

    Hope Minnisota won't fall in gops craps.

    September 14, 2008 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  20. freshdem15

    If The Lipstick Is Moving.....
    She is lying

    NO WAY NO HOW

    NO MC PAILIN

    September 14, 2008 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  21. white woman

    God help America...PLEASE go to
    http://www.factcheck.org
    THEN see if you still want to post hateful, LYING, smears and swift boat Obama ...I DONT..I have had way too much of lies..the old McCain is gone, he has sold his soul just to win..
    VOTE OBAMA

    September 14, 2008 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  22. Informed Independent

    The big change is people are now beginning to wake up, doing the research, and drawing their own conclusions instead of listening to the gloom and doom of democrats and the media. They are now realizing and saying them to themselves that they are nuts voting for him.

    September 14, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  23. Tralyn

    Ani is a bigot. Pure and simple. Anyone who can't give a justifiable reason why they dont like Obama, and can only spew out venomous insults about him are bigots! Calling him silly doesn't suffice! Like most Republicans, you don't say anything of substance, and Americans are sick and tired of it!

    September 14, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  24. McCain+Palin=Bridge to nowhere

    Hey McCain folks
    You are just like your lying boss: out of touch with the reality!!!
    The reality is on the ground, not on these polls...Maybe you don't know what poll bias means
    You will learn it the hard way on Nov4th when Obama wins by a landslide, there is no other way
    Obama/Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  25. Peter E

    TALK ABOUT RELEVANT ISSUES CNN!!! YOU'RE REALLY TICKING ME OFF NOW! THERE ISN'T A SINGLE RELEVANT POLITICAL ISSUE, OR THE CANDIDATES' RECORD AND PLANS YOU'VE ADDRESSED IN THE PAST WEEK!

    September 14, 2008 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
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