September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
6 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.
New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. S.robinson

    VOTE for the person you think will be good for america.
    both of them are good at what they do.

    September 14, 2008 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  2. mabrer

    This means nothing, soon people will focus on the fact the McSame-Palin represent no more than just talking points. More and more we are finding out what these 2 stand for,and the american people will come back to supporting the real thing.
    Reps represent the kind of morals and values called morals and values of convenience, they do whats convenient not what's correct.
    Soon will be looking at different polls, just give it time.

    September 14, 2008 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  3. kathy

    Mccain is just shooting back at the sleezy , non true ads Obama is spewing his way.
    Obama has told alot more lies. Plus Obama doesnt add up. He has no experience and his past aquaintances/spiritual leader. Obama is covering up so much he is for socialsim. That means more governemt less freedom for us and he has no clue how us real folks live . Mccain /Palin do they are real people who love America and less government role.

    September 14, 2008 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  4. fran from canada

    I can't believe people are taken in by Palin they only reason they have her with McCain is because he can't get people out to see him, and she distracts from the real issues. After 8 years of Bush and how the states is thought of around the world, voting McCain and Palin in makes you look foolish. He might be experienced but she sounds like a wacko.

    September 14, 2008 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  5. Truin

    You know, I am always amazed at how people reveal themselves to be so unconcerned about real issues and are into "personalities" . Don't they care about the fact that our military has suffered and we have lost support from our allies? Don't they care about our economic crisis? The list goes on and on and we have people getting excited about an ambitious female who believes she is ready to take on the job of president despite the fact that she doesn't even know what medicaid is. After all, she is a governor of a state. The media appears to be given their orders to support spin instead trying to challenge the candidates misstatements and lies. Now I understand why our standing in education of our children has slipped in comparison to the rest of the world.

    September 14, 2008 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  6. Leslie Apfel

    Has anyone looked up the definition of a Maverick – can't say I find it a word I would want to use to describe a world leader! A non-conformist isn't always a good rout or do they mean they're unbranded calves that belong to the first one to brand them?
    I'm not a sexist but as a working mother of 3 – IS SHE INSANE? No way can you be a "GOOD" Mom and a "GOOD " VP! To even try to compare that to what a working Mom does is insane. One question – who's the Nanny?

    September 14, 2008 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  7. Ed, Santa Fe, NM

    bald mccain and his stupid baseball cap... gimme a break

    OLD
    OLD
    OLD

    September 14, 2008 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  8. Noorah

    Its alright. Obama will prevail, McCain will fail.

    September 14, 2008 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  9. Anonymous

    ani,

    If you are right, why there are no world leaders that welcome McCain as the next president?! And by the way, Obama has met many world leaders and talked w them about foreign policies. You're thinking is irrational, and like many other republicans you prefer a reality show, a circus as a campaign and 2 liars to rule your country than serious people that understand the complexities of the world. Running a country is not running a house or a state. Just look to the fool, like Palin, Bush did in the last 8 years ruling this country without qualifications!!!!!

    If Palin McCsame win this election it will be a tragicomic election in USA with the rest of the world mocking and fearful at the same time of the circus this country become. A REALITY SHOW.

    September 14, 2008 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  10. 23 Ca Dem

    Why are people talking about Sarah Palin approval rating in Wasilla?

    In a very small place with the same kinds of people everyone probably thinks similiar so yea, they may approve of her staying home 300+ days on tax paying dollars out of 19mos, they may approve of he rtrying to charge a rape victim $100 for a rape kit, they may appove of her being knowledgable on foreign policy because she an see Russia from her, They rest of America should not!

    And to women thinking of voting for this war freak.. Imagine you or your daughters being brutally raped then being charged for a rape kit, then getting pregnant by your attacker and not having the right to choose whats best for you.

    Obama 08

    September 14, 2008 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  11. Carol

    Way to go John ! We need experienced LEADERS. Go for it. Together John & Sarah will lead our nation into the future with CHANGES we can live with. Watch out for changes the opponent is trying to sell. Those may be more than we bargain for. Americans need to vote issues NOT Party or Popularity. Lets all focus on what's troubling America. Her needs are the greatest now – economy, security, war, taxes and health care. OUR FUTURE GENERATIONS are at steak. We need to get back our no. 1 position as leader in the FREE world. VOTE McCAIN/PALIN '08 remember "rock stars" come and go, our country should be the number ! focus of our leader.

    STAND UP and put AMERICA , AMERICANS and their needs FIRST.

    September 14, 2008 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  12. Francine

    Well, if Americans vote for McCain they will get 4 more years of the same plus have the rest of the world snickering at their choice.I have this nagging suspicion that Americans are close to feeling the same about Blacks as they did in the 60's. What a sad statement.

    September 14, 2008 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  13. nocas

    ani,

    If you are right, why there are no world leaders that welcome McCain as the next president?! And by the way, Obama has met many world leaders and talked w them about foreign policies. You're thinking is irrational, and like many other republicans you prefer a reality show, a circus as a campaign and 2 liars to rule your country than serious people that understand the complexities of the world. Running a country is not running a house or a state. Just look to the fool, like Palin, Bush did in the last 8 years ruling this country without qualifications!!!!!

    If Palin McCsame win this election it will be a tragicomic election in USA with the rest of the world mocking and fearful at the same time of the circus this country become. A REALITY SHOW.

    September 14, 2008 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  14. BJGT

    Millions of Americans continue to lose their homes, thousands lose jobs, millions continue to exist in a life without health insurance for their children, as hundreds of thousands struggle with their existence living in sub-human conditions of poverty amidst terrors of everyday violence in their communities, while thousands of American families mourn the loss of thousands of murdered loved ones in Afghanistan and Iraq – families still trying to find answers to questions over why their children had to give their lives for what apparently appears to be lies told America about WMD that never existed, as hundreds of thousands of American children continue to drop out of high school each year with no hope for a better life here in America.

    It will be a landslide for Obama – his team defeated the most powerful and popular Democratic brand in America. His campaign is the most disciplined we've seen in decades.

    Obama/Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  15. David from Ohio

    Blah, blah, blah...gloom and doom... Why on earth would anyone give the GOP and the wingnuts that run it another four years in the White House given what their man has done the last eight years. The conservative movement in this country is morally and intellectually bankrupt. We saw what it did when it gained control of Congress for 12 years. The nuts are the ones who dutifully vote Republican year and year out and then ask themselves why they're not doing better. I just hope my state does the right thing and puts the GOP's horror ticket in the ground.

    September 14, 2008 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  16. Greg

    Relax, Obama supporters. Minnesota won't go Republican, nor will Wisconsin, nor will Michigan, nor will Pennsylvania. Palin will fall from the limelight shortly, and the GOP will be left with McCain standing next to Obama fielding questions about the economy and tax breaks to the wealthy during the debates. McCain is not a leader, and people will see that. The big shift will come at the beginning of October. Relax.

    September 14, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  17. Obama has electoral advantage

    McCain has electoral ADVANTAGE not true. Rasmussen poll shows

    Obama 259
    McCain 247

    Come on dems lets take this home. Let me remind many of you McCain's own party did not want him to be the nominee. Rush was complaining the whole time now it is reported that 90% of republicans are behind McCain while 82% of dems are backing Obama. We need to get our guy in office. Look at what is happening to our economy. We have 2 wars going on and a happy trigger Republican V.P. candidate who is talking about a 3rd war. We need to get these people out of office. The rest of the world has no respect for us and yes I do believe Obama can change this.

    September 14, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  18. Ann, MI

    91% of the time John McCain voted with George W. Bush and has 134 lobbyists working for his campaign. 91%! Is this a maverick, or a man who will do exactly what W. did to this country – let his friends pillage the treasury.

    Let's review the last 8 years with W, shall we?
    * 2 wars
    * record deficit
    * record gas and home heating oil prices
    * food prices rising
    * 50 million people without healthcare
    * most home foreclosures since the Great Depression
    * highest unemployment in years
    * Record food and drug recalls
    * Enron and other executives allowed to rob their company pensions without penalty

    Influence peddling at the Justice Department, Agriculture Department, Department of the Interior, Food and Drug Administration and more have cost the American public a fortune and left many wondering what the people in Washington are doing for us.

    John McCain and Sarah Palin have no new ideas. They want to continue the Bush-Cheney policies and help out their friends in the oil industry while the rest of us drown.

    September 14, 2008 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  19. Gregg

    Now that McCain has taken the leash off of his Pit Bull, these battleground state's are going to see the real people on this Repub ticket, i mean come on, the lady does'nt even know Bush'es doctrine, and let's not forget ALL of the Lobbyist's on McCain's payroll, or,,,,,,,,, on there payroll, it is becoming more and more obvious to this country, that McCain and Palin will stoop to any level to win the Whitehouse, true color's are beginning to show, if everyone would just do a little investigating on there own instead of believing heresay on those same old speech'es over and over, ( turn the page please ) i mean almost word for word, voting for McCain would be 4 more years of failure, look at out economy, you cannot blame the last 8 year's on the Dem's, 8 + 4 = 12, and that is NEVER going to happen, may as well get used to hearing President Obama now,,,,,,,,,,Obama // Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  20. Marie in California

    NO WAY.....NO HOW.....NOBAMA!

    Go McCain-Palin!

    September 14, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  21. Jane

    It is amazing foreign countries are laughing at us with the thought of even wanting to put Republicans back in office. If the Republicans are put back in office they are not going to show us any sympathy anymore. They did that with Bush. The only difference is Bush and Cheney is leaving nothing else will change with administration. I really value my children future too much to allow Republicans to mess up 4 more years. We can't afford it. We got to show change.

    September 14, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  22. Belle2

    Obama's deficiencies are showing through all his lofty rhetoric. Perhaps if the media had done its job and grilled Obama in the beginning (December 2007), we would now have a Democratic candidate who could win in November. One thing is for sure, if the media had done its job and reported on Wright, Rezco, and Ayers last December, Obama would now be comfortable in his spot in history not the Democratic nominee for President.

    When the media controls public opinion and manipulates elections and actions by the government; we are no longer a democracy. The voters have no choice; both candidates are unacceptable. That is why the polls are so close.

    September 14, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  23. Gbolahan Nowoola (USA)

    Thank God for Mccain.All we need to do to win this elcetion is to continue with the lead.God bless mccain !God bless America

    September 14, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  24. Brenda fl

    When peoples will see what McCain try to attempt with his pitbull with lipstick there will be a wakeup call....and that is sooner than gops can imagine.
    Obama, Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  25. MDCambridge

    Bush called for holding people personally responsible for their actions, and you bought it; he said, “no child left behind,” and you bought it; he said WMDs, and you bought it.

    McCain said he would never run a negative campaign, and you bought it; he said that Sarah Palin opposed earmarks, and you (the taxpayer) bought it. He calls Obama an elitist while he has seven houses, and you bought it. He says he stands for family values, but he had an affair, dumped his wife who was recovering from an accident and married a younger woman; pundits said, “give him some slack, he was tortured in the war,” and you bought it. He also said that he would change the strangle hold of lobbyists on Washington, but he hired 7 lobbyist to work for his campaign, and you bought it.

    When we can’t afford healthcare for our kids, and your money in social security is sold off; when we’re paying $15/gallon for gas, and big oil is laughing all the way to the bank, just remember: you bought it.

    September 14, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
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