September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. average bob

    Me thinks Tina Faye on SNL is prea'tter than the fAkE Palin!
    (Also smarter!!!)

    September 14, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  2. Paul San Antonio

    White women and in particular working moms will decide this election. Palin has energized this cultural group in many ways. And working moms are a big group, and an even bigger group in the battleground. Truth be told- McCain is very boring and Obama is becoming a boring generic Demacrat by serving his base too much. While I am sure Palin's celebrity hype will fade, she could be the Mighty Quinn in all of this. She may be expanding the meaning and movement of feminism beyond its prior hand full of left issues and man-hating and in stead taking it to a level that more fully represents American women as a whole. This is uncertain at this time and would not be atributable to Palin alone if it is occurring. Nevertheless the concept has the chance to be the dominant issue in this election. Right now I'd forget the polls. In stead I'd look at the typical 53-47 spread of white women favoring Democrats and I'd look at all the working woman at the Palin rallys. The press sees this and it is scaring them to death. It may fade. But the fact that the press is hammering Palin and ignoring her rallies shows how significant this development may be. As always Americans will decide this election. And no matter who wins I will respect the result, and will be a proud citizen and servent of this county. Best wishes to all.

    September 14, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  3. Gbolahan Nowoola (USA)

    Drill Baby drill and drill baby now.
    Loganville Ga for Mccain.Nigerians for Mccain.Small businesses for Mccain.Children for Mccain.African-Americans for Mccain.Tow truck operators for Mccain.

    September 14, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  4. Cathy

    I can't believe people are falling for McCain's's baffles me!!!!!!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  5. Victoria Anderson - Seattle, Washington

    Jane from Minneapolis – I'm responding to you comment....
    Gov Pig in the blanket who is getting pimp by McShame is only 80% Popular in Alaska. The rest of us in the United States didn't know nothing about her so how can she be popular in the whole United States? To be honest, you probably didn't know nothing about her until Mr. McDum-Dum introduced her as his running mate. The Reps pumped their party up with this female and when it's all said in done, they are going to be sooooo upset with McNasty because of his poor Judgement. Her past is catching up and the truth will come to the light.
    Polls don't matter only our vote in November. Go Obama/Biden 08 &12

    September 14, 2008 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  6. Gbolahan Nowoola (USA)

    Obama needs to shut up and face the facts.He needs to wait for 16 more years and start alkl over.He needs to go gather experiences.He needs to show us what he has changed in the past.This guy called, Obama needs to stop hiding under the the shadow and show who he really is.

    September 14, 2008 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  7. MD in CT

    I was willing to give up my tax break for the good of country but if McCain gets in I won't have to do it. More for me to spend in Europe.

    I want to thank everyone who votes for Republicans...all the sexist women who justify sexism by their only voting for a woman and all the "real people" who can watch their jobs disappear to another country.

    As a life-time member of the NRA and prior Air Force officer, I hope all of you with young sons have no trouble sending them to fight some place in the Middle East for Chinese profits since Iraq just canceled the contracts with the American oil companies and signed with a Chinese company. My 4 sons are too old to fight.

    I especially want to thank anyone who is religious and older than my 66 years for believing that it is better to spend money fighting in Iraq rather than on highways or other infrastructure improvements in the USA because I'm sure that the Iraqis really are friends of anyone who is Christian or Jewish. You should be old enough to remember that losing in Viet Nam did not result in a communist South-East Asia. Are you that senile?

    September 14, 2008 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  8. chrisinmo

    Stop With the Crap Palin is the Most popular It depends on the Pollster.
    According to Rasmussen polls, Palin gave up her crown as “most popular” in July, overtaken by North Dakota’s Gov. John Hoeven.

    A Rasmussen poll on July 30 found 64% of voters rate Palin’s job performance as excellent or good versus 14% who view it as poor. On July 8, Hoeven clocked 72 percent at excellent or good against just 6 percent who rated his performance as poor.

    Scott Rasmussen, founder and CEO of Rasmussen Reports, said people shouldn’t get hung up on whether someone ranked No. 1 or 2. Those numbers change with the political winds of the day.

    September 14, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  9. Belinda

    I can't believe anyone in this day and age truly believes that any president will overturn Roe v. Wade. It's only a scare tactic that the far left is using. Think about it- if anyone could of overturned Roe v. Wade it would have been Bush!
    That being said- is Obama in favor of partial birth abortion? Did anyone ever see a baby born at 7 months? They are perfect human beings who feel pain. I know, My mother had a premature daughter and son.. Everything isn't always as simple as it seems and speeches never solved problems.. We need to fully examine all sides of the issues before we vote on Nov. 4.

    September 14, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  10. rasabu

    Why elect Barack Obama? To elect G.W. Bush over again.
    When a politician has no record, one has to rely on his character.
    Barack Obama spent 1 year in the US Senate before running for president. He has spent the other 2 years in the Senate running for president.
    It takes an elitist attitude for someone to think they have what it takes to be president after only 1 year as a US Senator. Barack Obama has that elitist attitude. IT appeared when he spoke in the primaries about small town folks.
    So, Americans are left wondering, do we vote for someone who is an elitist(thinks they are better than others because they went to better schools, have a better job, are married to someone with a good career, earn a good income, rose from the trenches to achieve something-which is what many, many Americans have done), or, they are let wondering, do we vote for John McCain, a man who has proven he works well with the other side of the aisle in the Senate, a man who supports issues like stem cell research, a man who is flexible and supports abortion in the case of rape, incest and when the life of the mother is at risk, a man who not only talks the talk but who walks the walk by selecting a women to run as his VP. Barack had his chance to select Hillary, to go beyond his elitist attitude and his ego, but he could not put them aside. Now he is paying the price. The people see he cannot go beyond himself when making decisions. This is a personality flaw. Can you imagine Obama's elitist attitude and ego being in the room when he has to make a decision on a major international crises?
    Scares the hell out of me to the point I don't even care about the issues anymore.
    McCain/Palin 2008

    September 14, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  11. Larry-Minn.

    I totally disagree with the above minn person..he may have a advantage in some areas..but he definitely doesnt have the state wrapped up..There are those of us that do support McCain because Obama has no experience and we are to bad off to have him guess how to fix it.

    September 14, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  12. ncharge

    Well the polls will change since all the truth is being exposed about Palin each day. Also, when she finally sat down for the interview the people got a real chance to see her upfront. Most of our children could have given a more Intellectual interview. She spoke like she was study for a test. What a disgrace

    September 14, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  13. Griff

    If CNN don't believe Sarah put that plane on E Bay. Go ask the Guy who bought it.... Did he get so much a bargain???

    September 14, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  14. Ito

    If Obama doesn't drop Joe Biden now and pick Hillary Clinton, McCain will win every battle ground state and win the White House.

    Joe Biden must drop out honorably for "personal" or "medical" reasons because there's no way the current Obama/Biden ticket can win the McCain/Palin ticket.

    But an Obama/Hillary ticket, – will blast McCain/Palin ticket out of existence.

    Democrats don't make this decision when it's too late.

    September 14, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  15. Stefan a 10 year old from Lawrence Kansas

    Mccain is old, he will ruin the world, VOTE OBAMA Joe Biden is cool too!

    September 14, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  16. Gee, Alabama

    It's amazing that in a state that experienced first hand how well the republican government takes care of their infrastructure, a lie about not wasting money on a bridge to nowhere would captivate the crowds. Yay!! We did not 'waste' our earmarks on a bridge, instead we chose to waste it on undisclosed stuff.

    September 14, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  17. Raymond Duke

    Of course he is. Did the democrats really think that middle america is going to vote for a man that hollers hope and change and has no solutions. Do you think that white americans who work for a living or going to vote for a man that wants to give away more of their money to social programs. Do you really think we are going to vote for a man who calls white people uneducated gun toting religous nuts that did not vote for him. Racist and Anti- american friends who are domestic terriost , a wife that says she is finally proud of america for the first time in her life. I do not think so. I do not even think that conservative democrats would be foolish enough to vote for Biden and Obama who are the most liberal people in the senate.

    September 14, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  18. shesh

    I cant believe how many morons live in the US. The rest of the world is laughing at all you idiots because we see this election as a complete JOKE. Why anyone would vote for McCain and this joke as a VP is ridiculous

    September 14, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  19. Katrina

    Even Karl Rove thinks McCain has gone too far. The American people love their bloodsport, but they are also, in the end, a fair and kind people, fundamentally decent. Watch for the anti-McCain backlash. And remember the key terms of this election: turnout and the fight against voter caging.

    September 14, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |

    I see the American people are loosing their minds again. My Psychiatric practice is picking up business.

    September 14, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  21. lea

    As far as I'm concerned Sarah Palin is a clone of George W. Bush, the only difference between them is lipstick.
    And if McCain loves his country so much why is he willing to risk so much by choosing such an unqualified person to be the VP. Just think about what President? John McCain would rather win the election than choose the best person for his VP. It's obvious that Obama made the better choice for his VP and that he is the better choice for President.

    September 14, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  22. simon


    September 14, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  23. Minnesotan

    I'd like to know whom they talked to...most if not all the Minnesotans I know are pretty sold on the Obama they should be. Considering the fact that MN has the longest Democratic streak in the nation, I'm not terribly concerned that we'll fall for McCain's garbage.

    September 14, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  24. Obama Biden 08/12

    Greg /I think you are correct "I can't even say the word " right " after McWar Bush and McPitbull Phailing spewing their 99 9/10 % lies .
    We have
    Bridge to no where
    firing then hiring relatives /friendsgate
    Travel expenses gate
    GOV. Living at her home running the office from home gate
    Their Religious views taking over gate
    Lies about trip to Iraq never was there gate
    The list goes on

    September 14, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  25. Barack Obam is better

    People must believe the sleazy garbage the McCain campaign is putting on the air. How else could you explain this swing? Do people really think Sarah Palin, who is practically joined at the hip with McCain for campaigning, would make a solid president in a time of war and economic turmoil? The lies are flying so fast and thick from the Republicans that it's hard to imagine any way that Obama could respond to them all. Meanwhile, the news media, whose job it is to comment on the factual issues surrounding the campaign, has abdicated this responsibility in favor of cheerleading for Sarah Palin, who can't even identify the most significant shift in U.S. foreign policy in the past generation.

    September 14, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
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