September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Jayne

    Unbaised – why does Sarah Palin not have experience, but Jimmy Carter, Ronald Regan, Bill Clinton, and yes, the much hated Bush have experience as Governors? I don't get why all the libs keep saying she doesn't have experience when many of our Presidents (not vice presidents) were Governors. She is just experienced as all those that were Presidents and were former Governors. BHO has never had executive experience and he is on the top of the ticket. I just don't get the comparison here.

    September 14, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  2. toni

    Any one who would vote for McCain/ Palin, has surely lost their minds. Why would any one consider it after all the lies and deceit? What is wrong with this country?????Palin just lies right to all the american peoples face and they love her. there is some thing seriously wrong with this.

    Please wake up here people!!!! This is so wrong for this country. People have to get serious here, and start thinking about our future and our kids future. we have to get them (repulicans) out of office. We are smarte than this, aren't we america???????
    obama supporter from alaska!!!!

    September 14, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  3. Doesn't matter

    I think its funny how the picture shows Obama worried and McCain all relaxed with ball cap and rolled up sleeves. Too much.

    September 14, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  4. Larry

    Palin nothing like Hilary
    Let's look at her record.....

    1) Notes thanks but no thanks for bridge to nowhere, truth flopped on support for bridge after media pressure from congress. She also kept the earmark money for the bridge and spent it on other pet projects in Alaska the truth is she never rebuffed congress (NBC 08/31/08,Anchorage Daily News 08/31/08, CBS 08/31/08, Reuters, CNN, CBS 09/03/08)
    2) Not in Iraq as previously stated only at Kuwait-Iraq boarder...Didn't have clearance to enter Iraq. (Boston Globe 09/13/08, CNN 09/13/08, NBC 09/14/08)
    3)Against earmarks is not a true statement the truth is Alaska is the largest state per capita for the use of earmarks (LA Times 09/03/08, Washington Post 09/11/08)
    4) Posable abuse of power (Troppergate) Used her position as governor to fire her ex brother in law due to bitter devorce with her sister. (CNN 09/11/08, NBC 09/03/08, Anchorage Daily News 09/05/08)
    5) Wasting taxpayers money. Charges perdium for working out of home as governor for 312 nights along with travel for her family for a total of $43,490 for the year(Washington Post 09/08/08, NY Times 09/09/08)
    6) As mayor of Wasilla charged victims for rape kits a direct jab against women and a small attempt to impose her views. (USA Today 09/10/08)
    7) As governor hired She hired a former lobbyist for a pipeline company to help oversee a multibillion-dollar deal with that same company. Even as mayor hired a lobbiest for ear marks and did well (27 million for the town)(Huffington Post 09/14/08, Washington Post)
    8) Plane sold on ebay is a lie the truth is it was posted on ebay but was pulled after poor biding and sold by a broker for a loss by the taxpayers (Huffington Post 09/05/08, Washington Post (09/05/08)

    Palin may say the media is out to get her but the truth is she doesn't tell the truth. She says she is a reformer reformer of what she uses the system better than anyone. Really what is she going to reform women rights for decrease pay for same work, reform the right of choice (become government control over a women's vagina), or become a symbol for why we should not elect a women. (I,m not against women I think smart, honorable women such as Thatcher and Cambell who rose to top office in their countries (England, Canada) are great reps of women in top office)

    September 14, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  5. 23 Ca Dem

    When I think of McCain I think of that movie the Manchurian Candidate

    September 14, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  6. voter

    Don't trust the polls. It has been reported by that republicans are being polled more than democrats. The polls are skewed and not accurate.

    September 14, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  7. sara who?

    Hip, hip, horray, Sara Palin's 15 minutes of fame are almost over! Democrats are on the attack, finally!

    September 14, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  8. CNN

    Go Macain!!

    September 14, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  9. marie

    Color will always be an issue in America, because thats the only reason why people want vote for him. It has nothing to do with age or gender or issues, but everything to do with race. Sad but true.

    September 14, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  10. BS

    I think some people are attracted to a Palin ticket because they are hurting in the current Bush economy and want their pain to end now.
    I think those people will be disappointed and disillusioned.

    Many of the Republicans stike me as angry people (Rudy G, Tom Delay).

    Hopefully, McCain,72, will retire now.

    September 14, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  11. mark

    Palin is having her fun right now but trust me iam just waiting on her to crash and burn. We must always remember what goes up must come down

    September 14, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  12. A CANUCK

    It must be the Bubbas.....not to worry........good always prevails over evil......God be with Obama and Biden.

    September 14, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  13. Martha

    Polls 600 -3000 people being polled. This is absurd and not representative of the 300 million people in the U.S. How in the hell is this an indication of the views of the American people.

    September 14, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  14. michele


    September 14, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  15. MCN

    Our national image has really suffered during Bush. I am not a Republican. I doubt I would vote for McCain, but Cindy would really do so much more for the White House image, by herself! I don't see Michelle Obama doing much for our nation's image as First Lady.

    The Dems and Obama sacrificed Hillary's talent, ability and experience, by petty super delegates who had a problem with her gender for the office of President. Like a high school clique that wouldn't let her in! The Dem party has not stepped up to the plate to help Hillary's debts after they disabled her!

    Obama's petty attitude toward Hillary shows character failure. Anything but gallant, he is not the big man he thinks he is - a Caucasian mother– his behavior against Hillary during the primaries, imperious attitude against a former First Lady!! I can't in good conscience as a registered Democrat indulge in the self-indulgent attitudes of the super delegates and of Obama.

    Hillary has demonstrated selfless interest in the welfare of this contrary.

    Hillary has been nothing short of showing gallentry toward the Dems! Neither Obama nor the Dems have shown much to her in return-only

    September 14, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  16. Carol in Durham, Maine

    Palin's views are even more right wing than Bush, but I guess the HIllary crowd doesn't care about policies. Just that Palin wears a skirt, can shoot a gun, is a so called 'hockey mom' and has 5 kids. Sad commentary on the 'what the public seek as qualifications' for Presidency.
    She has not been vetted and the wool is being pulled over our eyes again. We deserved what we got when believing the shams of the previous 8 years, and it appears that people are about to do it again. 12 years of Republican administration will drive this country even further into the slippery slope of debt to foreign countries that hate us.
    So very Sad.

    September 14, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  17. arthur2008

    There is ample time between now and the election for voters in Minnesota and elsewhere to awken to the complete lack of substance and integrity that characterizes the John McCain campaign, which knowingly and willfully continues to spew one discredited claim after another. If John "Country First" McCain ever had any claim to honor, he has sacrificed it (along with the nation's best interests) for personal gain.

    September 14, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  18. Michael

    Minnesota has woken up and realized what the whole county is. That an Obama victory will just bring more of the same do nothing partisan gridlock to Washington.
    Obama blames Republicans for everything. He looked at Bush's 30% approval rating and has tried to run a very anti Republican partisain campaign, claiming John McCain, the most un Bush like Republican in Congress, is just another Bush.
    But Obama has ignored the fact that the Democratic lead Congress has only a 17% approval rating. This rating is low because the American people are sick of the party first coutry second gridlock in Washington.
    McCain has a liftime of history in the Senate of working with Democrats to get things done. He has made it clear in his campaign that he will not care if Democrats or Republicans get the credit, he will work with anyone who will put country first and party second. He will include Deomcrats in his cabinet. In short he will break the gridlock in Washington by getting Deomcrats and Republicans to work toghether instead of putting party first and wroking against each other. This is the Washington that independents want alone with countless millions of Republicans and Deomocrats alike.
    Obama would bring 4 more years of the same, while McCain will bring the change that will put Washington back to work for the people again. This is what America wants, not more of Obama's part first gridlock.

    September 14, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  19. Randy

    Why is this election... becoming a real election?

    Well, it has to do with what the voters consider "change".

    As the electorate becomes more engaged in the process they demand that their voices be heard and respected.

    There is a disconnect between Washington DC and Main Street. And Main Street is "standing up".


    September 14, 2008 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  20. Murietta

    white people do not want a black man in the white house, they don't want a black man over them. HC knew this thats why she kept saying he wont win. I wish this was not true because he is the best man for the job.

    September 14, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  21. surscheler

    It seems to me that McCain may be old but at least he is experienced and is willing to learn new things like texting and working with members of the other party. He also happens to be younger that many of the democrats and others in congress and by heredity it looks like he will be around a long time. Are the Democrats now trying to cause more divisiveness by saying seniors are useless or have no function in soceity? I think my mother at 74 and mother in law at 86 would take exception to that as they both still drive, work and volunteer and have a lot to teach the younger generation. Obama on the other hand is inexperienced, acts immature and juvenile by directing anger/vindictiveness at Palin and Hillary, hurling insults about McCain's age and his unwillingness to listen to other points of view. He is definately a member of the "Me" soceity.

    September 14, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  22. Rob from Honolulu

    CHANGE – CHANGE – CHANGE – THERE IS ALWAYS CHANGE! Obama does not have a patent on CHANGE! Wake up – the american people do not want larger government that Obama is promoting. Look at Fannie Mae created under Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal and Freddie Mac created by Congress in 1970 both goverment backed institutions that are going to cost the American taxpayers billions of dollars. That is not the kind of change we need!
    What we need is reform, smaller government, less taxes, these are some of the reasons our forefathers came here! McCain is steering the Republican party back to the path Ronald Reagon set. He is on the right path to make us proud and prosper as Americans again.

    September 14, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  23. Bill Colorado

    Obama supports simply are not able to comprehend what is happening. They are such elitists that they cannot believe they may be all wrong on what the average voter is looking for. In fact that may be the problem.... they consider themselves superior to the average person.

    September 14, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  24. KS

    Folks are finally looking at Obama's record and finding out...he hasn't accomplished anything in his short stint in the Senate. Like McCain's record or least he has accomplished much and will shake up Washington with Palin. 2009 looks promising with McCain and Palin. Barack can help them in the Senate where he needs more experience.

    September 14, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  25. Yep - She's a bust

    Alan Greenspan just said the economy is in crisis and John "don't know much about the Economy" McCain says it's doing well. nuff said. Screw Iraq – I want food on my table. Polls mean squat – voter registration is everything. Obama people get out and volunteer NOW!

    September 14, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
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