September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
6 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.
New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Rob

    When all is set and done, Obama will win Michigan and Pennsylvania. McCain will win Missouri.
    Obama will win Minnesota.
    McCain will win Nevada.
    Obama will win New Hampshire.

    I live in Virginia, and can say that it is a true toss-up.

    And do any of these polls take into account the record-breaking voter registration Obama has achieved since the primary season? I think he will fair a lot better in many states than the polls suggest.

    Than again, the presidential debates will be the ultimate test for most Americans.

    The debates. Everything every apathetic, uninformed, American needs to know about their candidate from their character to their syntax...regardless of those words that come out of their mouth.

    It isn't an impressive fact to know that Richard Nixon lost in 1960 because he was sweating. And it isn't impressive to know that since then a majority of voters have chosen their candidate based on the debates.

    We are our own politicians, we are just as guilty, and we get what we ask and vote for.

    September 14, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  2. Raul Fernandes Sobrinho

    For a foreigner observer, it's ridiculous McCain/Palin pose as opposition. What did Republicans do in the last 8 years in Washington? Which is the Party in White House during this huge mess? Who is running for President? Mr. McCain or Mrs.Palin? It seems Mrs Palin has no substance... Wake up America!
    .

    September 14, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  3. PleaseVoteObama

    Hello CNN,

    If America elects McSame, I will lose all respect for America. I want to go study there, and I will not do it if McCain is president. Why can't people in that country just wake up. The whole world knows Obama should be president, and many nut republicans are just believing the same old GOP crap and wondering why they are living on the streets and their children being killed in Iraq. Please, I beg all Americans to "Stop and Think" (Mike Gravel) ... what you are putting your country's future into, my future and the world's future... We can't let McCain win this, it will be a disaster for the entire world... I wish the rest of the world had the vote, obviously some Americans are too blinded by Fox News who is spreading republican propaganda and feeding you McCain's lies.

    Do some research and please don't allow McCain and Palin to distract you from the issues that my life, your life and the whole world are on the line. Please do not gamble, this is a very important election for me, for you and for the rest of the world. Don't screw it up!

    September 14, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  4. REA

    THE BEST CHOICE OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    September 14, 2008 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  5. GARY

    (CATHY) I CANT BELIEVE ALL YOU NAIVE YOUNG VOTERS ARE BELIEVING ALL OF O.B.'S B.S. LIKE HE CAN TELL CONGRESS HOW TO VOTE AND HOW HE CAN CHANGE THE WORLD. WHERE'S ALL THE MONEY COMMING FROM YOU NAIVE SUPPORTERS. YOU THINK OUR COUNTRY IS BAD NOW WAIT AND SEE IF O.B. GOT ELECTED. ALL HE HAS BROUGHT IS HATE,RACIST AND DIVISION. THE HATE SHOWS FROM HIS ATTACKS FROM THE BEGINING OF THE RACE TO HIS HATEFULL FOLLOWERS. AMERICA IS GETTING TIRED OF HIS CHICAGO DIRTY TACTICS. CALLS HIMSELF CHANGE ,BUT PICKS AN OLD POLITICIAN FROM WASHINGTON FOR VP. MCCAIN PICKS AWAY FROM WASHINGTON AND ALL YOU HATERS CATCH AN ADDITUDE WITH HER. PALIN HAS WAY MORE EXPERIENCE THAN O.B. AND BIDEN EVER THOUGHT OF HAVING. SHE RAN A STATE, BESIDES BEING A MAYOR. O.B. HASN'T DONE ANYTHING IN THE SENATE OR VERY LITTLE OUT OF IT TO BEING RUNNING OUR COUNTRY. YOU O.B. SUPPORTERS AND HATERS WILL BE HIS DEFEAT IN NOV. AMERICA IS GETTING SICK OF THE HATE AND DONT WANT TO ELECT. A GREENHORN WITH A FOLLOWING OF HATERS. THAT ISN'T UNITY.

    September 14, 2008 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  6. Janet

    Obama is the key for change...for our future and our children's future....We must get involved anyway possible. I signed up today to make phone calls...go to his website and step up!!!! Nov. will be Obama's!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  7. amanda

    I am appalled at Mccains's gull at presenting lies as truth. An old man like himself should evoke honesty and integrity, unfortunately ,John has none and it is shame. he'll rather misrepresent himself than come clean that he is too senile to lead this country , and am afraid lots of people who can tell truth and lie apart are lapping it up. Americans are smatter than that. WAKE UP PEOPLE!!!!!!
    Ifd l were Megan l would pull him out by his ears and told him to stop this minutes.

    September 14, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  8. The World is Watching.

    I will like to ask Americans to look deep into thier heart and ask themselves, why they want McCain to be President with his history of abandoning his sick wife who waited while he was in Vietnam. some of you called yourself christians but will not vote for Obama because, her loving mother who is one of you married a man from another race. I plead to you not to give Bush and his friend(McCain) another 4 years because of racism(Fear). God is watching. God bless America

    September 14, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  9. james andrews

    When we take over the White House we will show these bigots just what they have been doing to us all these years. It's our turn. We have waited long enough. Our man will show "the man" how its suppose to be done. Vote Obama and finally be equal.

    September 14, 2008 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  10. alex

    It's important to remember that the debates have not happened yet. It's easy to see that some people will support either candidate because of aesthetic appeal or prejudiced reason, but a major portion of the American population is looking to policy and stance on the issues.

    Go OBAMA :p

    September 14, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  11. Mike R. California

    The only thing you dems can't (don't want) to believe is that McCain outsmarted the whole Obama-bin-Laden campaign machine. The fact is, the empty suit was really too busy coronating himself president and underestimated McCain.

    I notice some of you are under the impression tha the debates are going to make it all okay or that it's the electoral map that counts. Well, here's some news for you, the electoral map is neck and neck, some giving the lead to McCain, but interestingly, you dismiss any information that doesn't say what you want it too say. Also, Biden won't be able to make a fool of Palin because he's too occupied making a fool of himself!

    The funniest stuff I read here is that CNN is catering to the republicans when they publicise information you don't like. AMAZING.

    Just realize that you've got a real handful now and no amount of denial is going to change that.

    September 14, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  12. nelson mcnarland

    Every one can see Palin is as smart as a plank

    September 14, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  13. Murali

    Oh well, American people are preparing themselves to fall for the same fear mongering politics as they did last time. If Mccain wins by any chance only god can help this country.

    September 14, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  14. Hillary Voter

    MSM is asking how many people actually know what the "Bush Doctrine" is. I do, but I'm just a regular voter, not running for VP. She SHOULD know that, and be able to take questions from journalists. It just amazes me that both she and McCain read from cue cards and won't take questions. Same sound bites ad nauseum . . .

    September 14, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  15. Chicago_Obama

    I think John McCain is really too old to be president. It is a very hard job. Just look at the toll it takes on those in the office. George Bush has aged 20 yrs in 8. Look at Clinton, he really aged a lot while in office. Look at Ronald Reagan. He lost his mind while in office.
    It is sad that John McCain did not win the 2000 election. But he is too old now.

    September 14, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  16. Nasim

    Nobody seems to care of the fact that McCain-Palin ticket will use your healthcare benefit amount and will tax you on that.....

    I am surprised that we really and indeed have two weeks of memory span!!!

    Wake up people – do not fool yourself by pronouncing that he/she is the one that Ican relate to; nonsense.....your focus should be the issue, not the look and certainly not the one who you can relate to...don't you understand he is outsmarting you only by his/her look??

    September 14, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  17. Daniel

    To the MEDIA

    When you interview these guys, make sure they dont drift from the question. The republicans are masters in dodging questions .

    September 14, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  18. The Amazed

    What I don't get is comments like (and there are plenty of them),"
    I don't like this guy….he looks silly, behaves foolish"etc. Weather you are Dem or GOP, at least do yourself a favor and research the (your) issues and then vote for political reasons. Not curz you dislike the way the guy walks, looks, color, gender, race etc......vote curz your candidate represents your interests. Amen.

    September 14, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  19. jackie

    WHO CARES---–geez people -when even Rove says they have gone too far– believe it - McCain was a good man == he is not now

    September 14, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  20. joe

    Im a minnesotan and I will tell you that Minnesota will absolutely positively NOT VOTE for MCSHAME/FALIN. Minnesota has voted democrat how many decades now?

    Minnesota has the longest streak of voting Democratic in presidential elections of any state. No Republican since Richard Nixon in his 1972 landslide has carried it.

    September 14, 2008 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  21. Carol Vestal,NY

    I actually became nauseous after listening to McCains' speech in Lebanon, Ohio. This man wouldn't know the truth if it bit him in the backside. I have to agree with previous comments that he is seriously detached from reality at this point... Also, I heard one of his supporters say that his war injuries have prevented him from becoming computer literate... Give us a break, PLEASE!!!! Yes, he is an honorable war veteran (As is my Dad), Stop pushing that information down our throats- It does not qualify him to be President . He needs to retire.

    September 14, 2008 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  22. ray

    When are McCain & Palin going to get beyond the slogans and talk the issues and how they plan to address them?
    ray in AL

    September 14, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  23. Paul

    I completely agree with what Greg said, once the debates starts the country will see that both Mccain and Palin dont know squat about anything.

    September 14, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  24. Swingstate Democrat for McCain

    Wake up "Enlightened Democrats." You can't blame Republicans - this was our election to lose and it looks like we will.

    The blame game really needs to end - from the government to CEO scapegoats to lobbyists in our politicians pockets... it's never our fault, is it?

    Putting aside the hipper delegates and cooler music at the DNC, I was struck by an overarching theme - or lack there of - there was absolutely NO call to action. What ever happened to "ask not what your country can do for you?"

    I hate to say it, but Fred Thompson really called it with the, "Not your side of the bucket" comment.

    I never thought that I would say this, but I hope that the McCain trend continues.

    September 14, 2008 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  25. Hateful Dems

    Wow. I have never read such hateful comments about women and older people. Call Palin a pig in lipstick and make fun of McCain because he is an older person?

    Your tactics are backfiring and the polls show it.

    McCain/Palin '08

    September 14, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
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