September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)

    You are fools if you all of a sudden switch to McCain simply because he held the RNC in Minnesota. You have to come up with a much better reason than that, or you really better re-evaluate why you vote. AMERICANS, DEMAND THE TRUTH!

    Obama '08

    September 14, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  2. another canadian for obama

    im the stupidity of the people we trust

    September 14, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  3. Susan

    The country doesn't like Bush right now... but if you look at his approval ratings and compare them to the approval ratings of congress, you will see that the country likes congress even less than they like Bush. Hmmm... maybe the country is looking for a swing in completely opposite direction.... toward Palin. Scary... huh democrats.

    September 14, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  4. churchill

    McCain and Palin: CAIN and in PAIN will be the lot of Americans for generations to come.
    Think before you vote. Keep away from Cain and Pain.

    September 14, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  5. No Hillary = No Obama

    How many millions has Obama raised and he's trailing in the polls? What a loser.

    September 14, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  6. kaate Brown

    Get Mccain to the White House is like inviting a RAMBO MAMBO
    to go round the Globe telling the Men and Women in Uniform who to ATTACK and OCCUPY
    Thosecdays are gone Mr. Mcca-LIPPIG – RAMBO

    September 14, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  7. Tennisguypitt

    Hey, CLS Vt,

    I just did it, wow... That really says something.

    Back to the polls, it's too early, and one should truly expect the polls to fluctuate a little.

    Obama/Biden '08

    September 14, 2008 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  8. Frank

    It's McCain/Palin all the way! Obama lie speaders are working these blogs night and day filling them with LIES and DECEPTION! The Obama bloggers are almost evil in my eyes. How desperate and anti-American can you get? I have lost all respect for the Obama campaign. He has ZERO experience people! That is an unrefuteable fact! I've seen fast talkers talk their way into job positions where they don't belong and I've only seen pain once they get in. I hope that the mainstream Americans are smart enough to figure this one out!

    September 14, 2008 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  9. harvey

    this great country will Never adopt the socialist/marxist views of Obama, no matter how hard you try!

    September 14, 2008 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  10. Janet

    Two years ago the Democratic, Said vote us in we will make things better. Well what is better? We have higher gas, food more people with out jobs and on and on How can anyone vote for Obama/Biden I am a life time Dem. VOTING FOR McCain/Palin

    September 14, 2008 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  11. Roland in St George, UT

    Like Anthony Robbins says, things don't really change unless/until people go through enough pain. Apparently, 8 yrs of Bush policies may not be enough pain for many people. Perhaps 4 more years of the same is necessary.

    September 14, 2008 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  12. Monica

    Go McCain Go!!
    Go McCain Go!!

    September 14, 2008 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  13. Kathy in TX for Obama

    Ignore the polls... all the major news channels (and Fox) are owned by Republicans who don't want to see any of their power slip away. And if you don't belive that Big Business runs the government right now, ask why over 130 of McSame's campaign higher-ups are lobbyists.

    September 14, 2008 06:05 pm at 6:05 pm |
  14. matt

    Polls are bias. wait untill the real poll happens in nov.

    September 14, 2008 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  15. inuk of the north

    The BO camp spotted the trend and knocked on President Clinton's door, cap in hand, looking for some help.

    For Barack, that must have felt like swallowing a golf ball – you know, asking for Bill's help. "Puleeeeez, Bill, help me. I'm sinking in the polls. People aren't listening to me anymore. I'm stuck with Biden and John has Palin. Help me Bill. I'm sorry what I said about Hillary – really I am. Puleeeez Bill."

    I wonder what kind of a deal he had to negotiate with Bill Clinton?

    September 14, 2008 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  16. sjp

    the mccain/palin ticket has pretty much peaked, the media is finally starting to dig into lies being told and the debates are coming up. looks like the best will be a tie, without being able to fully swing the american public. i had faith that america would not be misled, we came close but it looks like america is a little smarter than given credit on the issues. obama/ biden 08'

    September 14, 2008 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  17. Expose The Hypocrites

    Minnesota? What's up? Please don't make your decisions based on climate.

    September 14, 2008 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  18. Ken, LA California

    The republican party thinks that the US has become it colony and that they are only answerable to God, that is why Palin keeps on talking of the holy war in Iraq, much like the Devine Right of the Kings, they are operating like a monarchy.

    September 14, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  19. harvey

    im reading. and wondering where some of you came from! would your parents and grandparents be proud that you have become dependant on government to lift your quality of life? that you have become parasites on the work and dollars of other americans? You should be ashamed. Take a deep breath, and vote for Mccain/Palin

    September 14, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  20. Victor


    I am an independent voter. I will make my decision after all the debates. I read your comments and realized that they are not logical at all. Alot of parents now (even teenagers themselves) can graduate from high school without becoming pregnant. They can always do that by using various birth control and abortion... I would be very proud of you, your grandmother, mother, and any mother... if they can say that they have helped their teenage girls know what it means to abstain from sex... and that they never have sex before graduating from high school. That kind of statement would make a strong argument against Palin's ability to keep her daughter not becoming pregnant at 17.

    Best wishes to you in making decision regarding who will lead our country to become a better society. At this point in my life, I don't trust any politicians because their promises at the campaign never come true while they are in office. This country needs leaders with true integrity. However, it only seems like we have to choose the lesser of the two evils.

    September 14, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  21. Jill

    all politicians spin things. all politicians inflate their own resumes. all political candidates are focused on winning. the truth is both Obama and Mcain are making promises that can't be kept. the truth is that 2 years ago Obama was a national unknown just like dems are claiming about Palin. the truth is that out of all 4 candidates, obama is the LEAST qualified. the truth is that politics is a giant machine made up of individuals who have their own causes and agendas... either you stay in step and take your turn at washing the other hand or you'll be crushed by the machine. I would have respect for any politician who admitted this is the game of politics.

    September 14, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  22. e.Rivera

    The lies went too far – even for Karl Rove – but not far enough for most Americans to see – facinating, sometimes, Im ashamed of my country.

    September 14, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  23. W Spivey

    With John McSame, it's the Adolf of the 21st Century. Watch out Little Joe.

    September 14, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  24. Des,Toronto

    You know what is really sad,I bet some of the victims of Ike, who had no health insurance,who lost their homes because the insurance companies don't honour their claims will, on November 4, vote for McCain,even though they will be unemployed and destitute,no home ,no hope.Do you know why? McCain looks like them...go ahead vote for the guy with 8 houses who says this election is not about issues.Don't you feel sick to be controlled by the lobbyists and the wealthiest 2%. CNN don't like these comments because they are truthful, they prefer Jerry Springer type stuff.Good luck in your misery .

    Obama-Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  25. Matt

    First off the governor before Sarah had a approve rating of 20%, and he was a republican, she then beat out a two term democratic. What you dont think Alaska has drugs, gangs, and all that. think again. there is even the intercity. Everyone needs to get over the fact that Sarah comes from alaska, and that shes a women. GO SARAH GO, DRILL BABY DRILL

    September 14, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
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