September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. BKoi

    I believe the people of Minnesota will give Barack Obama their vote Nov. 4. This election is just too critical , and the voters will look at the issues and this incredible candidate and once again believe in his ability to change America. This is a rare opportunity to have someone so intelligent and so aware of what is at stake . Make no mistake, a vote for Sarah Palin will take the US down a dark and uncertain road, in a time where there MUST be great leadership and great integrity. The US has once again a chance at restoring America's proud name and stature in the world community. Please think carefully, what you are doing, your vote affects everyone, not just at home , but the world . PLEASE VOTE OBAMA FOR ALL OF US . THANK YOU.

    September 14, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  2. Steve - Minneapolis

    Way to be Iowa! Looks like our Iowa state student needs to vote absentee in Minnesota.

    September 14, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  3. Anesthesia Residents for Obama

    When Republicans go on the voting block, they will realize that if McCain becomes seriously ill and dies, Sarah Palin will become president. It will become clear to them that if that were to happen it would be disasterous. In that thought, I am confident that Obama will win victoriously.

    September 14, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |





    September 14, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  5. Vinnie

    Always knew Minnesota people were never too bright.
    Go Michigan!

    September 14, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  6. Brenda fl

    Not for long not for long, peoples are not creazy... believe it or not. Mccain's campain use distorsion ads, or lies, and soon in about less than a week polls will be reach him on the low, like his campain and his integrity

    September 14, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  7. Another grumpy old white woman for Obama

    By the way, how many people even read Newsweek or any rag mags anymore? We can get our info free on the internet. We do not need your biased opinions. We can check for facts without you.
    Save a tree. Eliminate paper.

    September 14, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  8. Jamie

    Gov. Palin to Congress: "Thanks but not thanks on that bridge to nowhere. If Alaskans wanted a bridge, we'd build it ourselves."


    September 14, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  9. Sean

    Hold on Obama: I'm no campaign strategist, but if I were you, I would focus my campaigning on the states that are battleground or states where your lead has Vanished.

    September 14, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  10. James From Chicago

    Please don't tell me the people in Minnesota want 4 more years of
    Bush and a VP with no experience. WAKE UP AMERICA.

    Obama/Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  11. Survival of the Fittest

    Karl Rove on McCain's lies:

    "McCain has gone in his ads one step too far, and sort of attributing to Obama things that are, you know, beyond the 100-percent-truth test,"

    September 14, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  12. Barb

    Is anyone else as confused as me?

    How can McCain be ahead when Obama raises more money from more different individuals? Giving money is supporting him. McCain does not begin to raise the money monthly that Obama does. The number of individuals giving money to McCain does not begin to compare to the large number of individuals giving to Obama.

    Doesn't that mean that Obama has more support than McCain and that more people are going to vote for him?

    September 14, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  13. Felly

    Minnesota will never go Republican. Obama will win come November 4. I'm scare of a 72 yr old man and a 44 yr old Palin that pronounces nuclear as nucular. That reminds me of Bushisms. Recall 8 yrs ago when Americans were asked to stay away from the Bushes? Look out the results today: Economy in perils and two wars with no end in sight. And Bin Laden is out there making video tapes since the infamous mission accomplished proclamation by Bush.

    September 14, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  14. Jim D, New York

    Just goes to show you, that when rich old white men blatantly lie to the public despite facts proving them liars, 45% of the country is stupid enough to believe them.

    September 14, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  15. Alf Raid

    This campain of Obamas should prove to all that he is and will be a wasteful pender as President. He will help you as much as he has helped his Brother.

    September 14, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  16. Unhappy With Direction

    Good good good... keep telling everyone that Obama is loosing. I want all of the Obama supporters upset and in an uproar. I want them ALL coming to the polls ready to vote.. I want them all registering to vote and getting upset!! Keep telling us we can't you are pushing us to vote!! I want them all motivated to overturn this election. We aren't going to have another 4 years, we refuse!! We absolutely refuse!!

    YES! WE! CAN!!

    "You are the change that you seek!" – Obama

    September 14, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  17. Angela

    Polls will change soon. Why?

    Palin's said on her Foreign Policy experience question: I can see Russia from where I live.

    Palin TICKER: She has NEVER been to Afghan & Iraq to see what is happening on the ground. 44years old * 365 = 16060

    We now know that McCain said months ago: We can't have a President that has only been a governor/mayor (on Mitt Romney) for a few years. Hmmm, Romney has MORE experience than Palin so what does that really say about what McCain thinks of Palin's experince?

    September 14, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  18. Jeannie

    How could they do this in Minnesota. Did they not see Sarah Palin's one and only press interview on ABC. "Clueless" is the best word to describe her knowledge on foreign affairs. She could be leading the country? – Are you clueless too Minnesota?


    September 14, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  19. Dave in Illinois

    These polls are what is putting the fear in the Obama camp and pushing their exaggerations and half-truths to the level that Karl Rove would be proud to claim. It's a good thing Delaware is solidily in the Democratic column thanks to Joe Biden. Joe who?

    (Hope this can be approved since it's not ranting, froth at the mouth, typed in capitals with double spacing stuff you really like to post.)

    September 14, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  20. susie

    Republicans rule,
    Democrats drool.

    McCain/Palin 2008

    September 14, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  21. Bri

    Come on people...don't be fooled McCain will say and do anything to win this election.

    September 14, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  22. Juan Carlos(Las Vegas)

    By electing Obama the Dems killed the chance to win this year. Hillary '12

    September 14, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  23. Peter

    Go McCain 2008!!!!!

    Go Hillary 2012!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  24. John

    If Americans are changing their votes because of lies and Karl Rove campaign tactics, then I say they deserve what they get. McBush-Rove strategy is so childishly embarrasing as it shows out there. Here's the strategy as I see it:
    1). Water down the change message by misusing it.
    2). Make the campaign focus on non issues like military participation, and feminism.
    3). Air as many lies in ads as possible.

    Well, it appears american people either can not tell any better, or they will be voting based on racial or other social inclinations. What is more disturbing is that the media is abetting the sleazy strategy.

    September 14, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  25. Tracey

    There's no credibility in these polls of polls and you guys know it! They go up and down everyday on this network! Not to mention, all of the other outlets have different numbers. Enough! The American people need for you guys to not be afraid of going after the lies of the McBush/Palin campaign! The "true" numbers will be revealed on Nov.4. You guys do this to keep things turning! Help educate the American citizens about what we may get as well as you guys, if McCain and Palin are elected! Now that's news worthy!

    September 14, 2008 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
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