September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Unshrub

    The anticipated death of Obama's campaign has been premature. Maybe now he can combat McCain’s lies.

    September 14, 2008 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  2. Linda Naperville

    Now the Republicans are starting their tradition of 'winning by vote tampering' with bogus mailings going to swing state Democrats and challenging new voter registrations in Wisconsin. They can't win fair and square so they have to use lie, fear and cheating to win...heck, it worked the last two times so of course they think they can get that lucky again. The country has been in a downward spiral for the last 8 years under Republican rule...why elect the same party for another four years? McCain is only a name change, not real change. And the only thing scarier than him running the country with Bush-like politics is Palin having any kind of power in Washington. God Bless really, God, please bless America and save us from the certain doom that will befall us if this Republican ticket wins.

    September 14, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  3. Chipster

    Minnesotans, what has changed? Is there some reason you think the Republican Party will be more competent with McCain/Palin continuing the very same policies that outsource your jobs, waste billions on no-bid contracts for their contributors, wage war based on lies, increase the deficit by another $2 or 3 trillion, disregard nearly 50 million people without health care ....?

    The failures are too numerous to list. What is it that earns your support? Perhaps the lies about earmarks? Palin supported the Bridge to Nowhere until it wasn't popular but – guess what – she still accepted the earmarks – more than $230 million for the riches state in the nation! How long will they be able to deceive you into supporting them? Good grief!

    September 14, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  4. Randy

    To America
    As you well know the answer to the question you are all asking, but afraid to speak truly is a black issue. If any white person was running it would not have matter who was picked for VP. Mccain would not even be in the picture. God has sent you a prophet so if America don,t pay heed they will always be walking and looking over the shoulder.The Hurricanes are warning of the wrath to come.

    SM Toronto

    September 14, 2008 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  5. LU

    Obama is an empty suit. Now Americans start to see his true colors.

    September 14, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  6. Johnny

    John McWar must be stopped!
    Obama/Biden '08!

    September 14, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  7. Mad

    Palin will really pump this up

    Now that people realize McCain is NOT Bush and that he can actually reform this country- they are flocking towards him.

    September 14, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  8. carol from MD

    McCain is picking up all the disgruntled Hillary supporters and women who are voting based on Palin’s gender. You could put a monkey in a skirt, and some of them will vote for it. Issues don't They'll be the ones to cry the loudest when the economy goes down the tubes if McCain wins.

    September 14, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  9. Tracey

    New Jersey will be in play for Obama on Nov. 4! You can take that to the bank! Real numbers!

    September 14, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |

    I thought the evil duo of Bush Cheney could simply not get any scarier or more cartoonish. McCain/Palin actually makes our current administration look somewhat respectable. I cannot believe half of our country could fall for this type of blatant, nefarious pandering. It's like the GOP has roofied half of the population and now they're nothing but mindless, drilling-loving, souless zombies. McCain/Palin: the savoirs of the "Head On! Apply Directly to the Forehead Head On! Apply Directly to the Forehead!" crowd.

    September 14, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  11. RyanD.

    I refuse to believe all it takes is an unknown quantity and pretty face to swing 12 percent of voters in 1 week.

    Minnesotans aren't that dumb, are they?

    September 14, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  12. Jody Monroe

    I am glad it's a neck-in-neck race. By keeping it tight, our country is forced to address critical issues as candidates propose solutions, (even if the candidates copy each other's solutions).

    September 14, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  13. ani

    G8! That's the end for Obama....
    I don't like this guy....he looks silly, behaves surprised to see that still americans are in favour of this guy, who has no exprerience, even not served this country in any good way......
    Am sure he did lots of game to use sexism against Barack with Hillary.........nobody will find him better in any issue....experience, attitude, respect to seniors, women, nor having any contribution towards this country.............How can he compete with other world leaders like, China, Russia....He will bring this g8 country into a unstable state........believe my fellow americans...go and vote for Mccain......he is far far better than obama.............

    September 14, 2008 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  14. Tainopwer

    To close for comfort ha. Just the beginning of the end for obama. After one year of obama lead on polls now its turning against him

    September 14, 2008 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  15. Madelyn

    Forget the polls. You know and I know that these polls are worthless except for your people. The polls only reflect a certain number of people, not the total of voters in this country. I long for the days of news, just report the news and stop putting your spin on it. If a policitian is found lying, say that he/she is lying. My wish is that all of these so call news programs are done away with and decent news coverage will again appear. Tell the truth sometime. You know that John McClain is not a hero but, a POW 30 years ago. You people talk like it was yesterday. He might have commanded thirty years ago but, understand that times have changed since then. Obama states that the American people are not stupid, OH YES THEY ARE.

    September 14, 2008 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  16. Michelle from DA Bronx, NY

    I can't say that I am surprised about these poll results. John McCain has a proven track record and there are many that are still unsure about Obama's albility to lead. There was a good reason why John Kerry wanted McCain as his running mate back in 2004 and let's face it was not because of McCain's good looks.

    September 14, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  17. Slayer

    Voters in Iowa are voting to keep their huge corn subsidies which Obama voted for and McCain voted against. Now that we know that the use of corn for ethanol was the 'worst' possible agricultural use of corn - the decision significantly increased food prices; we now know McCain was right again.

    But Iowans will not see it that way - they vote their own interests - keep those US Govt subsidiaries flowing to them regardless if the rest of the country has to starve. What a terrific bunch of people we have in Iowa. Next time there's a flood, I won't be donating any $ to help them - they've gotten too much already.

    September 14, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  18. Truth to People

    Obama/Biden............Change through courage, consistency,
    diplomacy honesty action, governed by the rule of law

    McCain/Palin...........Change through misinformation, inconsistency, guns, bombs and and governed by executive power and theocratic law

    A nation on the rise

    Or a nation beginning to fall?

    Which way do you think is best?

    September 14, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  19. KC

    Minnesotans are taken in by the hockey mom Sarah Palin and snowmobiling dad Todd Palin. People who met Todd Palin at a snowmobile event recently thought he was a nice regular guy and plan to vote for Palin as a result. It goes back to – who would you like to have a beer with?

    McCain was completely right about this election not being about the issues. It is sad.

    September 14, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  20. joey vickerman

    Since I am Canadian I am in the process of being educated on the American political system. From what I can see of the vetting process it seems that other than an internal and a colonoskopy there isn't much left to look at with Sarah Palin. Have they gone this far with every man that ever ran for vice president? Is a woman in the White House really that scary?

    September 14, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  21. Enlightened Voter

    I truly hope the polls continue to show mccain ahead of Obama by wide margins because it will motivate Democrats to get out and vote in record numbers. Only the intelligent people realize the polls mean nothing. The real poll is on November 4th and by then the mccain/palin pathological liars house of cards will come crashing down.

    September 14, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  22. Garrett

    This is so pathetic. Apparently, many Americans are not smart enough or care enough to see the lies of the McCain campaign.

    September 14, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  23. Anna

    Well good for them.
    I am tired of the whole nation thinking the answers to our problems are as simple as one or the other political party.

    The answer doesn't lie in one or the other Party, it lies more pertinently in qualified, proven leadership...

    September 14, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  24. What??

    You said it well Chipster. Wake up people!!

    September 14, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  25. Keith

    These polls don't mean anything. Obama still has a significant lead when it comes to electoral votes.

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
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