September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. McCain/Palin The Copy-Cats

    McCain the PUNK who wouldn't vote for woman's equal pay but will HIDE behind a women SKIRT. PUNK, PUNK, PUNK!

    We don't believe in your made up polls anymore.

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  2. kathy

    Just keep in mind – we can't take another 4 years of a republican in office – it doesn't matter who the repubilcan is – we can't afford it – people have lost jobs, they've lost homes, they've lost children in a republican president's personal vendetta. We can not survive another republican in office!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  3. Alex in MA

    I simply do not believe these polls. They are trying to maniulate this election. Democrats please do not listen to these silly polls. We have amazing ground organization and our GOTV campaign is second to none in the history of presidential campaigns. The only poll that counts would be taken on November 4!

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  4. Debby

    Chipster and Obama has a billion in earmarks which makes her fractional. Obama raising corporate, payroll, and capital gain tax to pay for his cuts is changing people's minds especially small business owners.

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  5. jason,tx

    Battleground states seem to be losing IQ points everyday. What are they thinking?

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  6. mimi

    Minnesota you are gonna feel mighty silly when you wake up and find out you have been taken for a ride. Do you like being lied to?
    Come on, clear the fog from your head and THINK!

    Thanks but no thanks to McCain/Palin to nowhere.

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  7. Unbiased

    Why is CNN constantly focused on polls, instead of headlining the electoral map. Shouldn't we be concerned with the electoral map? I want to know what's going on on the campaign trail for real...not what McCain's publicist sends in. I was very disappointed that CNN hyped up the fact that McCain was leading Obama by one point according to the polls, when it downplayed Obama's lead because it was not in double digits. What is really going on? If it is significant that McCain has a one point is just as significant if Obama has a 1 point lead. Also, CNN has yet to discuss the issues. I have been following CNN loyally for years, but I need to know the issues. Can we please discuss the issues and not sensationalize Palin's eyewear? I could not care less about her eyewear. The truth is that McCain is practically one breath away from dying and she would be the President of the US. That's VERY SCARY.

    September 14, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  8. CNN neocon spinsters at it again

    where did you poll, the neo-con enclaves?

    no one i know ever answers unsolicited marketing or polling calls.

    good luck with your spinning effort!

    no one believes a word you spin out, CNN!

    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  9. Jodi

    These polls are flawed – the media has the incentive to skew results to create headlines. At this point in the election phase, people have already made up their mind. The only difference is who is being polled .

    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  10. rumpusgoopus

    Isn't this the same people who ran a poll in MN a few months ago saying that MN was essentially tied, when every other poll gave Obama a plus-10 point advantage over McCain. I don't buy it for a second.

    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  11. Jimi NY

    It's still too early to listen to these stupid polls. Who do they poll anyway? I've never been questioned for a "poll." When they debates begin I have a feeling we are going to see a big jump for Obama and Biden in the "polls." McCain and Palin cannot even compete with Obama and Biden. Especially Palin . . . If she's a "Barracuda" then wait until she meets Biden the Great White Shark.


    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  12. smith leonce

    Go Obama,go Obama .......we will win that lill thing

    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  13. Candy West Virginia

    Republicans voting for mccain/palin, does rush limpillpopper and the repub party tell you how to dress too cause we know they tell you what to think? mccain/palin = proven (by pathological liars

    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  14. Chickens coming home to roost

    Obama recklessly divided his own party- along race, age, gender and income lines. He gambled on it to secure a lead and then imagined his charms to be convincing enough to bring back the very voters he trashed and derided and ridiculed.

    And.. by playing, and over-playing the race-card.

    And...By brutally denigrating and attacking HRC- mocking, jeering and demeaning her. By alienating women with his dismissive and sexist attitude towards women. As well as his brushing HRC off his shoulders.

    And... trivializing the large elder white female base of the party as irrelevant and dismissing them since "they will all come back in the end anyway".

    I bet he wishes he hadn't counted his chickens before they hatched.

    Generally people do NOT vote for the candidate that mocks and demeans them- the person who ridicules and trivializes them- the cocky actor who jeers and belittles them.

    September 14, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  15. Girl in the South

    Ahhh, Minnesota! Come on, Geeze. Don't tell me that again, 300 million people could be so stupid!

    September 14, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  16. Mildred Bonner

    What happened to Obama's cake-walk into the presidency? Why isn't he ahead by 20 to 30 points? With the hundreds of millions spent trying to make him attractive to voters he shouldn't be locked in such a tight race. Is it possible that American voters are not easily duped? That their votes can't be bought with razzle-dazzle?

    September 14, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  17. EL.

    I could not agree with you more CHIPSTER, what a shame, people always seem to forget the most important things, (The republican mess) if Mc Surge wins I hope they can live with the consequences. I pray God they'll change before it is to late.

    September 14, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  18. Paul S

    Minnesotans, like most americans, love war.

    They love 'tough talk' like 'bomb, bomb Iran' etc.

    They like to be lied to about bridges to no where and earmark reforms.

    They like when politicians give tax breaks to the rich and watch their jobs being sent overseas.

    They like when CEOs get multimillion dollar bonuses, and their neighbors can't even get health care, or their homes foreclose – that's exciting.

    And most of all, they like the Karl Rove/Rush Limbaugh attack-style divide this country down the middle politics.

    Unity is for the weak. Peace is for the weak. Love is for the weak. Caring for others is so . . . community organizing – yuck!!

    Let's just kill, hate, and oppress. They love McCain.

    September 14, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  19. Patty

    If you want to talk VP"S, let's look at Biden and his inability to handle money in his personal life. He has spent 36 years making a more than adequate and above average salary ( w/expense acct) has a working wife, wrote a book and at 65 he is proud to say he has a net worth around $200,000. He lives on a 4 acre estate in exclusive Greenville, DE yet brags that he doesn't have a savings account. Isn't the idea in America that people should take care of themselves and prepare for the future? In the last year, they had a take-home income of over $20,000 a month! Many people have that for a year. What in the world do they do with their money and do you really want someone so inept making decisions about the U.S. economy.

    September 14, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  20. Joe

    Only fools make the same mistake twice. It seems the American people are fools because they elected Bush twice. And now their going to vote for a guy who is just like Bush, only with a different outer appearance. Like I said, FOOLS.

    September 14, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  21. Robert

    Obama should stop this kind of negative campaign, again, stand higher, running much more exciting and better future description than what Mccain would bring to this country. Just Imagine you have been elected, and what you will do in your first 100 days. Dont fall into the trick that you are just another old fashioned politician. Speak high of CHANGE

    September 14, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  22. Keith

    Maybe a hockey mom goes over big in the land of the North Stars and the Minnesota Wild. I can understand that. But a lyin', pistol packin', fundamentalist nut of a hockey mom who doesn't even know what the vice president does??? That's not the Minnesota I understand. Land o' Mary Tyler Moore and Bobby Smith. C'mon people..get it together.

    September 14, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  23. Eugene

    So even Karl Rove thinks McCain's ads have gone too far. Wow!

    September 14, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  24. A house divided

    Obama has only himself to blame.

    He played divisive racial and gender politics with members of his own party.

    Marginalizing as unimportant, irrelevant or sure bets the VERY voters he would later need to win this election.

    I never vote for the one who mocks, jeers, ridicules, demeans and belittles women- call me old fashioned in that way.

    I do not care for race baiting, bigoted vitriol and hateful vulgar filthy attacks on females – least of all female candidates of my own party.

    Obama lost me with Hillary bashing at Hillary gate during the divisive and ugly democratic primaries.

    September 14, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  25. Lone Wolf MD

    I used to think John McCain was a man of honor and integrity. Even though I'm a Democrat, I was rooting for him in the 2000 Repub primary and would have been comfortable with him as President. But, with all of the lies and sleaze that have been coming out of his campaign with his full support, I no longer have any respect for the man.

    Instead of standing up to the extremists in his party, he has adopted and praised their despicable tactics. This is not honorable. And, in choosing Palin has his running mate, a woman who repeatedly lies about her record, is woefully unqualified, and holds extreme views, he has proven that IT IS NOT THE COUNTRY HE IS PUTTING FIRST, IT IS JOHN MCCAIN.

    Given McCain's age, if he wins it is a very real possibility that Sarah Palin could become President. How about a poll that asks the American people: GIVEN THE DANGERS OF THE WORLD AND THE PROBLEMS THIS COUNTRY FACES, WOULD YOU BE COMFORTABLE WITH SARAH PALIN AS YOUR PRESIDENT?

    That is the REAL question we should be asking, and it is the elephant in the room that the pollsters and the media are ignoring.

    September 14, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
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