September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. ChristianH

    If Obama loses Minnesota, I will cry myself to sleep before shipping off to the East Coast where people GET IT!

    September 14, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  2. even the sun was afraid


    I live in Minnesota. Don't talk down to me like I'm some sort of halfwit. We'll see where this election goes, and trust me, Minnesota will be in the Democrats pocket.

    September 14, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  3. TonyInCheyenne

    Chipster: I have given myself whiplash shaking my head at this one. What does McCain/Palin offer that could possibly appeal to ANY citizen of this country?
    Have you watched the Fed-Ex commercial on TV with the Lemming? It's the perfect analogy of the voters in this nation.

    September 14, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  4. miss hope for change

    chipster...good obeservation..can't agree more....I wil never change my mind, no matter what...this country DEFINITELY needs NEW DIRECTION....this means OBAMA BIDEN must win....wake up ...wake up....

    September 14, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  5. ray canada

    I can't believe americans are falling for the same old crap all over again.
    The Palin/McCain ticket can't discuss a single issue other than lipstick and hockey moms and your all eating it up.
    Step back from the brink of madness, its time to change your country not only for yourselves but for the better of the whole world.

    September 14, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  6. Chris

    Polls mean nothing. The young voter turnout in this election is going to be way more than expected and will seal the deal for Obama. I know, I'm one of them.

    September 14, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  7. tuff Col. Oh

    there is no way i believe these polls have change so dramatrically towards mccain, he's not saying anything of any subsatnce for his vision of this country, the only thing he speaks any clarity on is war, war war, that's where we will be headed if he wins, these polls are not relavant, they had obama loosing big in inddy when he was running against hillary and they ended up in a virtue tie, these pollers don't poll the younger people who will turn out for obama in droves, you just wait and see, and all of these news medias and there polls of polls, will be singing another tune, the only poll that matters is in nov OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    September 14, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  8. Mitzie

    The McCain/Palin campaign took a leap in the polls after the conventions. The Palin nomination was such a boon to the religious right and other republicans who needed to have a candidate to feel enthusiastic about.

    Now, after the excitement begins to die down and (hopefully) the race goes back to issues, not lies and smears, the Obama campaign should rebound.

    It is time for Americans to vote with their intellect not just on a single issue or on gender or race or who we would like to have a beer with. It is time to forgo the spin of the media and the blogs and really learn about the candidates and their beliefs. We can no longer think it doesn't matter ultimately who we vote for. If there is anything we should have learned over the past 8 years is that it does matter.

    September 14, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  9. Kimberly from Houston, TX

    No more Bush = No McCain/Palin

    September 14, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  10. irony

    Conserve Baby Conserve! Conserve here, Conserve now. Let's take this issue away from them. Keep conserving and oil will continue to plummet. Big Oil is doing everything they can to keep gas prices high so Mcsame and the Drill Babe will win but the speculators, who actualy control the price, are pulling money out of the oil futures market because demand is way down. Call your state attorney General if you have evidence of price gouging. Mcsame and the Drill Babe's idea of alternative fuels are 87, 89 and 92 octane. Don't buy it America. The government does not drill, drill, drill. It is the oil companies who drill, drill, drill and sell, sell, sell at record prices to you, you and you. Keep conserving America. We have done well so far. Keep it up. Cut down one trip to the store. Inflate your tires properly. It would be ironic if that was the tip that beat Mcsame and the Drill Babe. Community organizers set up ride shares and car-pooling. Take public transportation once a week. There is no shortage of oil. There are no gas stations that have sold out. Keep demand down and the Republicans will lose this issue and the election.

    September 14, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  11. Rebecca - Michigan

    Palin is a Fraud. McCain is a fraud for picking a fraud as his VP

    Enough said.

    September 14, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  12. Brian B (Va)

    The commentator on Meet the Press expressed it perfectly this morning....these voters are saying that the economy is bad, the war in Irag is wrong, and we need change...they vote democrats to the house, senator and governors, but when polled and asked about the president, all of a sudden they are undecided. Land of the free and home of the majority. Unfortunately, Obama is the right man, just not the right time. America is about to shoot itself in the foot by electing the wrong team for the wrong reason.

    September 14, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  13. Uncle Sam

    The Obama candidacy is built on the flimsy foundation that John McCain and now Sarah Palin represent a "third Bush term" and "more of the same". The American people aren't buying it. It's as simple as that.

    September 14, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  14. Paula

    Simple choice: go backwards and drill baby drill OR let Obama take this country into the future-Europeans countries are already ahead of us in the technology and energy race.
    What will it be: pencils and paper or technology to break us from oil.
    Scientists concur we have about 100 months to REVERSE global warming.
    This is the most important vote you will make.

    Obama/Biden '08

    September 14, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  15. patrick

    I think some people need to first of get it in their mind that this election is NOT about Hilary anymore, its about Obama and new leadership he will offer America. Mccain furthermore doe NOT mirror the rural or suburban life, thats why this is baffling me. Yet Palin has a smoke screen of drama heading in her direction. Just like we have been saying all along, there was something fishy about her, yet is shows that Republicans will vote gender over issues. Republicans are out of touch as a whole!

    September 14, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  16. Real Change '08!

    Think about it. Minnesotans have finally wised up. I thought at first, despite the convention being held there, Minnesota would've still have been a Obama stronghold. Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin's tough campaigning have busted through that blue wall though. Even though it is still unlikely, McCain and Palin certainly have a VERY good chance in Minnesota.

    States such as Virginia, Indiana, Ohio, and New Hampshire that were toss-ups have slowly edged towards McCain now. Minnesota may be one of those too. With Sen. Norm Coleman cruising easily to re-election, it looks like the longest Democratic stronghold may turn to Republicans. Now that real change is being proposed by McCain/Palin, it looks like they may win. I predict a 2000 repeat campaign again.

    McCain/Palin 2008

    September 14, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  17. Texas Mom For Obama/Biden

    You would think that looking at our economy, the War, all the lies that palin and Mcain have brought to the race, obama should be ahead by a big margin. WOW! Americans are really dumb. I can see Mcain, Palin and Rove sitting together at the end of a day saying, we got the dummies again. Or could it be Obama is not winning big because of is Race. I believve if it was a white man the election would be over Democrats back in office. This is a sad day in america. People wiill take another four years of struggling economy Etc. for A PIG with lipstickand a man near death. Anthing to keep the black man out of office. Shame on you America!!!!!!! Obama/Biden 08 Real Change.(Have an of you really tried to change a 72 year old set in his ways?)

    September 14, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  18. Mujaahid

    Hey Guys,

    The Polls are a gamming machines for the Pollsters to pose as statistical wizards for the news media to keep the airwaves abuzz with taking points for the Repunuts.

    The game is called "how to lie with polls and statistics and gets UV's and rating up to publish all this crap possible on a daily basis to garner more eyeballs in the horse race for ratings and ad dollars.

    The media has no sham and no snese of civil respsonsiblity to be sure and it continues to go down the pathway for $$$$$$$$$$$.

    Obama – Biden will win in 08 becuase of the voters on the ground keen sense of the games being play ed and putting their eggs in the right basket for America.

    September 14, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  19. John, FL

    These results are from 1,000 Republicans who don't have cell phones.

    September 14, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  20. Moderate Republican for Obama

    As I have always maintained, these polls mean absolutely nothing in this election. It will be extremely tight all the way to Election Day. Obama and Biden should continue talking aggressively about the issues. I have to keep the faith that ultimately Americans will vote for what is right.

    September 14, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  21. Coll

    Minnesotans are like Canadians in their voting patterns and Canadians, if they could vote, would put Obama over the top in a landslide. The fine folks of this state will not vote McCain.

    September 14, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  22. stacy

    so very pleased that Hillary Clinton cannot be blamed now for this
    downhill slide for Obama.

    September 14, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  23. Mike

    seriously, Americans are foolish to reward republicans with another term. so what next? continuing the same failed economic polices? and bomb Iran?

    September 14, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  24. Terry from GA

    Hey Patty – When is McCain and Palin going to release their tax returns for the last 10 years? How can McCain/Palin numbers go up in the polls when they have only issued lie after lie? Doesn't make any sense to me. Something doesn't add up with the poll numbers.

    September 14, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  25. John

    Definition of for the same clown over and over and expecting a different result. Sad commentary on our country.

    September 14, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
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