September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. astounded in Colorado

    I am astounded. I debate with McCain supporters and EVERY time the debate ends with them saying "Yea you have a good point. But I am still voting for McCain." How on earth can you sleep at night? Really? You do ZERO research and vote based on what some guy in a white robe tells you to.

    I am moving to Canada.

    September 14, 2008 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  2. lg

    If people are stupid enough to vote for McCain then they deserve the government they will get..............................................

    September 14, 2008 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  3. Obama Campaign

    We are outraged at the negative tone of the presidential campaign.
    Why didn't someone suggest a series of town hall meetings? 🙂

    September 14, 2008 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  4. 60 yr old, white female for Obama

    Patty: Let's look at Palin's record as mayor. Her town was debt free when she took office and even after 23 million dollars in earmarks received through a hired lobbyist she left the town of less than 7 000 22 million dollars IN DEBT!!!

    September 14, 2008 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  5. Roger

    I'm happy to see that McCain is becoming more respected after all that he has done for our country. As for Obama, if he had chosen Hillary Clinton as his VP, things would be so much different. I can't see any good reasons why he didn't pick her. I still don't even know hardly anything about Joe Biden except that he thinks that Hillary would be a better VP than him. I'm going to vote for McCain because I do believe he is the wiser president. I can't imagine what Obama would do in the event of another terrorist attack. To me, Obama dosn't have much backbone. He only wants to do go with the crowd. McCain goes against the crowd, and that's what I like about him.

    September 14, 2008 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  6. Natalee in Canada

    Wow...add into the mix an inexperienced, scary woman who tries to come across as you or me and all of a sudden the failed economic and foreign policies of the last 8 years no longer matter? I certainly thought that during this very pivotal time in world history that people would be more thoughtful of their vote than this...a country that has been expended and exhausted economically and morally by a bad choice called Iraq, is really up for the challenge of 4 more ears under a Mccain-Palin ticket that advocates more war...I am just shaking my head over this one...she may "look" good and excite the base, but VP and potential President? Oh my....for McCain, politics first, country last in my opinion...

    September 14, 2008 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  7. Leslie

    The reasons I am supporting Barack Obama:


    Bin Ladin has not been captured

    War in IRAQ that was fabricated lies by Bush/McCain

    4300+ Soldiers killed in Iraq war

    Real threat of McCain attacking Iran and Syria and Russia

    Fuel Prices through the roof

    Largest OIL COMPANY PROFITS in history

    Largest OIL COMPANY TAX GIVEAWAY in history

    Record Home Forclosures

    Record Unemployment

    630,000 jobs lost since Republicans took control

    Outsourcing of Jobs to foreign countries

    Food prices out of control

    Failing Education system

    Record number of people without Healthcare

    ONLY Major Country in the world without UNIVERSAL HEATHCARE

    Loss of Respect around the Globe

    Failing to recognize Global Warming



    September 14, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  8. Prince

    Obama Can now see that the road is very narrow for him, De javu. I think it is time for Obama to quit. Remember when the Obama Camp told Hillary the same thing? Is not too late!!!!!.

    Democrat Voting For McCain

    September 14, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  9. mitchell

    can nov. 4 th get here soon enough?

    September 14, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  10. The vp became the first lady.......oops

    All these polls will give Obama a decisive victory come November.
    All the new voters and sporadic voters who are energized were not polled. Not to talk of all the sensible republicans changing party to vote for Obama. All my cousins in that state were not polled and not to talk of students who can't wait till its nov. 4th
    Come November Obama will be president.
    Yes we can!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  11. Obvious

    I'm glad people are not voting based on the issues, but rather on senseless rhetoric repeated over and over by the McCain camp. Keep on proving to the rest of the world that America is a bunch of idiots who would elect a third Bush!

    September 14, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  12. richs

    Wow, imagine that! Despite the media's biased worship of this guy, Minnesotans (and I see) Obama for what he really is-an inexperienced egomaniac who's had so much smoke insert thorugh his back orafice that he really thinks it's all true.

    September 14, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  13. average bob

    Polls are fixed and the only people answering are the ones glued to their TVs and I do not think they have a life outside of that. Research and you will find the only true poll that counts is when we Americans pull that lever. Everyone has an opinion and I think that some people are busy trying to do good instead of sitting @ home waiting for the next poll person to call and surf the bias media "news". STAND AWAY from the computer and TV! Go out and have a life, take a gander @ what life has to offer instead of running each other into the ground with your insults. Don't you think that people are tired of all the inveigling going on? (While you're looking that up...try to see what else is in your vocabulary and enrich it.)

    September 14, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  14. RJ in NC

    I dont trust these polls. How can so many people change their minds about who they are going to vote for in such a short period of time? Its not possible. Everyone already has set in their minds who they will vote for.

    Also, it is actually benefiting Obama to be down. It just means more of us young naive voters wont be complacent, and turn out in record numbers, just to be on the safe side.

    September 14, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  15. Scott

    Dear Sen Biden,

    Stop saying McCain has good character. He keeps lying about you and Obama. Lying is not a sign of strong moral character – it's a sign of a deceptive, immoral slimebag.

    Call it like it is – not like a gentleman dancing around the facts. Point out their repeated lies. Point them out now and stop complimenting McCain on something that isn't true!

    September 14, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  16. shannon

    I agree the real poll is on Nov. 4th... I also, agree no one has ever asked me or most of the people I know...

    Then, I read the blogs where at least 90% are in favor of obama/biden..

    so where are you getting your numbers???

    It is time to move forward not backward...go obama!!

    September 14, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  17. brandon-long island

    Good for barack obama, he should haved pick clinton and he would win this election!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! He is a fool!!!!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  18. APS in Hawaii

    Let's face it, Obama caused his own undoing. He can never admit a wrong, he is always right, when he votes present, he is voting for the winning side of the issue, he does not flip-flop, he clarifies his position, and he never smears anyone. Nope, it must be his supporters that do all of the dirty work for him.

    He blew his chance when he did not have the courage or integrity to pick Hillary as the VP. Instead he picked the person who said numerous times that Obama is not qualified to be President and received less than 1% of the votes. Yep, a real winner. Obama's arrogance and elitism will be his down fall. The way he played the gender card will haunt him and in this election year, with everything going for him, he should be winning. But, he blew up so many bridges and has NEVER tried to mend fences. His way of mending fences is by having others speak for him. A TRUE leader is able to speak for themselves and is able to make decisions.

    As a PUMA and REAL Democrat, I am giving him a chance to finally apologize about the smear campaign he and his supporters ran against Hillary. If he is not MAN enough to admit what happened, I will vote for McCain just to send a protest vote to the DNC. Remember every vote counts is not a slogan, it should be a reality.

    September 14, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  19. Gary Chandler in Canada

    not publishing my comments is like ignoring Churchill.... research anything I have said, not one word of a lie? a friend tells another friend when there is something in their teeth!
    it is probably TOO LATE for America, with McCain it IS too late, with Obama there is a very slim, SLIM, chance, NOBODY is even allowed to tell the truth!!! When Obama said, 'both sides should calm down in the Russian , OSSSETIAN, Georgian outbreak, he gets ridiculed!!!
    IN FACT Sakcofshilts IS a war criminal. Russia is CORRECT about that. Because he is McCain's friend, and McCain's campaign advisor worked as a lobbyists for Sackofshilts, one has to go hmmmmm????

    September 14, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  20. jeremy

    Obama is unelectable... people should have been smarter during the nomination process and voted for someone who would have easily won, Hillary Clinton... or, Obama should have demonstrated some intelligence and selected her as the nominee. With that, Sarah Palin would have not had the impact she did... Instead, he chooses Biden, a great guy.... but, nothing too exciting.... I wonder why the my democratic party never wins.... When we nominate an extreme liberal WE DON'T WIN... and neither will America..........

    September 14, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  21. Will, NJ

    Has anyone noiced the spike in prices since the hurricane? What do you think will happen if we put more offshore rigs in storm prone areas? Offshore drilling is easy, but it's not the answer unless you like being gouged everytime the wind blows.

    September 14, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  22. seems people have plenty of cash to throw away...

    66$ million.. i guess that takes the bad economy issue off the table

    September 14, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  23. Daniel

    Would Barack Obama be such a potent symbol of "change" if he were a White man? All of these so-called enlightened, $6 latte-drinking, highly educated (whatever educated means nowadays, college educted? ooohhhh, college is so rare, whatever!) people need to ask themselves that simple, honest question. Would Barack Obama make you believe his brand of "Change" was so new and exciting if he were a White man? Yep, didn't think so. Think, America.

    September 14, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  24. Paul

    BHO in the polls: Going Down!!!! Too funny!

    September 14, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  25. mike

    All obama have to do is run ads about [abortion] [the draft][nafta] if obama do this his poll numbers will skyrocket,these ads he is running are dead,boring,obama needs to shakeup the people who is giving him advice about ads,because they all end with more of the same,if i hear that phrase again am going to go crazy,his ads dont put fear in people,its time to put fear in people,like running an ad telling people a vote for mccain means an end to roe vs wade,letting people know mccain supports nafta 100% most people in ohio,penn,in mich dont know this,in please go in find that video showing mccain supporting bringing back the draft,in run that as a ad,that video has dissapeard from you tube in everywhere,because the gop knows if obama runs in ad on that video it could damage mccain,so stop the dead ads in please stop saying more of the same after the ads come to an end,because its not working obama,its time to let americans know what their going to get if they elect mccain.

    September 14, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
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