September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Nwando

    McCain is in for a suprise!!! y'all should keep watching!!!! Hillary was commanding till y'all know what happened!!!! just keep wat watching fellas


    September 14, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  2. tigerakabj

    Back in late 2007, the polls said Obama was down by more than 10 in Iowa and he won. It doesn't matter; the poll that matters is on Nov. 4.

    Obama/Biden 2008/2012.

    September 14, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  3. CM

    Patty you're logic is foolish at best. If you want to go apple for apple then aides and Cindy will be running this country should McCain win.

    All you people who claim McCain is better have yet to state any reason why anyone who isn't a fanatical right-winger would agree with you. Cut out all the proven false rumors about Obama and your arguments are nothing but empty air.

    September 14, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  4. Helen,Ft Lauderdale

    Do you people in Minnesota and elsewhere throughout the country really think that John McCain is going to do anything drfferent to George Bush. Do you think Sara Palin can step up to the plate in the event something happens to Senator McCain. She was chosen by the Republican party to appease the conservatives. McCain didn't choose her. Come on now, she has absolutely no foreign policy experience and is way out of her league. It's like taking for example a Lawyer and throwing him into a Doctor's position of doing surgery on a brain tumor. He wouldn't know what the hell to do. Sara Palin wouldn't know what the hell to do. She is full of hot air.

    Are you people so stupid that you are going to vote for the Republicans after eight years of Bush's policies. WERE YOU BORN WITH BRAINS OR WEEDS IN YOUR HEADS.

    I just can't believe how stupid you people are. Look at both sides of this picture. People are losing their homes, Gas prices and the cost of living are ridiculous, our soliders have been sent into Iraq to be killed and maimed instead of being sent to Afganistan to get Osama Bin Laden. The United States is starting to become a Third World Country and I know' I am from a Third World Country and came here 29 years ago to give myself and my children a better life.

    I am begging you all to take a step back, think really hard, use the brains that God gave you and after weighing the pros and cons then if you still think McCain/Palin are your guys, go ahead and vote for them and don/t complain when things get worse.

    As for me I will be voting OBAMA/BIDEN.

    September 14, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  5. intcamd1

    When all the talking is done, and when the media that has been so smitten with Obama can bloviate no more, and when they find out that despite their incessant pandering to Obama and trashing of McCain, Americans still voted for McCain in November, the media's frustration will turn to anger.

    The question is what will media role will be going forward, and how will AMericans judge media post-November. The main stream media has always been generally left of the center, but the unprecendented way in which they overwhelmingly and quite overtly supported Obama and had negative coverage of all his opponents, will most likely cause most AMericans to be even more skeptical of the media and its credibility.

    My guess is, this election will hasten the splintering of the main streammedia and proliferation of the alternate media. This is already being done from a revenue and demand perspective, but this election will mark that from a credibility angle as well.

    September 14, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  6. Jay

    Thank goodness that Americans have finally waken up to the fact that Obama is singularly UNqualified to lead this great nation!

    The antipathy coming from these Obama supporters here only proves what I suspected all along: these so-called champions of free speech have nothing but contempt for REAL dissent. Thankfully the rest of America is fed up with the blatant hypocrisy and condescension.

    Let this be a lesson to the Democrats. Next time, try running a candidate who's actually qualified to run the nation!

    September 14, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  7. Andrew

    Keep in mind that if McCain is elected, the division in this country will become insurmountable. The GOP'S hate for their fellow country men will be our undoing. Their real enemy are the democrats make no mistake about it. To think that McCain will change anything is comical to say the least. You would have to know nothing about his positions to believe that. Palin's administration is Alaska mirrors Bush's regime in the white house. Secrecy and loyalty above the interest of the country. Start selling your houses if McCain is elected the will be worthless in a matter of years. The bottom is going to drop out of the economy and we will all suffer except the extreme wealthy that McCain caters too.

    September 14, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  8. Robin

    Oh, no! Here it comes!

    As soon as the polls start saying McCain is in the lead, people will start believing it.

    Anyone who still takes this election seriously is a fool.

    September 14, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  9. bill

    As the election in November is drawing near, many if not most Americans are trying to figure out the impact of having a Democratic or a Republican president along with who the leader is on each ticket.
    I belive that as Americans increase their knowledge, that most of them(80-90%) will end up voting for the Republican ticket.
    John McCain is a far superior choice than Barrack Obama.
    CNN continue to tell the truth.

    September 14, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  10. Los

    Let's not kid ourselves, this McCain resurgence is all due to Sarah Palin. McCain has become a footnote in his own campaign. It's so sad to see this man squander in just two weeks what he spent 72 years accumulating.

    September 14, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  11. No Hillary = No Obama

    GO SARAH, GO!!!!!!!! The women of America are behind you after getting the door slammed in their faces by Obama and his loser choice for VP. Talk about poor judgment. NO OBAMA, NO WAY, NO HOW – how stupid could he have been?????????

    September 14, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  12. sarah

    VIDEO >>> Sarah Palin Solo Camgaign in Nevada on Saturday

    Want to watch >>> MSNBC.COM / VIDEO

    September 14, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  13. m

    Minesota will stay in dem column but wisconsin , pennsylvania and michigan will go mccain

    September 14, 2008 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  14. Connie

    Cnn is in love with Palin, did Fox news buy Cnn? What time is O'Reilly on ? Why do they play any thing that could harm Obama 24×7, but the Palin and Mccain lies fly under the radar.What time is Hannity on? OBAMA/BIDEN 08
    Connie from Indiana

    September 14, 2008 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  15. jas60

    Let's just hope this motivates the Obama forces all the more to get out the vote!! Please, please, please don't give up! As a Missourian, I recall the Kerry campaign pulled out in the last week before the election, and did so also in Colorado. Kerry lost in those two states by only a slight bit. So, all you Obamacans in Minnesota, Virginia, Missouri, Iowa - and ALL states - let's show 'em what we're made of! We don't give up!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  16. Artola

    Polls can change. We all need to get out on the campaign trail and register voters. There are so many people who are eligible to vote who aren't registered. We can whine all day on the internet, but that's not going to change anything. I live in a red state and an Obama office just opened in my city. We have a meeting today and have lots of voter registration drives lined up. Our theme: Take the Red States Back!" – 8 is ENOUGH!

    September 14, 2008 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  17. This...isn't...punctuation


    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  18. Stephy

    Don't believe the hype people. the only people who even agree to participate in these polls are people who have nothing to do. Think about it when was the last time you took the time to participate in a poll. Go Obama!!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  19. Jamar

    The polls change constantly, but if Obama managed to take this state, Michigan, and New hampshire, he'd be just a few electorals shy of winning. However, the record high turnout numbers for the democratic primaries show a huge turnout for democractic votes. So I believe Obama has more of a chance than people might believe.

    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  20. EBC






    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  21. Darryl

    Anti Gov. Sarah Palin Rally???

    Yes, this was in Alask her home state..

    The Saturday protest in front of the Loussac Library appeared bigger than any Anchorage has seen in recent memory. The crowd looked to be in the high hundreds at least, and organizers said they counted 1,500. It included roughly 100 counter protesters supporting Palin.

    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  22. Republican Garbage

    I have never seen so much ignorance and disregard for the facts in my life.

    This country has serious issues. This is not American Idol. It is the VP of the U.S. and facts DO matter. Wake up, morons.

    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  23. Fair Play

    We finally have some hope for change.

    For 2 years we thought we were stuck with the candidate that Oprah and the media had picked for us and the DNC had installed as the nominee.

    We seethed over the vitriol shown the democratic party base- especially THE WOMEN OF THE PARTY- the lifeblood of the party.

    November is the vote we await with eager anticipation.

    September 14, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  24. Mary, Columbus, OH

    It's over for Obama. The Wal-Mart moms are taking him down. No matter what they say to pollsters, when they get in the quiet and privacy of the voting booth where no one can see what they are doing,
    they're punching the McCain/Palin ticket. And you all know why.

    September 14, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  25. Nick

    I agree, CNN is a good station, but come on, who actually thinks these polls are accurate? They need things to look interesting, that's their jobs to do so.

    I truly believe people have had enough of the Republican Party and will vote for Obama/Biden. McCain's campain is a laughing stalk, he looks like a fool running for President and the only people that back him are the people with the same closed minded opinions he has.

    Seriously, if ya'll elect McCain/Palin your country deserves what they have coming to them!

    Obama/Biden '08

    September 14, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
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