September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. jake

    Minnesota does NOT love Mccain!

    September 14, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  2. Carol

    If Americans even thinking of voting for McPalin is the correct thing to do for this country, you are so so sadly obviously don't have any common sense or grasp how high the stakes are in this election.
    The country is in really bad shape and who has been in charge of it for the past 8 years.....oh yes, the there's a change if you vote for MCPalin!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Mr Country First and the hockey mom are such an impressive team, what an example for the highest offices in the country......the rest of the world must be thrilled after they have gotten up off the floor from laughing!!!!!
    McPalin voters may dumb and not realize the gravity of the election, but the rest of the world aren't and know they need a decent, respectable, honest and responsible President and Vice President
    in charge of this country.
    OBAMA/BIDEN are those two men with REAL FAMILY VALUES!!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  3. gluvnast

    the convention was HELD in st. paul, of course there's going to be a bounce difference to obama leading in colorado when it WAS a mccain state

    it's just from the GOP convention bounce...nothing more nothing less

    September 14, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  4. The Nightingale Sings in Berkley Square

    Congrats to the great people of the Big Ten State of Minnesota. Hooray and we support you as well. We consider you Mid Westerners and as such Obama has insulted you and well as us. He called us bitter.

    I am not bitter but I don't like people who call me names and wish you would do the same.

    Well with all the money Obama keeps raking in, you would think that he would be so far ahead in the polls that the election would be over.

    Thankfully the thinking people in America are awake and recognize that Obambus is a windbag. He said he would give 95% of the Americans a tax cut. How is that possible when 40+% don't pay any taxes.

    Is he thinking about another welfare program to start a new cottage industry of welfare queens? That's what it looks like to me. That is not the change we want Mr. Barack.

    Obambus just doesn't like women either and he just can't help himself from dissing them. I am shocked any woman would vote for this ego manic. He referred to barnyard animals wearing lipstick. Wonder if he was thinking of his wife.

    And Obomubus keeps talking about lobbyists while his own vice presidential pick has a federal lobbyist for a son. Give me a break.

    In short, Obombus is risky and a gamble to our American way of life. Don't roll the dice with this guy.

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  5. No Country For Old Men

    Hey Palin: “thanks but no thanks” to you and McCain!
    Both Lie like a Rug.

    The Media is giving McCain a free ride.
    I ask you folks, who polled you?
    No one, I didn't I think so.
    The Media wants McCain to win.
    Media do your job and start reporting the truth!
    It seems like the Republicans got the Media Hostage!

    Obama & Biden '08

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  6. JL

    Let's hope we don't make the same mistake 3 times in a row. No way, no how, NO MCAIN-PALIN

    Women for Obama-Biden 08

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  7. Hypocrisy is the name of the game

    My money is on Obama and McCain will walk away with another defeat. The polls are fluctuating and rightly so, but come November 4th everyone who is sitting on the fence & young voters such as myself will have an opportunity to vote our conscience. Sometimes I'm not sure if Mccain is running for president or is it Palin .....hard to tell with all the news coverage. Obama offers a new direction while McCain is trying hard to distract Americans from real choice. Palin is brilliant in a sense because she reminds me of what is real important. Race will not be an issue for me but I know some people will make that a deciding factor for them .........and that is really sad.

    McCain is lying about key issues and would rather focus on "lipstick, pig" On the view he acts like a 5 year old "If Senator Obama who agree to town hall we wouldn't have this tone" GIVE ME A BREAK.......this is a 72 year old talking. Why don't he just say, I didn't get my way so I'm going to lie and smear the other guy to win? His campaign managers are on board and so is his supporters..........Don't talk about issues just talk about Obama and hope prejudice white Americans will vote against him..........SAD YEAR IN AMERICAN POLITICS.

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  8. Jinny Lee

    I cannot for the life of me comprehend how stupid some people are. How in the world can you vote for deceit? Your ignorance will affect me in the WAKE up .... and represent what this nation stands for.

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  9. Kathy

    Out of the battleground states Obama needs to win Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and it looks like Iowa is already his and so is New Hamphsire. It would be great if he could win Ohio, it would help a lot, and if he can't win that state, he'll need to win New Mexico and Colorado to have a chance to win this election.


    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  10. Zion

    Obama, stick with the issues. Right now you are seeing the base (Conservatives) energized. Stick with the issues.

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  11. Jane, Minneapolis

    Why is is that Sarah Palin has the highest approval rating of any Governor in the United States? 80%.

    Nuff said.

    Sarah Palin 12 & 16'

    September 14, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  12. temi

    America is about to make the same mistake again. Does this country know whats good for it? Where did voting for personality get America in 2000 & 2004? Sigh.

    September 14, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  13. Ashangulit

    If you want to compare and contrast then start of with:

    Obama Vs. McCain
    Bidden Vs. Palin


    Obama Vs. Palin

    .....AND my fellow Americans, please vote with your head instead of your emotion!!!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  14. American Airman

    Nah Nah Nah Nah, Nah Nah Nah Nah, Hey Hey, Goodbye!

    Ladies and Gentlemen, Obama has left this presidential race to return to the Senate. Please congratulate President Elect McCain and Vice President Elect Palin.

    As far as the questions of what has changed....the voters woke up and realized that Senator Obama may want change, but doesn't know how to make change happen. He may speak good when he has researched a speech, but his real world experience is not enough. He may have some great ideas, but has no way to pay for it, other than to tax all of us to death.

    The other thing to change? Obama's position, over and over and over again. The stand he took on issues to get his nomination is not the same stand now. This man is your typical politician who talks, and doesn't back it up.

    Buh Bye!

    Country First!

    September 14, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  15. liz

    Americans think. please put race/ gender apart. let vote for who will lead us out of this mess we are facing right now. McCain says country first but he went ahead to elect someone not qualify to be his VP (sorry Palin) Did anybody saw the ABC interview? even a high school student will do better.
    Obama may not be as experienced as McCain but over the years Obama has shown good judgment in various ways. he ran a good campaign, and above all he selected someone that is way more qualify than him to be his VP. He puts his country first. He could have selected Hillary to get her voters if he only cares about winning but NO! he wants to govern this country with someone very capable by his side.
    American think
    who do you want
    obama and BIDEN (yes BIDEN)
    McCAIN and who ?

    Two great heads are better than one.

    OBAMA/BIDEN (2008)... the logical choice (thanks jimi NY)

    September 14, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  16. Agnel Pereira

    Its a flavour of the week for McCain in polls, the bounce will erase within a week more. Most of the people in the world always say that Americans are more intelligent while come to voting but this elections looks like the opposite, even a temporary bounce to McCain is a crime for the Americans, where is his experience now, he is talking about change, staying for 26 years in senate and now he need to change America. Poor McCain pack up ur bags, Obama will win handily.

    September 14, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  17. carol kesling

    i trully hope that RACE is not playing a role in this campaign!!!! but it looks like people still will not vote for a black man!!!!! THATS REALLY IS SAD, but remember obama is also WHITE!!!! think about that concept.....

    September 14, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  18. nickv

    The problme is, like Bush most republicans don't read newspapers and only watch Fox. This wasy they don't see that Everyone else can see how many LIES the McCain camp is telling and Avoiding the Real issues. He won't escape for long. Soon he'll have to debate the issues and "rote" answers won't cut it.

    September 14, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  19. Gerrie

    If only the US had a king & queen we wouldn't be iso much in awe of "celebrity." The Republicans really pulled "one out of the hat." I have to give it to their team. It just shows how much people will do to keep power. No one gives it away, it has to be taken. To quote my mother, "sometimes you have to stoop to conquer" ... LISTEN UP DEMOCRATS!

    September 14, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  20. Ross in MD

    yea, maybe Joe Biden should've abandoned his wife and family for a $100 million heiress 30 years younger than him like John McCain did.

    I guess it was irresponsible of Joe Biden not to marry for money.

    September 14, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  21. The hype of hope

    A promising new trend.

    I hope the slick and sleazy Obama gets as good as he gave to HRC- a member of his OWN party.

    Intra-party vitriol is not a good path to unity. As the self-proclaimed uniter, Obama should have known that.

    Very poor judgment on his part to strategize a campaign of race-baiting and gender hating divisive tactics.

    It got him installed as nominee- but will it win him the election?

    September 14, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  22. Palin IS Scary

    Sounds like the Straight Talk Express has driven off the edge of the Bridge to Nowhere!

    Give me a Harvard grad over a beauty pageant contestant anyday.

    Oh, and by the way, ani – In case you don't read or recognize real issues (like many Palin supporters), this country is already in an unstable state. And in terms of Obama "not serving the country in any good way" - Apparently, you don't believe that serving as a United States Senator should count???

    September 14, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  23. Ann

    Obama is blowing it and he should have chosen Hillary as VP.

    September 14, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  24. Curliss

    Seems the Obama supportes are again showing thier mean and ugly side. I really hope Obama doesn't get in. After 20 years of going to a church where his pastor preached hate about american's and white folk ... I have had enough of this man and his supporters. Why would anyone vote for a man who for 20 years had hate built up inside him by his pastor ... and suddenly thinks he can be president. McCain is a true american in all respects. He has served his country well ... Obama hasn't.

    September 14, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  25. Mark

    Obama will only raise taxes on the wealthy, but he won't do it if the economy is weak bacause he doesn't want to strain the economy further. Obama himself has admitted that raising taxes on the wealthy is a poor economic plan.

    September 14, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
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