September 14th, 2008
01:09 PM ET
10 years ago

McCain gains ground in new poll of battleground state

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

New polls show a shift in one battleground race.

(CNN) — Barack Obama appears to be holding on to a significant edge in Iowa in new poll numbers released this weekend, but his advantage over John McCain in Minnesota, which hosted the Republican convention earlier this month, seems to have evaporated.

Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses in January, has 52 percent of the vote in that state to McCain’s 40 percent among likely voters in a Des Moines Register poll conducted September 8-10. A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted August 31-September 2, during the GOP convention, showed a 15-point advantage for Obama, 55 to 40 percent over McCain.

But in Minnesota, where McCain accepted the GOP nomination this month, Obama’s 12-point edge in the last CNN/Time/ORC survey – also conducted during the Republican convention - has disappeared in a new Star Tribune survey: that poll finds both men tied at 45 percent each among likely voters, with 10 percent unsure.

During the convention, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty said he thought his state "would be open to a candidate like Senator McCain" - but added that he believed "Democrats still have an advantage here."

Both surveys have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral breakdown

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys earlier this month also suggested tight races in four other battleground states: New Hampshire, Michigan, Virginia, and Missouri.

Those polls showed slim advantages for Obama in New Hampshire and Michigan, while McCain was narrowly on top in Virginia and Missouri.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Iowa • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (488 Responses)
  1. Lorenzo

    The Republicans showed for months how they lie and twist the truth. Palin has no idea what she's doing or even what a VP does in office. The world is watching. If you think we are not respected now, wait until you put the republican war mongers in office who thing that the only solution is to blow everything up. Remember McCains dry joke last year? Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran. Do you think they forgot that. And Palin who in her interview wants to attack Russia. Who are these people.

    Elect a Republican and watch the world turn its back on us. We do not get respect because we can spend billions and blow everything out the sky. We get respect by showing respect.

    This country makes me so sad.

    September 14, 2008 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  2. Liz

    Every time I read comments from Obama-Biden supporters scoffing at polls or attacking pollsters for their innacuiracy, the phrase "whistling past the graveyard" comes to mind. I pray that the polls are wrong, but I fear (and the fear is literal) that they are right. And Obama supporters shouldn't be so quick to blow them off.

    September 14, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  3. Sue in MI

    Evidently my brother is dumb enough. He lives in Texas, and is convinced that Obama is a Muslim. And this kid is college educated! Very, very scary to think that people are still being led by the lies and innuendos. I have tried very hard to find some good in Sarah Palin, but honestly, the woman and her arrogance and her lack of basic knowledge scares me more than Cheney.

    September 14, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  4. claude

    McCain and Palin has been traveling over the country using the same tired old lines over and over again.earmarks

    September 14, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  5. Anyi

    My follow Americans, Let us vote for mccain/palin and expect a miracle from God. No better plan for you but just vote for him!!!!! because he was captured in Vatinam. I supposed some went to that same war and came home safely.

    September 14, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  6. Swiftboater of HRC

    Obama tricked his way into the nomination- he pulled the race card at every turn, he manipulated the Hillary haters into a frenzied vitriolic fest, he used the media to promote himself, he rode a wave of popularity.

    Now we are looking for the substance of the man and find only a shrewd and willy dirty chicago style politician.

    The democrats never should have swiftboated their own best candidate to install the pretty half black charmer.

    September 14, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  7. Mark Ramsey MD Milwaukee WI

    I find it ironic that I was such a Hillary supporter and was so energized by the idea of a woman leading this country. 6 short months later Hillary is out of the race and there is a very real possibility that Palin will become the VP of the United States. I have taken a sabbatical from my job to volunteer full-time for the Obama campaign. Everyone in this country needs to look at the possible consequences of 4 more years of a republican president. Supreme court justice Breyer is 84 years old. If he is replaced by another Roberts or Alito it will set this country back decades. The first thing to go will be Roe v. Wade, but they won't stop there. Creationism taught in schools, a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage. Habeas corpus has already been suspended. What other parts of the constitution will they gut? We will end up with a religious state, no different from Iran or Saudi Arabia. WAKE UP PEOPLE!!! YOUR FREEDOM IS AT STAKE!!!

    September 14, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  8. KB102

    Wow, Ani.... you are seriously delusional. And to attack how Obama looks?? It's people like you that make the rest of us American's look like close-minded, shallow, bigoted rednecks - thanks a lot.

    September 14, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  9. Nadine

    The republicans are getting exactly what they wanted from Palin....A distraction. Everyone is focusing on her and not the fact that it will be McCain in the oval office. Before Palin, everyone saw McCain as the continuation of the Bush administration...or worse. Now the media has Obama campaigning against Palin and John McCain has fallen into the background. The republicans are betting on people voting for Palin and putting McCain in office by default.

    On campaign stops Palin draws the crowds and cheers – Not McCain.
    I heard one commentator say that McCain does not want to make appearances alone now because he cannot draw the crowd Palin can.
    Seriously people - are we going to get McCain as president because people don't have the sense to see whats going on here.

    I was/am a Clinton supporter – I am a 50 year old white female who will vote for Obama because even though he was not my first choice, I still have more confidence in Obama to do whats best for this country than any republican out there.
    I will not vote for McCain /Palin just to put a woman in office. I wanted the right woman...the right person.

    I want to believe that Obama will be our next president - but I remember the 2000 election.....and know that the worst can happen.
    Heaven help us.

    September 14, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  10. Susan

    Minnesota, if your want more of what Bush has done for this country, and you want to believe the sleaze and filth that is spewed by MCcain and Plain, the heaven help all of us. I do hope you know that your are being totally manipulated by the Retuglicans! Sounds like the samoe old thing is good enough for you. How sad!

    September 14, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  11. DV

    It is hard for Americans to keep up with the lies that McCain/Palin are issuing daily, and their stubborn decisions to repeat the same debunked lies day in and day out. The press has been lukewarm in exposing their misstatements from the bridge to nowhere, to Obama's tax policy, to Palin's Iraqi "experience", and even when the press does finally reveal a truth the McCain/Palin team has been concealing, they allow a tremendous amount of leeway in their coverage of these blatant and repeated lies.

    It shows that the press has lost all credibility, and may well chain us to another failed administration due to them giving equal time to lies as to truth in their attempt to be "balanced"

    This is not what the founders envisioned. This is not what countless brave Americans fought and died for.


    September 14, 2008 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  12. David in Indian Wells

    I made the call in 2000 after hearing Bush speak a couple of times that he was the wrong person for the job and refused to vote for him. Needless to say by 2004 it had been proven, at least to people in this country who had enough sense to vote based on reality, not fantasy land.

    I guarantee you, 4 more years of ‘trickle down economics’, giving the wealthy in this country huge tax cuts which are paid for by putting more debt on the giant credit card Bush/Cheney/McBush/Palin have used, will lead to an economic disaster which will make 1929 look like an economic boom. This comment is based on facts, not personalities.

    September 14, 2008 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  13. Don Truitt

    The retro-liberals are flummoxed and accuse all who disagree with being fools and suckers. That sure does help bring in votes for Barack bin Biden. Great strategy, folks!

    September 14, 2008 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  14. Sammy

    Unfortunately it probably just shows that negative ads have their effect on people. The last couple by McCain were really bad and I am sure those that base their opinions solely by watching ads probably think Obama is a pedophile among other things.

    Hey if Karl Rove can come out and say the McCain ads went too far then perhaps the campaign should step back a bit and think things through.

    September 14, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  15. White and Black support for Obama

    If Mccain going to tell lies to win, how is he going to address issues tuthfully?
    I can't admit on the view that his campaign is lying about Obama children ad and He Mccain at the end said i approve this message.

    Mccain can't tell lies and call himself maverick.
    Or is that how to be marverick to lies, or smear, destort Obama recond to win an elction?

    I thought he said he is putting American first, why is Mccain putting America first when he lies against his compatriot?

    September 14, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  16. davit

    Not to worry. Polls fluctuate and we are right on the heels of the Republican convention, where a bounce was anticipated. Palin didn't do too well in her interview this past week, and she is only going to keep on giving Obama gift after gift as more about her comes out,, never mind when it comes time to debate.

    The Electoral College is what counts, and things continue to look good.

    September 14, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  17. Phantom of the Oprah

    Who cares about Obama?

    He had MORE than his 15 minutes of fame.

    He never merited the adulation and adoration he was shown.

    He was a figment of Oprah's imagination.

    September 14, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  18. Obama 08

    How can a 12 point lead evaporate into a tie? They're probably polling in rural areas, not the St. Paul-Minneapolis areas.

    September 14, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  19. Mike

    The Minnesota folk can be a bit more odd than the average Mallard.
    Remember the professional Wrestler / Governor ? But when push come to shove, Minnesota will reject four more years of war and economic recession. They are odd but not stupid.

    September 14, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  20. Janel, St. Paul, MN

    Don't worry about Minnesota! Obama has LOTS and LOTS of wise voters in our state who decide based upon the issues, not on the garbage McCain offers.

    September 14, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  21. gluvnast

    @ kathy...

    chuck todd on meet the press is saying that all the swing states out west could be a lock for obama, that palin had NO effect over there.

    so it's basically like you said, states like michigan & ohio...i think obama is going to pull PA and i think the minnesota is only a tie because of the bounce from the GOP WAS at st. paul, BTW

    September 14, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  22. Ellie in Aurora, CO

    Jane in Minneapolis – Palin's approval rating is down below 70% now, and the only reason it is that high is because Alaska is the reddest state in the union. If it were purple, her rating would be well under 50%.

    Obama – for a strong USA!!

    September 14, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  23. McCain=the draft

    McCain is a liar.
    Palin is a liar.
    We don't need MORE liars in the White House!

    September 14, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  24. Xavier

    How hard can it be to have 80 % approval when some over crowded high schools h(due to the republican joke called No CHild Left Behind) have a hogher population then her state.

    Nff Said

    12 and 16? Dont think she will win in 08? Are you praying for McCain to die before 2012? Palin will end up in the same category as New Kids on the Block and Vanilla Ice. Yes, they were cool at the time, but once you grow up you end up asking yourself how you could have been so stupid? What were you thinking?

    September 14, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  25. ba

    I don't think American 're really seriously about the direction that bush administration has taken this country to.Please we want change to build anything damaged by war of Iraq.Lean your eye to iran,Russian and North Korea.

    September 14, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
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