September 15th, 2008
12:45 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Electoral Map: Minnesota now a toss-up

CNN now considers Minnesota a tossup state.
CNN now considers Minnesota a tossup state.

(CNN) - As evidence of a tightening presidential race mounts, CNN is altering its Electoral Map, shifting Minnesota and its ten electoral votes from leaning towards Barack Obama to a toss up state.

With the shift of Minnesota, CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 233 electoral votes and John McCain 189. There are 116 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

A CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted two weeks ago had Obama up 12 points over McCain in Minnesota. But a Minneapolis-St.Paul Star Tribune poll released Sunday suggests the race is tied, with each candidate getting the support of 45 percent of Minnesota voters questioned in the survey. The poll was conducted entirely after the end of the Republican National Convention, which was held in St. Paul, Minnesota.

"Events are moving so quickly in the presidential race that polls taken before the Republican convention probably aren't accurate reflections of what is going on in swing states today," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "The pace of the campaign means that we may see more shifts, in either direction, in states like Minnesota."

The CNN Electoral Map takes into account a number of factors, including the most recent state polls, voting trends, and campaign ad spending and events in the particular states.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (186 Responses)
  1. John McPain

    YES!!! We get to keep the Larry Craig bathroom!!!!!

    September 15, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  2. Linda

    I can't believe Minnesota has been happy with Bush the last 8 years and wants more of it for 4 more years. McCain just said this morning our economy is pretty good! What part doesn't he get? Everything has gone to heck in this country. We need change now.
    VOTE OBAMA/BIDEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 15, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  3. Kurt in PA

    CNN:

    You're making a huge mistake. How about posting that Obama has broken 50 in Virginia?

    September 15, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  4. Joe, Hell MI

    Uh oh! With CNNs skew of its 'polls', this is bad for BO. This is looking bad bad bad.

    September 15, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  5. Rick

    Somebody throw Obama a lifejacket....his ship is sinking fast. Oh wait, I forgot....he can walk on water.

    September 15, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  6. mitch

    CNN, why haven't you done a story on Obama LYING about the way in which he voted and why concerning partial birth abortions? The WHOLE story from him calling the right to life people liars and then turning around the next day and admitting to lying? This man is a liar in every way shape and form! He throws a tantrum and blames other people everytime something is said or questioned of him. How can you possibly turn a blind eye to this? Everyone knows that you are backing Obama but this is news worthy and people deserve to see this man call others liars when it was he himself who lied and still does! CNN, YOU ARE NOT THE MOST TRUSTED NAME IN NEWS!!

    September 15, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  7. JD

    Minnesota is a blue state. I should know, it's where I'm from.

    OBAMA 08.

    September 15, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  8. Janet, American via Canada

    Educated voters can tell what is really happening on this campaign.

    The GOP has taken it to such a low level on ADS it doesn't surprise us that the WAKE CALL IN AMERICA has been Loud and Clear.

    No Third Term McBush and PalCheney!

    Senator Obama and Senator Biden must stick to the Issues and Please stay on Track with All the Important Issues we want to resolve!

    We The PEOPLE IN UNITY!

    September 15, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  9. Larry

    Every time I look at cnn it has the lying evil bastards "Palin the Alien" And "John demented rage Mc-insane" with there lying stories about change. "The wealthy can believe in" and almost nothing about Obama ,Biden, and the true issues they want to truthfully let America decide who is actually "Honest". The wealthy Lobbyist that finance Mc-insane ...or average people that donate there hard earned money to Obama...This is not rocket science...What is CNN Afraid of...???

    September 15, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  10. Obama, my sweet lord, halleluja, krishna krishna

    Can you say "Mondale landslide?"

    September 15, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  11. Marie

    The way this election campaign has been covered by CNN, I can't imagine anyone having real confidence in this networks poll reporting. CNN is an anyone but Obama shill. Even the poll guy Bill S. (BS) is a pundit. This election to CNN is treated as a money making game show. They could care less about the importance of this election to the regular citizen. Why should they? They are all comfy in there $m+ pundit salaries/fees to throw spears at the candidate that doesn't conform to their employers agenda. CNN"Most Trusted Name In News". Now that's funny.

    September 15, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  12. Stupid is as stupid does!

    You know what Minnesota and all you other states that vote McCain as president. I hope that if he wins, you all will be the first that watch your jobs get outsourced to other countries. Anyone letting this lying, war mongering old fool into the White House deserves to lose their house, their job and when McCain launches war against Russia, their lives.

    September 15, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  13. Dameun Strange

    This has sampling error written all over it...

    September 15, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  14. Randy Smythe

    The map is going to be changing color almost daily until the debates, then it should start to solidify.

    September 15, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  15. This is Sad

    If we as americans believe all of this crap the Repub candidate and his puppy is feeding us...and we vote for them again...then we will get just what we deserve!

    Do expect a different outcome if you keep doing the same thing!

    September 15, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  16. TVC

    AMERICA IS GETTING DUMBER!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    NEWS FLASH!!!!!!

    I fact that McCain is actually convincing people he and the republicans are right. [Head shakes]

    America is truly doomed!!!!

    Bank on it!!!

    September 15, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  17. Go Sarah!

    One after the other, keep falling into McCain/Palins lap :)

    Government bail-outs, record government spending. Democratic controlled Congress (18% approval rating) holds the purse strings of our country, and have for the past two years. Who's to blame for the country's problems?

    September 15, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  18. Illinois Blue Dog

    Don't fret too much Dems. Minnesota is close now, but once the Palin bounce fades, it will be leaning Obama again. What I find interesting is the new Survey USA poll out from Virgina that has Obama ahead 50-46, which is a turn around from last week when the same poll had McCain up 49-47. A true purple state if there ever was one. Has the RNC and Palin bounce faded? If Obama wins Iowa (as expected) and takes Colorado and Virginia, its over. I believe the Lehman Brothers news spells trouble for McCain as it will focus this race back where it belongs; on the economy and "issues" in general as opposed to personalities and the biographies of the candidates. I'm also curious to see what happens to the Ohio poll numbers at the end of the week/beginning of next week once the Lehman Brosthers/Merrill Lynch/A.I.G. news sinks in with the voters of this economically down-trodden state.

    September 15, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  19. Tachea

    Is it just me, or is something wrong with McCain I don't think anyone but him in America thinks this economy is strong, and if it's strong to him does that mean he's not going to try to strengthen it. This man scares me, and i seriously wish he stops trying to sound like Obama, and I why would Obama want to hold a town hall meeting with a man this out of touch with reality.

    September 15, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  20. Herman In LA

    McCain / Palin

    "Change and Reform We Can't Believe In"

    September 15, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  21. Larry

    WE need to have a true democracy
    popular vote ...the Reps would hate this as they would lose all control of the system cause it would be a landslide like never seen before in history about 75 % for Obama..this is just the truth do the math yourself.Facts are facts...

    September 15, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  22. Long time Democrat for McCain

    LOL @ Rick. Good to see McCain is gaining ground in seveal states. I don't think this'll be close come Nov 4. McCain has all the momentum.

    September 15, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  23. Nobama

    McCain is old : do not vote for him.

    McCain does not know to operate computer : do not Vote for him.

    What else do you have in your pockect Mr Obama ? Count your money, donate to Hillary.

    September 15, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  24. Thomas

    "The CNN Electoral Map takes into account a number of factors, including the most recent state polls, voting trends, and campaign ad spending and events in the particular states."

    In other words, it is a guess.

    I would not put too much faith in these polls or the electoral map. They are all just guesses.

    September 15, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  25. Jeff Brown

    Pawlenty is a clown... just another GOP shill!

    September 15, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
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