September 15th, 2008
05:50 PM ET
10 years ago

CNN POLL OF POLLS: McCain's convention bounce gone

McCain is dead even with Obama in CNN's poll of polls.

McCain is dead even with Obama in CNN's poll of polls.

(CNN) - The bounce John McCain received in national opinion polls following his party's convention and the selection of Sarah Palin to the GOP presidential ticket appears to have evaporated, a new CNN poll of polls suggests.

In the latest CNN survey of several recent national polls, Obama and McCain are locked in a dead heat at 45 percent each with 10 percent who remain undecided with 50 days remaining until Election Day.

“When we average the latest national polls, it is increasingly clear that neither candidate has any serious momentum at the moment,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “The convention bounces have faded and left us with a dead heat. Even though we are now in the final stretch of this historic marathon campaign for the presidency, the White House is still genuinely up for grabs.”

CNN's latest poll of polls consists of three recent surveys: Newsweek (September 10-11), Gallup (September 12-14), and Diageo/Hotline (September 12-14). It does not have a sampling error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (289 Responses)
  1. The Makeup is beginning to wear off the pitbull

    “If you think those lobbyists are working day and night for John McCain just to put themselves out of business, well I’ve got a bridge to sell you up in Alaska.” Love the way Obama said that! Bounce GONE, people are finally starting to see that you can dress up that pitbull and still it's a pitbull.

    September 15, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  2. GOP No more

    I'm afraid and ashamed to call myself a former GOP voter. What was i thinking voting for BUSH. I sure wont be making the same mistake again with McCain. Its Democrat all the way for me now.
    DOW tanks 500 points, Lehman bros. a company that been arround for years files bankrupcy, Merryl Lynch is been bought can you imagaine, Homes arround me are been foreclosed on, We are spending Billions in Iraq on a war that should not have been fought in the first place. The American Dream is all but evaporated like John McCains post convention bounce.
    On a serious note, We are on the verge of an economic collapse i know this because as an investor i've been pulling money out of this economy and there are lots of people like me, who have lost confidence in this administrations handling of the Economy. I made a sizable fortune under Bill Clinton.
    I sure hope Barrack Obama can bring back the Clinton prosperous years. Thats why im GOP No more and now and OBAMACAN.
    Vote for Peace and prosperity , Vote for OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    September 15, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  3. Timber (ex dem)

    Hmmm............I see that McCain has a two point lead with Gallup and a three point lead with Rasmussen. Why do you keep changing the polls you include in your "Poll of polls"? It would not be to help Obama would it??! Gallup reports that McCains lead is real as it has been sustained for a number of days and independents are swinging his way. Can't you try to just report news without being biased? Report the facts and don't change things around to help one candidate or the other. You never used the Diageo/Hotline poll before!! I never heard of it.

    September 15, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  4. Jim in NY

    I cannot believe my fellow citizens, after eight years the news keeps on getting worse and some still think that McBush 90% and Economic/World genius Palin are the right team for the job.
    Get me out of here. Canada sounds like a good bet right about now. But before I head for the border though I will vote for common sense and the smart guy!

    Obama/Biden in 08!
    Why does every nation in the UN think Barack Obama is the better choice and yet the Americans are still on the fence?!?!?

    September 15, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  5. the Economy_is _strong

    The only bounce was the one given by CNN and other MSM after all the whining by the GOP ! Its sad when the real questions are asked by the 'View' host.

    September 15, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  6. Lee-- Dallas, TX

    Calling the spin-doctor, calling the spin-doctor–do you copy, over...

    McCain you are so foolish. US economic fundamentals are not 'strong'. Where have you been for the past year? Oh– In one of your seven-ten houses; depending on what the definition of house is. You sir are a moronic, incompetent republican puppet, a dwindling shadow of your former self.

    You say the fundamentals are the American worker's– we'll jobs are being lost and sent overseas thanks to you. Good lookin out for the fundamentals.

    September 15, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  7. sara, az

    A couple of years ago I directed a survey research center for a large university and I can unequivocally state that polls are only as good as your sample. And, apparently, some of the recent polls have actually OVER sampled Republicans - ie., more Republicans were contacted than represent the population.

    Plus, samples are based on a LOT of criteria which are totally dependent upon the investigator's approach - for example, you can use a totally random sample (randomly dialing numbers) or you can stratify a sample which pulls a certain number from certain demographic groups.

    If you don't know the methodology, it's really hard to have any confidence in the validity of the results - frankly, I don't believe most of these polls. Are they using telephone lists of registered voters? What about all of those Republicans who registered as Democrats to vote in the Democrat primaries? Are they counted as Rs or Ds? Are the questions leading? Do they skip patterns make sense? Are the items ordered appropriately?

    btw, I signed up to take Zogby polls online and they have been the most poorly constructed surveys I've ever seen - they would NEVER have gone out my door !

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  8. Ruby, Kansas

    CNN says the polls are a snapshot in time. Well snap this.......

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  9. John

    His bounce is not gone. He has been consistently been a couple of points behind, so clearly, he has bounced from the convention.

    McCain-Palin 2008

    Action not Talk

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  10. pat

    Undecided? Please as soon as McCain picked Palin I was in the group of Clinton Democrats that knew exactly who I was voting for – McCain and Palin. The sexist and status quo team of Mr. O or BO as his cult calls him and his sidekick, Joey B can go back to the Oprah show. Sayonara BO.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  11. ????????

    Now that's over with lets get to the issues.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  12. Joe - Chicago, IL

    Guess this is the result of people finally calling McCain's camp on their campaign style and Obama launching counter attacks.

    Can't wait to see what the poll numbers say after today's market woes with Sen. McCain's response to them.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  13. Bill in NYC

    Even the most deluded McCain supporters have to be harboring a sense of dread at this news. Even with the heavily favorable All Palin All The Time news cycle of the past 2 weeks the best McCain could do was to go up on Obama by 2 lousy points long enough for a cup of coffee. The bloom is coming off of this rose quickly and Obama will be back up by the end of the week. And after the debate? It's just going to get ugly for the GOP.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  14. Shane

    Do these polls reflect cell phone users? If not, then Obama should be leading in my estimation.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  15. Duncan



    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  16. ProudDemocrat

    Democrats we do not believe in Polls all we know is we are going to win this year election by land slide, Polls are designed to make voters think the republicans are doing good this year which we all know they are not Mccain wants to continue Bush's policy who in the right mind is going to vote for that?. Only the rich and the lobbiest.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  17. Rob B.

    I've said it from the time McCain got that bounce. He's peaked. Its over. His numbers will continue to crumble The economy is tanking and he can't do anything about it. People its real simple. Its time to rid our selves of the the GOP so we can repair this country.

    September 15, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  18. Ryan

    As I remember before the convention McCain was down by like 8 points so it would still be up from before the convention meaning it is not all but gone.

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  19. johnosahon


    by friday, Obama will be 5 points ahead, with those two LIARS on top of the republican tickets, who wouldn't be?

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  20. Ian

    Obama/McCain '08 – What's the difference?

    Vote third party this year!

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  21. johnny


    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  22. Mario

    Three words for McCain: Out of touch!

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  23. gopjay

    Keep on thinking that Barackstar (I can read a teleprompter) Obama and Senator Bloviating Joe Windbag will cream McCain and Palin in the debates... it will only increase the SHOCK value to the media when they don't!

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  24. inuk of the north

    What an amazing surprise and turnaround from a few weeks and a few months ago.

    Obama The Anointed One, was so far ahead of everyone when the Dems wrapped up the selection process that he made the most tragic mistake of his political life.

    Bursting with arrogance, he decided he didn't need any Clinton help to win a slam-dunk,cakewalk presidential election. He expected to walk backwards across the goal line.

    Now here we are in a dead heat. This race could be decided by a handful of votes – let alone the millions of votes that would've come with Clinton. Talk about lousy judgement.

    nbelievably, we have the political trail of Obama now leading to the front door of Bill Clinton, begging him for help.

    Good strategy Barack, but wrong Clinton.

    Dipstick Biden is no match for Lipstick Palin.

    Obama should get Joe to fake a heart attack and get Hillary in there as fast as possible.

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  25. will

    There is nothing like a good fight. Just keep up the Jab Barack and look out for the opening and when it come knock that old fool Out!

    Obama/Biden 2008

    September 15, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
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