September 15th, 2008
09:50 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll of polls: Dead heat in Ohio battleground

McCain and Obama are tied in Ohio.

McCain and Obama are tied in Ohio.

(CNN) - It all came down to Ohio in the last presidential election. 2008 could be a sequel.

A new CNN poll of polls of the latest surveys in Ohio suggest the race for the state and its crucial 20 electoral votes is a dead heat.

Republican presidential nominee John McCain is the choice of 46 percent of Ohio likely voters, one point ahead of Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama, according to the poll compiled Monday morning. Nine percent of those questioned are undecided.

The CNN poll of polls is an average of the most recent surveys in Ohio, using a Suffolk University poll conducted Sept. 10-13, a University of Cincinnati survey taken Sept. 5-10, and a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Sept. 5-9. All three surveys were taken after the completion of both party's political conventions.

Both campaigns are spending a lot of time and money campaigning in the Buckeye state. George W. Bush's victory in Ohio in 2004 clinched his re-election as president.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (198 Responses)
  1. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    How many people were polled? How were the questions phrased? Were other third parties included if they are on the state ballot? I mean if Bob Barr and Ralph Nader were some of the choices, that could have changed the results. This will change after some of the debates.

    September 15, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  2. mike

    There is no way that people in Michigan will vote Obama over McCain. Sure we have some blacks, but the majority is white and they will vote for McCain.

    September 15, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  3. David, Silver Spring, MD

    The Palin bounce is faltering. More and more news reports are coming out about the lies she told during her convention speech and on the trail since then. Her "In what respect, Charlie?" response to the Bush Doctrine question was scarily bad. And now, word that she had the state of Alaska pay for a tanning bed for her.

    Between the false image being painted by the McCain camp, the horrendous news about Merrill Lynch, Fannie Mae, etc., and the promise of hope and sound judgment from Obama; those polls will be moving in the proper direction soon enough.

    September 15, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  4. John

    mccain and palin are the biggest joke in the history of american elections, I have never seen such liars and distortions of truth since thelast rovian election by dubya and lord chenader. The GOP are scared because they know the real change is coming and soon they know they are going to be out of power. Yes we the people have made up our minds we are sitting back and waiting until 11/4, then you will see like the primaries the largest number of democrats in history come out and rip power away from the GOP and give it to Obama and Biden, where the power belongs with us. Where we can help the people. Get out your check books GOP ers its payback time. The middle clas is rising up and demanding that we the people are heard. Obama/ Biden, and Clinton will be there and alot of other brilliant democrats this is our time lets take back our country...

    September 15, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  5. bob

    McCain more of the same Bush policys. Oicked a vice pres. that knows absolutely nothing. mccain enjoys young women. where or what happened to his first wife? No mention of her leads me to believe he is a womanizer.

    September 15, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  6. Will-South Dakota

    Can you hear the sucking sound of jobs leaving America under McCain.!

    September 15, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  7. Pitbull without lipstick

    100,000 women wrote emails to protest against the backward policies for women that Palin had put into place for Rape victims, for pregnant teens.

    1500 Alaskan women marched in protest against Palin.

    CNN, you haven't been covering Obama/Biden at all since Palin. We WANT ISSUES AND POLICY MAKING DECISIONS not news about Palin's stump speech she has been giving in every town/city/ suburb. This has been distracting Americans from the issues of which she knows nothing of.

    September 15, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  8. brad

    Glad I don't live in OH anymore. Gotten way too conservative.

    September 15, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  9. Ernie Banks

    CNN shows its bias here. is an unbiased poll tracking site. Averaging the 5 most recent polls, McCain has a small, but significant lead of 2.2%. That's a wider margin than either the 2000 or 2004 elections in Ohio.

    Nevada is a closer race. McCain is only up by an average of 1% in an average of the 5 most recent polls in Nevada.

    September 15, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  10. carol

    Well, it's about time he spoke about something of substance isn't it......but wait a minute though.....isn't the economy strong and hasn't
    John McCain and Co been in power the last 8 years!!!!!!!!
    Come on people, you need smart, intelligent people to get this country back on track.......we don't need liars who will say anything to get your vote.
    McPalin will be a REALLY REALLY bad choice for 08 if you want to put this COUNTRY FIRST!!!!!
    The P.O.W. although very admirable and the THANKS BUT NO THANKS is really wearing very very thin and peope are just sick of it.
    This country deserves a lot better than that, Senator Obama and Senator Biden are those two smart, intelligent people that we need.

    September 15, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  11. Terry, Dallas Texas

    I hate to tell all the Obama haters this but this is worse news for McCain since he has been LEADING Ohio for a while now. Obama currently does not need Ohio since he has flipped Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado for the moment. If Obama does somehow manage to win Ohio or Virginia then this thing is over right then.

    September 15, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |

    These polls are crap and are scientifically skewed, they factor in an estimate of cell phone users without calling them, this type of secondary research is elementary/// HOW ABOUT A POLL ON THE PAGE THAT ASKS... HOW MANY FOR MCCAIN/PALIN AND HOW MANY FOR OBAMA/BIDEN.............


    POST THIS CNN............

    September 15, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  13. Jill American

    Obama had electability problems from the beginning but everyone was blinded by the light. Then he threw out his playbook when he picked Biden. Well, McCain found it, picked Palin and is now beating Obama at his own game.

    Be afraid .. be very afraid.

    September 15, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  14. Truth be Told

    Let the truth be told. From what I see in this election, this race is not about issues, the polls are daily convincing me that the majority of white Americans can not truthfully deal with the fact or potential of an African -American been elected as the president of the USA.

    If the converse were true, the race should not even be close not to talk of MCBush leading in the new polls. It is unfortunate that people see this fact and are not willing to talk about it or confront it.

    I am conservative by choice but I have found out that the Republican party is really fll of hypocrites who do not measure themselves with the same rules and morals they measure others with.

    If Obama loses in November, it's okay but unfortunately, it only confirms that vast majority of Americans are not bold enough to face change that will be lead by a Non White in the the White House.

    I live in Florida, and it is sad to note that some people still take pride in displaying the Confederate Flag righ close on a Major Highway
    (I-75). We all know what that flag symbolizes.

    I continue to pray for this country.

    September 15, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  15. Quinn - Houston, Texas

    Too many paid GOP posters on this board.

    Anyone who has lived in America for the past 8 years would NOT be in favor of 4 more of them.

    Need a good laugh?
    McCain actually has an ad that blames Barack Obama for high gas prices. Straight talk right? What a jerk McCain has become.

    Obama / Biden 08!

    September 15, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  16. Donkey Party

    Fear not, fellow smart citizens and true patriots, the groundswell of youth support for Obama who don't have land-lines to partake in biased polls will make their mark come election time. The McCain campaign could only wish they could lie about the same statement. Obama will defeat McCain and the Matron Saint of Lipstick handily.

    September 15, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  17. Al, NY NY

    to all you McCain supporters out there. I thought polls right now didn't matter?? If it was a 10 point margin for Obama, you'd say "it's only the day in November when this counts" So why the change? Because your Duh-bya lackey and his lipstick chihuahua are even? In 2000 I would not have had a problem with McCain. Now he's merely a puppet of the religious zelaots that run the GOP and the fact that he picked the smarmy, snide hockey bimbo is further testament that he is (as well as most other Repukelicans" enslaved to the bible thumpers and their minions

    September 15, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  18. Marie J. Carson City

    Speaking of bold-face liars, who remembers the shame Clinton brought us! What an a++.

    At least McCain HAS crossed the aisles and DOES promise to include Dems in the cabinet – something BO has never even hinted at. That is the most important issue, who will get things done instead of just block each others votes? Nobama was too busy voting "present" and writing his books – WAY out of touch elitist.

    September 15, 2008 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  19. Tired of W, OH

    Ohio, it's time to redeem yourself! My state was stupid enough to go to Dubya twice (not with the help of my vote – my hands are clean). Unfortunately, there are a lot of rural, "value" voters here, but hopefully the huge number of job losses that have happened here will be enough to wake up Ohians.

    McCain had a hand in robbing Ohio of its jobs when he pressed hard for foreign-owned DHL to take over an American company. Now, DHL is closing the Ohio location and costing Ohio thousands of jobs. Look for more of the same if McSame is elected.

    September 15, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  20. BHO: Ignorance is Bliss

    Im from Columbus Ohio... I live in the liberal part of town... we just had a wind storm... most the Obama signs are gone... I just put up a brand new John Mccain sign... suck it libs...

    September 15, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  21. Timber (ex dem)

    Go McCain!! Beat that corrupt DNC!

    September 15, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  22. Michael

    Read the truth coming out from other POWs. McCain is unstable.
    He needs to release his medical records NOW!

    Sign the petition at:the

    September 15, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  23. johnny d

    We will not see Michelle Proud America and Hussein in the White House. God Bless America.

    September 15, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  24. Credit Card Republicans

    Folks in Ohio "just dont get it".If they keep voting for Republicans they will stand in bread lines,maybe then they will smell the coffee down the street.

    September 15, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  25. Jean yves toronto canada

    HI , YOU KNOW the time is ready really ready for the real change and we have enough with the republicain this is the reason we need to put democrat in the power .

    September 15, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
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