September 22nd, 2008
02:10 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN POLL OF POLLS: Obama ahead in crucial battlegrounds

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.
Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - Barack Obama holds leads in critical battleground states of Iowa and Pennsylvania with only six weeks remaining until Election Day, according to just released CNN poll of polls.

New surveys also released Monday suggest Obama and John McCain are locked in statistical ties in two other crucial swing states.

According to CNN's Iowa poll of polls, Obama holds a 7-point lead (50-43 percent) in the state that narrowly voted for President Bush in 2004 and gave a major boost to Obama's presidential fortunes earlier this year at the start of the primary season.

A poll of polls out of Pennsylvania shows the race there considerably tighter, with the Illinois senator - who lost handily to Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary there - holding a slim 3 point lead over McCain (47-44 percent).

Both the Iowa and Pennsylvania poll of polls consist of three recent surveys out of both states, and neither carries a margin of error.

In Minnesota, the site of the Republican convention earlier this month, a new American Research Group poll suggests the race there has tightened considerably, with Obama holding a 1-point lead (46-45 percent) that is well within the survey's 4 percent sampling error.

A new Suffolk University poll out of Nevada also suggests the race there is a dead heat, with McCain holding a 1-point lead (48-47 percent) that is again well within the poll's sampling error.

CNN considers both Iowa and Pennsylvania as "leaning Obama" in its electoral map breakdown ,while Minnesota and Nevada are considered tossup states.

soundoff (171 Responses)
  1. mark

    how is this news...Obama has been ahead in these states the past four months...what about ohio, florida, and colorado those states will decide election.

    September 22, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  2. Susan

    Keep the awakening going America! Barack Obama is the leader for the future! John McCain is a recycled George Bush and McCain continues to lie to the American people!

    September 22, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  3. Linda from Minnesota

    I'm from Minnesota and there isn't anyone I know voting for McCain. these polls are wrong.

    September 22, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  4. Scott Tucson

    The change the Obama fans will believe in, is how they wish they could change their votes if Obama does win the White House and they see their taxes go up. Just how do you think he plans on paying for his health care plan for anyone whose in this country.. legal and illegals?

    September 22, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  5. strong

    Polls, polls, polls. Bah.

    The only poll that counts will be on Nov 4.

    September 22, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  6. Walter

    A NY Times article about cell phone use by those under 34 confirmed my criticism of polls which are conducted via land line. The polls fail to include the wired college and college-educated generation who are Obama's mainstay. I would add another 2-3 points for him in the polls in every state, tipping the scales in key areas.

    September 22, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  7. nathan

    Eight years of unpopular republican rule of cronyism, deceit, lies, and corruption the republican voters have not learned the lesson If they want the same of everything of Bush policy including sending their loved ones in harms way to the illegal Iraq war, let them have it.
    Support Obama/Biden 08

    September 22, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  8. Chase

    It's all well and good that early voters have cast their votes, but what about the majority of the voters that vote on election day? Our "good" Republican Governor for the state of Florida has made it official now–yup, it law. If your Drivers License Address does not match the Address on your Voters Registration Card, You will NOT be Permitted to Vote. What? It looks like they're trying to screw up the thousands of college students that are away, new residents that have recently moved to our state, and people who are oblivious to this fact. My mother was registered in 2004, and now she's received new registration papers. These states are crucial, and I have not heard anything mentioned on our local news stations about this new law. I hope that everyone who wants to vote this election year will have a chance to do so. We don't need excuses like, we didn't have enough volunteers, or the lines were too long. We need to plan accordingly in every state so that everyone can have a chance to become a part of history.

    September 22, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  9. bearhunter

    Is it just me, or has the Republican campaign degenerated into blatantly trying to project their own worst flaws onto their opponent, while at the same time trying to claim their opponent's positive messages for themselves? These "I-know-you-are-but-what-am-I?" playground politics are quickly reaching the point of absurdity. I'm still trying to decide if the Republican campaign strategy is pathetically childish or absolutely brilliant, as it appears to be quite effective on almost half of our population. In addition to having a minimum age limit for voting in this country, I think we should institute a minimum intelligence limit for voting as well – preferably somewhere above the "playground" comprehension level.

    September 22, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  10. Maureen / Calif.

    For those who claim that Obama has no credentials, and never discusses ideas and solutions for America's problems – Well either you just are not listening to him or you do not have the mental capacity to comprehend what he is saying.

    September 22, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  11. ednadavid

    It seems to me that the American people see that this is not about personality but the issues at hand – we are voting in the entire democratic party – not one man or one race or one religion – this is a make or break election for our country the democratic party led by Barack Obama, Joe Biden, and all the others will have to pull us out of this mess we have found ourselves in. So let's keep HOPE up!!

    September 22, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  12. Ricky - Latino for Obama

    Actually Obama does have an economic plan. One of which includes investing in renewable energy which can bring 10 million new jobs to the U.S. You need to look no further than the Gameda Wind Turbine Plant in Fairless Hills, PA outside of Philly. Hundreds of new jobs, alternative energy, and clean.

    I think a lot of Republicans like to speak without thinking. Either that or instead of researching on their own they want Rush Limbaugh or Fox News to tell them.

    I say a lot because while the majority, not all of them are this simple minded and there are a few who have looked up the issues and realized that Obama is the right candidate.

    Obama/Biden '08

    September 22, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  13. Jason

    Hey Enomisa,

    Obama has done nothing but spell out his economic plan over and over and over. McCain however, has basically said he will not give any details of his until after the election.

    September 22, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  14. donarandona

    Honestly, can Obama address a crowd without his Telepromter? Its always Teleprompter left....Teleprompter right. Always....

    September 22, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  15. Kevin

    Obama will rewrite the electoral map and win this thing in a landslide.

    September 22, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  16. Jim

    The current economic crisis favors Obama's election, even if some voters feel uncomfortable with his name, mixed-race identity, family story, African-American wife, Chicago background, etc.

    Why? Some reasons include: 1) McCain admits he knows little about economics (and it shows, Palin too is ignorant of the subject); 2) McCain has consistently opposed regulation of industries; 3) McCain has been in Congress for 26 years and is identified with failed Buch/Cheney policies; 4) McCain closest advisor Phil Gramm authored the loosening of regulations that produced the current mess!

    One car, one house, one spouse! No third term for Bush/Cheney/McCain/Palin and Gramm!

    September 22, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  17. Jeff Brown

    Ever notice that when the results of any Fox "News" polls are factored in, the race is very close? Without that "unbiased" poll, Obama is far ahead!

    September 22, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  18. Phil

    What puzzles me most is the number of undecided and swinging voters. How could any rational person be uncertain between candidates whose positions in every major issue is so different. That goes to show how millions of people vote based on personalities.

    September 22, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  19. lovinsun8

    Because he has SOLUTIONS, not just blame for the other guy.

    September 22, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  20. e.j.mohammed

    Don't forget the Northwest millions are cheering Obama here! CNN please put Michigan and Wisconsin into the leaning Obama they've been leaning his way for along time!
    Northwest for change we can trust Obama/Biden

    September 22, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  21. Huffington

    Well ... with CNN's top four stories BASHING McCain and Palin ... do we believe ANY POLL that you conduct?

    Obama offers NOTHING to alleviate the current crisis ... just Jimmy Carter style, grin and bear it, worse before it gets better, take care of your brother, gas lines, big taxes, big government, weak military, dark days ahead ... he better get his sweater ready!

    September 22, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  22. Pat

    McCain says country first. If he really meant it ...he would endorse Obama. He has flip-flopped every day this past week. He is not putting his country first, he is just trying to get votes. If he can lie to us in his campaign, will he be honest in the White House? Just more of the same Bush/Cheney .

    September 22, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  23. Richard

    If CNN cannot continue to keep the polls close, No One will pay attention to them.

    September 22, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  24. lindsey

    these polls prove only one thing: anyone, supporting either campaign, who says the election will be a landslide has no grip on reality. chances are half the swing states will go to obama and half to mccain. what matters is which states and how many electoral delegates.

    September 22, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  25. Kasparov

    This morning somebody from CNN put up a factcheck on Obama's ad. Apparently that angered a liberal supervisor there at CNN so you guys took it down. Please stop claiming to be a fair and balance network if you do not act like it.

    September 22, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
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